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REPUBLIC HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL<br />

SERVICE <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

WORLD METEOROLOGICAL<br />

ORGANIZATION<br />

NATIONAL COMMITTEE <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

FOR <strong>THE</strong> INTERNATIONAL HYDROLOGICAL<br />

PROGRAMME <strong>OF</strong> UNESCO<br />

INTERNATIONAL HYDROLOGICAL<br />

PROGRAMME <strong>OF</strong> UNESCO<br />

INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION <strong>OF</strong><br />

HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES<br />

INSTITUTE FOR <strong>THE</strong> DEVELOPMENT<br />

<strong>OF</strong> WATER RESOURCES<br />

"JAROSLAV ÈERNI"<br />

<strong>XXIII</strong> <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBIAN COUNTRIES<br />

ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

MINISTRY <strong>OF</strong> SCIENCE AND<br />

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION<br />

<strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

28 - 31 AUGUST 2006<br />

BELGRADE - REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

<strong>CONFERENCE</strong> ABSTRACTS<br />

MINISTRY <strong>OF</strong> AGRICULTURE,<br />

FORESTRY AND WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

<strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

UNITED NATIONS UNIVERSITY<br />

INSTITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENT<br />

AND HUMAN SECURITY, BONN<br />

MINISTRY <strong>OF</strong> CAPITAL INVESTMENT<br />

<strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

SRBIJAVODE HE DJERDAP VODE VOJVODINE


<strong>XXIII</strong> <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBIAN COUNTRIES<br />

ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND<br />

HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28 - 31 August 2006<br />

BELGRADE – REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

<strong>CONFERENCE</strong> ABSTRACTS<br />

Editors:<br />

STEVAN BRUK & TIOSLAV PETKOVIC<br />

Belgrade, 2006


<strong>XXIII</strong> <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

DANUBIAN COUNTRIES<br />

ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28 - 31 August 2006<br />

Belgrade - Republic of Serbia<br />

Organised by:<br />

National Committee of Serbia<br />

for the International Hydrological Programme of UNESCO<br />

in co - operation with<br />

Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia<br />

Institute for the Development of Water Resources<br />

"Jaroslav Cerni"<br />

Under the auspices of<br />

Ministry of Science and Environmental Protection of the Republic of Serbia<br />

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management of the Republic of<br />

Serbia, Directorate of Water<br />

Ministry of Capital Investment of Republic Serbia<br />

and<br />

Public Water Authority ″SRBIJAVODE″<br />

Public Water Management Company (PWMC) "VODE VOJVODINE"<br />

Navigation And Hydropower System “DJERDAP”<br />

Jointly with:<br />

International Hydrological Programme of UNESCO<br />

World Meteorological Organization<br />

International Association of Hydrological Sciences<br />

United Nations University<br />

Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn<br />

Conference venue<br />

SAVA CONGRESS CENTRE


R. F. Schmidtke - Bayerisches<br />

Landesamt für Wasserwirtschalf,<br />

Munich,<br />

D. Gutknecht - Institut für Hydraulik,<br />

Vienna, Austria<br />

J. Kubat - Czech Hydrometeorological<br />

Institute, Prague, Czech Republic<br />

J. Szolgay - Faculty of Civil Engineering,<br />

Bratislava, Slovak Republic<br />

M. Domokos - VITUKI, Budapest,<br />

Hungary.<br />

M. Brilly - University of Ljubljana,<br />

Ljubljana, Slovenia<br />

O. Bonnacci - Split University, Split,<br />

Croatia<br />

S. Prohaska - Institute «Jaroslav Cerni»<br />

Belgrade<br />

M. Miloradov - President of NC IHP,<br />

Belgrade, Republic of Serbia<br />

Tioslav Petkovic - Republic<br />

Hydrometorological Service of<br />

Serbia<br />

Zoran Radic - Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering, University of<br />

Belgrade<br />

Stevan Prohaska - Institute «Jaroslav<br />

Cerni» Belgrade<br />

Vojislav Vukmirovic - Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering, University of<br />

Belgrade<br />

Marina Babic - Mladenovic - Institute<br />

«Jaroslav Cerni» Belgrade<br />

International Scientific Committee<br />

Local Scientific Committee<br />

S. Bruk – Emeritus University Professor,<br />

Republic of Serbia<br />

P. Stanciu - National Institute of<br />

Meteorology and Hydrology,<br />

Bucharest,<br />

K. Tzankov - Institute of Meteorology and<br />

Hydrology, Sofia, Bulgaria<br />

O. Lukyanetz - State<br />

Hydrometeorological Institute,<br />

Kiev, Ukraina<br />

P. Pypaert - UVO - ROSTE<br />

J.Bogardi - Institute for Environment and<br />

Human Security, Bonn<br />

I. Liska - ICPDR<br />

A. de Roo - Institute for Environment and<br />

Sustainability, Ispra, Italy.<br />

Mihailo Andjelic – Consultant (former<br />

FAO expert)<br />

Miodrag Spasojevic - Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering, University of Novi<br />

Sad<br />

Borislava Blagojevic - Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering and Architecture, Nis<br />

Jasna Plavsic – Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering, University of<br />

Belgrade<br />

Vesna Ristic - Faculty of Mining and<br />

Geology, University of Belgrade<br />

Stevan Bruk – Emeritus University<br />

Professor, Belgrade


Aleksandar Popovic – Ministry of<br />

Sciences and Environmental<br />

Protection<br />

Milorad Miloradov – Academy for<br />

Sciences and Arts of Vojvodina<br />

N. Sad<br />

Nikola Marjanovic – Directorate of Water<br />

Belgrade<br />

Milan Dimkic – Institute «Jaroslav Cerni»<br />

Belgrade<br />

Jovanka Andrejevic – Republic<br />

Hydromet. Service of Serbia<br />

Veljko Dimitrijevic – Public Water Man.<br />

Comp. «Srbijavode» Belgrade<br />

Branislav Radanovic - Public Water Man.<br />

Comp. «Vode Vojvodine» N. Sad<br />

Dragan Povrenovic - Ministry for<br />

Sciences and Environmental<br />

protection<br />

Mico Skoric – Agriculture Faculty N. Sad<br />

Dragan Stankovic – HPS «Djerdap»<br />

(Iron Gate)<br />

Vladimir Tausanovic – Belgrade Water<br />

Work and Sewerage Company<br />

Marina Babic - Mladenovic - Institute<br />

«Jaroslav Cerni» Belgrade<br />

Dragan Jankovic - Republic Hydromet.<br />

Service of Serbia<br />

Stevan Prohaska - Institute «Jaroslav<br />

Cerni» Beograd<br />

Tioslav Petkovic - Republic Hydromet.<br />

Service of Serbia<br />

Mira Dedic –Public Water<br />

Man.Comp.«Vode Vojvodine»<br />

N.Sad<br />

Dragana Ninkovic - Institute «Jaroslav<br />

Cerni», Beograd<br />

Organizing Committee<br />

Executive Committee<br />

Dragan Aranđelovic - Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering and Architecture, Nis<br />

Stevan Prohaska - Institute «Jaroslav<br />

Cerni» Belgrade<br />

Tioslav Petkovic – Republic Hydromet.<br />

Service of Serbia<br />

Zoran Radic - Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering Belgrade<br />

Slobodan Milenkovic - Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering and Architecture, Nis<br />

Mihailo Andjelic - Consultant (former<br />

FAO expert)<br />

Vojislav Vukmirovic - Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering Belgrade<br />

Ratomir Yivaljevic - Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering Podgorica<br />

Darko Novakovic - Hydrometeorological<br />

Service of Montenegro<br />

Dragan Jankovic – Republic Hydromet.<br />

Service of Serbia, Belgrade<br />

Arpad Varga - Public Water Man. Comp.<br />

«Srbijavode» Belgrade<br />

Srđan Kolakovic - Faculty for Technical<br />

Sciences N. Sad<br />

Zoran Simic - Institute «Jaroslav Cerni»,<br />

Beograd<br />

Miomir Arsic - Institute «Jaroslav Cerni»,<br />

Beograd<br />

Nena Kovacevic - Republic Hydromet.<br />

Service of Serbia,<br />

Branislava Kapor - Republic Hydromet.<br />

Service of Serbia<br />

Milica Jeremic - Republic Hydromet.<br />

Service of Serbia


<strong>XXIII</strong> <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBIAN COUNTRIES<br />

ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

Conference Topics:<br />

1. Hydrological forecasting<br />

• Real - time informational forecasting systems<br />

• Short - term forecasts<br />

• Long - term forecasts<br />

• Rainfall - runoff processes modelling<br />

• River flow propagation modelling<br />

• Hydrological forecasts of other phenomena (sediment transport, ice phenomena, etc.)<br />

2. Meteorological inputs for hydrological forecast<br />

• Meteorological models<br />

• Quantitative precipitation forecasts<br />

• Satellite and radar data information<br />

• Probabilistic hydro - meteorological forecast systems<br />

3. Hydrological processes<br />

• Hydrological balance models<br />

• Soil - vegetation - atmosphere transfer models<br />

• Ecological aspects of hydrological processes<br />

• Groundwater and river interactions<br />

• Ice and thermal regime processes<br />

• Soil - vegetation - atmosphere transfer models<br />

• Groundwater and river flow interactions<br />

4. Erosion, sediment transport and sedimentation<br />

• Monitoring of catchment and river bed/reservoir erosion and sedimentation processes<br />

• Modelling of erosion and sediment transport<br />

• Morphology and river bed deformation<br />

5. Water quality and eco - hydrological processes<br />

• Water quality monitoring (surface and ground water)<br />

• Water quality modelling<br />

• Transport and transformations of pollutants<br />

• Water quality and sediments<br />

• Interactions between hydrology and fluvial ecosystems<br />

6. Water resources management<br />

• Quantitative and qualitative water resources assessment<br />

• Regionalization of hydrological characteristics<br />

• Strategies of water resources in the context of land use and climate changes<br />

• Decision support systems for water management and water resource conservation<br />

and protection<br />

• Ecological and socio - economic vulnerability as regards to hydrological extremes<br />

• Flood processes and control<br />

Special edition<br />

• National Committee of Serbia for the International Hydrological Programme of<br />

UNESCO, Belgrade, Kneza Viseslava 66, Serbia,<br />

• Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia, Belgrade, Kneza Viseslava<br />

66,Serbia;<br />

• Institute for the Development of Water Resources "Jaroslav Cerni", Jarslav Cernog<br />

80, Belgrade, Serbia


Editors:<br />

<strong>CONFERENCE</strong> ABSTRACTS<br />

<strong>XXIII</strong> <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBIAN COUNTRIES<br />

ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

STEVAN BRUK<br />

TIOSLAV PETKOVIC<br />

Editorial board<br />

28 - 31 August 2006<br />

Belgrade - Republic of Serbia<br />

Tioslav Petkovic - Republic Hydrometorological Service of Serbia<br />

Zoran Radic - Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade<br />

Stevan Prohaska - Institute «Jaroslav Cerni» Belgrade<br />

Vojislav Vukmirovic - Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade<br />

Marina Babic - Mladenovic - Institute «Jaroslav Cerni» Belgrade<br />

Mihailo Andjelic – Consultant (former FAO expert)<br />

Miodrag Spasojevic - Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Novi Sad<br />

Borislava Blagojevic - Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Nis<br />

Jasna Plavsic – Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade<br />

Vesna Ristic - Faculty of Mining and Geology, University of Belgrade<br />

Stevan Bruk – Emeritus University Professor, Belgrade<br />

Technical preparation<br />

Borivoje Djordjevic - Republic Hydrometorological Service of Serbia<br />

Printed in 2006 by


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

TABLE <strong>OF</strong> CONTENTS


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

FOREWORD<br />

Miloradov Milorad<br />

20-YEARS <strong>OF</strong> EDITINIG <strong>THE</strong> HZDROLOGICAL MONOGRAPH “<strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER<br />

AND ITS BASIN”<br />

Andrey Stancik, Stevan Prohaska ................................................................................................................I<br />

HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING<br />

USE ENSEMBLE PRECIPITATION FORECASTS FOR HYDROLOGICAL PURPOSES<br />

Bonta Imre..................................................................................................................................................3<br />

FLOODS FORECASTING IN TRANSCARPATHIANS REGION WITH USE <strong>OF</strong> RAINFALL-RUN<strong>OF</strong>F<br />

MODELS<br />

Boyko Viktoria, Boyko Oleksiy, Platonova N.,............................................................................................3<br />

OPERATIVE HYDROLOGICAL FORECAST IN WINTER SEASON – FLOODS CAUSED BY SNOW<br />

MELTING<br />

Brezkova Lucie, Soukalova Eva.................................................................................................................4<br />

SYSTEM FOR SEVEN-DAY LOW FLOW FORECAST DEVELOPED BY <strong>THE</strong> RECESSION<br />

LIMB <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> HYDROGRAPH<br />

Brilly Mitja, Stravs L., Rusjan Simon, Petan Saso., Padeznik Matej, Vidmar Andrej.................................4<br />

FLOODS IN BULGARIA AND BULGARIAN HYDROLOGY IN 2005<br />

George Gergov,..........................................................................................................................................5<br />

INOVATION <strong>OF</strong> FLOOD WARNING AND FORECASTING SYSTEM IN <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK REPUBLIC<br />

Hajtasova Katarína, Kyselova Daniela, Martinka Karol, Poprendova Katarína .........................................5<br />

HYDROLOGICAL SCENARIOS <strong>OF</strong> CHANGES IN <strong>THE</strong> MEAN ANNUAL AND MONTHLY<br />

RUN<strong>OF</strong>F IN SLOVAKIA<br />

Hlavcova Kamila, Szolgay Jan, Kohnova Silvia, Parajka Juraj..................................................................6<br />

FLOOD FORECASTING & FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT IN <strong>THE</strong> BAVARIAN DANUBE<br />

BASIN – FIRST RESULTS <strong>OF</strong> EC FP6 INTEGRATED PROJECT “PREVIEW”<br />

Krahe Peter, Rachimow Claudia, Tinz Marek Holzhauer Vera, Assmann Andre, Bliefernicht Jan,<br />

Ebert Christian, Daamen Karlheinz, Kunz Michael, Schipper Janus Willem, Meinel Gotthard,<br />

Hennersdorf Joerg......................................................................................................................................7<br />

REAL-TIME HYDROLOGICAL INFORMATION SYSTEM IN SLOVAKIA – PRESENT<br />

DAY AND FUTURE IMPROVING<br />

Leskova D., Babiakova G., Wendlova V., Holla M.....................................................................................8<br />

STOCHASTIC MODELLING <strong>OF</strong> TIME-SPACE FLUCTUATIONS UNDER MODERN<br />

CLIMATE CHANGE<br />

Lobanov Vladimir, Lobanova Helen, ..........................................................................................................9<br />

EXPANSION <strong>OF</strong> VOLUME <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FORECASTING PRODUCTION IN <strong>THE</strong> RIVER BASIN BY<br />

APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> LOCAL MA<strong>THE</strong>MATICAL MODELS<br />

Olga Luk'yanets..........................................................................................................................................9


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

DEPENDENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> OPTIMAL WATERSHED MODEL COMPLEXITY ON<br />

TEMPORAL RESOLUTION<br />

Micovic Zoran .............................................................................................................................................10<br />

<strong>THE</strong> SIMULATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOODS PROPAGATION ON <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER BETWEEN<br />

376 KM AND 863 KM IN 1999, 2000, 2005 AND 2006<br />

Neicu Serban.............................................................................................................................................11<br />

SYSTEM <strong>OF</strong> WARNING AND PROTECTION IN REAL TIME AGAINST FLOODINGS<br />

Nitescu Eftimie, Popescu Stefan, Chiorescu Esmeralda, Dascalita Dan, Toma Daniel ............................11<br />

DEVELOPMENT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MODEL FOR SHORT-RANGE WATER FORECAST ON <strong>THE</strong> RIVER<br />

KOLUBARA<br />

Petkovic T. Dejan, Radic M. Zoran ............................................................................................................12<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ADDITIONAL VALUE <strong>OF</strong> ENSEMBLE WEA<strong>THE</strong>R FORECASTS TO FLOOD FORECASTING:<br />

FIRST RESULTS ON EFAS FORECASTS FOR <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER BASIN<br />

Ramos Maria-Helena, Bartholmes Jens, Thielen Jutta, Kalas Milan, de Roo Ad......................................13<br />

TRANS - BOUNDARY FORECASTING SYSTEM ON MUR RIVER<br />

Ruch Christophe, Jørgensen Gregers, Polajnar Janez, Susnik Mojca, Hornich Rudolf,<br />

Schatzl Robert, Pogacnik Nejc ..................................................................................................................14<br />

<strong>THE</strong> RUN<strong>OF</strong>F FORECAST SYSTEM <strong>OF</strong> VERBUND OPERATIONAL FORECASTING IN<br />

HYDROPOWER INDUSTRY<br />

Spolwind Robert, Hebenstreit Klaus, Froschl Felix, Bachhiesl Martin, Precht Johann..............................15<br />

FLOODS PREVENTION IN UPPER TISA RIVER BASIN<br />

Stoica Florin Stefan ....................................................................................................................................16<br />

ESTIMATION <strong>OF</strong> FLOOD PEAK TRAVEL-TIME ON <strong>THE</strong> MORAVA RIVER<br />

Szolgay Jan, Danacova Michaela ..............................................................................................................17<br />

FLASH FLOOD REAL TIME FORECAST MODEL. CASE STUDY<br />

Tecuci Ion...................................................................................................................................................17<br />

<strong>THE</strong> HIGH FLOOD <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MONTH <strong>OF</strong> APRIL 2005 IN <strong>THE</strong> HYDROGRAPHIC BASINS <strong>OF</strong><br />

<strong>THE</strong> RIVERS TIMIS AND BEGA<br />

Teodorescu Niculae Iulian..........................................................................................................................19<br />

<strong>THE</strong> HIGH FLOODS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MONTH <strong>OF</strong> APRIL 2004 IN <strong>THE</strong> HYDROGRAPHIC BASIN <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

BARZAVA RIVER<br />

Teodorescu Niculae Iulian..........................................................................................................................19<br />

HYDROLOGICAL ASPECTS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOOD IN AUGUST 2005 IN <strong>THE</strong> BAVARIAN DANUBE<br />

CATCHMENT<br />

Vogelbacher Alfons, Daamen Karlheinz, Holle Franz-Klemens, Meyer Inke,Roser Stefan ......................20


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

METEOROLOGICAL INPUTS FOR HIDROLOGICAL FORECAST<br />

FORMATION AND DISTRIBUTION <strong>OF</strong> SNOW AVALANCHES IN <strong>THE</strong> UKRAINIAN CARPATHIANS<br />

Oleksandr Aksyuk, Vladimir Grishchenko, A. Obrizan, Y. Tavrov .............................................................23<br />

EXTREME WEA<strong>THE</strong>R EVENTS IN EUROPE AND INFUENCE ON BULGARIAN SECTION <strong>OF</strong><br />

DANUBE RIVER<br />

Andreeva Teodossia ..................................................................................................................................24<br />

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON FLOOD AND DROUGHT RISKS IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE BASIN:<br />

AN INTEGRATED MODELING STUDY<br />

Dankers Rutger, Feyen Luc, Kalas Milan, Christensen Ole B., de Roo Ad ...............................................25<br />

<strong>THE</strong> FACTORS THAT GENERATED <strong>THE</strong> FLOODS IN APRIL 2005 IN BANAT<br />

Hauer Elza, Nichita Cristian, Teodorescu Niculae Iulian ...........................................................................26<br />

SEMI-DISTRIBUTED CALIBRATION <strong>OF</strong> A RAINFALL-RUN<strong>OF</strong>F MODEL FOR <strong>THE</strong> MORAVA<br />

CATCHMENT USING GLOBAL OPTIMIZATION<br />

Kalas Milan, Feyen Luc, Vrugt Jasper ......................................................................................................27<br />

UNCERTAINTY <strong>OF</strong> PRECIPITATION MEASUREMENTS AND PREDICTIONS AS AN INPUT<br />

TO FLASH FLOOD MODELLING<br />

Kobold Mira, Suselj Kay, Susnik Mojca, Zgonc Anton ...............................................................................28<br />

COMPARISON <strong>OF</strong> DESIGN k-DAY MAXIMUM PRECIPITATION TOTALS IN <strong>THE</strong> UPPER<br />

HRON REGION<br />

Kohnova Silvia, Szolgay Jan, Hlavcova Kamila.........................................................................................28<br />

CLIMATE CHANGE AND RIVER RUN<strong>OF</strong>F IN UKRAINE<br />

Kuprikov Ivan, Snizhko Sergiy....................................................................................................................29<br />

DEVELOPMENT <strong>OF</strong> A MULTI-SITE DAILY PRECIPITATION MODEL FOR BULGARIA USING<br />

HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS<br />

Neytchev Plamen, Zucchini Walter, Hristov Hristo and Neykov Neyko .....................................................30<br />

CORRELATIONS BETWEEN MONTHLY VALUES <strong>OF</strong> PRECIPITATION AND RUN<strong>OF</strong>F IN <strong>THE</strong><br />

TRANSYLVANIAN BASIN<br />

Pandi G., Mika Janos. ...............................................................................................................................31<br />

RAINFALL INTENSITY-DURATION-FREQUENCY FORMULA FOR SPAIN INCORPORATING<br />

REGIONAL ANALYSIS<br />

Leticia de Salas Regalado, Jose Anastasio Fernandez Yuste ..................................................................32<br />

USING GIS TECHNIQUES AND RAINFALL WSR-98D RADAR ESTIMATIONS FROM FAST<br />

PRECIPITATIONS MONITORING IN SMALL CATCHMENTS<br />

Roman Petru Ioan, Streng Octavian ..........................................................................................................33<br />

POLARIMETRIC WEA<strong>THE</strong>R RADAR OPPORTUNITIES FOR HYDROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS<br />

Saltikoff Elena ............................................................................................................................................33<br />

CHANGES <strong>OF</strong> REGIONAL CLIMATE MEANS AND <strong>OF</strong> VARIABILITY ALONG <strong>THE</strong> 45-50° N<br />

LATITUDES ACCORDING TO <strong>THE</strong> IPCC TAR CLIMATE MODELS<br />

Schlanger Vera, Mathe Csongor, Mika Janos............................................................................................34


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

SNOW MEASUREMENTS IN NORWAY USING SNOW PILLOWS<br />

Seierstad Jorun Karoline...............................................................................................................................34<br />

TEMPORARY DYNAMICS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SNOW COVER CHARACTERISTICS IN UKRAINE AS A<br />

CONSEQUENCE <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATIC CHANGES<br />

Snizhko Sergiy, Scherban’ Iryna, Kovalenko Andriy..................................................................................35<br />

OROGRAPHICAL AREAS <strong>OF</strong> MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM <strong>OF</strong> PRECIPITATIONS ON <strong>THE</strong><br />

TERRITORY <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> UKRAINIAN CARPATHIANS. <strong>THE</strong> ACCOUNT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong>SE FEATURES IN A<br />

HYDROLOGICAL PRACTICE<br />

Sosyedko Mykhaylo ...................................................................................................................................36<br />

<strong>THE</strong> INFLUENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS ON <strong>THE</strong> RIVER BASIN RUN<strong>OF</strong>F<br />

USING MONTHLY DATA FOR <strong>THE</strong> HBV MODEL<br />

Stanev Krassimir ........................................................................................................................................37<br />

REPETITIVENESS <strong>OF</strong> COLD WINTERS AND ICE COVER ON <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE IN BELGRADE<br />

REGION AND SOLAR ACTIVITY<br />

Todorovic Nedeljko, Vujovic Dragana. .......................................................................................................37<br />

RAINWATER MANAGEMENT TO ALLEVIATE NEGATIVE IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATE CHANGE ON<br />

WATER RESOURCES<br />

Van Leeuwen Nico .....................................................................................................................................38<br />

CLIMATE INDICES <strong>OF</strong> PRECIPITATION IN BELGRADE<br />

Zivlak Branko, Popovic Tihomir, Palmar Bojan..........................................................................................39


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES<br />

MODELING <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> HIGH FLOW IN MARITZA RIVER BASIN IN AUGUST 2005, ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong><br />

<strong>THE</strong> INFLUENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> TOPOLNITZA RESERVOIR<br />

Artinian Eram..............................................................................................................................................43<br />

LOW FLOW <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SAVA RIVER IN <strong>THE</strong> REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> CROATIA<br />

Barbalic Marina, Kratofil Lidija....................................................................................................................44<br />

CHANGES <strong>OF</strong> RIVER CROSS-SECTIONS ON SLOVAK PART <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE IN <strong>THE</strong> PERIOD<br />

1986-2005<br />

Blaskovicova Lotta, Martinka Michal, Poorova Jana..................................................................................44<br />

ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> DISCHARGES ALONG <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER WATERCOURSE<br />

Bonacci Ognjen, Trninic Dusan..................................................................................................................45<br />

FLOODS IN UKRAINE<br />

Boyeva Helena ...........................................................................................................................................45<br />

HYSTERESIS IN <strong>THE</strong> WATER STAGE – WATER VELOCITY RELATION AT <strong>THE</strong> OCCURRENCE<br />

<strong>OF</strong> FLOOD EVENT<br />

Brilly Mitja, Stravs L., Rusjan Simon, Petan Saso, Padeznik Matej, Vidmar Andrej..................................45<br />

ESTIMATING TIME <strong>OF</strong> FLOOD WAVE PROPAGATION AND STAGE - DISCHARGE CURVE<br />

FITTING BY DOPPLER VELOCITY METER<br />

Brilly Mitja, Stravs L., Vidmar Andrej..........................................................................................................46<br />

<strong>THE</strong> INTERACTION BETWEEN CHANNEL NETWORK AND GROUNDWATER AT RYE ISLAND<br />

Dulovicova Renata .....................................................................................................................................46<br />

CONCEPTUAL MODELLING AT RIVER TISZA<br />

Zsuzsanna Flachner, Zsuzsanna Nagy......................................................................................................47<br />

MODEL <strong>OF</strong> POSITIVE SURGE MOVING UPSTREAM FROM <strong>THE</strong> HYDRO-POWER PLANT<br />

VARAZDIN<br />

Gjetvaj Goran, Sustic Diana.......................................................................................................................48<br />

IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> EXPECTED CLIMATE CHANGE ON STORAGE VOLUME UTILISATION <strong>OF</strong><br />

IMPORTANT WATER RESERVOIR <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK REPUBLIC<br />

Halmova Dana............................................................................................................................................49<br />

A SIMPLE METHOD FOR EFFECTIVE MULTI-SITE GENERATION <strong>OF</strong> STOCHASTIC<br />

HYDROLOGIC TIME SERIES<br />

Ilich Nesa, Despotovic Dejan .....................................................................................................................49<br />

MODERN PROCESSES <strong>OF</strong> WATER RUN<strong>OF</strong>F REDISTRIBUTION IN CHILIA DELTA <strong>OF</strong><br />

DANUBE RIVER<br />

Kornilov Mikhail ..........................................................................................................................................50<br />

<strong>THE</strong> APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> GIS AT <strong>THE</strong> KARST TORRENT HYDROLOGY MODEL<br />

Kunstek Duska, Carevic Dalibor Carevic, Ocvirk Eva................................................................................50<br />

STATISTICAL METHODS FOR CLASSIFICATION <strong>OF</strong> RIVER CHANNEL DEFORMATIONS<br />

Lobanov Vladimir, Kondratjev Alexander...................................................................................................51


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> POSSIBLE TRANSFORMATIONS IN HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL AND<br />

CHANNEL PATTERNS UNDER MODERN CLIMATE CHANGE<br />

Lobanov Vladimir, Lobanova Helen, Anisimov Oleg, Kondratjev Alexsander ...........................................51<br />

HUMAN INFLUENCES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROMORPHOLOGICAL PARAMETERS IN <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK<br />

PART <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE CATCHMENT<br />

Renata Magulova, Lea Mrafkova ...............................................................................................................51<br />

A FEW HYDROLOGICAL ANALYSES <strong>OF</strong> HIGH WATERS <strong>OF</strong> KOPACKI RIT<br />

Maricic Sinisa, Petras Josip .......................................................................................................................52<br />

EVALUATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MOUNTAIN CATCHMENT’S MOISTURE BY MA<strong>THE</strong>MATICAL<br />

MODELING <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> RAIN FLOODS<br />

Maslova Tetyana, Sosyedko Mykhaylo......................................................................................................53<br />

ALTERNATIVES TO <strong>THE</strong> IMPLEMENTATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOOD MONITORING SUB-SYSTEMS<br />

TO <strong>THE</strong> END-USERS IN <strong>THE</strong> FRAMEWORK <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> NATO SfP PROJECT<br />

Mic Rodica, Corbus Ciprian, Stancalie Gheorghe, Craciunescu Vasile ....................................................54<br />

BASIC METHODOLOGY CONCEPT FOR CREATION <strong>OF</strong> WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT<br />

BALANCE <strong>OF</strong> VOJVODINA<br />

Miloradov Milorad, Prohaska Stevan .........................................................................................................55<br />

ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> COINCIDENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DISCHARGE WAVES <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE AND MORAVA<br />

RIVERS<br />

Mitkova Veronika........................................................................................................................................56<br />

APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> MIKE MODELS FOR HYDROMORPHOLOGICAL ASSESSMENT IN HUNGARY<br />

Nagy Zsuzsanna, Dannisøe Jesper ...........................................................................................................56<br />

REGIONAL ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> LOW FLOWS IN HILLY AND MOUNTAINOUS AREAS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

Nikic Zoran, Nikolic Jugoslav .....................................................................................................................57<br />

CONTRIBUTION TO <strong>THE</strong> ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> WATER BALANCE FACTORS ON <strong>THE</strong> CASE<br />

EXAMPLE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> JABLANICA RIVER BASIN<br />

Nikolic Jugoslav, Ducic Vladan, Smailagic Jasminka ................................................................................58<br />

HYDROLOGICAL CALIBRATION SCENARIOS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> HSPF MODEL FOR <strong>THE</strong> UPPER ISKAR<br />

BASIN<br />

Ninov Plamen, Ribarova Irina, Nikolaidis Nikos, Tsoraki Rania, Kalinkov Peter, Kukurin Krasimir<br />

Topalova Jana............................................................................................................................................59<br />

STATISTIC MOLDING <strong>OF</strong> DEPENDENCE <strong>OF</strong> DRAIN DISCHARGE AND RAINFALLS<br />

Pivic Radmila, Josic Dragana, Đurovic Nevenka, Rudic Dragan ..............................................................59<br />

HYDRODYNAMIC ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> COMPLEX WELLS TESTING ON GROUNDWATER<br />

SOURCE PALANACKI KISELJAK , (SMEDEREVSKA PALANKA, SERBIA)<br />

Polomcic Dusan .........................................................................................................................................60<br />

<strong>THE</strong> INFLUENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> CLIMATICAL, PSYHICAL AND GEOGRAPHICAL FACTORS<br />

GENERATING FLOODS IN <strong>THE</strong> SMALL HIDROLOGICAL BASINS LOCATED IN <strong>THE</strong> WESTERN<br />

PART <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> CARPATHIAN MOUNTAINS<br />

Popovici Felicia ..........................................................................................................................................60


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

SYSTEMS APPROACH TO <strong>THE</strong> ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATIC CHANGE IN A SMALL<br />

RIVER BASIN<br />

Prodanovic Predrag, Simonovic Slobodan ................................................................................................61<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SENSITIVITY <strong>OF</strong> A RAIN RUN<strong>OF</strong>F FORMATION PROCESSES ON <strong>THE</strong><br />

MOUNTAIN CATCHMENTS<br />

Pryimachenko Nataliia................................................................................................................................61<br />

<strong>THE</strong> FLOOD <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> OPEN CUT COAL MINING <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE CATCHMENT AREA<br />

Riti Adrian...................................................................................................................................................62<br />

ALGORITHMS FOR OPERATIVE CONTROL <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOOD PASSAGE<br />

Stary M., Dolezal P., Jaros L......................................................................................................................63<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SPATIAL VARIABILITY <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> PHREATIC LEVELS BY A<br />

COMFORT INDEX AND <strong>THE</strong> E<strong>OF</strong> METHOD (EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL FUNCTIONS),<br />

A CASE STUDY FOR <strong>THE</strong> NW PART <strong>OF</strong> ROMANIA<br />

Tanase Elena, Bretotean Mihai..................................................................................................................64<br />

MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN SLOVENIAN RIVERS<br />

Ulaga Florjana. ...........................................................................................................................................65<br />

FLOODS AND CLIMATE CHANGE, STUDY ABOUT 1000 YEARS <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE FLOODS<br />

IN AUSTRIA<br />

Wachter Karl...............................................................................................................................................66<br />

LISFLOOD MODELLING IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE BASIN<br />

Wachter Karl, Kalas Milan, Szabo Janos, de Roo Ad ...............................................................................66<br />

HYDROLOGY <strong>OF</strong> PLITVICE LAKES AND <strong>THE</strong> UPPER KORANA – CORRELATION AND TRENDS<br />

Zwicker Gordana, Rubinic Josip, Kompar Dario ........................................................................................67


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

EROSION, SEDIMENT TRANSPORT AND SEDIMENTATION<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> SUSPENDED SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER<br />

Babic Mladenovic Marina, Knezevic Zoran, Tutulic Marija. .......................................................................71<br />

DISPERSION MODEL IN ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> TRANSPORT THROUGH STRATIFIED MEDIA<br />

Dimkic, Milan, Pusic, Milenko.....................................................................................................................71<br />

ESTIMATE <strong>OF</strong> RESERVOIR SILTING USING “EROSION POTENTIAL METHOD”<br />

Gavrilovic Zoran, Stefanovic Milutin, Milojevic Mileta, Cotric Jelena .........................................................72<br />

ASPECTS ON ELECTROMECHANICAL SENSORS <strong>OF</strong> SLIDING LAND AND RIVER EROSION<br />

Ignat Mircea, Zarnescu George, Nedelcu Lucia, Telipan Gabriela............................................................73<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ROLE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SUSPENDED SEDIMENTS IN TRANSPORTATION <strong>OF</strong> 137Cs BY <strong>THE</strong><br />

DANUBE RIVER<br />

Kanivets Volodymyr ...................................................................................................................................73<br />

MONITORING SEDIMENT TRANSPORT REGIME IN <strong>THE</strong> TORRENTS <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

Kostadinov Stanimir ...................................................................................................................................74<br />

COMPREHENSIVE MONITORING CONCEPT IN <strong>THE</strong> CONTEXT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> INTEGRATED<br />

DANUBE RIVER ENGINEERING PROJECT BETWEEN VIENNA AND BRATISLAVA<br />

Liedermann Marcel, Tritthart Michael, Habersack Helmut.........................................................................75<br />

HYDROLOGICAL ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> ALLUVIUM TRANSPORT BETWEEN BAZIAS AND CALAFAT<br />

BEFORE AND AFTER HYDRO-ENERGETIC SYSTEM IRON GATES BUILDING<br />

Lupescu Daniel, Dumitrascu Marcela Florentina .......................................................................................76<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> SEDIMENT SUPPLIED TO A SMALL WATER RESERVOIR AT KREMPNA<br />

Michalec Bogusław, Tarnawski Marek .......................................................................................................76<br />

DYNAMICS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DELTA COASTLINE AS AN INDICATOR <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> EVOLUTION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

CHILIA DELTA AT <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE MOUTH<br />

Mikhailova M.V., Cheroy A.I., Mikhailov V.N..............................................................................................77<br />

<strong>THE</strong> SAVA RIVER IMPOUNDMENT AT MAVCICE AND GROUNDWATER REGIME <strong>OF</strong><br />

KRANJSKO – SORSKO POLJE ALLUVIAL AQUIFERS<br />

Mikulic Zlatko, Savic Vlado, Gale Ursa, Andjelov Miso..............................................................................78<br />

ONE-DIMENSIONAL MULTI-STRIP TRANSPORT MODEL FOR LONG DISTANCE SEDIMENT<br />

TRANSPORT IN NAVIGATION CHANNELS, CASE STUDY <strong>THE</strong> RIVER ELBE<br />

Prohaska Sandra, Westrich Bernhard........................................................................................................78<br />

FIELD INVESTIGATION <strong>OF</strong> GRAVEL RIVERBEDS BY FREEZE-PANEL SAMPLER<br />

Rakoczi Laszlo ...........................................................................................................................................79<br />

SOIL EROSION IN <strong>THE</strong> REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> MOLDOVA<br />

Summer Wolfgang......................................................................................................................................80<br />

HYDROLOGICAL AND INSTRUMENTED ASPECTS ON MONITORING AND ANALYSING<br />

SUSPENDED SEDIMENT CROSSING INTERNATIONAL BORDERS<br />

Summer Wolfgang, Schindl Georg, Studnicka Markus, Eckelhart Alexandra ...........................................80


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

PROTECTION <strong>OF</strong> RIVER DANUBE FROM RIVER BED DEFORMATION<br />

Tadic Zdenko, Radeljak Ivan, Kuspilic Neven, Tadic Lidija, Đurokovic Zoran, Hanicar Davor,<br />

Istuk Miroslav .............................................................................................................................................81<br />

<strong>THE</strong> DYNAMICS <strong>OF</strong> SEDIMENT DISCHARGE IN <strong>THE</strong> ROMANIAN SECTOR <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

DANUBE RIVER<br />

Teodor Sorin, Radulescu Carmen, Ciuca Radu.........................................................................................82<br />

MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> RIVER BEDS RESEVOUR AND SEDIMENTATION PROCESS ON CATACMENT<br />

<strong>OF</strong> SATESKA RIVER<br />

Trendafilov.Aleksandar, Georgieski Slave, Milosevski Vangel ..................................................................82<br />

MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN SLOVENIAN RIVERS<br />

Ulaga Florjana ............................................................................................................................................83<br />

WATERSHED EROSION AND SEDIMENT YIELD DURING CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES<br />

Vouk Drazen, Professor Malus Davor, Bekic Damir ..................................................................................84


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

WATER QUALITY AND ECOHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES<br />

STRATIFICATION FEATURES <strong>OF</strong> A SNOW COVER <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> UKRAINIAN CARPATHIANS AND<br />

ITS PHYSICOMECHANICAL QUALITIES<br />

Aksyuk O., Grishchenko V., .......................................................................................................................87<br />

CYANIDE POLLUTION WAVE EMISSION ON <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER IN GIURGIU – RUSE SECTOR<br />

PRODUCED BY <strong>THE</strong> ECOLOGIC ACCIDENT FROM “S.C. AURUL BAIA MARE” IN JANUARY –<br />

FEBRUARY 2000<br />

Arges – Vedea Water Department .............................................................................................................87<br />

<strong>THE</strong> WATER MINERAL COMPOSITION CHARACTERISTICS ALONG <strong>THE</strong> BULGARIAN PART<br />

<strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

Blaskova Stefka..........................................................................................................................................88<br />

RECENT PHYTOPLANKTON CONTENTS AND WATER QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> BAJA-BEZDAN CHANNEL<br />

ON <strong>THE</strong> BORDER LOCALITY <strong>OF</strong> BACKI BREG<br />

Snezana Cadjo, Aleksandar Miletic, Radojka Bugarski .............................................................................89<br />

<strong>THE</strong> BIOACCUMULATION <strong>OF</strong> PRIORITY POLLUTANTS IN SEDIMENTS <strong>OF</strong> THREE MAJOR<br />

EUROPEAN RIVERS<br />

Claus Evelyn, Blübaum-Gronau Elke, Heininger Peter..............................................................................89<br />

METHODOLOGY <strong>OF</strong> MONITORING DEVELOPMENT AS PART <strong>OF</strong> WATER QUALITY<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Cosic-Flajsig Gorana, Petricec Mladen......................................................................................................90<br />

<strong>THE</strong> IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> FLOODS ON <strong>THE</strong> ECOSYSTEMS <strong>OF</strong> BEGA – TIMIS CATCHMENT AREA<br />

Cretu Gh, Mocanu F.C, Badaluta-Minda I.C ..............................................................................................91<br />

REHABILITATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> WATERCOURSES IN <strong>THE</strong> ECONOMICALLY DEPRESSED AREAS –<br />

ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES – <strong>THE</strong> WATER SUPPLY SYSTEM <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

TOWN ANINA<br />

Cristescu Diana, Cristescu Stefan, Mihailescu Irina ..................................................................................92<br />

FOSSIL FLUVIAL FORMS IN <strong>THE</strong> KOLUBARA BASIN<br />

Slavoljub Dragicevic, Jugoslav Nikoic, Nenad Zivkovic .............................................................................92<br />

<strong>THE</strong> POLLUTION WITH PATHOGENS – A PERMANENTLY POLLUTION <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE<br />

PRODUCED BY WASTEWATER DISCHARGING FROM URBANE ARIAS IN JIU WATER<br />

DIRECTORATES<br />

Dumitrascu Oliver Cristian, Dumitrascu Marcela Florentina ......................................................................93<br />

ECOLOGICAL ASPECTS <strong>OF</strong> HUMAN IMPACTS ON GROUNDWATER - SURFACE WATER<br />

INTERACTION. CASE STUDY FROM BULGARIA<br />

Gergov Georgi, Orehova Tatiana...............................................................................................................93<br />

PRECIPITATION WATER QUALITY THROUGHOUT <strong>THE</strong> BULGARIAN PART <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

CATCHMENT AREA<br />

Iordanova L. ...............................................................................................................................................94<br />

ORGANIC MICROPOLLUTANTS IN ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> WATER QUALITY<br />

Ivancev-Tumbas Ivana, Gimbel Rolf, Hobby Ralph ...................................................................................95


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

ESTIMATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE NUTRIENTS FLUX IN <strong>THE</strong> MODERN PERIOD<br />

Klebanov D.O., Osadcha N.M....................................................................................................................96<br />

SPATIAL-TEMPORAL EVOLUTION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> BIOTIC COMMUNITIES IN <strong>THE</strong> AQUATIC<br />

ECOSYSTEMS FROM DANUBE DELTA BIOSPHERE<br />

Stanescu Elena, Lucaciu Irina, Ivan Stefania, Nicolau Margareta, Vosniakos F.......................................97<br />

NATURAL AND HUMAN COMPOUNDS IN HYDROGEOCHEMICAL COMPOSITION <strong>OF</strong><br />

GROUNDWATER FROM SPRINGS IN NEOVOLCANIC ROCKS <strong>OF</strong> SLOVAKIA<br />

Makisova Zuzana, Fendekova Miriam, Stojkovova Michaela ....................................................................98<br />

WATER QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> LOWER DRAVA RIVER<br />

Mijuskovic-Svetinovic Tatjana, Brezak Silvio, Mijosevic Gordana .............................................................99<br />

APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> ENVIRONMENTAL ISOTOPES IN WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT<br />

<strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> VELIKA MORAVA CATCHMENT<br />

Miljevic Nada, Golobocanin Dusan, Maksic Aleksandar, Nadezdic Milica, Kapor Branislava,<br />

Holko Ladislav ............................................................................................................................................99<br />

MODELING <strong>OF</strong> A CONDITION <strong>OF</strong> HYDROCHEMICAL SYSTEMS IN CONDITIONS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong>RMAL<br />

LOADING<br />

Mostova Nina .............................................................................................................................................100<br />

WATER QUALITY AND QUANTITY IN <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK MONITORING STATIONS ON <strong>THE</strong><br />

DANUBE RIVER<br />

Mrafkova Lea, Magulova Renata ...............................................................................................................101<br />

<strong>THE</strong> TROPHIC CONDITION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> RIVER TAMIS IN <strong>THE</strong> SUMMER SEASON<br />

Nemes Karolina, Simeunovicy Jelica, Bugarski Radojka, Voros Lajos, Matavuly Milan ...........................102<br />

HYDROMORPHOLOGICAL ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> TISZA RIVER QUALITY WITHIN UKRAINE<br />

Obodovsky Olexandr, Iarochevitch Alexei .................................................................................................103<br />

HYDROLOGICAL ACCESSION TO <strong>THE</strong> IMPROVE <strong>OF</strong> WASTE DISPOSAL<br />

Patrcevic Vladimir, Maricic Sinisa, Sibalic Luka.........................................................................................103<br />

BASIN-WIDE WATER BALANCE IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER BASIN<br />

Petrovic Pavel, Mravcova Katarina, Miklanek Pavol, Holko Ladislav,Kostka Zdeno ...............................103<br />

NUMERICAL SIMULATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> POLLUTION RISK DURING <strong>THE</strong> BREAKDOWN <strong>OF</strong> A<br />

<strong>THE</strong>RMIC FURROW<br />

Popescu Stefan, Chiorescu Esmeralda, Nitescu Catalina, Prepelita Dan, Moruz Ilie ...............................104<br />

PROCEDURE FOR <strong>THE</strong> DETERMINATION <strong>OF</strong> PERIODS CRITICAL TO <strong>THE</strong> CONSERVATION <strong>OF</strong><br />

QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> NATURAL WATERCOURSES<br />

Prohaska Stevan, Majkic Brankica.............................................................................................................105<br />

PROCEDURE FOR GEO-INFORMATIVE MODELING <strong>OF</strong> DESIGNED ECOLOGICAL NETWORK<br />

IN RIVER BASINS<br />

Samoylenko Victor ....................................................................................................................................105<br />

<strong>THE</strong> DEVELOPMENT <strong>OF</strong> NITRATE CONCENTRATIONS IN SURFACE RUN<strong>OF</strong>F AND DRAINAGE<br />

RUN<strong>OF</strong>F IN <strong>THE</strong> AGRICULTURAL MICROBASIN RYBARIK (SLOVAKIA)<br />

Sebin M., Pekarova P., Miklanek P............................................................................................................106


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

ARSENIC IN CORRELATION WITH <strong>THE</strong> QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> GROUNDWATER <strong>OF</strong> WATERWORKS<br />

FROM MIDDLE BANAT AND WELLS <strong>OF</strong> ZRENJANIN<br />

Sevaljevic Mirjana, Petkovic Sasa .............................................................................................................107<br />

IMPLEMENTATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> EU WATER FRAMEWORK DIRECTIVE IN BAVARIA: WATER QUALITY<br />

MONITORING, RISK ASSESSMENT & RIVER BASIN MANGEMENT PLANS<br />

Simon Simone, Bittersohl Jochen, Sprenger Wolfgang, Wolf Birgit, Rothmeier Franz..............................108<br />

NUMERICAL MODELLING <strong>OF</strong> ACCIDENTAL POLLUTION SPREADING AT UPPER PART <strong>OF</strong> HRON<br />

RIVER<br />

Velískova Yvetta, Pekarova Pavla .............................................................................................................109<br />

DETERMINATION <strong>OF</strong> ELECTRICAL CONDUCTIVITY AND NITRATE POLLUTANT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

LESNOVSKA RIVER IN <strong>THE</strong> SECTION BETWEEN VILLAGES DOLNI BOGROV AND CHEPINCI<br />

Velkovski Grigor, Bozhinova Svetlana .......................................................................................................110<br />

<strong>THE</strong> COMPARISON <strong>OF</strong> DIFFERENT APPROACHES TO <strong>THE</strong> COMPLEX WATER QUALITY<br />

ASSESSMENT IN <strong>THE</strong> SMALL RIVERS <strong>OF</strong> CITIES<br />

Veres Katerina............................................................................................................................................110<br />

QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE CHARACTERISTICS DANUBE IN FRUSKA GORA`S REGION<br />

Vidic I. Nada ...............................................................................................................................................111<br />

GROUND-WATER TEMPERATURE IN MUNICH - <strong>THE</strong> TWO OLDEST TIME SERIES<br />

(1874-1935 AND 1886-1935)<br />

Wirth S. Daniel ...........................................................................................................................................112


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

WATER RESOURCES MANAGMENT<br />

DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM (DSS) FOR WATER MANAGEMENT, ASSISTING WFD<br />

IMPLEMENTATION IN ROMANIA<br />

Adler Mary - Jeanne, Mckinney Daene, Drobot Radu, Nicolau Codrin .....................................................117<br />

PACK <strong>OF</strong> INFORMATICS APPLICATIONS FOR REALIZING ANNUAL STUDIES AT <strong>THE</strong><br />

HYDROMETRICAL STATIONS AND ON RIVER BASINS<br />

Purdel Adrian, Pasoi Ion.............................................................................................................................118<br />

<strong>THE</strong> HISTORICAL FLOODS THAT AFFECTED ROMANIA IN 2005<br />

Anghel Elena, Frimescu Lavinia.................................................................................................................118<br />

WATER SUPPLY <strong>OF</strong> NOVI SAD THROUGH HORIZONTAL DRAIN WELLS<br />

Babac Dusan, Pavle Babac........................................................................................................................119<br />

NAVIGABLE WATERWAY BETWEEN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE AND <strong>THE</strong> AEGEAN SEA - POSIBILITIES<br />

Babac Pavle, Janicijevic Zoran ..................................................................................................................120<br />

OSAM RIVER FLOW MODELLING<br />

Bojilova Elena.............................................................................................................................................121<br />

SURFACE WATERS <strong>OF</strong> MONTENEGRO<br />

Boskovic Milan, Bajkovic Ivana ..................................................................................................................121<br />

APPLICABILITY <strong>OF</strong> GIS TECHNIQUES IN EXCESS WATER HAZARD MAPPING ON <strong>THE</strong> SOUTH<br />

GREAT HUNGARIAN PLAIN<br />

Bozan Csaba, Korosparti Janos, Pasztor Laszlo, Kozak Peter, Herceg Arpad, Kuti Istvan and<br />

Palfai Imre ..................................................................................................................................................122<br />

FORMATION <strong>OF</strong> ECOHYDROGRAPHICAL REGIONS IN SLOVENIA<br />

Brilly Mitja, Globevnik Lidija, Bizjak A., Vidmar Andrej. .............................................................................123<br />

HOW TO TAKE ACTION FOR RIVER RESTORATION<br />

Brilly Mitja, Rusjan Simon...........................................................................................................................123<br />

WATERCOURSE REHABILITATION – MANAGEMENT SCHEME<br />

Cristescu Diana, Vlaicu Ionel .....................................................................................................................125<br />

EFFECT <strong>OF</strong> WATER USE ON HYDROLOGICAL REGIME IN <strong>THE</strong> PERIOD 1994 – 2004<br />

Danacova Z., Poorova J, Liova S., Kullman E, Blaskovicova Lotta...........................................................126<br />

REGIONALIZATION <strong>OF</strong> EXTREME FLOODS IN ROMANIA<br />

Dinu Rodica, Dr. Stanciu Petre ..................................................................................................................126<br />

FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT PLAN – RELEVANCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL BEHAVIOUR<br />

<strong>OF</strong> A CATCHMENT<br />

Dorner Wolfgang, Schrenk Christian, Spachinger Karl, Metzka Rudolf.....................................................127<br />

RISK MAPPING IN PUTNA RIVER BASIN (ROMANIA) A CASE STUDY FOR FLOOD CONTROL<br />

Drobot Radu, Stanescu Viorel Al., Amaftiesei Romeo, Cheveresan Bogdan............................................128<br />

HYDROTECHNICAL CONSTRUCTIONS IN <strong>THE</strong> CRISUL REPEDE RIVER BASIN INFLUENCE<br />

<strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> HYDROTECHICAL CONSTRUCTION IN FLOODS MITIGATION AND <strong>THE</strong>IR EFFECTS IN<br />

ROMANIA AND HUNGARY<br />

Dume Dorel, Gale Marinela, Roman Petru Ioan ........................................................................................128


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> HEPP “DJERDAP I” BACKWATER ON FORELAND FORESTS<br />

Gavrilovic Zoran, Stefanovic Milutin, Milojevic Mileta, Puzovic Renata, Cotric Jelena..............................129<br />

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT IN CROATIA<br />

Geres Dragutin ...........................................................................................................................................130<br />

BUILDING DATA BASE AND TOOLS FOR <strong>THE</strong> SAVA RIVER BASIN SUSTAINABLE USE,<br />

MANAGEMENT AND PROTECTION<br />

Globevnik Lidija, Vidmar Andrej, Brilly Mitja, Sraj Mojca ...........................................................................131<br />

<strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL METADATABASE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> COUNTRIES SHARING <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

CATCHMENT<br />

Goda Laszlo, Hils Michael, Belz Jorg Uwe ................................................................................................131<br />

IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> EXPECTED CLIMATE CHANGE ON STORAGE VOLUME UTILISATION <strong>OF</strong><br />

IMPORTANT WATER RESERVOIR <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK REPUBLIC<br />

Halmova Dana............................................................................................................................................132<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> LAND USE CHANGE IMPACT ON RUN<strong>OF</strong>F IN <strong>THE</strong> RIMAVA BASIN<br />

Hlavcova Kamila, Szolgay Jan, Kohnova Silvia, Horvat Oliver, Tegelhoffova Martina..............................132<br />

UPGRADING ENVIRONMENTAL PROJECTS BY CFD MODELLING<br />

Jovanovic Miodrag, Kapor Radomir, Prodanovic Dusan, Zindovic Budo. .................................................133<br />

CHARACTERIZATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> RUN<strong>OF</strong>F REGIME AND ITS STABILITY IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

CATCHMENT<br />

Kovacs Peter ..............................................................................................................................................134<br />

METHODOLOGY AND STRUCTURE <strong>OF</strong> REGIONAL SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR HYDROLOGICAL<br />

COMPUTATIONS<br />

Lobanov Vladimir Lobanova Valery ..........................................................................................................134<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> DESIGN FLOODS AT UNGAUGED BASINS BY REGIONAL MODELS<br />

Lobanova Helen. ........................................................................................................................................135<br />

APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> HISTORICAL MAXIMUM FOR FLOOD ESTIMATION<br />

(<strong>THE</strong>ORY AND CASE STUDIES)<br />

Lobanova Helen, Lobanov Vladimir ...........................................................................................................135<br />

PRECIPITATION AND CLOUD COVERAGE TENDENCIES IN <strong>THE</strong> UPPER DANUBE<br />

CATCHMENT WITH RESPECT TO GLOBAL WARMING<br />

Mika Janos, Balint Gabor Csík A., Gulyas M., Bartok B., Borsos E, Schlanger V.....................................136<br />

<strong>THE</strong> LOCAL COMMUNITY TORRENT DEFENSE ACTION PLAN AS AN IMPORTANT<br />

SUPPORT FOR STATE FLOOD DEFENSE SYSTEM<br />

Milojevic Mileta, Gavrilovic Zoran, Stefanovic Milutin, Ristic Ratko, Cotric Jelena....................................136<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ORGANIZING <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> EVOLUTION <strong>OF</strong> HYDRO MORPHOLOGY<br />

<strong>OF</strong> A RIVER AND ITS NEIGHBOURING AREA. CASE STUDY IN BARLAD RIVER BASIN<br />

Moraru Catalina, Purdel Adrijan. ................................................................................................................137<br />

HYDROLOGICAL ASPECTS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> NAVIGABLE CHANNEL RESTORATION PROBLEM IN <strong>THE</strong><br />

UKRAINIAN DANUBE DELTA<br />

Morozov Victor ...........................................................................................................................................138


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

DETERMINATION <strong>OF</strong> EVAPOTRANSPIRATION AND WATER BALANCE ON <strong>THE</strong> CASE<br />

EXAMPLE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> ZAPADNA MORAVA RIVER UPPER BASIN<br />

Nikolic Jugoslav, Nikic Zoran, Dragicevic Slavoljub...................................................................................139<br />

ADAPTATION STRATEGIES REGARDING WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT IN <strong>THE</strong><br />

CONTEXT <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATIC CHANGES. CASE STUDIES<br />

Oprisan Elisabeta, .....................................................................................................................................140<br />

ROMANIAN - HUNGARIAN HYDROTECHNICAL CONVENTION FOR REGULATIONS PROBLEMS<br />

TOWARDS TRANSBOUNDARY WATERS<br />

Oros Claudiu, Streng Octavian, Gale Marinela..........................................................................................141<br />

E-LEARNING SYSTEM FOR SUSTAINABLE FLOOD MANAGEMENT<br />

Pasche Erik, Radic M. Zoran......................................................................................................................141<br />

CONSIDERATIONS REGARDING <strong>THE</strong> MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> EXTRAORDINARY FLOODS FROM<br />

SIRET RIVER BASIN IN JULY AND AUGUST 2005<br />

Pasoi Ion, Purdel Adrian.............................................................................................................................142<br />

PRESSURE IDENTIFICATION AND <strong>THE</strong> IMPACT ON <strong>THE</strong> WATER RESOURCES IN BEGA<br />

CATCHMENT AREA<br />

Pepa C.A. ...................................................................................................................................................143<br />

A DECISION SUPPORT FRAMEWORK FOR WETLAND REHABILITATION AND MANAGEMENT –<br />

A CASE STUDY <strong>OF</strong> BARDACA WETLAND<br />

Pistrika A., Makropoulos C, Maksimovic C. ...............................................................................................144<br />

MULTIPURPOSE USE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> GACKA RIVER WATER<br />

Ivica Plisic, Danko Holjevic, Josip Petras...................................................................................................144<br />

CONCEPTS <strong>OF</strong> SYSTEM BASED ON OGC WEB SERVICES FOR MANAGEMENT AND DECISION<br />

SUPPORT AND MONITORING FLOODS<br />

Popov Srđan, Sakulski Dusan, Mirjana Vojinovic Miloradov, Jelena Jaksic, Maja Turk,<br />

Milorad Miloradov .......................................................................................................................................145<br />

TECHNICAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL SOLUTIONS FOR <strong>THE</strong> ACCOMPLISHMENT <strong>OF</strong> AN<br />

UNDERGROUND WATER STORAGE<br />

Prepelita Dan, Nitescu Eftimie, Craciun Vasile, Chiorescu Esmeralda, ....................................................146<br />

A NEW METHOD FOR STUDING <strong>THE</strong> RELATIONS BETWEEN HYDROLOGICAL<br />

GEOMORPHOLOGICAL AND GEOLOGICAL PARAMETERS <strong>OF</strong> A RIVER<br />

Purdel Adrian..............................................................................................................................................147<br />

<strong>THE</strong> BASIC MEASURES AGAINST DIFFUSE POLLUTION IN WATER QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> GROUND<br />

WATER BODIES AND SURFACES WATER BODIES<br />

Rosu Alina Letitia; Damian Gabriela; Persa Diana ....................................................................................148<br />

<strong>THE</strong> UNDINE INFORMATION SYSTEM – INTEGRATED DOCUMENTATION <strong>OF</strong> HYDROLOGICAL<br />

EXTREMES<br />

Schwandt Daniel, Claus Evelyn, Keller Martin, Krahe Peter, Wilke Klaus, Heininger Peter .....................148<br />

INFLUENCE <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATE CHANGES ON IRRIGATION REQUIREMENTS IN NOR<strong>THE</strong>RN<br />

CROATIA<br />

Simunic Ivan, Tomic Franjo........................................................................................................................150<br />

A NEURAL NETWORKS IN INTEGRATED WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

Sperac Marija .............................................................................................................................................151


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES <strong>OF</strong><br />

WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

WEB-BASED SYSTEM FOR TRANSBOUNDARY FLOOD RELATED GEO-SPATIAL INFORMATION<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Stancalie Gheorghe, Craciunescu Vasile, Constantinescu Stefan, Ovejanu Ionut, Corbus Ciprian,<br />

Mic Rodica..................................................................................................................................................152<br />

HIGH FLOODS IN ROMANIA IN 2005- SIRET RIVER BASIN CASE STUDY LESSONS ON<br />

PREPAREDNESS AND PREVENTION ROLE IN FLOOD CONTROL<br />

Stanescu Viorel Alexandru, Drobot Radu ..................................................................................................153<br />

USING <strong>THE</strong> DANUBIA DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM TO IDENTIFY CLIMATE CHANGE<br />

EFFECTS ON GROUNDWATER MANAGEMENT PERSPECTIVES<br />

Trifkovic Aleksandar., Barthel R., Nickel D., W. Mauser , Strasser U., Ludwig R., Willems W., Frueh B..153<br />

SOCIO-PSYCHOLOGICAL CONSEQUENCES <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOOD - an Example of Jasa Tomic-<br />

Vuksanovic Gordana, Radivojevic Rados ..................................................................................................154<br />

OVERVIEW <strong>OF</strong> WATER RESOURCES UTILIZATION AND MANAGEMENT IN BULGARIA<br />

Yancheva StIiliana, Temelkova Maria........................................................................................................155


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

FOREWORD<br />

Following the decision at the 22nd Conference in Brno, Czech Republic in 2004, the<br />

23rd Conference of Danube countries on hydrological forecasting and hydrological bases of<br />

water management took place in Belgrade, 28 - 30 August, 2006.<br />

In their over forty years of history, the IHP conferences of the Danube countries have<br />

shown a remarkable consistence, bringing together and building up steady working<br />

relationships between interested experts in hydrology and water resources management of<br />

the entire Danube basin. The scope of the meetings gradually expanded from cooperation in<br />

hydrological forecasting to a more general discourse on the role of hydrology in water<br />

management.<br />

The IHP Conferences of the Danube countries have become an important event in<br />

implementing the strategic plans of the International Hydrological Programme. The current<br />

Sixth Phase of the IHP (2002 - 2007) has the general title “Water Interactions: Systems at<br />

Risk and Social Challenges”. Yet, the discussions within the IHP member states have<br />

already begun to formulate the strategy for the Seventh Phase (2008 - 2013), with the<br />

proposed title “Water dependencies: Systems under Stress and Societal Responses”. Both<br />

titles underline the raising awareness of the global community about the increasing<br />

importance of water for sustainable existence of humankind, and more particularly, the<br />

significance of hydrology as the scientific and professional background for a sage and<br />

balanced management of that invaluable resource of the Planet Earth. The Conference of<br />

Danube countries on hydrological forecasting and hydrological bases of water management<br />

effectively contributes to the global awareness of these processes, as shown in the topics<br />

and themes of the numerous papers contributed by authors from the region.<br />

One of the important achievements of the cooperation of Danube countries in the<br />

fields of hydrology and water resources has been the publication “The Danube and its Basin<br />

– A Hydrological Monograph”, published in four languages (English, German, French and<br />

Russian). The first volume of that monograph was published in 1986. This event has duly<br />

been celebrated at the 23rd Conference, in the presence of authors of the monograph.<br />

As regards to the subjects, the 23rd Conference has essentially maintained the<br />

traditional topics of the preceding conferences. It should be noted, however, that a rather<br />

important modification has been made by expanding the traditional topic on Water Quality<br />

into a more comprehensive topic of Water Quality and Ecohydrological Processes. This title<br />

underlines the increasing importance attached to environmental considerations, reflected<br />

also in the Water Framework Directive of the European Union, which is in actual fact adopted<br />

by all countries of the Danube basin, including also those that formally are not yet members<br />

of the EU. The full list of Conference topics is given below.<br />

A total of 189 contributions have been submitted by participants from all Danube<br />

countries, with a few authors from countries outside the region, but active in Danube - related<br />

subjects. The contributions are attributed to the conference topics as indicated below. The<br />

abstracts of all papers have been printed in the present Proceedings, and the full papers are<br />

reproduced in the attached CD.<br />

President<br />

National IHP Committee of Serbia<br />

Prof. Dr. Milorad Miloradov


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

20 – YEARS <strong>OF</strong> EDITING <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL<br />

MONOGRAPH „<strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER AND ITS BASIN“<br />

I


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

20 – YEARS <strong>OF</strong> EDITING <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL<br />

MONOGRAPH „<strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER AND ITS BASIN“<br />

Andrey Stancik<br />

Prof. Dr Stevan Prohaska<br />

Water Research Indtitute, Nab. Gen. Svobodu 5, 812 49 Bratislava, Slovakia,<br />

alzbeta.stancik@stonline.sk<br />

Jaroslav Černi Institute for the Development of Water Resources, Belgrade,<br />

sada@sezampro.yu, brankica.majkic@jcerni.co.yu<br />

Abstract<br />

The 2006-th year is the 20-th anniversary of the editing the Hydrological Monograph<br />

of „The Danube River Basin and its Tributaries“. The Monograph was a joint work of the<br />

experts from, at that time, eight Danube countries. The publication consists of textual part,<br />

graphs, tables, charts and maps. The main topics are the physical, geographical and water<br />

management characteristics; hydrological regime of Danube and its main tributaries; as well<br />

as hydrological balance in the Danube river basin. This paper indicates the most important<br />

results pertaining the complete catchment and countries that share it. The Hydrological<br />

monograph „The Danube River Basin and its Tributaries“was printed in German and Russian<br />

languages in 1986.<br />

Key words: Monograph, Danube, tributaries, water balance, hydrological regime, physical<br />

characteristics, maps.<br />

Within the activities of the International Hydrological Decade (IHD) UNESCO (1965-<br />

1975) supported regional international cooperation in the field of hydrology. The Yugoslav<br />

National Committee in 1970/1971 gave first suggestion for preparation of a comprehensive<br />

hydrological monograph of the Danube river basin. At the same time, the Working group for<br />

Scientific Hydrology at the Danube Commission was created.<br />

The fist joint meeting of the representatives of eight Danube countries was held in<br />

Budapest 1971. where it was decided to start with preparation and publishing of the<br />

hydrological Monograph of Danube river basin. The following countries and institutions<br />

participated in the activity:<br />

• Federal Republic of Germany – Bavarian Territorial (Regional) Bureau for Water<br />

Management, Munich,<br />

• Austria – Institute for Hydraulics, Water Science and Management, Vienna,<br />

• Czechoslovakia – Water Research Institute, Bratislava,<br />

• Hungary – Research Centre for Water Resources Development, Budapest,<br />

• Yugoslavia – „Jaroslav Černi“ Institute for Development of Water Resources and<br />

Federal hydro meteorological Service, Belgrade,<br />

• Rumania – Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Bucharest,<br />

• Bulgaria – Institute of Hydrology and Meteorology, Sofia,<br />

• Soviet Union - Ukrainian Regional Scientific Research Institute, Kiev.<br />

II


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The Yugoslav IHP - Technical Secretariat from Belgrade directed the international<br />

cooperation between the four countries: Federal Republic of Germany, Austria, Yugoslavia<br />

and Romania, was by<br />

Hungary, Bulgaria, the Soviet Union and Czechoslovakia, which were working within<br />

the working group for scientific hydrology of the Danube basin at the Danube Commission,<br />

jointly with the national committees for International Hydrological program UNESCO, were<br />

coordinated by Czechoslovakia – VUVH Bratislava.<br />

Many experts from the Danube countries have taken part in preparing the first version<br />

of the Monograph. Table 1 shows the names of the main authors from each country.<br />

Table 1. List of involved experts from <strong>THE</strong> danubE countries<br />

Country Coordinators Experts<br />

GER<br />

Germany<br />

H. Schiller<br />

H. Schiller<br />

J. Vedral<br />

R. Fromm<br />

AUS<br />

Austria<br />

O. Behr<br />

J. Reitinger<br />

O. Behr<br />

F. Neuwirth<br />

W. Pruzsinszky<br />

A. Stancik<br />

P. Petrovic<br />

CHS<br />

A. Sikora<br />

A. Hullova<br />

Czechoslovakia<br />

A. Stancik<br />

L. Orge<br />

O. Banacka<br />

S. Krizikova<br />

B. Csermak<br />

M. Domokos<br />

HUN<br />

Hungary<br />

M. Domokos<br />

B. Kardos<br />

D. Karpati-Rado<br />

Gy. Kovacs<br />

J. Sass<br />

S. Prohaska<br />

YUG<br />

S. Jovanovic<br />

M. Andjelic<br />

Yugoslavia<br />

G. Bozic<br />

V. Miloradov<br />

B. Vukicevic<br />

C. Bondar<br />

ROM<br />

C. Bondar<br />

D. Lazarescu<br />

Romania<br />

M. Podani<br />

E. Harbagiu<br />

V. Popovici<br />

T. Panajotov<br />

BUL<br />

T. Panajotov<br />

D. Petschinov<br />

Bulgaria<br />

D. Petschinov<br />

M. Kutschukova<br />

W. Boshinova<br />

L. G. Onufrijenko<br />

A. V. Sherbak<br />

USSR<br />

Soviet Union<br />

A. V. Sherbak<br />

I. I. Volosin<br />

N. G. Galuscenko<br />

N. I. Kononenko<br />

N. W. Litvin<br />

III


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

During the years 1972 – 1973 the coordinators from Bratislava and Belgrade<br />

prepared the common methodology for Hydrological Monograph „The Danube River and its<br />

Basin“. After reviewing and discussing, all eight participating countries adopted this<br />

Methodology. Realization of the methodology began in the year 1974, as a first phase of<br />

cooperation (1974 - 1978) within the framework of IHP Program of UNESCO.<br />

Numerous meeting and work sessions took place during this period. Coordinators<br />

were meeting repeatedly every year. Experts of working group from participated countries<br />

held meetings every two years for consultancy and acceptance of the contributions.<br />

Thus, it is evident that the Hydrological Monograph of Danube River Basin is an<br />

achievement of the joint work of eight Danube countries. For purpose of dissemination of<br />

information, the results have been summarized and issued in the publication „The Danube<br />

and its Basin“. The German and Russian version of the hydrological monograph has been<br />

already printed in 1986.<br />

The Bavarian Territorial (Regional) Bureau for Water Management in Munich printed<br />

monograph in German language (see Fig. 1), while the Ukrainian Regional Scientific<br />

Research Institute in Kiev issued Russian language version (see Fig. 2).<br />

Fig 1<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Fig 2<br />

The publication consists of textual part, graphs, tables, chart format and maps. The<br />

text was given in the three chapters.<br />

I. First Chapter – Physical, Geographical and Water Management Characteristics of<br />

the River basin contains:<br />

1. Geological structure and geo morphological conditions in the Danube Basin<br />

(Upper, Middle and Lower Danube Basin),<br />

2. Soil conditions and vegetation cover,<br />

3. Climate conditions (radiation, air temperature, precipitation, evaporation and<br />

wind),<br />

4. Hydrographic properties (river system)<br />

i. The Danube River<br />

- From Source of Danube to Regensburg<br />

- From Regensburg to Bratislava<br />

- From Bratislava to Budapest<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

- From Budapest to Iron Gate<br />

- From Iron Gate to Silistra<br />

- From Silistra to the Black Sea Estuary.<br />

ii. The right bank and left bank tributaries<br />

iii. The natural and artificial lakes<br />

5. Historical Development of the River construction works and water engineering<br />

i. Navigation<br />

ii. Regulation of Danube Channel<br />

iii. Construction of flood control dams<br />

iv. Retention reservoirs<br />

II. Second Chapter – Hydrological Regime of Danube and its main Tributaries<br />

1. History of hydrological observation on the Danube and its tributaries<br />

2. Water stage regime<br />

3. Flow regime<br />

a) Annual flows characteristics - mean annual flow, variation and<br />

skewness of flow; discharge duration curves; probability of annual<br />

flows)<br />

b) Maximum flow ( peak discharges, probability of maximum annual flow)<br />

c) Low flow (minimum annual flow, probability of minimum flows)<br />

III. Third Chapter – Hydrological Balance in Danube River Basin<br />

1. Basic Principles<br />

a) Isoline maps of elements of water balance<br />

b) Equation of water balance (balance components)<br />

2. Definition of the balance units in Danube River basin<br />

3. Evaluation of the balance components for each balance units<br />

4. The runoff coefficient calculation<br />

5. Comparison of the results of runoff calculation (balance equation and isolines<br />

maps)<br />

6. Spatial distribution of precipitation, evaporation and runoff within the Danube<br />

Basin.<br />

7. Water Balance in the Danube Countries<br />

Basic properties of the hydrologic regime (water stage, discharge) were defined at 50<br />

gauging stations in the Danube basin for a continuous period (1931-1970):<br />

• On the Danube River 25 gauging stations;<br />

• On main tributaries 25 gauging stations.<br />

The results of calculations were presented in tabular and graphical form, the number<br />

of which in specific chapters of the Monograph is:<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Table 2. Numbers of tables and graphs in the Monograph<br />

Chapter Tables Graphs<br />

1 7 3<br />

2 12 185<br />

3 6 0<br />

Total 25 188<br />

Part II of the Hydrologic Monograph contains the most important results that are<br />

related to the gauging stations as follows:<br />

II/0 - List of the considered gauging stations (in alphabetic order);<br />

II/1 - Characteristic data on water stage and discharge in the Danube basin;<br />

II/2 - The maximum and minimum seasonal discharge;<br />

II/3 - Mean monthly and annual flow;<br />

II/4 - Probability of mean monthly and annual flow;<br />

II/5 - Maximum discharge;<br />

II/6 - Minimum mean daily discharge;<br />

II/7 - Maximum mean daily discharge.<br />

The Monograph’s appendix contains important maps that are related to all three<br />

chapters for the complete catchment as follows:<br />

I/1 - Topographic map (scale 1:2.000.000);<br />

I/2 - Geological map (scale 1:2.000.000);<br />

I/3 - Map of vegetation cover (scale 1:2.000.000);<br />

I/4 - Map of annual mean air temperature (scale 1:2.000.000);<br />

III/1 - Map of mean annual sums of precipitation (scale 1:2.000.000);<br />

III/2 - Map of mean annual evaporation (scale 1:2.000.000);<br />

III/3 - Map of mean annual depth of runoff (scale 1:2.000.000).<br />

The summary assessment of the water balance in the Danube catchment is as<br />

follows:<br />

Drainage area 817.000 km 2<br />

Average annual sum of precipitation 816 mm/year<br />

Average annual sum of evapotranspiration 552 mm/year<br />

Average annual depth of runoff 264 mm/year<br />

Average annual discharge 6841 m 3 /s<br />

Average annual unit-area runoff 8, 37 l/s/km 2<br />

During the period when the Monograph was realized, there were eight countries with<br />

a significant share of the Danube basin (GER, AUS, CHS, HUN, YUG, ROM BUL, USSR)<br />

and four countries that participate less than 1% in the Danube catchment (POL, ITA, SWI,<br />

ALB)..<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Table 3. Available water in the Danube countries<br />

Area Relative part "Own" surface water<br />

N<br />

Country<br />

total*<br />

Percent<br />

Country Runoff<br />

In the Danube<br />

of the Unit-<br />

in the from the<br />

Danube in the<br />

total area<br />

Danube Danube<br />

basin country<br />

Danube runoff<br />

basin catchment<br />

flow<br />

o<br />

Symbol Country<br />

km 2<br />

km 2<br />

% % m 3 /s % l/s/km²<br />

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10<br />

1 GER Germany 248.687 59.634 23,98 7,30 785 11,48 13,16<br />

2 AUS Austria 83.855 80.731 86,27 9,88 1536 22,45 19,03<br />

3 CHS Czechoslovakia 127.896 73.040 57,11 8,94 498 7,28 6,82<br />

4 HUN Hungary 93.030 93.030 100,00 11,39 176 2,57 1,89<br />

5 YUG Yugoslavia 255.904 183.210 71,62 22,42 2039 29,81 11,13<br />

6 ROM Romania 237.500 232.240 97,79 28,43 1177 17,21 5,07<br />

7 BUL Bulgaria 110.912 48.178 43,44 5,90 232 3,39 4,82<br />

8 USSR Soviet Union 22.402.200 44.267 0,20 5,42 330 4,82 7,45<br />

9 SWI Switzerland 41.293 1.819 4,41 0,22 44 0,64 24,19<br />

10 ITA Italy 301.278 471 0,16 0,06 17 0,25 36,09<br />

11 POL Poland 312.683 270 0,09 0,03 3 0,04 11,11<br />

12 ALB Albania 28.748 101 0,35 0,01 4 0,06 39,60<br />

1-<br />

12<br />

The Danube basin 817.000 100.00 6841 100,00 8,37<br />

Table 4. Components of the water balance<br />

Balance components<br />

Symbol<br />

Precipitation<br />

P<br />

Evapotranspiration<br />

E<br />

Runoff<br />

Depth<br />

R<br />

Balance<br />

error<br />

Runoff<br />

coefficient<br />

mm mm mm % αj<br />

GER 962 528 415 +1.98 0.43<br />

AUS 1.098 508 600 -0.91 0.55<br />

CHS 719 513 215 -1.25 0.30<br />

HUN 609 539 60 +1.64 0.10<br />

YUG 928 606 351 -3.12 0.38<br />

ROM 752 557 160 +4.65 0.21<br />

BUL 661 487 152 +3.33 0.23<br />

USSR 748 509 235 +0.53 0.31<br />

SWI 1.136 358 768 +0.88 0.68<br />

ITA 1.425 391 1139 -7.37 0.80<br />

POL 959 525 372 +6.46 0.39<br />

ALB 1.875 494 1292 +4.75 0.69<br />

Average in the<br />

Danube basin<br />

816 547 264 +0.60 0.32<br />

VIII


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

From the presented results, it can be concluded that in 1986:<br />

• The largest parts of the Danube drainage belonged to Romania (28,43%),<br />

Yugoslavia (22,42%), Hungary (11,39%) and Austria (8,88%);<br />

• The largest part of the Danube flow originated from Yugoslavia (29,81%), Austria<br />

(22,25%), Romania (17,21%) and Germany (11,48%);<br />

• The largest rainfall was observed in the upper part of the catchment: Albania<br />

1.875 mm, Italy 1.425 mm, Switzerland 1.136 mm and Austria 1.098 mm;<br />

• As a consequence of large rainfall, the biggest unit-area runoff occurs in the<br />

mountainous regions i.e. at the upper parts of the catchment: Albania (39,60<br />

l/s/km 2 ), Italy (36,09 l/s/km 2 ), Switzerland (24.19 l/s/km 2 ) and Austria (19.03<br />

l/s/km 2 ).;<br />

• The regions that experience very low unit-area runoff can be found in the flat parts<br />

of the catchment: Hungary (1,89 l/s/km 2 ), Bulgaria (4,82 l/s/km 2 ), Romania (5.07<br />

l/s/km 2 ) and Czechoslovakia (6,82 l/s/km 2 );<br />

• The greatest evapotranspiration takes place in Yugoslavia 606 mm, Romania 557<br />

mm, Hungary 539 mm and Germany 528 mm.<br />

• In a long-term average, from the complete catchment towards the Black Sea runs<br />

about 32 % of the rainfall;<br />

• The highest coefficient of runoff within the Danube basin takes place in Italy<br />

(0,80), Albania (0,69), Switzerland (0,68) and Austria (0,55);<br />

• Region with the lowest coefficient of runoff is Hungary, from which only 10 % of<br />

total rainfall is converted into the river flow. Romania and Bulgaria can also be<br />

characterized as low-flow regions with runoff coefficients 0,21 and 0,23<br />

respectively..<br />

The Danube drainage is today shared among 19 countries, which is the consequence<br />

of the “democratic” changes that took place in the region at the end of the last and beginning<br />

of this century. The picture of the water balance in the catchment has completely changed as<br />

well. We sincerely believe that the new water balance will be produced in a new Monograph<br />

of the Danube Drainage. Let us hope that the younger hydrologists will realize this task, and<br />

that we are not going to wait 20 years for completion of this work.<br />

IX


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

USE ENSEMBLE PRECIPITATION FORECASTS FOR HYDROLOGICAL PURPOSES<br />

Bonta I.<br />

Hungarian Meteorological Service H1518 Budapest, P. O. Box 32, Hungary<br />

bonta.i@met.hu<br />

Almost a quarter (23 %) of the total area of Hungary can be influenced by floods. Hungary’s<br />

endangerment in terms of floods can be compared only to the Netherlands’ in Europe. Therefore, the<br />

precipitation forecast for hydrological purposes plays important role in Hungary. The available<br />

meteorological analysis and forecasting tools and results at HMS are linked to the flood forecasting<br />

system. In this study we investigated the performance of the ensemble forecasts and the deterministic<br />

version of ECMWF model during heavy precipitation. Taking all cases into account our verifications<br />

show, that the ensemble mean of precipitation forecasts generally produces better results, than the<br />

deterministic model. Taking those cases into account when heavy precipitation occurred, the results<br />

are not so clear. The first case shows, that in mountainous regions the deterministic model, due to its<br />

higher resolution provided better results not only for the first 1-3 days, but up to 6-7 days as well,<br />

because this version is more able to capture the orographic effect. In the second case in contrast to<br />

the deterministic ECMWF forecast 48-hour before the start of the event, which predicted the large<br />

amount of precipitation too far east, the EPS was more successful in predicting the area of the event.<br />

Keywords: large amount of precipitation, performance of the deterministic and the EPS forecasts, big<br />

uncertainty regarding precipitation amount<br />

_________________<br />

FLOODS FORECASTING IN TRANSCARPATHIANS REGION WITH USE <strong>OF</strong> RAINFALL-RUN<strong>OF</strong>F<br />

MODELS<br />

Boyko V. 1 , Boyko O. 2 , Platonova N. 3 ,<br />

1 Ukrainian Hydrometeorogical Center, 6, Zolotovoritska str. , Kyiv-34, Ukraine,<br />

e-mal: vicbojko@ukrweather.kiev.ua or bojko@ukrweather.kiev.ua<br />

2 Institute of Mathematical Machines and System problems, National Academy of Science of Ukraine,<br />

42, prospect Glushkova, 03187, Kyiv-187, Ukraine,<br />

e-mal: alexb@env.com.ua<br />

3 Transcarpathians Center of Hydrometeorogy, 5, Slovjanska naberegna, Uzhgorod, Ukraine, e-mal:<br />

office@gmc.uzhgorod.ua<br />

Hydrometeorological conditions of two high and catastrophic floods formation on the<br />

Transcarpathian rivers in November 1998 and March 2001are considered, the information on methods<br />

of floods forecast in Ukraine and their use for the forecast of the chosen floods in operative conditions<br />

is given. Also the basic results of the international projects on flood management in Transcarpathian<br />

and applications of model Mike11 are stated.<br />

Keywords: flood, forecast, rainfall-runoff model, Mike11, advance time.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

OPERATIVE HYDROLOGICAL FORECAST IN WINTER SEASON – FLOODS CAUSED BY SNOW<br />

MELTING<br />

Březková Lucie, Soukalová Eva<br />

Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Kroftova 43, 616 67 Brno, Czech Republic<br />

lucie.brezkova@chmi.cz, eva.soukalova@chmi.cz<br />

Since 1999 the forecasting hydrological model HYDROG have been daily operated on the<br />

regional office Brno of the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute. The rainfall-runoff model HYDROG is<br />

designed for the simulation, the operational hydrological forecast and the operational control of water<br />

runoff from the river basins with reservoirs. HYDROG was for the first time applied to operational<br />

hydrological forecasting during the outstanding runoff situation in March 2005 but especially in March<br />

and April 2006, when the strong rising discharges occured due to the precipitation and the snow cover<br />

melting. In the Dyje and Morava catchments the third flood protection degrees were exceeded and the<br />

peak discharges reached up the values with return period of 100 years. The hydrological forecasts<br />

were calculated on the basis of the precipitation and temperature forecasts of the ALADIN and<br />

ECMWF numerical models. By means of HYDROG was recommended the convenient water<br />

management on the Vranov reservoir on the Dyje river.<br />

Keywords: hydrological forecasting model, winter flood event, snow cover, precipitation<br />

_________________<br />

SYSTEM FOR SEVEN-DAY LOW FLOW FORECAST DEVELOPED BY <strong>THE</strong> RECESSION LIMB <strong>OF</strong><br />

<strong>THE</strong> HYDROGRAPH<br />

Brilly M., Štravs L., Rusjan S., Petan S., Padežnik M. & Vidmar A.<br />

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Civil Engineering,<br />

Jamova 2, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia, mbrilly@fgg.uni-lj.si<br />

At the University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering, a hydrological model<br />

was derived by using the decision trees machine learning method and analysis of the recorded<br />

recession streamflow data. The recession 'constant' k was modelled as being a function of the flow<br />

rate at which the 7-day low flow forecast is made and the decrease of the flow rate from the previous<br />

day. Low flow forecasting models for most of the Sava River's tributaries in Slovenia were developed<br />

and the verification of the results yields really good results and improved accuracy in comparison to<br />

low flow forecasting models in which a single numerical value is used as the recession 'constant'. The<br />

system consists of nine water-gauging stations connected by way of cellular phones with a computer<br />

situated in the Hydropower Company. The water gauging stations are equipped also by solar panels<br />

for power supply. Data transmission is provided automatically, daily or on request. The system was<br />

established in autumn 2005 and has suggested useful results.<br />

Keywords: low water forecast, Sava River<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

FLOODS IN BULGARIA AND BULGARIAN HYDROLOGY IN 2005<br />

Prof. DSc. George Gergov,<br />

National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Sofia, Bulgaria<br />

Email: georgi.gergov@meteo.bg<br />

A long sequence of large flood waves hit Bulgaria in 2005 with lots of damages and even<br />

victims. They call the hydrological interest on the reasons and periodicity of the events, but not much,<br />

because the scientific activities on that subject have been cut long time ago. Due to this the main flood<br />

characteristics haven’t been determined properly and they are still not reliable.<br />

As a basic knowledge we distinguish two main reasons for the flood formation. The first being<br />

the natural interaction of the former reasons have their origin in Earth-Space interrelationships,<br />

characterized by randomness and periodicity of a high degree. Very new studies on the<br />

meteorological abnormalities all over the Northern hemisphere in 2005 already tell us that they are not<br />

separate, local phenomena, but they are linked in between, being a part of a Global warming<br />

tendency.<br />

A part of the natural reasons we consider the hydrological features of the watersheds in the<br />

flash flood formation. They are very dynamical and thus they affect the way of transformation “rainrunoff”.<br />

Its efficiency depends on the preliminary watershed saturation and coefficient of runoff.<br />

The other reason of flood formation are the variable and diverse human activities.<br />

The paper deals with the unsatisfactory level of scientific works on that topic, though it is of a<br />

great significance for the state economy. Most of them are ceased since many years. Some practical<br />

suggestions to overcome them are being discussed, e.g. time of flood propagation along the river<br />

network; watershed saturation index, rainfall measurements and forecasts etc.<br />

_________________<br />

INOVATION <strong>OF</strong> FLOOD WARNING AND FORECASTING SYSTEM IN <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK REPUBLIC<br />

Hajtášová Katarína, Kyselová Daniela, Martinka Karol, Poprendová Katarína<br />

Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovakia<br />

e-mail: katarina.hajtasova@SHMÚ.sk, daniela.kyselova@SHMÚ.sk, karol.martinka@SHMÚ.sk,<br />

katarina.poprendova@SHMÚ.sk<br />

The disastrous floods in central Europe during the late 1990´s, which also affected Slovakia<br />

and caused serious material and even human loses, brought the need to innovate also existing flood<br />

forecasting and warning system. In January 2000, Slovak Government adopted “Flood Protection<br />

Program in the Slovak Republic by the Year 2010“, which consists of several projects. „Flood Warning<br />

and Forecasting System of the Slovak Republic“ otherwise POVAPSYS, which is the abbreviation of<br />

the Slovak name of the project, has been delegated to the Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute<br />

(SHMÚ). The aim of the project is to improve the level of meteorological and hydrological service<br />

outputs in case of floods affecting larger territorial units and for local flood events (flash floods).<br />

The objectives of POVAPSYS are:<br />

• Substantial increase of the quality of life of the population in flood prone areas in Slovakia.<br />

• Protection of property and health of the local population in flood prone areas in Slovakia.<br />

• Well-being by granting to the population more safety against flooding.<br />

• Contribution to the sustainable development of the flood-prone regions.<br />

• Compliance with the Water Framework Directive of the European Commission (WFD),<br />

and forecasting systems of WMO (World Meteorological Organization) and ICPDR<br />

(International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River).<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The implementation of the measure includes:<br />

• Completion and upgrading of the existing data acquisition system, terrestrial<br />

meteorological and hydrological stations, satellite data receiver, weather radars, lightning<br />

system, telemetry system, all with associated software.<br />

• Integrated Information System. Software and hardware to run the flood forecasting shell<br />

which manages the data flow between all components (data acquisition, database, remote<br />

telemetry system, forecasting models, web servers etc, etc.).<br />

• Database Systems.<br />

• Internet portal to deliver data and information to the relevant stakeholders.<br />

• Meteorological, hydrologic and hydraulic forecasting models. The emphasis will be on the<br />

development and integration of local models where possible.<br />

• Upgrading of GIS, as necessary.<br />

• Staff training: necessary in all above measures components.<br />

The objectives of the measure will be achieved by:<br />

• Increasing the lead-time of forecasts and warnings, this will give more time to the relevant<br />

agencies, authorities, and people in general to prepare for evacuation and other<br />

measures, such as (temporary) flood defences.<br />

• Providing more accurate and more reliable forecasts and warnings.<br />

• Providing for more forecasts per time period and for more locations.<br />

• Providing results and data on the internet or directly to users; such, that more agencies,<br />

authorities and people can be reached and warned.<br />

The expected outputs of the POVAPSYS project are:<br />

• Nation-wide warning and forecasting system.<br />

• A new method for communication and information flow.<br />

• A model structure coherent with Austria, the Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary, Poland<br />

and Ukraine.<br />

• Local warning systems.<br />

In reality, the POVAPSYS project was launched in summer 2003, when the SHMÚ received<br />

a portion of the requisite financial means from the state budget and this paper presents the up-to-date<br />

state of the POVAPSYS project.<br />

Keywords: Flood warning and forecasting system, POVAPSYS, Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute,<br />

hydrological modelling<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROLOGICAL SCENARIOS <strong>OF</strong> CHANGES IN <strong>THE</strong> MEAN ANNUAL AND MONTHLY RUN<strong>OF</strong>F<br />

IN SLOVAKIA<br />

Hlavčová Kamila 1 , Szolgay Ján 1 , Kohnová Silvia 1 , Parajka Juraj 2<br />

1 Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Slovak University of Technology,<br />

Radlinského 11, 813 68 Bratislava, Slovak Republic,<br />

kamila.hlavcova@stuba.sk, jan.szolgay@stuba.sk, silvia.kohnova@stuba.sk,<br />

2 Institute for Hydraulic and Water Resources Engineering, Vienna University of Technology, Karlsplatz<br />

13/223, A-1040 Vienna, Austria, parajka@hydro.tuwien.ac.at, {on leave from: Institute of Hydrology,<br />

Slovak Academy of Sciences, Bratislava, Slovakia}<br />

The potential impact of climate change on the long-term mean annual and the mean monthly<br />

runoff in Slovakia was evaluated. Pilot basins were chosen as representative regions for various types<br />

of annual and seasonal runoff distribution and existing or future water use. They are located along two<br />

transects from north to south and west to east across Slovakia. An empirical grid-based and a<br />

conceptual hydrological balance model were used for modelling changes in runoff with annual and<br />

monthly time steps. Both models were calibrated using data from a standard period 1951-1980, which<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

is considered to be representative of the distribution of runoff in unchanged conditions. Two different<br />

climate change scenarios were used in the study. One scenario was downscaled from the outputs of<br />

the GISS Global Circulation Model (GCM); the other represents analogies to warmer climatic periods<br />

in the past. The runoff change scenarios for selected basins in the future time horizons of 2010, 2030<br />

and 2075 show a decrease in the long-term mean annual runoff and changes in the seasonal runoff<br />

distribution.<br />

Keywords: hydrological balance model, climate change scenarios, changes in runoff.<br />

_________________<br />

FLOOD FORECASTING & FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT IN <strong>THE</strong> BAVARIAN DANUBE BASIN –<br />

FIRST RESULTS <strong>OF</strong> EC FP6 INTEGRATED PROJECT “PREVIEW”<br />

Krahe Peter 1 , Rachimow Claudia 1<br />

1 Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde, Postfach 20 02 53, D-56002 Koblenz,<br />

krahe@bafg.de<br />

Tinz Marek 2 , Holzhauer Vera 2<br />

2 Infoterra GmbH, Claude-Dornier-Strasse, D-88090 Immenstaad,<br />

Marek.Tinz@infoterra-global.com<br />

Assmann André 3<br />

3 geomer GmbH, Im Breitspiel 11B, D-69126 Heidelberg,<br />

aassm@geomer.de<br />

Bliefernicht Jan 4 , Ebert Christian 4<br />

4 Institut für Wasserbau der Universität Stuttgart, Lehrstuhl für Hydrologie und<br />

Geohydrologie,Pfaffenwaldring 61, D-70550 Stuttgart, Jan.<br />

Bliefernicht@iws.uni-stuttgart.de<br />

Daamen Karlheinz 5<br />

5 Landesamt für Umwelt, Lazarettstr. 67, D-80636 München,<br />

karl-heinz.daamen@lfu.bayern.de<br />

Kunz Michael 6 , Schipper Janus Willem 6<br />

6 Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung ,Arbeitsgruppe "Wettergefahren"<br />

Uni Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Kaiserstr. 12, D-76128 Karlsruhe,<br />

michael.kunz@imk.fzk.de<br />

Meinel Gotthard 7 , Hennersdorf Joerg 7<br />

7 Leibniz-Institut für ökologische Raumentwicklung, e.V., Weberplatz 1, D-01217 Dresden,<br />

G.Meinel@ioer.de<br />

The Global Monitoring of Environment and Security (GMES) initiative aims at designing and<br />

implementing an European capacity for the provision and use of operational information. In 2005 the<br />

Integrated Project “PREVIEW” has started. Its objective is to develop, at the European scale,<br />

operational GMES information services for risk management in support of European Civil Protection<br />

Units and local/regional authorities. PREVIEW covers "risk areas" spanning from fire, flood, storms<br />

and earthquakes to industrial risks. The consortium consists of 58 European partners gathering<br />

required technical skills from scientific community, operators and industry as well as relevant expertise<br />

of end-users bodies. All phases of risk management cycle – prevention, preparedness, response and<br />

recovery – are covered in a consistent and harmonized approach, allowing the exchange of<br />

information between the different operators and actors involved. PREVIEW GMES services are<br />

supposed to build on integrating Earth Observation data, in-situ measurements, ancillary data, new<br />

modelling and, last but not least, recent research and technologies results. Services will be designed,<br />

7


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

developed, demonstrated and validated under pre-operational conditions. Seven German partners<br />

work on improving "Short Range plain flood forecasting & flood risk management" in the Bavarian part<br />

of the Danube catchment. The main objective is to develop, demonstrate and validate a prototype of<br />

an integrated Flood Risk Management Service, supporting flood prevention, forecast and alert as well<br />

as crisis/post-crisis management. The proposed service portfolio comprises flood risk mapping, prewarning<br />

and flood forecast, flood event analysis and damage assessment. Key aspects are the<br />

integration and operational provision of information for better support of decision makers, and the<br />

development and application of meteorological as well as hydrological ensemble flood forecasting<br />

approaches, and their appropriate use in flood management. The benefits of addressing the<br />

uncertainties which are inherently present in the operational flood forecasting chain by this<br />

methodology are studied in close cooperation with end-users ranging from operational flood warning<br />

centres, water resources managers as well as rescue services. The natural hazard floods are covered<br />

by four tasks subdivided in forecasting of flash floods, short term flood forecasting and managing of<br />

plain floods, medium range forecasting (early warning), and Scandinavian floods as well. A prototyp<br />

consisting of the main components of a local up to regional integrated flood risk management system<br />

will be developed on he basis of the requirements and organisational structures of the Bavarian part<br />

of the Upper Danube.<br />

Keywords: GMES, integrated flood risk management, ensemble flood forecasting, flood risk maps,<br />

flood information system<br />

_________________<br />

REAL-TIME HYDROLOGICAL INFORMATION SYSTEM IN SLOVAKIA – PRESENT DAY AND<br />

FUTURE IMPROVING<br />

Lešková D., Babiaková G., Wendlová V., Hollá M.<br />

Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovakia<br />

e-mail: Danica.Leskova@shmu.sk, Gabriela.Babiakova@shmu.sk; Valeria.Wendlova@shmu.sk,<br />

Michaela.Holla@shmu.sk<br />

The contribution contains description state and production process of information and hydroforecasting<br />

system in the Slovak Republic. Coordination of service is concerned in Bratislava<br />

(Department of Integrated forecasting and warning office). Branches of office in selected place<br />

corresponding to geographical region are responsible for control of hydrological situation in its area.<br />

Monitoring of hydrological data is determining by physical-geographical condition of Slovakia,<br />

which respects the mentioned regional units. Monitoring is provided by 386408 water gauge stations<br />

of which174 are equipped with automatic devices with data and voices output. The connection is<br />

safeguarded by mobile and unified telecommunication system. Collecting and evaluated data there<br />

are processed four specialized offices, every 6 hours per day providing evaluation of hydrological<br />

situation at 79 hydro-prognostic stations. The other ones with remote data transfer are particularly<br />

observed during floods. Every automatic water gauge station and precipitation station has self-alert<br />

system. In the case of reaching or overloading define water stage, intensity of rain respectively; there<br />

is transmitted alert via SMS to hydrologist on duty. Hydrologist solves the situation and processes it in<br />

the legal framework. During the floods, the operation hydrologists almost continuously monitor the<br />

development of flood situation, prepares regularly reports about it, and forecasts for near future<br />

according to demands of users – state bodies responsible for flood protection, Water Management<br />

Enterprise, hydro energetic sector, mass media, public. During the winter season Department<br />

processed and issued once week information on accumulation of water in the snow cover for 13 water<br />

reservoirs and 14 measurement profiles. To the activity of department belongs also the exchange of<br />

operational hydrological information on transboundary rivers.<br />

Keywords: automatic station, export data, import data, flood, forecasting, warning<br />

8


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

STOCHASTIC MODELLING <strong>OF</strong> TIME-SPACE FLUCTUATIONS UNDER MODERN CLIMATE<br />

CHANGE<br />

Lobanov Vladimir A., Lobanova Helen V.,<br />

State Hydrological Institute, St.Petersburg, Russia,<br />

lobanov@EL6309.spb.edu<br />

The most positions of the existing stochastic hydrology are based on a principle of stationarity<br />

and homogeneity under realization of frequency analysis and computation of design hydrological<br />

characteristics. Modern changing conditions lead to non-stationarity of hydrological characteristics<br />

caused by modern climate change and direct man’s impact in river basins. From other side<br />

discoveries of complex natural fluctuations became more important for understanding of inter<br />

influences of “natural” and “anthropogenic” dynamics. Stochastic structure of time-space fluctuations<br />

of hydrometeorological characteristics is very complex because of a superposition of the processes of<br />

different time scales: intra-daily, intraannual, interannual, decadal, centural, etc., which form an<br />

inhomogeneity of observed records. For decision of this problem the basic grounds of the theory of<br />

dynamic-stochastic hydrology have been developed, as well as a general model for joint description of<br />

time-space fluctuations. This model includes three main kinds of simulation: intra-annual model, model<br />

of long-term fluctuations and spatial model. The particular methods have been elaborated for<br />

realization of each model. In the case of stochastic model new parameters of dynamics have been<br />

suggested for a determination of design values. Principle of monitoring and re-computation of design<br />

characteristics was introduced. Some examples illustrate the application of developed methodology<br />

and methods.<br />

Keywords: stochastic hydrology, stationarity, homogeneity, long-term fluctuations, model.<br />

_________________<br />

EXPANSION <strong>OF</strong> VOLUME <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FORECASTING PRODUCTION IN <strong>THE</strong> RIVER BASIN BY<br />

APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> LOCAL MA<strong>THE</strong>MATICAL MODELS<br />

Dг. О. O. Luk'yanets<br />

Ukrainian Research Hydrometeorological Institute<br />

Pr. Nauky, 37, Kyiv 02028 Ukraine<br />

Kyiv National Taras Shevchenko University<br />

e-mail: luko15_06@ukr.net<br />

Considering constant threat from floods, the Carpathian region requires attention concerning<br />

increase of a level of informative ability of the hydrological notification service. The decision of this<br />

problem can be provided through creation of the basin forecasting systems based on mathematical<br />

modeling of processes of the runoff formation.<br />

On an example of the Tisza basin are considered scientifically-methodical bases of creation of<br />

the basin forecasting systems - applications of mathematical models of the runoff formation as bases<br />

of methodical base of the system and its functional components. Heterogeneity of landscape and<br />

hydrometeorological conditions is considered in the system through spatial structure, which consists of<br />

objects of three levels. The important part of the forecasting system is local models, which are created<br />

on the basis of mathematical modeling of the floods. Owing to the application of such system arises an<br />

opportunity to capture with this forecasting production all territory of the basin and to detail it in<br />

temporal and spatial aspects, including for the catchments, which have been not studied in the<br />

hydrological attitude.<br />

Thus, the methodical base of the forecasting system consists of universal models of the rain<br />

and rainfall and snowmelt runoff formation and also derivative of them - local models. In the basic<br />

models are considered features of the runoff formation from the mountain catchments. By means of<br />

9


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

four local models it was possible to detail discharge variation forecasting, having captured also small<br />

catchments in the head of the right tributaries of the Tisza.<br />

I. With use of the local model is carried out short-term forecasting of the runoff course for the Tisza<br />

tributaries with earliness 8-24 h. in case of absence of the detailed hydrometeorological information.<br />

In a basis of the scheme is taken the account of two factors - dumping of water from the channel<br />

network and its increment owing to a rain or snowmelt. In the model are used parameters of the<br />

influence functions, which are outstanding for universal model of the runoff formation.<br />

II. Local model for short-term forecasting of the course of discharges/water levels for the Ukrainian<br />

stretch of the Tisza (earliness 24-88 h.) is based on the account of the distribution of water masses<br />

on length of the river and intensity of inflow of water from its right tributaries with earliness 10-12 h.<br />

III. The local model is used also for the forecasting of the maximal discharges/water levels for the small<br />

rivers of the Tisza basin from the catchments 150-400 km 2 in 21 ranges. Parameters of the model<br />

are certain by modeling of floods on universal model of the runoff formation. Forecasting is carried<br />

out gradually for 2-3 steps in process of receipt of the information about precipitations.<br />

IV. In a basis of local model for long-term forecasting of the spring runoff characteristics (depth/volumes<br />

of the runoff, maximal discharges and water levels) with earliness of 20-50 days for four possible<br />

weather situations is taken parameters of universal model of the rainfall and snowmelt runoff,<br />

generalized on 10-days for 5 high-altitude zones. There is the opportunity to specify preliminary given<br />

out forecasts.<br />

The mathematical models involved in the system allow providing processes of the runoff<br />

formation with the purpose of increase in earliness of forecasts and expansion of the forecasting<br />

production volume in the river basin.<br />

Keywords: mathematical model, local model, forecasting system, flood, catchment<br />

_________________<br />

DEPENDENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> OPTIMAL WATERSHED MODEL COMPLEXITY ON TEMPORAL<br />

RESOLUTION<br />

Mićović Zoran<br />

BC Hydro, 6911 Southpoint Drive (B02), Burnaby, BC, Canada, V3N 4X8,<br />

zoran.micovic@bchydro.com<br />

The “optimal” model complexity is defined as the minimum watershed model structure required<br />

for realistic representation of runoff processes. This paper examines the effects of model complexity at<br />

different time scales, daily and hourly. Two watershed models with structures of different complexity<br />

were constructed and their capability to simulate runoff from a watershed was evaluated. Both models<br />

were tested on the same watershed using identical meteorological input, thereby assuring that any<br />

difference between model outputs is due only to their model structure. It is demonstrated that at a daily<br />

time scale, both models performed equally well, implying that optimal complexity was achieved by the<br />

simpler model structure. The model produced good results over a period of 28 years of continuous<br />

simulation. However, this simpler model was inadequate when tested on an hourly time scale due to<br />

greater non-linear effects, especially when modelling high intensity rainfall events. Therefore the<br />

hourly simulation benefited from the more complex model structure. The presented results show that<br />

optimal watershed model complexity depends on temporal resolution, namely the simulation period<br />

and the computational time step. It was shown that certain process representations and model<br />

parameters that appeared unimportant during the long-term simulation had significant effects on the<br />

short-term extreme event model simulation.<br />

Keywords: watershed model; model complexity; runoff simulation; temporal resolution.<br />

10


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> SIMULATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOODS PROPAGATION ON <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER BETWEEN 376<br />

KM AND 863 KM IN 1999, 2000, 2005 AND 2006<br />

Eng. NEICU Serban<br />

NIHWM Bucuresti-Ploiesti road no. 97<br />

e-mail: serban.neicu@hidro.ro<br />

This paper shortly presents: mathematical calculation models used for the simulation of water<br />

propagation in steady and unsteady regime on the Danube River, the topobathimetric base used,<br />

issues raised by the existence of certain different topographical reference systems (the Baltic Sea, the<br />

Adriatic Sea, the Black Sea Sulina and the Black Sea 75), as well as the effects of the morphological<br />

changes of the Danube River flood plain on the levels recorded at the stage gauges.<br />

The calibration of the runoff model regime is made based on the simulation of propagation and<br />

composing of daily mean discharges from 1999 and 2000. The verification is made on the floods from<br />

April 2005 and April-May 2006.<br />

The results of this paper are: rating curves, level and mean daily discharges hydrographs<br />

calculated and recorded at Romanian and Bulgarian hydrometric stations, as well as mean daily<br />

discharges hydrographs recorded on left-bank tributaries, upstream the confluence with the Danube<br />

River, in 1999, 2000 and April 2006.<br />

Keywords: flow, hydraulics, dikes, damages, rating curve, scenarios, software pakage,<br />

calibration<br />

_________________<br />

SYSTEM <strong>OF</strong> WARNING AND PROTECTION IN REAL TIME AGAINST FLOODINGS<br />

Niţescu Eftimie 1 , Popescu Ştefan 1 , Chiorescu Esmeralda 1 , Dăscăliţa Dan 1 ,<br />

Toma Daniel 1<br />

1 “Technical University Gh.Asachi” of Iasi, Department of Hydroamelioration and<br />

Environment , Blvd. D. Mangeron 67 Iasi , 700050, Romania,<br />

eftimienitescu@yahoo.com<br />

As a result of the climate changes recorded within the last decade, occurrences of<br />

meteorological phenomena such as flooding have considerably increased. These floods have become<br />

more and more frequent in Romania as well as in other European countries but also in the other<br />

continents, in spite of the hydrotechnical works of defense made for preventing them ( correction of<br />

channels for rivers, darning accumulation).<br />

In these conditions, the opportunity to introduce some new technologies of defence and quick<br />

intervention against floods, which should diminish or avoid their consequences (social –economic<br />

losses or fauna and flora losses) is obvious.<br />

Analysing the actual technologies of defense and quick intervention in case of floods we can<br />

observe the lack of technical progress both on national scale as well as in other more economically<br />

developed countries.<br />

Studies and analysis made concerning the flood phenomena in the country and especially in<br />

the hydrographic pool of Siret have revealed the necessity to elaborate a coherent system of defence<br />

and quick intervention, which should be applied in the most frequent cases of floods ( in 55% of them<br />

the excess is less than 0.50 m).<br />

To find reliable and efficency measures of protection for a given situation so that the costs of<br />

this intervention be paid back completely it is necessary to make an informatical sub-system which<br />

should answer in real time to the following functions:<br />

11


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

• the forecast of the flash flood hydrographer on the basis of recorded precipitations;<br />

• the forecast of the charge curve of water in interesting sections for protection;<br />

• the forecast of distribution in time of flash flood at the sections to protect;<br />

• comparison for marks of water level (allocated by help of a charge curve of water ) with<br />

marks of shore and dike for protection;<br />

• definition of red lines (their length and position in plan ) on which flood of water is<br />

expected;<br />

• definition of height of water layer.<br />

• Evidently the speed of execution of protective works plays an essential role. The present<br />

technologies for over-raising banks and dikes in the red area are grieved by shortcomings<br />

as: the insufficient degree of mechanization, the necessity of a numerous working force,<br />

often including weakly qualified personnel.<br />

A new technology has been developed which uses the flexible screen that is embedded into<br />

soil by means of a special machine. It is considered that the efficiency of this machine will be about 2<br />

km of length of the screen per hour. The flexible screen is embedded into soil up to about 0.5 m in<br />

depth, with its air side of maximum 1 m height.<br />

Details of this technology will be presented in a forthcoming paper.<br />

Keywords: floodings ,protection, new technology<br />

_________________<br />

DEVELOPMENT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MODEL FOR SHORT-RANGE WATER FORECAST ON <strong>THE</strong> RIVER<br />

KOLUBARA<br />

Petkovic T. Dejan 1) , Dr Radic M. Zoran 2)<br />

1) Republic Hydrometerological Service, Kneza Viseslava 66, Belgrade, Serbia<br />

dpetkovic@hidmet.sr.gov.yu<br />

2) University of Belgrade, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Bulevar kralja Aleksandra 73, Belgrade, Serbia<br />

zradic@grf.bg.ac.yu<br />

Processes of the precipitation formation and their transformation into discharge are non-linear,<br />

non-stationary and of stochastic nature. The formation of discharge in the basin depends on:<br />

• Precipitation characteristics (intensity, duration, spatial distribution and storm movement<br />

dynamics)<br />

• Basin characteristics (topography and morphology, pedology, hydrogeology, vegetation<br />

and the type of soil exploitation)<br />

• Meteorological conditions (insolation, temperature, air pressure and humidity, wind<br />

characteristics and other elements influencing the formation of precipitation and<br />

evapotranspiration) significant in the exchange of humidity between Atmosphere and<br />

Litosphere.<br />

• The condition of water reserves in the basin in the moment of the beginning of a new rain<br />

(present discharge in river network, the level of ground waters and soil moisture<br />

conditions), as well as retaining capacity of mentioned sub-systems.<br />

A model that would contain all the above-mentioned factors and characteristics would be too<br />

complicated, unrational, inefficient and non-economical. For the purpose of operative hydrological<br />

warnings and forecasts, the model must be:<br />

• adjusted to the fund of available data<br />

• as simple as possible<br />

• adaptable<br />

• efficient and<br />

12


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

• sufficiently correct<br />

That means that consideration must include the real conditions existing on the studied basin<br />

and main processes with most influence on the discharge.<br />

Starting from these principles, the paper contains the results of the development of operative<br />

hydrolgoical model on the river Kolubara, (the right tributary of the river Sava, upstream from<br />

Belgrade), until the water-gauging profile Slovac (around 1.000 km2). Identification of the type and<br />

parameters of the main model component was made on the data base from the period 1996-2003,<br />

verification of the model on the daily data base from 1996, and the application of prognostic model<br />

was demonstrated on the data from 2004.<br />

For production function of the model (transformation of total in effective precipitation), oneparameter<br />

exponential function was adopted based on the assessment of maximum loss (Pmax),<br />

where Pmax is assessed on the basis of non-linear regional dependence with 4 values: rain intensity<br />

and duration, index of previous pecipitation, number of weeks in a year (seasons) and present<br />

discharge in the river.<br />

For transformational function two-parameter gamma function was adopted.<br />

For the purpose of improving prognostic model (as adaptible component), the value of<br />

present river discharge was also included in the model as well as the basic property of so-called “cut<br />

in” tranformational functions.<br />

With listed regional dependencies, the model has the total of 4 parameters whose values are<br />

defined by the process of optimization. Obtained results show sastifactory accuracy.<br />

The research presented within this paper is the result of the university diploma project of the<br />

first author and partly the result of scientific project NPV 21-A, of the National Programme for Water,<br />

whose leader is the second author. The scientific project is financed by the Ministry for Science and<br />

Environment of the Republic of Serbia.<br />

Keywords: hydrological forecast model, production function of the model, tranformational function.<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ADDITIONAL VALUE <strong>OF</strong> ENSEMBLE WEA<strong>THE</strong>R FORECASTS TO FLOOD FORECASTING:<br />

FIRST RESULTS ON EFAS FORECASTS FOR <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER BASIN<br />

Ramos Maria-Helena 1 , Bartholmes Jens 1 , Thielen Jutta 1 , Kalas Milan 1,2 , de Roo Ad 1<br />

1 European Commission, DG Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability,<br />

TP261, 21020 Ispra (Va), Italy.<br />

E-mails: helena.ramos@jrc.it; jens.bartholmes@jrc.it; jutta.thielen@jrc.it; milan.kalas@jrc.it; ad.deroo@jrc.it<br />

2 Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Slovak<br />

University of Technology, Bratislava, Slovakia.<br />

Over the past decades, severe floods in major transnational river basins have taken place in<br />

Europe, including the Rhine/Meuse floods in 1993 and 1995, the Oder flood in 1997, the Po floods in<br />

1994 and 2000, as well as the Elbe and Danube floods in 2002 and, more recently, in spring 2006.<br />

Following the disastrous floods in the Elbe and Danube river basins in August 2002, the European<br />

Commission launched an activity to support the development of a European Flood Alert System<br />

(EFAS) to increase preparedness for large flood events. EFAS has been in development and testing<br />

phase since 2003 at the Joint Research Centre in close collaboration with the hydrological services in<br />

the Member States. The system is designed to provide additional information on potential flood<br />

situations by means of early flood warnings between 3 to 10 days in advance (http://efas.jrc.it/).<br />

This paper focuses on the additional value of weather ensemble prediction systems (EPS) to<br />

EFAS flood forecasts in the Danube river basin. Meteorological ensemble predictions from the<br />

European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) have been recently introduced preoperationally<br />

in EFAS. The ECMWF-EPS consists of 51 10-day weather forecasts issued twice a day<br />

at 00:00 and 12:00 with a resolution TL255L40 (~80 km, 40 levels) - www.ecmwf.int. Contrary to single<br />

13


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

deterministic flood forecasts, flood forecasts based on EPS allow to take into account the uncertainty<br />

on reaching flood alert levels due to the different 51 possible weather developments. The<br />

incorporation of ECMWF-EPS in the EFAS platform and the statistical investigation of the probabilistic<br />

results raise a new challenge: how to quantify uncertainty and how to visualize the results in terms of<br />

probabilities of exceeding alert levels in a simple and concise way for a useful and correct statistical<br />

interpretation of the forecasted situation?<br />

EFAS EPS-based forecasts are expected to take into account the uncertainty of weather<br />

developments along the forecast range and therefore to provide additional and useful information on<br />

possible flood situations when increasing the lead-time. The first results obtained from the<br />

incorporation of ECMWF-EPS into EFAS during 2005 are presented and the tools implemented to<br />

quantify the uncertainty in exceeding EFAS alert levels in EPS-based forecasts are introduced. Maps<br />

and diagrams were developed allowing a concise and useful visualization of probabilistic results.<br />

The additional value of EPS to flood forecasting is illustrated from the investigation of casestudies<br />

related to observed flood events in the Danube river basin. The results show that EPS-based<br />

forecasts can contribute to an earlier detection of the possibility of flooding and therefore to increase<br />

preparedness for future flood events. In individual case-studies, a gain in lead-time, comparatively to<br />

the use of deterministic forecasts only, is usually observed, more or less important according to the<br />

forecasted flood event. The investigation of individual case-studies provide useful insights into the<br />

behavior of EPS-based forecasts, as well as essential information to the analysis of long-term<br />

reforecasts and the assessment of the average quality and skill of EFAS EPS-based ensemble<br />

forecasts.<br />

Keywords: flood forecasting, ensemble prediction, alert levels, uncertainty.<br />

_________________<br />

TRANS - BOUNDARY FORECASTING SYSTEM ON MUR RIVER<br />

Ruch Christophe 1 , Jørgensen Gregers 2 , Polajnar Janez 3 , Susnik Mojca 3 ,<br />

Hornich Rudolf 4 , Schatzl Robert 4 , Pogačnik Nejc 5<br />

1 Institute of Water Resources Managment - Hydrogeology and Geophysics, JOANNEUM<br />

RESEARCH Forschungsgesellschaft mbH, Elisabethstrasse 16/II, A 8010 Graz.<br />

christophe.ruch@joanneum.at<br />

2 DHI Water & Environment, Agern Allé 5, 2970 Hørsholm. Denmark.<br />

ghj@dhi.dk<br />

3 Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia, Vojkova 1b, Sl 1000 Ljubljana.<br />

janez.polajnar@gov.si, mojca.susnik@gov.si<br />

4 Amt der Steiermärkischen Landesregierung - FA19B, Stemfergasse 7, A 8010 Graz.<br />

rudolf.hornich@stmk.gv.at, robert.schatzl@stmk.gv.at<br />

5 University of Ljubljana, Faculty for Civil and Geodetic Engineering, Chair of fluid mechanics,<br />

Hajdrihova 28, 1000 Ljubljana.<br />

nejc.pogacnik@fgg.uni-lj.si<br />

A trans-boundary real time flood forecasting system on the Mur river has been implemented<br />

within the EU INTERREG IIIB CADSES program - Project „Flussraumagenda Alpenraum“. The Mur<br />

watershed extend over Austria (10000 km²), Slovenia (1400 km²), Hungary (1900 km²) and Croatia<br />

(500 km²). Although only Austria and Slovenia have participated to this project, an extended solution<br />

including all 4 countries has been discussed and approved within the Mur commission, i.e., the system<br />

has been developed so that Hungary and Croatia can easily join the structure in the future.<br />

The challenge of the project was to have one common flood forecasting system working for all<br />

2 (4) countries, where exchange of real time information, modeling and dissemination can be<br />

performed rapidly and accurate working in a robust system, required in a real time forecasting system.<br />

Initially a flood forecasting decision support system has being prepared for Mur and its most important<br />

tributaries. The modeling system includes extended snow modeling in the Alps and flood plain<br />

modeling in south Austria with many hydroelectric structures on the rivers.<br />

14


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The structure that has been established build out of one International Flood Forecasting<br />

Centre and two national centres illustrates how a trans-boundary flood forecasting system can<br />

operate. The main element is the International Flood Forecasting Centre installed in Graz (Austria)<br />

where all the necessary online data and meteorological forecasts are automatically collected and<br />

formatted for the simulations. Furthermore, each hour starts a simulation with a forecasted time of two<br />

days whereas the main results are published on the internet and the complete model setup and result<br />

are transferred to the two national centres. Therefore, on both national centres it is possible to analyse<br />

detailed results and to develop local scenarios using for example modified meteorological forecasts or<br />

other initial conditions.<br />

This technical solution allows a perfect synchronisation for online data, pre and posts<br />

processing files, information and results from the simulations between all three Flood Forecasting<br />

Centres. It contributes therefore to a noticeable improvement for information organisation between<br />

Austria and Slovenia and should be considered as a new method for Flood and Risk management.<br />

This new communication strategy coupled with the automatic and continuous modeling as well as the<br />

result publication on internet delivers a concrete example for Flood prevention and resources<br />

management that can be transferred to other trans-boundary watersheds.<br />

Keywords: automatic forecasting system, international forecasting centre, flood watch, NAM, MIKE<br />

11, Mur<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> RUN<strong>OF</strong>F FORECAST SYSTEM <strong>OF</strong> VERBUND OPERATIONAL FORECASTING in<br />

HYDROPOWER INDUSTRY<br />

Spolwind Robert, Hebenstreit Klaus, Fröschl Felix, Bachhiesl Martin & Precht Johann<br />

Resource Optimization Hydro Power<br />

VERBUND / Österreichische Elektrizitätswirtschafts-AG<br />

Am Hof 6A, 1010 Vienna<br />

Robert.Spolwind@VERBUND.at<br />

VERBUND is Austria’s leading electricity company in generation and wholesale, operating<br />

more than 100 hydro power plants all over the country. The company also manages the large run-ofriver<br />

hydro power plants at the Austrian Danube. These power plants are characterized by the<br />

absence of relevant possibility of water storage in times of short term runoff variability. So variance in<br />

runoff correlates significantly with variance in energy production, accurate forecasting of runoff is<br />

crucial for economic success. Correspondingly due to the high economic value and the permanent<br />

application of forecast models in energy dispatching the runoff forecasting tools of VERBUND are<br />

operating 24 hours a day with permanent maintenance. The accuracy of the runoff forecast models<br />

has to be constantly high within different runoff situations. In times of floods production of river power<br />

plants decreases significantly, therefore in hydropower industry effective flood forecast is of significant<br />

importance. Also or especially in times of mean or low water situations the forecast of runoff and<br />

resulting disposable energy operates as an important, integrated part of our strategic Energy<br />

Economic Decision Support System (EEDSS) and contributes to optimal utilisation of the asset<br />

hydropower energy.<br />

This paper reflects on experiences of a runoff and power forecast system at the Austrian<br />

Danube. A model called HYSIM (Hydrological Simulation) uses different runoff gauges, area<br />

precipitation and temperature of several regions and meteorological forecasts. This model provides<br />

forecasts up to 36 hours in different modules representing rainfall-runoff forecast, runoff-routing and<br />

flood routing considering inundation. HYSIM provides results in hourly discretisation. Snowmelt / Soil<br />

moisture models and rainfall-runoff models are input models for HYSIM and offer individually<br />

interpretable results. A combined regression model provides daily mean values with a forecast horizon<br />

of 96 hours and increases lead time remarkably. Diverse equations are defined for different seasons<br />

and runoff situations using ridge regression. A self learning optimisation model called SAMBA<br />

provides one single, optimized forecast and its respective uncertainty by weighting the accuracy of the<br />

different models in the past. Our 5-years experience in operational use shows that most accurate<br />

15


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

results are approached by combining detailed, hourly incremented models (HYSIM) and daily mean<br />

models provided by regression.<br />

The year 2002 presented a flood event of extreme intensity. In beginning of August heavily<br />

rainfalls led to severe floods, a similar situation of precipitation few days later resulted in an<br />

approximately 100-years flood event for the Austrian Danube. The event was excellently predicted in<br />

operational process. Especially the middle-term regression forecasts allowed timely preparation and<br />

helped to ensure power supply of Austria during the significant decrease of Run-of-river production.<br />

Another flood event presented in this paper occurred in August 2005 and caused severe floods in<br />

Alpine Danube tributaries. For the displayed gauge Ybbs the event can be classifies as an<br />

approximately 5-years event. In this case the results of our forecast tools indicated the timely<br />

substitution of decreasing Danube hydropower-energy by spot-market energy buying and<br />

consequently contributed to maximisation of revenue. Additionally the results of a mean water level<br />

situation display the role and the response of the forecast modules in a common planning situation.<br />

Permanent evaluation and improvements in the forecasting tools of VERBUND, which asset is<br />

significantly hydropower dominated, do not only contribute to the economical profit of the company but<br />

also ensure the sustainable utilisation of hydro power in Austria.<br />

Keywords: Danube, Hydropower, Forecast, Energy Optimisation, HYSIM, Ridge Regression<br />

_________________<br />

FLOODS PREVENTION IN UPPER TISA RIVER BASIN<br />

Dr.eng. Stoica Florin Stefan<br />

Somes-Tisa Waters Directorate – Cluj-Napoca, Vanatorului str., no 17, ROMANIA<br />

sthidro@dast.rowater.ro<br />

The Tisa River Basin (TRB) is located in the geographical centre of Europe and crosses the<br />

new boundaries of the European Union. The streams and rivers feeding into the Tisa originate in the<br />

Carpathian Mountains in the territories of Romania, Slovakia and Ukraine. It flows through the<br />

Pannonian flood plain of eastern Hungary and then south into Serbia and Montenegro where it joins<br />

the Danube.<br />

The Tisa catchment area is characterized by high diversity of landscapes, fauna and flora,<br />

with a significant number of nature protected areas and national parks. The region has outstanding<br />

natural ecological values such as regionally (and perhaps globally) unique freshwater wetland<br />

ecosystems of 167 larger oxbow-lakes and the total of more than 300 riparian wetlands.<br />

The largest part of the TRB lies in Romania (72,636 km 2 ). The basin area is located in the western,<br />

central and north-western parts of the country. It has 6,095,024 inhabitants and represents about a<br />

third of both the total land surface and population of Romania.<br />

Historically, the main structural changes of the Tisa River happened in the 19th and early 20th<br />

centuries. During this period, the former huge floodplain was drained and dikes were constructed, with<br />

about 84 per cent loss of the floodplain. The Tisa was also strongly regulated (32 per cent of the river<br />

length).<br />

Flooding is a natural disaster crucial for riverine ecosystems, but it is also a significant threat<br />

to communities settled in the floodplain.<br />

The rainfall in the Carpathian Mountains is substantial and sudden rains, combined with extensive<br />

drainage, floodplain deforestation and river canalization reduce the ability of the catchment to<br />

attenuate the flood wave.<br />

The paper present the most important floods, occurred in Somes-Tisa hydrographical basin<br />

during November 1998 and march 2001 in Upper Tisa River Basin ( Figure 1 ). In 2001, trought<br />

National Administration ,,Romanian Waters “ was started an important project, with title Floods<br />

Prevention in Upper Tisa River Basin , wich consisting in 38 hydrometric station, 23 alarming stations,<br />

Doppler radar and a software package for simulatin flows ( Mike 11 ). Also in the paper will be<br />

presented the most important results of this project, during 2001 – 2005, e specially the Mike 11<br />

simulations flows on Tisa river , and his important tributaries from Romanian area of Tisa river basin.<br />

Trought the accomplishment of this project we will get the following advantages :<br />

16


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

• The increasing of the flood wave anticipation degree on the territory of Romania from 1-2<br />

hours as it is at present, to 24-36 hours. At the same time, the flood’s anticipation time on<br />

the territory of Hungary will also be increased from 24 – 36 hours, as it is at present, to 60<br />

– 72 hours ( trought radar surveillance ).<br />

• The increasing of the actual knowing frequency of level variation of the Tisa River and its<br />

tributaries from once in 2 – 4 hours, as it is at present, to pnce in 15 – 30 minutes, wich<br />

means an 8 – 16 times increasing 15 – 30 minutes, wich means an 8 – 16 times<br />

increasing ( trought the automatic hydro – meteorological stations network ) ;<br />

• The increasing of the available time for interventions and protection actions with about 24<br />

– 36 hours, for the population living in the areas wich might be affected by the floods or<br />

dangerous meteorological phenomena ( the alarming stations network ).<br />

Establishing the flood risk zones for different degrees of probability of the flood waves ( GIS ),<br />

practically non – existent at the moment.<br />

Keywords : hydrometric stations, Doppler radar, software package for simulatin flows ( Mike 11 ).<br />

_________________<br />

ESTIMATION <strong>OF</strong> FLOOD PEAK TRAVEL-TIME ON <strong>THE</strong> MORAVA RIVER<br />

Szolgay Ján, Danáčová Michaela<br />

Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Faculty of Civil Engineering,<br />

Slovak University of Technology, Radlinského 11, 813 68 Bratislava, Slovak Republic<br />

jan.szolgay@stuba.sk, danacova@svf.stuba.sk<br />

The discrete state space representation of the Kalinin-Miljukov model was used as the basis<br />

for a multilinear discrete cascade flood routing model. The time distribution scheme of model inputs<br />

was employed in the setup of the multilinear model and the travel-time parameter of the model was<br />

allowed to vary with discharge. The relationship between travel-time of flood peaks and peak<br />

discharge was studied on a reach of the Morava River. A piecewise linear model of that relation has<br />

been considered. The shape and parameters of that model were fitted by optimisation of the<br />

multilinear model performance on a large flood wave with the help of a genetic algorithm. The resulting<br />

relationship fitted empirical data on travel times and was consistent with the physical interpretation of<br />

the factors determining the relation. The fitted empirical piecewise linear model was used to model the<br />

variability of the time parameter in the discrete state space representation of the Kalinin and Miljukov<br />

model on three verification floods. The modelling results showed that the inclusion of empirical<br />

information on the variability of the travel-time with discharge even from one flood enables satisfactory<br />

accuracy for the prediction of the flood propagation process.<br />

Keywords: multilinear model, flood routing, genetic algorithm, travel time.<br />

_________________<br />

FLASH FLOOD REAL TIME FORECAST MODEL. CASE STUDY<br />

TECUCI Ion Ph.D.<br />

National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, Sos. Bucuresti – Ploiesti 97, sector 1, 013686<br />

Bucharest, Romania, ion.tecuci@hidro.ro<br />

Elisabeta OPRISAN, Ph.Dc.<br />

National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, Sos. Bucuresti – Ploiesti 97, sector 1, 013686<br />

Bucharest, Romania, elisabeta.oprisan@hidro.ro<br />

Flash floods occur more and more often on Romanian territory. In 2005 a single flash flood<br />

caused in a few hours 14 victims, that is, 20% from the total of casualties caused by floods in 2005 on<br />

Romanian territory.<br />

17


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

In order to insert some local flash flood warning systems it is very important that the relations<br />

that exist within a small river basin are known, namely the relation between the transport capacity of<br />

the river bed which causes floods and the precipitation quantity fallen in the river basins. In certain<br />

countries a series of regional relations were established from which the size of limit precipitation from<br />

which flooding begins. For small river basins in Romania, the authors of the communication elaborated<br />

a calculation methodology of the river bed bankfull discharge and the discharge caused by<br />

precipitation. From the equalization of the two discharges it was determined the limit precipitation that<br />

can produce the flood plain bankfull discharge, discharge from which the flooding phenomenon starts.<br />

For this purpose, the authors used the dimensional analysis theory and the morphological<br />

relations that express the link between the slope of the river and the dimension of the particles in the<br />

river bed, in order to determine the bankfull discharge. For a rectangular river bed, the authors<br />

obtained for the filling discharge the following relation:<br />

1 2 / 3 4 / 3 1/<br />

2<br />

Q u = K Q L . A . i<br />

(1)<br />

n<br />

Where:<br />

Qu – the bankfull discharge in m 3 /s<br />

KQ - regional coefficient<br />

n – the Manning coefficient<br />

L – the length of the main water course in km<br />

A – the surface of the river basin in km 2<br />

i – slope of the river<br />

In order to determine the discharge produced by precipitations, the following regional relation<br />

was obtained through dimensional analysis:<br />

2<br />

P ⋅ A<br />

Q p = . ϕ . (2)<br />

D<br />

Where:<br />

Qp – discharge from precipitations in m 3 /s;<br />

P – precipitation quantity in mm/m 2<br />

D – precipitation duration in hours;<br />

ϕ - regional function that expresses the discharge produced by a precipitation of 1 mm/m 2<br />

with the duration of 1 hour and that falls in a river basin with the surface of 1 km 2 .<br />

From the equalization of the bankfull discharge of the flood plain with the discharge produced<br />

by precipitations, the threshold precipitation value (plim) is deduced, from which the flooding<br />

phenomenon starts.<br />

p<br />

lim =<br />

Qu<br />

D<br />

2<br />

A ϕ<br />

The ϕ function is determined by dragging the model, because it depends on the length of the<br />

water course and the flow coefficient. Based on the deducted relations, regional relations that give the<br />

limit precipitation value are being developed. They are an input parameter for the flash flood local<br />

warning systems. This communication is a regional case study for certain tributaries of the Cris River,<br />

tributary of the Tisa River.<br />

18<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> HIGH FLOOD <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MONTH <strong>OF</strong> APRIL 2005 IN <strong>THE</strong> HYDROGRAPHIC BASINS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

RIVERS TIMIS AND BEGA<br />

Teodorescu Niculae Iulian<br />

National Administration “Apele Romane”- Banat Water Branch<br />

niculae.teodorescu@gmail.com<br />

The month of April of the year 2005 remained in the memory of a significant part of population<br />

in the Banat County because of the biggest damages produced by the floods caused by the rivers<br />

Timis, Bega and their tributaries as a result of floods from their streambeds over the defence dams or<br />

the accidents caused at some hydrotechnic works.<br />

The Timis and Bega river are waterflows that have district hydrographic basins , even if at<br />

their midflow the interfluve has in certain places a width of only 12 km. Because the hydrotechnic<br />

works started in the first half of the 17 century, and also because of a double connection at Costei and<br />

Topolovat, substantial changes were produced in the waterflow, changes that caused that the<br />

analysis should be done as if the two were part of a single hydrographic basin.<br />

April 2005 had as main features precipitations that were 1,24-3,01 times higher than the<br />

normal values. These appeared especially in two intervals of 24- 36 hours on the 15 th and<br />

respectively 18 th of April.<br />

It must be mentioned that the precipitations occurred during a period of excessive warmth<br />

which resulted in the melting of the existing snow layer which cover about 160 km 2 .<br />

The fact that prior to the first period of precipitations there were other precipitations caused the<br />

saturation of the soil with water so that the discharge coefficient had high values. As a consequence,<br />

at the majority of the hydrometric stations in the two hydrographic basins floods with a rare apparition<br />

probability ( from 2% to 3% ) occurred.<br />

The paper deals with the evolution of the discharges during the two main highs and their main<br />

characteristics.<br />

Keywords: Timis-Bwega river basin, high flood, April 2005<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> HIGH FLOODS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MONTH <strong>OF</strong> APRIL 2004 IN <strong>THE</strong> HYDROGRAPHIC BASIN <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

BARZAVA RIVER<br />

Teodorescu Niculae Iulian<br />

National Administration “Romanian Wataers” – Waters Department Banat Timisoara<br />

niculae.teodorescu@gmail.com<br />

Among the hydrographic basins that were most affected by the floods in April 2005, the<br />

Berzava basin was characterized by the apparition of some discharge values that attained at most<br />

gauging stations the apparition probability of 1%.<br />

It must be pointed out that the degree of amelioration of the hydrographic basin of the Berzava<br />

river is very high – about 70% including here the three permanent accumulations in the superior basin,<br />

the supplementary channels of the debits of the Berzava river with water from the neighbouring<br />

hydrographic basins – Timis and Nera in the Semenic mountains as well as the dams and the<br />

attenuation lake Ghertenis in the mid and lower flow of the river.<br />

There were overfalls of the dams along the river Barzava, in the mid and inferior river as well<br />

as a break in the contour dam between the I and II compartment of the attenuation lake Ghertenis.<br />

As a result were flooded 10 towns and villages.<br />

19


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The meteorological circumstances that led to the recording of such high values were the<br />

extreme values of precipitations that exceeded about 2,5 times the normal values. These had a higher<br />

incidence during two intervals of 24- 36 hours on the 15 th, respectively 18 th April.<br />

The fact that the first period of precipitations was preceded by other precipitations determined<br />

a saturation of the soil with water and this resulted in a global discharge coefficient which had high<br />

values.<br />

Keywords: Barzava, floop, April 2005<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROLOGICAL ASPECTS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOOD IN AUGUST 2005 IN <strong>THE</strong> BAVARIAN DANUBE<br />

CATCHMENT<br />

Vogelbacher Alfons, Daamen Karlheinz, Holle Franz-Klemens, Meyer Inke,<br />

Roser Stefan<br />

Bayerisches Landesamt für Umwelt, Dienststelle München, Lazarettstr. 67, D-80636 München,<br />

email:alfons.vogelbacher@lfu.bayern.de<br />

After the great floods in May 1999 and in August 2002 a further event in August 2005 led to<br />

large-scale flooding in Bavaria. Heavy rainfall of locally 220 mm in the 72 hours from August, 21. to<br />

24. caused a great flood in the catchments of the alpine tributaries of the Danube - Iller, Lech, Isar, Inn<br />

- and in the Danube itself. The observed return periods partly reached far over 100 years. Particularly<br />

in the upper reaches of the rivers, earlier measured maximum flows have been exceeded. Because of<br />

the retention of dams the situation downstream at Lech and Isar could be mitigated obviously.<br />

The extreme event caused specific problems in the operational flood forecast: Beside the<br />

uncertainties in forecasted and measured precipitation, water level- and discharge measurements<br />

were problematic and uncertain, too. Furthermore the forecast models often did not take into account<br />

the different process behaviour at extreme floods.<br />

In the last part of this paper we show some conclusions from the experiences of the flood in<br />

August 2005 concerning flood warning and flood forecast. Enhancements of the models, optimisation<br />

of the internet service and enhancement in communication of the uncertainties in flood forecast are<br />

planned and partly done.<br />

Keywords: Flood August 2005, Danube, flood forecast, flood warning<br />

20


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

METEOROLOGICAL INPUTS FOR<br />

HIDROLOGICAL FORECAST<br />

21


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

22


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

FORMATION AND DISTRIBUTION <strong>OF</strong> SNOW AVALANCHES IN <strong>THE</strong> UKRAINIAN CARPATHIANS<br />

O. Aksyuk 1 , V. Grishchenko 1 , A. Obrizan 1 , Y. Tavrov 2<br />

1 Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Research Institute (UHRI),<br />

Kiev, Ukraine, Nauki ave. 37, 03028,<br />

e-mail:snowgvf@ukr.net<br />

2 Kiev Slavonic University (KSU),<br />

Kiev, Ukraine, A.Barbius street, 9-a;<br />

e-mail:tavrov@ukr.net<br />

The formation of snow avalanches in the Ukrainian Carpathians is caused by complex factors,<br />

which closely cooperate among themselves: a relief, climatic and hydrometeorological conditions,<br />

vegetation and economic activity of the man.<br />

By the most important characteristics of a relief, which determine an opportunity of shift of<br />

snow and further moving it, there is a steepness of slopes and dismember of a surface.<br />

The steepness of slopes of the Ukrainian Carpathians in a zone of formation of avalanches as<br />

against the majority "«classical" of avalanche-hazardous mountain regions (Alpes, Caucasus etc.),<br />

makes more often 20-40 о , that assists accumulation of significant weights of snow on slopes.<br />

The most abrupt slopes are dated for mountain files Poloninsky Crest, Chernogory and<br />

Gorgany, that have overthurusted with asymmetric of their cross structure (northeast slopes abrupt,<br />

southwest - more flat), in this connection first more avalanche-hazardous.<br />

The important factor, which determines length of slopes and length of run-off of avalanches, is<br />

the depth of a partition of a relief, which reaches in separate areas of 800-1000 meters. It assists<br />

formation of avalanches with length of run-off about 3000 meters.<br />

Alongside with a relief the large importance at formation of avalanches has a climate and<br />

meteorological conditions of researched area. Cyclone type of weather with intensive snow fall, often<br />

blizzards and numerous thaws during the cold period determines features avalanches of a mode of<br />

the Ukrainian Carpathians: loss of significant quantity of deposits as snows (30-40 % annual), with an<br />

intensive daily gain of its height, significant wind redistribution of snow, that results in formation of<br />

fresh snow, thaw avalanches and sleet of significant volumes.<br />

Significant role in formation of avalanches the morphology of avalanche-hazardous zones of<br />

Carpathians will play also, where such genetic groups of the forms of avalanche-hazardous relief are<br />

allocated: glacial, erosive-nival and erosive. Glacial group is represented by glacial-denudial forms<br />

(kars, circuses, through valley), which are most brightly traced in mountain groups Svidovets,<br />

Chernogory and Gorgany.<br />

The economic activity last years affects avalanche formation process inerasably. The<br />

development of woods, especially continuous cabins along all slopes, formation of glades, artificial<br />

expansion of pastures for the account "polonines" - results all this to intensification of avalanche<br />

activity.<br />

By results of long-term researches of conditions of formation and distribution avalanches the<br />

map of the Ukrainian Carpathians is made<br />

For researches of features of avalanche mode of the Ukrainian Carpathians the materials of<br />

supervision behind avalanches on specialized avalanche stations Pozhezhevskaya, located on height<br />

1440 м abs. were used. And avalanche stations Plai, which is located at height 1330 м abs. In the<br />

tables the given data on quantity of the fixed avalanches in areas of activity AS Pozhezhevskaya and<br />

AS Plai.<br />

The prevailing quantity of avalanches descends in March and February, and the majority of<br />

them are caused by action of snowfall and snow-storms. The avalanches, which are accompanied by<br />

23


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

catastrophic consequences, arise at favorable for formation of avalanches a combination of<br />

meteorological conditions (temperature mode, humidifying of a spreading surface, character of loss of<br />

deposits, strong thaws at significant capacity of snow etc.).<br />

_________________<br />

EXTREME WEA<strong>THE</strong>R EVENTS IN EUROPE AND INFUENCE ON BULGARIAN SECTION <strong>OF</strong><br />

DANUBE RIVER<br />

Andreeva Teodossia<br />

National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (NIMH)<br />

Department for Weather Forecasts<br />

Blvd. Tzarigradsko shousse, 66, Sofia, 1784, Bulgaria<br />

E-mail: teodosia.andreeva@meteo.bg<br />

In this paper we analyzed the extreme weather events and relation with the atmospheric<br />

circulation over Europe in 2005. Seasonal fluctuations in water levels as well as the flooding of riparian<br />

areas are natural features of running waters. Extreme weather events with the resulting large volume<br />

water flows can, however, cause enormous damage to lives and property, especially where flood<br />

plains are occupied and flooding interferes with human land-use activities.<br />

The 2005 floods were driven by extreme meteorological events in parts of the Danube River<br />

Basin in Bulgaria.<br />

Two more flood waves occurred in Bulgaria in spring and in summer of 2005.<br />

Climate change has warmed Europe by almost 1 °С over the last century. The global average<br />

temperature has increased by about 0,6 °С and the European average temperature by 0,95 °С in the<br />

last hundred years (EEA, 2004).The eight warmest years in Europe’s history have been during last 14<br />

years. Similar to the global trend, European winters (Beniston M, 2004) and particularly Bulgarian<br />

winters( Andreeva et al., 2003, 2002) have warmed more than summers resulting in milder winters<br />

and a decreased seasonal variation (Jones and Moberg 2003).<br />

The changes in the precipitation patterns over the year can lead to more flooding in some<br />

regions or seasons and more droughts in other, more frequent land slides and soil erosion. Annual<br />

precipitation trends in Europe are much more varied than temperature trends. However, patterns exist<br />

for example northern Europe has become wetter over the last century (10 - 40% wetter), where is<br />

southern Europe has become up to 20% drier (Klein Tank et 2002). Weather extremes are becoming<br />

more frequent in Europe: e.g. the summer of 2005. The attention was paid to the atmosphere<br />

circulation during the wintertime of 2004/05 and the beginning of the spring 2005 over Atlantic Ocean<br />

and Europe. The North Atlantic Oscillation NAO has strong impacts on weather and climate in the<br />

North Atlantic region and surrounding continents and is a dominant exogenous factor in many<br />

biological systems. One of the simplest definitions of the NAO is that it is the winter difference in<br />

pressure at sea level between the Azores and Iceland (Jones PD et al., 1997). A useful winter season<br />

is the December to March average of these values (see Osborn et al., 1999), which is shown in the<br />

time series recent values of the DJFM NAO index are shown on Figures. We analyzed (NAO) and<br />

relationship to regional temperature and precipitation over Bulgaria. The NAO is a phenomenon<br />

associated with winter fluctuations in temperatures, rainfall and storminess over much of Europe.<br />

When the NAO is 'positive', westerly winds are stronger or more persistent, northern Europe tends to<br />

be warmer and wetter than average and southern Europe colder and drier. When the NAO is<br />

'negative', westerly winds are weaker or less persistent, northern Europe is colder and drier and<br />

southern Europe warmer and wetter than average<br />

Keywords: flood, North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), precipitation, extreme and events.<br />

24


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON FLOOD AND DROUGHT RISKS IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE BASIN: AN<br />

INTEGRATED MODELING STUDY<br />

Dankers Rutger 1 , Feyen Luc 1 , Kalas Milan 1 , Christensen Ole B. 2 , de Roo Ad 1<br />

1 European Commission – DG Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy<br />

TP261, 21020, Ispra, Italy, email: rutger.dankers@jrc.it<br />

2 Danish Climate Center / Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark<br />

During the last 100 years the global climate has warmed on average by about 0.6ºC, which<br />

can at least partly be attributed to human induced greenhouse gas emissions. Based on different<br />

scenarios of future greenhouse gas concentrations, climate models predict a further rise in<br />

temperature of 1.4 to 5.8 ºC over the next century. This global warming will likely have a major<br />

influence on the hydrological cycle. A warmer climate will increase evaporation fluxes and the<br />

atmospheric moisture content, resulting in a higher intensity of water cycling. It is expected that<br />

extreme precipitation events will become more frequent and more intense, while droughts may<br />

become longer and more severe.<br />

Due to their coarse horizontal resolution, global climate models are usually not able to capture<br />

the extreme weather events that are relevant to stakeholders and policy makers at local or regional<br />

scale. Therefore, hydrological impact studies commonly rely on statistical downscaling techniques or<br />

sensitivity studies of hydrological models. The major theoretical weakness of these techniques is that<br />

their basic assumption is not verifiable, i.e., that the statistical relationships developed for the presentday<br />

climate also hold under the different forcing conditions of possible future climates. Empiricallybased<br />

techniques cannot account for possible systematic changes in regional forcing conditions or<br />

feedback processes. What is more, the data with which to develop the relationships may not be readily<br />

available in remote regions or areas with complex topography. These disadvantages can be overcome<br />

by dynamical downscaling. In recent years, the spatial resolution of regional climate model<br />

experiments has increased considerably and now approaches a level that allows a realistic simulation<br />

of the amount and intensity of precipitation at the scale of river basins and small catchments.<br />

In the present study we employ the results of a recent, very high resolution experiment with<br />

the regional climate model HIRHAM together with the physically-based hydrological model LISFLOOD<br />

to study the effects of climate change on river discharge and the risk of flooding and droughts in the<br />

Upper Danube basin. The first results indicate that the regional climate model reproduces the amount<br />

and spatial distribution of precipitation in the area fairly well, but nevertheless results in an<br />

overestimation of the river discharge in summer when being used in LISFLOOD. In contrast, the<br />

extreme river discharge levels seem to be underestimated. Under a scenario of climate change by the<br />

end of the 21 st century, the simulations suggest a change in the seasonal pattern of the discharge of<br />

the Upper Danube, with more runoff in winter and spring and lower water levels in summer and<br />

autumn. The results also indicate a significant increase in extreme discharge levels, due to more<br />

frequent and more intense heavy rainfall events. Further research is however necessary to assess the<br />

reliability of the model predictions and to take uncertainties into account.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> FACTORS THAT GENERATED <strong>THE</strong> FLOODS IN APRIL 2005 IN BANAT<br />

Hauer Elza 1 , Nichita Cristian 1 , Teodorescu Niculae Iulian 2<br />

1 National Meteorological Administration, Regional Meteorological CenterBanat-Crisana<br />

2 National Administration “Romanian Wataers” –Waters Department Banat<br />

Floods are phenomena placed at the intersection between Meteorology and Hydrology. The<br />

chances of a rain event to bring about floods are significantly influenced by such factors as: previous<br />

precipitation, drainage basin size, basin topography, size of the urban use of the basin and inside the<br />

basin, etc. Therefore a flood event is actually the concatenation of a meteorological event with a<br />

particular hydrological situation.<br />

We should point out that the flows recorded during April 2005 have high values in comparison<br />

with the multi-annual monthly means. Excepting January and partly also February – when mostly in<br />

the high area these values were below 1, in the other areas and months the monthly modulus<br />

coefficient had values between 1.09 and 5.83 – which shows the pluviometric condition of this period<br />

of the current year.<br />

April was characterized by very high humidity due to the recorded precipitation amounts. Thus,<br />

in April were recorded flow values of up to 5 times higher, which were caused mainly by the high<br />

floods of this month.<br />

On April 15, 2005 most of Europe was under the influence of a vast low-pressure field; a well<br />

outlined field both at soil level and at altitude (N. Topor, C. Stoica, 1965). Two centers of low pressure<br />

were more active:<br />

- one centered over northern France and central and southern Great Britain;<br />

- another centered above Romania.<br />

In the upper troposphere both the anticyclone and depression structures had well outlined<br />

correspondents (especially the last).<br />

The floods on 18 April 2005 occurred in “benign synoptic conditions” on the surface. These<br />

floods occurred (Charles A. Doswell III et al., 1995) near by the axis of a 500 mb synoptic ridge, a<br />

region which is not regularly identified as place of occurrence for significant events. This activity,<br />

abnormal to all appearances, is a direct consequence of the anticyclone suppression effect.<br />

Obviously, in the case of the floods of 18 April 2005, there were added the effects produced<br />

by several intense convective cells successively crossing the same area, the so-called “train effect”;<br />

this being the situation which may cause the largest accumulated precipitation amounts.<br />

The paper analyses the evolution of the synoptic situation that led to the apparition of the<br />

floods as well as the effects of the quantities of precipitations recorded in that period<br />

26


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

SEMI-DISTRIBUTED CALIBRATION <strong>OF</strong> A RAINFALL-RUN<strong>OF</strong>F MODEL FOR <strong>THE</strong> MORAVA<br />

CATCHMENT USING GLOBAL OPTIMIZATION<br />

Kalas Milan 1,2 , Feyen Luc 3 , Vrugt Jasper A. 4<br />

1 Land Management Unit, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, DG Joint Research Centre,<br />

European Commission, Italy, Milan.kalas@jrc.it<br />

2 Detached from Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Faculty of Civil Engineering,<br />

Slovak University of Technology, Bratislava, Slovakia<br />

3 Land Management Unit, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, DG Joint Research Centre,<br />

European Commission, Italy, luc.feyen@jrc.it<br />

4 Earth and Environmental Sciences Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, US, vrugt@lanl.gov<br />

In this paper we address the problem of parameter identification and parameter uncertainty<br />

estimation for the rainfall-runoff model LISFLOOD. The model is driven by meteorological input data<br />

and simulates river discharges in large drainage basins as a function of spatial information on<br />

topography, soils and land cover. Even though LISFLOOD is physically-based to a certain extent,<br />

some processes are only represented in a lumped conceptual way. As a result, some parameters lack<br />

physical basis and cannot be directly inferred from quantities that can be measured. In the current<br />

LISFLOOD version five parameters need to be determined by calibration. We employ the Shuffled<br />

Complex Evolution Metropolis (SCEM-UA) global optimization algorithm [Vrugt et al., 2003] to<br />

automatically calibrate the model against discharge observations. The resulting posterior parameter<br />

distribution reflects the residual uncertainty about the model parameters and forms the basis for<br />

making probabilistic flow predictions. We assess the value of semi-distributing the calibration<br />

parameters by comparing three different calibration strategies. In the first calibration strategy uniform<br />

values over the entire area of interest are adopted for the unknown parameters, which are calibrated<br />

against discharge observations at the downstream outlet of the catchment. In the second calibration<br />

strategy the parameters are also uniformly distributed, but they are calibrated against the discharge at<br />

the catchment outlet and at internal discharge stations. In the third strategy a semi-distributed<br />

approach is adopted. Starting from upstream, parameters in each subcatchment are calibrated against<br />

the observed discharges at the outlet of the subcatchment. In order not to propagate upstream errors<br />

in the calibration process, observed discharges at upstream catchment outlets are used as inflow<br />

when calibrating downstream subcatchments. As an illustrative example, we demonstrate the<br />

methodology for a part of the Morava catchment, covering an area of approximately 10.000 km 2 . The<br />

calibration results reveal that the additional value of the internal discharge stations is limited when<br />

applying a lumped parameter approach. Moving from a lumped to a semi-distributed parameter<br />

approach (i) improves the flow predictions, especially in the upstream subcatchments; and (ii) reduces<br />

parameter uncertainty, and consequently flow prediction uncertainty. The results show the clear need<br />

to spatially vary the calibration parameters, especially in large catchments characterized by spatially<br />

varying hydrological processes and responses.<br />

Keywords: rainfall-runoff modelling, automatic calibration, parameter uncertainty, (semi-)<br />

distributed modelling<br />

27


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

UNCERTAINTY <strong>OF</strong> PRECIPITATION MEASUREMENTS AND PREDICTIONS AS AN INPUT TO<br />

FLASH FLOOD MODELLING<br />

Kobold Mira, Sušelj Kay, Sušnik Mojca, Zgonc Anton<br />

Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia, Vojkova 1b, Ljubljana, Slovenia,<br />

e-mail: mira.kobold@gov.si<br />

Although the processes which generate river floods are well understood, even within small<br />

river basins, it is normally possible to incorporate them into flood forecasting procedures only in a<br />

generalized and largely empirical manner because of their spatial and temporal complexity. Many<br />

models have been developed for river catchments throughout the world with various degree of<br />

complexity, from simple empirical formulae or correlations to the complex mathematical models. The<br />

selection of the model is not crucial to the success of the forecast. The applicability of models<br />

decreases especially in flash flood forecasting. The lack of data needed for model calibration and later<br />

for operational use is the main obstacle in modelling with short time step even today.<br />

Flash floods are characteristic for most of Slovenian rivers as a result of intense frontal<br />

precipitation combined with orographic enhancement. Peak discharges are maintained only for hours<br />

or even minutes. The conceptual HBV-96 model was applied on the catchment with complex<br />

topography as a tool for runoff simulation and flood forecasting. The results of performed analyses<br />

show that it is very important to assure the accurate precipitation input, whether from raingauges or<br />

other sources such as radar measurements, meteorological forecast, etc. The number of raingauges,<br />

especially recording raingauges, which measure the precipitation data on a high temporal resolution,<br />

in the catchment is usually not dense enough to properly represent the areal amount and distribution<br />

of precipitation. The influence of number of raingauges on areal estimation of precipitation for the<br />

Savinja catchment was investigated. Further, radar provides coverage over a large area with high<br />

spatial and temporal resolution. The applicability of radar precipitation was performed for two high<br />

water events on the Savinja catchment. Results show great uncertainty of these data as input in<br />

rainfall-runoff models.<br />

The results of half-yearly runs of HBV-96 model are demonstrated using the mesoscale<br />

meteorological forecasts of ALADIN/SI model as input into the model. The uncertainty of simulated<br />

runoff is mainly the result of precipitation uncertainty associated with the basin average precipitation<br />

and is higher for mountainous part of the catchment. The comparison of computed and observed<br />

discharges has been done separately for the first day and for the second day of the forecast. The<br />

regression coefficient r is 0.93 for the first day and 0.82 for the second day of the forecast for the<br />

Savinja catchment at Veliko Širje. For mountainous part of the catchment, at Nazarje water station, the<br />

deviation of simulated discharge from measured one can be very large. The regression coefficient r is<br />

0.73 for the first day and below 0.50 for the second day of forecast.<br />

_________________<br />

COMPARISON <strong>OF</strong> DESIGN k-DAY MAXIMUM PRECIPITATION TOTALS IN <strong>THE</strong> UPPER HRON<br />

REGION<br />

Kohnová Silvia 1 , Szolgay Ján 1 , Hlavčová Kamila 1<br />

1 Slovak University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Dept. of Land and Water Resources<br />

Management, Radlinského 11, 813 68 Bratislava, Slovak Republic,<br />

e-mail: silvia.kohnova@stuba.sk, jan.szolgay@stuba.sk, kamila.hlavcova@stuba.sk<br />

The N-year maximum k-day precipitation totals (or design rainfalls) for engineering hydrology<br />

are usually estimated in order to provide a broader hydrometeorological ground for design flood<br />

28


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

estimation in environmental studies or water resource management, or for engineering construction<br />

work. Because in the past, only the daily maximum precipitation totals were usually evaluated in<br />

Slovakia, it was necessary to deal also with rainfalls of various durations. In Slovakia the k-day<br />

precipitation totals were analysed in the upper Hron region in e.g. in Kohnová, et al. (2005), Gaál and<br />

Lapin (2002) analyzed k-day precipitation totals in the 100-year series from Hurbanovo. Issues<br />

involving testing new methodologies used for rainfall frequency analysis and acquiring experience<br />

concerning their applicability under various physical/geographic conditions of Slovakia were also of<br />

interest.<br />

In the paper, the 5- and 10-day maximum rainfall totals from 18 rain gauges in the Upper Hron<br />

River basin in Slovakia from the period 1951 to 2000 were analysed. Special methodology was<br />

developed for selecting the 5- and 10-day maximum rainfall totals. The N-year values of the maximum<br />

precipitation totals were estimated by means of at-site frequency analyses. The German methodology<br />

and L-moment method was applied, by using several distribution functions and parameter estimation<br />

methods. The distribution functions involved the Gumbel, the Generalised extreme value, the Pearson<br />

III, the logPearson III, the General logistic, the Rossi, the Pareto, the Weibull and the Lognormal<br />

distribution functions. The parameters of the distribution functions were estimated by the method of<br />

moments, the maximum likelihood method, probability-weighted moments and L-moments. The<br />

number of statistically acceptable distribution functions was rather high, but a comparison of the Nyear<br />

rainfall estimated from these distribution functions showed that they did not exhibit significant<br />

differences from a practical point of view. Finally, the consistency of design values was tested, in<br />

which at the example of the Polomka station the values of 1-, 2-, 5-, and 10-day N-year maximum<br />

precipitation totals in the warm season were compared. The derived design values can be used for<br />

engineering studies in the analysed region.<br />

References:<br />

Gaál, L., Lapin, M., (2002): Extreme several day precipitation totals at the Hurbanovo observatory<br />

(Slovakia) during the 20th century. Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy, Vol. 32, No. 3,<br />

p.197-213.<br />

Kohnová, S., Gaál, L., Szolgay, J., Hlavčová, K. (2005): Analysis of maximum precipitation totals in<br />

the upper Hron region (in Slovak). STU Bratislava, 162 pp., ISBN 80-227-2339-8.<br />

_________________<br />

CLIMATE CHANGE AND RIVER RUN<strong>OF</strong>F IN UKRAINE<br />

Kuprikov Ivan, Snizhko Sergiy<br />

Kyiv Shevchenko National University,<br />

Prosp. Glushkova 2, Kyiv, GSP-680, Ukraine<br />

vanya_ku@ukr.net<br />

It is known, that in the twentieth century the global changes of a climate have resulted in<br />

increase of Earth temperature approximately on 0,6+0.2°С. It has called infringement of water balance<br />

of separate regions of our planet. So, a precipitation rate in northern hemisphere have increased on<br />

5-10%, the quantity of rainstorms and catastrophic floods on the rivers has increased.<br />

In Ukraine, one of the largest countries of East Europe (the area of territory makes 603,7<br />

thousand км 2 ) are marked changes of the climatic and hydrological characteristics during last century<br />

too.<br />

The analysis of average annual temperature within the limits of three natural zones, in which<br />

Ukraine is placed, has shown, that in north of the country the increase of temperature has made 0,7-<br />

0,9°С, in the south 0,2 - 0,3°С (Climate of Ukraine, 2003). It is observed the stable tendency to climate<br />

warming.<br />

29


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The change of average annual precipitation rate occured non-uniformly. In separate areas of<br />

Ukraine their quantity has increased on 33-35 %, and in other territories it has decreased on 6-8 %. In<br />

some territories precipitation change remained within the limits of climatic norms.<br />

The climatic changes promoted formation of the stable positive tendencies of river runoff<br />

change. Results of the statistical analysis of the data for the period of observation shows that change<br />

of the mean annual discharge of the largest rivers of Ukraine is characterized linear trends with<br />

positive factors. The average sizes of increase (account concerning a trends line) of a runoff make:<br />

Dnieper – 9,8 % (from 1881 up to 2002), Desna - 4,7 % (from 1877 up to 2002), Upper Siwerski<br />

Donez – 29,2 % (from 1953 up to 2002), Southern Bug – 18,1 % (from 1914 up to 2004), Upper Bug –<br />

125,8 % (from 1946 up to 2002).<br />

The opposite tendency of change of a runoff is observed in Transkarpatian region. On the data<br />

of a state border hydrological post Vilok from 1880 up to 2004 mean annual discharge of the river Tisa<br />

has decreased on 20 %, the Upper Prut discharge has decreased on 28,8 % (from 1895 up to 2002).<br />

Both tendencies of water runoff formation are observed on a background of significant cyclic<br />

fluctuations of a runoff.<br />

_________________<br />

DEVELOPMENT <strong>OF</strong> A MULTI-SITE DAILY PRECIPITATION MODEL FOR BULGARIA USING<br />

HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS<br />

Neytchev Plamen 1 , Zucchini Walter 2 , Hristov Hristo 1 and Neykov Neyko 1<br />

Nat. Inst. of Meteorology and Hydrology 1 , Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sofia,<br />

66 Tsarigradsko chaussee, Sofia 1784, Bulgaria,<br />

e-mail: neyko.neykov@meteo.bg, plamen.neytchev@meteo.bg, hristov_awc@abv.bg<br />

Inst. of Statistics and Econometrics 2 , University of Göttingen, Platz der Göttinger Sieben 5, 37073<br />

Göttingen, Germany, e-mail: wzucchi@uni-goettingen.de<br />

The non-homogenous hidden Markov Models (NHMM) have found widespread application in<br />

meteorology and hydrology because are adequate tools in cases the observations appear sequentially<br />

in time and tent to cluster or to alternate between different possible states. The NHMM links largescale<br />

atmospheric patterns to daily precipitation data at a network of rain gauge stations, via several<br />

hidden (unobserved) states called the "weather states". Details can be found in Zucchini and Guttorp<br />

(1991), Hughes and Guttorp (1994), Hughes et al. (1999), Charles et al. (1999a), Charles et al.<br />

(1999b), Bellone et al., (2000), Charles et al. (2003) and Charles et al. (2004) to name a few. The<br />

evolution of these states is modeled as a first-order Markov process with state-to-state transition<br />

probabilities conditioned on some indices of the atmospheric measurements. Due to these weather<br />

states the spatial precipitation dependence can be partially or completely captured, see Hughes et al.<br />

(1999). In the present study various NHMMs are used to relate daily precipitation at 31 rain gauge<br />

stations covering broadly the territory of Bulgaria to synoptic atmospheric data. A 15-year record<br />

(1972-1987) of daily winters (October through March) precipitation totals is used at each station. The<br />

atmospheric data consists of daily sea-level pressure, geopotential height at 500 hPa, air temperature<br />

at 850 hPa and relative humidity at 700 and 850 hPa on a 2.5° x 2.5° longitude-latitude grid based on<br />

NCEP-NCAR reanalysis dataset covering the Europe-Atlantic sector 30°W–60°E, 20°N–70°N for the<br />

same period. The first 10 years data are used for model fitting purposes while the remaining 5 years<br />

are used for model evaluation. A detailed validation is carried out on various aspects of the model.<br />

The identified weather states are found to be physically interpretable whilst the fitted models<br />

reproduce well the rainfall statistics for the historical and reserved periods.<br />

Keywords: Daily Precipitation, Hidden Markov model, Precipitation amounts model, Climate<br />

models, Hydrological model, Statistical downscaling.<br />

References<br />

Bellone, E., Hughes, J. P., Guttorp, P. (2000): A hidden Markov model for relating synoptic scale<br />

patterns to precipitation amounts. Climate Research, 15, 1-12.<br />

30


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Hughes,J. P., Guttorp, P. (1994): A class of stochastic models for relating atmospheric patterns to<br />

regional hydrologic phenomena. Water Resour. Res. 30, 1535-1546.<br />

Hughes, J. P., Guttorp P., Charles,S. (1999): A nonhomogeneous hidden Markov model for<br />

precipitation occurrence. J R. Stat. Soc. Ser C, 48, 15-30.<br />

Charles,S., Bates,B., Whetton,P. and Hughes,P. (1999a). Validation of downscaling model for<br />

changed climate conditions: case study of southern Australia. Clim. Res, 12, 1-14.<br />

Charles, S., Bates, B., Hughes, P. (1999b): A spatio-temporal model for downscaling precipitation<br />

occurrence and amounts. J. Geoph. Res., 104, 31657-31669.<br />

Charles, S., Bates, B., Vilney, N. (2003): Linking atmospheric circulation to daily rainfall patterns<br />

across the Murrumbidgee River Basin, Water Science and Technology, 48, 223-240.<br />

Charles, S., Bates, B., Smith, I., Hughes, P. (2004): Statistical downscaling of daily precipitation from<br />

observed and modeled atmospheric fields. Hydrological Process, 18, 1373-1394.<br />

Zucchini, W., Guttorp,P. (1991). A hidden Markov model for space-time precipitation. Water Resour.<br />

Res., 27,1917-1923.<br />

MacDonald, I., Zucchini, W. (1997): Hidden Markov and other models for discrete-valued time series<br />

mod<br />

_________________<br />

CORRELATIONS BETWEEN MONTHLY VALUES <strong>OF</strong> PRECIPITATION AND RUN<strong>OF</strong>F<br />

IN <strong>THE</strong> TRANSYLVANIAN BASIN<br />

Pándi G. 1 and Mika J. 2<br />

1 Faculty of Geography, Babes-Bolyai University, Clinicilor 5-7, 3400, Cluj-Napoca, Romania;<br />

pandi@geografie.ubbcluj.ro<br />

2 Hungarian Meteorological Service, P. O. Box 38, 1525 Budapest, Hungary; mika@met.hu<br />

River runoff data are analysed at different sub-catchments in the Transylvanian Basin of the<br />

Carpathian Mountains. Spatial and temporal variability, as a source of hydrological risk, are first<br />

quantified for the 19 gauging stations. Temporal variability of decadal time-scales are statistically<br />

related to the hemispherical warning trend (0.26 K/decade) observed in the 1974-1998 period. Method<br />

of instrumental variables is used to estimate linear regression coefficients between regional rainfall<br />

and hemispherical mean temperature for this period. The sequence of consecutive years is defined for<br />

instrumental variable, that fulfil the main criterion i.e. the non-zero correlation to the independent<br />

variable (r=0.825). Regression analysis is also performed for parallel 9 precipitation stations for<br />

independent validation, and for the monthly absolute extremes of the 25 years. Another validation of<br />

the results applies independent hydrological parameters in Hungary. Both spatial and temporal<br />

variability are about one decimal magnitude, that makes existence of continuous observations rather<br />

important. Trends of the runoff are mainly decreasing parallel to the global warming-up tendency of<br />

the investigated 25 years. For 0.5 K hemispherical warming the local order of runoff changes spreads<br />

from several percents to tens of percents. The largest area-mean decrease of runoff is analysed for<br />

the July-August period, with average decrease of 75 %. Although there are two further independent<br />

estimations in the study, that support the discovered relation between drying-out of the Basin and the<br />

warming tendency of the Hemisphere, this relation of the robust part of the runoff sample may not be<br />

extended to the tails of the distribution.<br />

Keywords: Climate Change, Empirical Downscaling, Temperature, Precipitation, Danube<br />

31


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

RAINFALL INTENSITY-DURATION-FREQUENCY FORMULA FOR SPAIN INCORPORATING<br />

REGIONAL ANALYSIS<br />

Leticia de Salas Regalado and José Anastasio Fernández Yuste<br />

E.U.I.T.Forestal. Universidad Politécnica de Madrid. c/Avda de Ramiro de Maeztu s.n. 28040 Madrid<br />

(Spain). e-mail: leticia.salas.regalado@upm.es; tasio.fyuste@upm.es<br />

Flood predictions are frequently the basis for engineering works and land use planning. When<br />

no gauged stations are available, hidrometheorological models become an essential tool. These<br />

models require annual maximum rainfall intensity estimations - of given duration and a return period -<br />

I(d, T)- an IDF law. IDF actually used in Spain was developed in seventies. It is based on an “at-site”<br />

analysis on the 21 gauged stations, using Gumbel distribution for adjustment. A potential expression,<br />

relating average intensity for a particular duration, to the one for 24 hours was used to extend results<br />

where no gauged station was available, and an iso-parameter map was provided.<br />

From this short actual situation summary one may conclude it is necessary to up-date data<br />

and methodology. Classical regional approach couldn’t be applied due to scarce stations –actually 63<br />

available - and great climate variability prevents forming homogeneous regions. Authors propose an<br />

“intra-station” regionalization, joining series in the same station. Hosking and Wallis (1997)<br />

methodology was applied, obtaining two homogeneous regions in every gauged station, short<br />

durations series (≤ 1 hour), and large duration series (> 1 hour). Different authors point out different<br />

rainfall intensity behaviour depending on considered temporal window (≤/> 1 hour) (Ferreri and Ferro,<br />

1990). Once dimensionless series were joined into one sample, SQRT-ET máx was used for<br />

adjustment as it is more robust and conservative than Gumbel (Ferrer and Ardiles ,1994). Finally I(d,T)<br />

can be obtained using equation (1),<br />

I ( d , T<br />

)<br />

station<br />

−<br />

= CA(<br />

T ) shortl arg e . durations * I d station<br />

(1)<br />

Where, CA(T)short/large duration, is dimensionless quantile for a T-year return period in short/large<br />

duration region and Īd station , (mm/h) is d-duration mean annual maximum rainfall intensity. Authors<br />

analyzed a relationship between I(d,T), and I(24,T), latter available from 24-hour precipitation in<br />

pluviometers and available everywhere in Spanish territory, equation (2). Two functions were studied<br />

in gauged stations, one relating dimensionless quantiles to return period- h(T)- and another one<br />

relating mean annual maximum rainfall intensities to duration -g(d)-<br />

⎡ I(<br />

d ; T ) ⎤<br />

⎢<br />

I(<br />

; T )<br />

⎥<br />

⎣ 24 ⎦<br />

GS<br />

GS<br />

CA ( T )<br />

=<br />

GS<br />

CA ( T )<br />

short<br />

l arg e<br />

32<br />

/ l arg<br />

⋅ I<br />

GS<br />

e ⋅ I d<br />

GS<br />

24<br />

Where GS, refers to gauged stations.<br />

A bi-parametric potential expression was chosen for g(d) and a logarithmic expression for<br />

h(T). Finally, iso-line maps were drawn in order to extend results everywhere in the Spanish<br />

peninsular area. So, I(d,T) can be obtained in every site using equation (3),<br />

P(<br />

24,<br />

T ) site<br />

I(<br />

d , T ) = I(<br />

24 , T ) site ⋅ h(<br />

T ) ⋅ g(<br />

d ) =<br />

⋅ h(<br />

T ) ⋅ g(<br />

d )<br />

(3)<br />

site<br />

24<br />

According to practical character of the study, a GIS (geographical information system)<br />

application was developed – MAXIN - and it is available in:<br />

http://www.forestales.upm.es/hidraulica/paginas/programas/programas.htm<br />

References<br />

Ferrer, F. J. and Ardiles, L. (1994): Análisis estadístico de las series anuales de máximas lluvias<br />

diarias en España”, Ingeniería Civil, Vol 95, CEDEX, pp 87-100. España.<br />

≅<br />

h(<br />

T<br />

) ⋅<br />

g(<br />

d<br />

)<br />

(2)


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Ferreri, G.B. and Ferro, V. (1990): Short duration rainfalls in Sicily”. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,<br />

ASCE, Vol 116, No 3, pp 430-435. USA<br />

Hosking, J.R.M. and Wallis,J.R. (1997) Regional Frequency Analysis, Cambridge University Press,<br />

U.K<br />

_________________<br />

USING GIS TECHNIQUES AND RAINFALL WSR-98D RADAR ESTIMATIONS FROM FAST<br />

PRECIPITATIONS MONITORING IN SMALL CATCHMENTS<br />

ROMAN Petru Ioan 1 , ŞTRENG Octavian 2<br />

1 Crisuri Rivers Authority, Oradea, 35 Ion Bogdan str., 410125, Romania petru.roman@dac.rowater.ro<br />

2 Crisuri Rivers Authority, Oradea, 35 Ion Bogdan str., 410125, Romania<br />

octavian.streng@dac.rowater.ro<br />

The demand for rainfall diagnosis / prognosis with spatial and temporal high resolution is<br />

increasing, concerning flash floods in small catchments. The main objective of this paper is<br />

represented by precipitations amount fast monitoring and small catchments impact, with no available<br />

precipitations measurements data. Using rainfall WSR-98D radar products and Crisuri watershed<br />

layers, a diagnosis rainfall GIS project was done. The precipitations case study causing flash floods in<br />

middle course Bistra’s small catchments and the calculus of medium precipitations amounts was<br />

realized in Barcau basin. The precipitations falling between August 23 rd – 24 th 2005, were produced by<br />

severe convective storms across western Romania, presented there. The question of the diagnose<br />

utility and the limitations of the operational Weather Surveillance Radar 1998 Doppler (WSR-98D) was<br />

posed. Built-in strategies (GIS, hydrology and radar) were also presented. The application results<br />

could be useful for rainfall monitoring and floods decision making in small catchments with no<br />

available precipitations measurements data.<br />

Keywords: GIS, georeference, vectorization, flash floods, rainfall radar estimations.<br />

_________________<br />

POLARIMETRIC WEA<strong>THE</strong>R RADAR OPPORTUNITIES FOR HYDROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS<br />

Saltikoff Elena<br />

Vaisala, P.O.Box 26,FI-00421 Helsinki, Finland elena.saltikoff@vaisala.com<br />

Weather radars are widely used to measure precipitation, as their resolution in time and space<br />

is outstanding. Using Doppler measurement for clutter cancellation has improved the data quality, but<br />

there are still remaining challenges. The new generation dual polarization radars can be used to solve<br />

some of these.<br />

Use of dual polarimetric radars can improve data quality of radar-based QPE by decreasing or<br />

avoiding attenuation problems, recovering from interference, improving clutter cancellation with targets<br />

which escape traditional Doppler filtering (birds, sea), and offering a possibility to treat liquid water<br />

precipitation separately from snow and hail.<br />

Quantitative data quality: Stable attenuation correction methods<br />

Classical gate-to-gate algorithms for attenuation correction are based on integrated reflectivity<br />

between the antenna and the gate in question.For such algorithms, an overestimation of the<br />

attenuation in a nearer range gate produces an even worse overestimation in a further range gate thus<br />

making the entire scheme unstable. Instead, dual polarisation algorithms based on the use of the<br />

differential phase shift give an independent measure of attenuation, because they use the phase of<br />

the signal, not the reflected power.<br />

33


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Quantitative data quality using hydrometeor classification<br />

Knowing the difference of liquid rain, snow and hail, allows the application to use different Z-R<br />

relation to different water phases. It also helps to avoid overestimation of precipitation caused by<br />

presence of hail or melting snow in the measurement bin. Separation of snow improves accuracy of a<br />

hydrological model in cases when it is snowing in part of catchment area but raining in other parts.<br />

Qualitative data quality: Improved clutter cancellation<br />

Microwaves are scattered by, in addition to precipitation, also by buildings, birds, insects, sea<br />

surface etc. Doppler filtering removes stationary objects, but other clutter sources still remain. Also<br />

interference caused by other microwave sources such as WLAN transmitters can be a problem. Many<br />

of these echoes have a distinct signal in one or several of the dual polarization parameters, and can<br />

thus be cleaned from the radar image resulting in an improved areal precipitation estimate.<br />

_________________<br />

CHANGES <strong>OF</strong> REGIONAL CLIMATE MEANS AND <strong>OF</strong> VARIABILITY ALONG <strong>THE</strong> 45-50° N<br />

LATITUDES ACCORDING TO <strong>THE</strong> IPCC TAR CLIMATE MODELS<br />

Schlanger Vera 1 , Máthé Csongor 2 and Mika János 1<br />

1 Hungarian Meteorological Service, 1525 Budapest, P. O. Box 38<br />

schlanger.v@met.hu, mika@met.hu<br />

2 Faculty of Geography, Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca, Clinicilor 5-7, Romania<br />

Statistical elaboration of a large number of GCM outputs may reduce the uncertainty of climate<br />

prediction for a selected region. Hence, temperature and precipitation results of 17 GCMs are used to<br />

outline the longitudinal differences in simulated regional changes along a temperate latitude belt. The<br />

45-50 o N belt is selected, exhibiting wide variety of lowlands and mountains, warm and cold sectors of<br />

oceans. The MAGICC/SCENGEN version 4.1 software (Wigley et al., 2003) is used to obtain and<br />

synchronise the model outputs. The aim of the study is to assess the quality and divergence of<br />

regional simulations, and to see the geographical differences within the geographical belt, with special<br />

regard to the Danube catchment. Results related to years 2025 and 2100 are mainly demonstrated,<br />

expecting a moderate IPCC greenhouse-warming scenario.<br />

Keywords: GCMs, Climate Change, Temperature, Precipitation, Changes in Variability.<br />

_________________<br />

SNOW MEASUREMENTS IN NORWAY USING SNOW PILLOWS<br />

Seierstad Jorun Karoline<br />

Hydrological Department<br />

Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate<br />

e-mail jks@mve.no<br />

For nearly 40 years, Norwegian hydrologists have been using snow pillows to measure the<br />

snow water equivalent (SWE). At present this is the best method we have for this purpose. Data from<br />

the snow pillow is giving a good indication of the amount of water stored in certain catchments -<br />

generally correlating well with models of the SWE. Combined with other instruments such as snow<br />

depth- and air temperature-sensors, it is possible to detect the time of melting and runoff.<br />

34


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

TEMPORARY DYNAMICS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SNOW COVER CHARACTERISTICS IN UKRAINE AS A<br />

CONSEQUENCE <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATIC CHANGES<br />

Snizhko Sergiy, Scherban’ Iryna, Kovalenko Andriy<br />

Kiev Shevchenko National University,<br />

2, Prosp.Glushkova, Kiev, GSP-680, Ukraine<br />

snizhko@univ.kiev.ua<br />

The processes of global warming are observed and to territory of Ukraine located in East<br />

Europe. The regional changes of a climate are characterized usually in the basic parameters<br />

describing distribution of heat and a moisture in territory of the country.<br />

The increase of temperature in north of the country has made 0,7-0,9°С, in the south 0,2 -<br />

0,3°С (Climate of Ukraine,2003). The precipitation rate in some areas of Ukraine has increased on 7-<br />

10 %, and in some have remained without change (Climate of Ukraine, 2003).<br />

The snow cover can serve too as the indicator of global and regional climate changes.<br />

Therefore in the given article is analysed temporary dynamics of change of the basic characteristics of<br />

a snow cover in Ukraine.<br />

Snow cover is one of the most important variables affecting agriculture, transport, municipal<br />

economy, recreation, hydrology and climate, but detailed measurements are not widely available.<br />

Using long-term snow cover data from the North-East regions of Ukraine (research region<br />

145,9 thousand км 2 ) this paper focuses on the validation, spatial and temporal changing of the snow<br />

characteristics using 35 years of data (1966–2001) at 21 stations. The snow cover is in this region<br />

steady and observed annually. In the central and southern parts of the country a snow cover is<br />

observed only in 50 % of winters.<br />

Seasonal snow cover information was reconstructed from the main characteristics of snow<br />

cover: its depth and density, water reserves in snow cover, annual snow cover duration.<br />

For data processing were used the classical methods of mathematical statistics. The statistical<br />

parameters and trends of temporary changes of seasonal series of the various snow cover<br />

characteristics were calculated.<br />

On the basis of these accounts was analysed the most prominent regional features and<br />

magnitude of spatial and temporal variations of snow cover characteristic.<br />

Research of dynamics of a snow cover parameters as indicators of regional climate change<br />

has shown that the processes of change differ over this small region.<br />

In southern and western part of this region were found out the negative tendencies of change<br />

of a snow cover parameters, which are characterize a climate warming.<br />

On the contrary in northern and east part of this region were found out the positive tendencies<br />

of snow cover change.<br />

Such tendencies of change of a snow cover are explained first of all by transformation of<br />

atmospheric circulating processes. The winter сlimate of southern and western part of researched<br />

territory is formed under influence of cyclonal processes moving to Ukraine from Atlantic and<br />

Mediterranean. In this part of Ukraine are observed the same processes of climate change as well as<br />

in Central Europe. The IPCC’s Third Assessment Report noted, that winters warm is more in<br />

continental eastern Europe (Climate Change,2001).<br />

Here is formed a moderate climate with warm winters, which duration is slowly reduced. It is<br />

reflected and in a snow cover parameters.<br />

East part of region has more continental climate, which is formed under the large influence of<br />

the Asian anticyclone promoting formation of cold weather. In this territory are kept the tendencies to<br />

stabilization of duration of the winter period and even to its increase.<br />

35


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The results of researches can be very valuable not only for study of regional processes of<br />

climate change, but also for strategic planning water management in Ukraine.<br />

_________________<br />

OROGRAPHICAL AREAS <strong>OF</strong> MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM <strong>OF</strong> PRECIPITATIONS ON <strong>THE</strong><br />

TERRITORY <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> UKRAINIAN CARPATHIANS.<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ACCOUNT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong>SE FEATURES IN A HYDROLOGICAL PRACTICE<br />

Sosyedko Mykhaylo<br />

Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Research Institute,<br />

Pr. Nauky, 37, Kyiv 02028 Ukraine<br />

e-mail: sosedko_m@ukr.net<br />

A variety of orographical conditions, distinction of an exposition of mountain ridges concerning<br />

damp air streams and speeds of moving of air masses and their interaction complicate the general<br />

representation about spatial distribution of precipitations in the Carpathians. Not looking at all these<br />

circumstances, on the highland of the Carpathians by the detailed analysis of the given observations<br />

from 95 items are determined orographical areas of maximum and minimum of precipitations. Their<br />

stability is kept in time and space and shown both in annual quantities of precipitations and for the<br />

periods of the outstanding floods.<br />

In the Tisza basin are determined two areas of maximum of precipitations and one area of<br />

their minimum. Along northwest slopes of the Carpathians are well outlined orographical areas with<br />

maximum and minimum of precipitations.<br />

Tisza<br />

Orographical areas of maximum and minimum of precipitations in highland of the Carpathian<br />

region<br />

River basin<br />

Dnister<br />

Prut<br />

Areas of<br />

maximum and<br />

minimum of<br />

precipitations<br />

Averageannual<br />

36<br />

Quantity of precipitations, mm<br />

For abounding in<br />

water years<br />

Maximal for 24 h.<br />

(probability<br />

by1-2 %)<br />

maximum 1200-1600 1600-2200 130-170<br />

maximum 1000-1200 1400-1600 80-110<br />

minimum 900-1000 1100-1300 60-80<br />

maximum 950-1100 1300-1800 180-250<br />

minimum 850-950 1100-1300 90-100<br />

maximum 900-1270 1300-1600 140-180<br />

minimum 650-750 950-1100 80-100<br />

Stability of orographical areas with maximum and minimum of precipitations is displayed in the<br />

characteristics of a river runoff estimated on long-term data. Values of specific rates of the maximal<br />

water discharges by probability 1%, led to the area 200 km 2 , increase from 0,2-0,5 in foothills up to 2-3<br />

m 3 /(s . km 2 ) in areas of maximum of precipitations. And in areas with minimum of precipitations they do<br />

not exceed 1,0-1,5 m 3 /(s . km 2 ).<br />

Interdependence of characteristics of the river runoff and distribution of precipitations is used<br />

for hydrological calculations concerning acknowledgement of stability of the runoff characteristics.<br />

Means, that the last change both on the area and with height of the terrain.<br />

Knowledge of an arrangement of orographical maximum and minimum of precipitations on the<br />

territory of the Carpathian region have got great value at creation of the basin forecasting systems –


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

estimation of parameters of mathematical models (including areal) for the particular basins and<br />

particular areas, as their compound.<br />

Thus, there is an opportunity to receive the generalized parameters of models depending on<br />

landscape conditions and to apply them to modeling of floods from the catchments, which have been<br />

not studied in the hydrological attitude.<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> INFLUENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS ON <strong>THE</strong> RIVER BASIN RUN<strong>OF</strong>F<br />

USING MONTHLY DATA FOR <strong>THE</strong> HBV MODEL<br />

Stanev Krassimir<br />

National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology,<br />

66 Tzarigradsko chaussee, Sofia, Bulgaria,<br />

e-mail: Krassimir.Stanev@meteo.bg<br />

The issue of the climate variation, fluctuations and change has always been in the focus of<br />

meteorological and climatological researchers working in various domains. The complexity of the<br />

climate makes it impossible to study it globally. Only components of the climate may be monitored, of<br />

which air temperature and the water from precipitation are most studied. The studies published during<br />

the latest decades point out that the global warming of the Earth is about to become one of the most<br />

acute troubles humanity faces, mostly because of its on the whole social-economic activity.<br />

This report presents an application of a HBV model version developed for the project “Climate<br />

Change and Energy Production”, a Nordic project aimed at evaluating the impacts of climate change<br />

on the water resources for the North Bulgarian River Osam. The model has a simple vegetation<br />

parametrization including interception, temperature based evapotranspiration calculations, lake<br />

evaporation, lake routing, glacier mass balance simulation, special functions for climate change<br />

simulations etc. The HBV model can be classified as a semi-distributed conceptual model. The main<br />

input variables used in this report are the average monthly temperature, monthly totals of the<br />

precipitation, the potential evapotranspiration and the monthly discharges.<br />

The HBV model was applied for assessment of climate change impacts on the elements of<br />

hydrological cycle for the Bulgarian part of the Osam River basin (cross sections Troyan – 458,1 km 2<br />

and cross-section Izgrev – 2154,0 km 2 ), using two scenarios. The River Osam flows from South to<br />

North up to the Danube River. The obtained results are promising and they show the potential<br />

possibility for the HBV model use to assess the climate change impacts for different scenarios on the<br />

elements of the hydrological cycle for the Bulgarian Northern river basins using monthly data.<br />

Keywords: hydrology, forecasting, modelling, climate change scenarios<br />

_________________<br />

REPETITIVENESS <strong>OF</strong> COLD WINTERS AND ICE COVER ON <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE IN BELGRADE<br />

REGION AND SOLAR ACTIVITY<br />

Todorović N.* and Vujović D.**<br />

*Hydrometeorological service of Serbia, Kneza Višeslava 66, Belgrade, Serbia, todor52@yahoo.com<br />

**Institute of Meteorology, University of Belgrade, Dobračina 16, Belgrade, Serbia,<br />

dvujovic@ff.bg.ac.yu<br />

The aim of this paper is establishing of the lawfulness of the cold winters and ice cover on the<br />

Danube repetitiveness in Belgrade region (Serbia) and their predictability. Minimum, maximum and<br />

mean daily air winter temperatures for the period 1887 to 2006 for Belgrade-Observatory and ice<br />

cover data for hydrological station Belgrade-Zemun were analyzed. Trends and percentiles of average<br />

minimum, maximum and mean air temperatures, average absolute monthly minimum and maximum<br />

37


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

temperatures, absolute extremes, ice day number, ice run and freeze-up day number for three winter<br />

months (December, January, February) were calculated and showed by graphics.<br />

An increasing trend of all temperature parameters was discerned: the minimum increase in the<br />

seasonal absolute maximum (1.6°C/100 years), the maximum increase in the seasonal absolute<br />

minimum (4.6°C/100 years). An increasing trend of seasonal: mean temperature is 2°C/100 years,<br />

maximum temperature is 1.7°C/100 years and minimum temperature is 3,2°C/100 years. The one part<br />

of this increase can be explained by microclimatic changes because of urban development of<br />

meteorological station environment and heat island formation on million city area, the second part by<br />

global temperature increase. On the global level, except an influence of geophysical and<br />

anthropogenic factors, important part can be solar activity, because of conformity of global<br />

temperature and solar activity curves. A decreasing trend of seasonal ice day number was discerned<br />

(6 days/100 years).<br />

From 119 analyzed winters, 29 were cold (24th percentile), from which 13 were very cold (9th<br />

percentile) and 2 extremely cold (1st percentile). Cold winters were appeared more frequently in the<br />

period 1887 to 1964 (25 cases), but considerably less frequently in the period 1965 to 2006 (4 cases).<br />

Temperature parameters trends, especially characteristic increasing trend of mean minimum<br />

temperature (3.2° C/100 years) point that there is a cold winters decreasing trend in the past 40 years.<br />

Besides, the comparative analysis of winter temperatures and solar cycle’s duration graphics<br />

was showed that cold winters were occurred, with a few exceptions, about minimum solar activity, or<br />

on the decreasing part of solar activity curve. There were only a few cold winters on the increasing<br />

part of solar activity curve.<br />

A decreasing trend of ice cover day number on the Danube was discerned: for freeze-up 12.1<br />

day/100 years, for ice run 13.7 day/100 years, and for the sum of freeze-up and ice run days 25.8<br />

day/100 years.<br />

According to above exposed the relationship between cold winters and ice cover<br />

repetitiveness and solar cycles, maybe is possible on the basis outstanding solar activity provide the<br />

forecast of occurrence of cold winter with ice cover on the Danube. According this, there is little<br />

probability for very cold and extremely cold winter occurrence with great number of days with ice cover<br />

on the Danube on Belgrade area in the next decade, for 24th solar cycle duration. The occurrence of<br />

the usually cold winters with ice cover is possible in the next 2-3 years (until 2008), and their<br />

occurrence possibility increases in the last years of the 24th solar cycle period (2013-2017).<br />

Keywords: cold winters, ice cover on the Danube, solar activity<br />

_________________<br />

RAINWATER MANAGEMENT TO ALLEVIATE NEGATIVE IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATE CHANGE ON<br />

WATER RESOURCES<br />

van Leeuwen Nico H., Civil Engineer<br />

(former FAO expert in irrigation and water resources management)<br />

3 Avenue du Four d’Eyglun<br />

13090 Aix en Provence, France<br />

nico.vanleeuwen@free.fr<br />

The potential impact of appropriate management of rainwater, being the original supply of<br />

freshwater resources, is generally underestimated. Large-scale urbanization and highly mechanized<br />

agriculture in the industrialized countries are “water-proofing” the surface of the land. In arid and semiarid<br />

areas, soil erosion and desertification are reducing the water retention of the soil as well as the<br />

recharge of groundwater. Precious water resources are lost and flood damage is becoming more<br />

frequent. Climate change, as acknowledged at present, will exacerbate this trend in the near future.<br />

Simultaneously, the agricultural sector is faced with the challenge to produce more food for the<br />

increasing world population and at the same time to reduce the number of undernourished. Major<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

efforts are directed towards growing more food with less water but surprisingly little attention is given<br />

to improved management of rainwater.<br />

Conservation Agriculture and rainwater harvesting, techniques that were used since many<br />

centuries and now being re-discovered, have shown to be adaptable to all sort of situations, to<br />

immediately increase agricultural production and to have a major impact on the global availability of<br />

water resources for industry, domestic purposes and for irrigation.<br />

_________________<br />

CLIMATE INDICES <strong>OF</strong> PRECIPITATION IN BELGRADE<br />

Zivlak Branko 1) , Popovic Tihomir 2) , Palmar Bojan 1)<br />

1) Republic Hydrometerological Service, Belgrade, Kneza Viseslava 66,<br />

zivlak@hidmet.sr.gov.yu, bpalmar@hidmet.sr.gov.yu<br />

2) Serbian Environmental Protection Agency, Beograd, Ruže Jovanovića 27a,<br />

tihomir.popovic@sepa.sr.gov.yu<br />

In this paper climate indices that characterize precipitation regime recorded at the<br />

Meteorological Observatory Beograd are presented. The extensive analysis and quality control of the<br />

precipitation records are carried out using different types of software including software recommended<br />

by WMO. For the long precipitation records the Sozanov index that indicates the relation between<br />

warm years and precipitation deficit is calculated.<br />

The changes and assessment of annual precipitation sums for several decades in Belgrade<br />

are made through the standardized deviations. Deviations are defined in relation to the normal 1961-<br />

1990.<br />

S_rr<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

-1<br />

-2<br />

-3<br />

-4<br />

-5<br />

1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000<br />

Figure Standardized deviations of annual precipitation quantities in Belgrade<br />

Trends in climate indices and hydrological records are compared in order to analyze human<br />

impact on the hydrological cycle and to detect relationships between the extreme events and the<br />

changes in the use of natural resources in the basin.<br />

First restriction we face is that the lengths of flow record are more or less inadequate for<br />

detection and distinction of trend that is a result of climate variability or climate change. Even<br />

climatological records are short for this type of analyses. Maybe as a result of this fact the three<br />

indices that are found to be most influencing have failed homogeneity test. For two of these three<br />

indices 646 SDII and 005 Prcp significant positive trends are detected.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

For the majority of the flow records negative trend is detected in the respective period. For the<br />

different profiles the significance of the detected trend in mean, minimum or maximum flow records is<br />

determined. The significant relation measured by correlation coefficient is found only between mean<br />

flow series for Sava river and index 606 R10, but the similar pattern in correlation structure is detected<br />

for all profiles. On the basis of that structure one can conclude that the indices 606 R10, 646 SDII and<br />

005 Prcp can provide the most of the information on flow regime change.<br />

All this calculations are performed with assumption that impact in terms of anthropogenic<br />

activities: urbanization, deforestation or changes in agricultural practice in the river basin, is moderate.<br />

Taking all this activities into account will in turn make things more difficult in detecting and<br />

distinguishing different sources of human impact on water recourses.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

42


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

MODELING <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> HIGH FLOW IN MARITZA RIVER BASIN IN AUGUST 2005<br />

ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> INFLUENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> TOPOLNITZA RESERVOIR<br />

Artinian Eram<br />

National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology of Bulgaria – regional centre Plovdiv<br />

eram.artinian@meteo.bg<br />

High waters that streamed down the beds of nearly all rivers of Maritza river basin and<br />

especially down the bed of Topolnitza river from the fourth till the seventh day of August 2005 were an<br />

event of major influence upon all aspects of life in this region of Bulgaria. They were caused by the<br />

extreme amount of rainfall in the areas of Ihtiman, Kostenets, Dolna Banya etc., in the North-West part<br />

of the river basin on the fourth and the fifth day of August and in the Rhodopy and the Gornotrakiyska<br />

valley regions on the following days. The high water stream itself caused overflow of the rivers Mativir,<br />

Topolnitza and Maritza in a number of areas downstream of their river beds and caused substantial<br />

material damages and even took away a human life. In the Rhodopi region, the waters of Chepinska,<br />

Cherna, Shirokolashka and Chepelarska rivers also caused substantial disruption of their river banks.<br />

Supporting walls and other items of infrastructure were pulled down at many places. Large areas of<br />

road covering sank down. Considerable material damages were caused in the towns of Smolyan,<br />

Velingrad and Chepelare.<br />

To find the numerical expression of the approximate flow in the river network near the city of<br />

Plovdiv for the purposes of this research, the physical processes in the ground layer of the<br />

atmosphere, in the ground – under ground combination and in the river network for the period from the<br />

first till the tenth of August were simulated. Streamflow is calculated for profiles with monitored river<br />

flow and in separate, additional profiles like outlets of rivers to Maritza (Ochushnitza, Yadenitza, Luda<br />

Yana, Vacha). The purpose of this analysis is to explain the genesis of the high wave rather than to<br />

give a precise numerical expression of its existence. Therefore, the numerical results achieved during<br />

the modeling shall be considered as tentative.<br />

Due to the decisive influence of the artificial lake of Topolnitza over the hydrological processes<br />

in the river beds of the rivers Topolnitza and Maritza, an evaluation was made in this research of the<br />

influence of the Topolnitza reservoir over the maximum water quantities that flew down through the<br />

cities of Pazardzhik and Plovdiv. The natural water feed at the wall of the artificial lake of Topolnitza<br />

was simulated. The daily average flow of the Maritza river at the city of Pazardzhik and at the city of<br />

Plovdiv was simulated on the following three conditional hypothesis: A) natural flow down the whole<br />

basin with the exclusion of the Vacha cascade; B) Evaluation of the regulative influence of the artificial<br />

lake of Topolnitza by data given by “Irrigation systems” PLC; C) option with closed valves of the<br />

artificial lake.<br />

Numerical models adapted for the basin of Maritza were used for the simulation. These<br />

models have been developed by CNRM Météo-France and “Ecole de Mines de Paris” (France). The<br />

first organization is a research center at the National Institute of Meteorology of France and there the<br />

ISBA (Interface Soil Biosphere Atmosphere) scheme has been developed. The second one is the<br />

Higher Institute of Mining – Paris, where the hydrological and hydro geological method Modcou has<br />

been developed. The scheme and the model are consecutively connected and are usually used jointly<br />

for hydrological modeling and prognosis on national scale in France, Canada and other countries.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

LOW FLOW <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SAVA RIVER IN <strong>THE</strong> REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> CROATIA<br />

Barbalić Marina 1 and Kratofil Lidija 2<br />

1 Hrvatske vode, Ulica grada Vukovara 220, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia, rmarina@voda.hr<br />

2 Hrvatske vode, Ulica grada Vukovara 220, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia, lidija.kratofil@voda.hr<br />

Understanding of the hydrological features and genesis of low flow is exceptionally important<br />

for all aspects of water management.<br />

Constant growing needs for water during the low flow period (irrigation, navigation, water<br />

supply, cooling, pollution emission, etc) are frequently coming into conflict with ecosystem<br />

requirements (achieving of environmental objectives). This issue is exceptionally complex in<br />

international river basins, such as the Sava River basin, which covers four countries.<br />

For this reason, there is a constant need for up-to-date hydrological studies as basis for river<br />

basin management plans and water management decision making.<br />

To improve the understanding of the hydrological features of the Sava River basin low flows in<br />

the Republic of Croatia, the project ″Study of low flows in the Sava River basin″ was initiated by<br />

Hrvatske vode. This paper summarizes the results of the study for the Sava River in the Republic of<br />

Croatia.<br />

Keywords: low flow, the Sava River, hydrological analyses, Croatia<br />

_________________<br />

CHANGES <strong>OF</strong> RIVER CROSS-SECTIONS ON SLOVAK PART <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE IN <strong>THE</strong> PERIOD 1986-<br />

2005<br />

Blaškovičová Lotta 1 , Martinka Michal 2 , Poórová Jana 3<br />

1 Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic, e-mail:<br />

lotta.blaskovicova@shmu.sk<br />

2 Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic, e-mail:<br />

michal.martinka@shmu.sk<br />

3 Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic, email:jana.poorova@shmu.sk<br />

The article is focused on presentation of changes of river cross section and level of the river<br />

bed in the water-gauging station Danube – Bratislava during the period of last 20 years. The basis of<br />

the work is the data from the regular discharge measurements performed from the bridge with using<br />

the rotating current meter. The article also covers the changes in development of the river bed,<br />

changes in stage-discharge relation and flow velocities caused by building the waterwork Gabčíkovo<br />

in October 1992.<br />

Keywords: water stage, river cross-section, stage-discharge relation<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> DISCHARGES ALONG <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER WATERCOURSE<br />

Bonacci Ognjen 1 & Trninić Dušan 2<br />

1 Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Split University, 21000 Split,<br />

Matice hrvatske 15, Croatia, E-mail: obonacci@gradst.hr<br />

2 State Hydrometeorological Institute, 10000 Zagreb,<br />

Grič 3, Croatia, E-mail : trninic@cirus.hr<br />

In this paper changes of discharge regime along the Danube River during last sixty to hundred<br />

years are investigated. Minimum, mean and maximum annual and monthly discharges measured at<br />

next eleven discharge gauging stations are analysed: Regensburg (Germany), Bratislava (Slovakia),<br />

Nagymaros (Hungary), Bezdan, Pančevo (Serbia and Montenegro), Novo Selo, Lom, Svishtov, Russe,<br />

Silistra (Bulgaria) and Ceatal Izmail (Rumania). Massive construction in the Danube basin and the<br />

river itself during last few centuries caused many different and possibly dangerous changes of flow<br />

regime along the Danube River watercourse. Accent in investigation is put on changes occurred<br />

during last thirty-odd years, probably caused by climate change and/or variability.<br />

Keywords: discharge, anthropogenic influence, climate change, Danube River<br />

_________________<br />

FLOODS IN UKRAINE<br />

Boyeva Helena<br />

State Committee for water management of Ukraine<br />

8, Chervonoarmiyska Str.<br />

01601, Kiev-4, Ukraine<br />

Tel/Fax +38(044) 235-48-99<br />

e-mail: dpdwr@ukr.net<br />

The problem of flood protections is becoming one of the most important for many countries<br />

nowadays. The last decade temps and scales of natural resources use increase and this in its turn<br />

leads to increasing anthropogenic pressure on environment. Protection of territories with minimization<br />

harmful water impact is one of the tasks of state policy. Working out methods on minimizing negative<br />

anthropogenic influences on environment as a result of racial system of economic development is the<br />

priority directions for the areas with great frequency of these phenomena.<br />

Keywords floods, floods forming factors, surface run-off, negative impact of flood water.<br />

_________________<br />

HYSTERESIS IN <strong>THE</strong> WATER STAGE – WATER VELOCITY RELATION AT <strong>THE</strong> OCCURRENCE<br />

<strong>OF</strong> FLOOD EVENT<br />

Brilly M., Štravs L., Rusjan S., Petan S., Padežnik M. & Vidmar A.<br />

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Civil Engineering,<br />

Jamova 2, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia, mbrilly@fgg.uni-lj.si<br />

Accurate discharge estimation is crucial for an efficient river basin management and especially<br />

for flood forecasting and issuing warnings related to possible extreme flood events. By using 1D<br />

ultrasonic Doppler instrument we recorded the actual relation between the water stage and the flow<br />

velocity at the occurrence of flood waves. Unsteadiness in the water stage – water velocity relation<br />

45


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

causes the trajectory of the flood event to appear as a loop on the stage–velocity diagram. Results of<br />

the 6-year time measurements at different water stations on Slovenian rivers (Sava, Dragonja,<br />

Gradascica, Reka, etc.) show non-negligible differences in water velocities on the rising and falling<br />

limbs of the flood waves at the same water stage.<br />

Keywords: hydrology, velocity of water, Doppler instrument, flood<br />

_________________<br />

ESTIMATING TIME <strong>OF</strong> FLOOD WAVE PROPAGATION AND STAGE - DISCHARGE CURVE<br />

FITTING BY DOPPLER VELOCITY METER<br />

Brilly M., Štravs L. & Vidmar A.<br />

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Civil Engineering,<br />

Jamova 2, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia, mbrilly@fgg.uni-lj.si<br />

Water velocity, depth and temperature measurements were performed simultaneously at two<br />

water stations (Medno and Hrastnik) on the Sava River in Slovenia. The stations are at a distance of<br />

66.5 kilometers. The Unidata Starflow ultrasonic Doppler instruments were used for measurements.<br />

Data are registered at a five-minute time step. The aim of the study was to continue testing the<br />

performance and applicability of up-to-date equipment for water velocity and depth measurements<br />

when in natural conditions with regard to regular hydrological measurement. The data were analyzed<br />

for several months so that the stage velocity curve and stage travel time curve were formed. The<br />

stage velocity curves were compared with discharge velocity measurements made by current meters.<br />

The velocity curves were smoothed by the moving average method and simple mathematical methods<br />

used for curve fitting. The measurements of velocity made by the Doppler instruments and current<br />

meter fit very well. As established, the Doppler instrument provided additional data that have proven<br />

useful in discharge estimation.<br />

Keywords: hydrology, velocity of water, Doppler instrument, flood wave, channel routing velocity<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> INTERACTION BETWEEN CHANNEL NETWORK AND GROUNDWATER AT RYE<br />

ISLAND<br />

Dulovičová Renáta<br />

Institute of Hydrology, Račianska 75, 811 02 Bratislava, Slovak Republic, dulovicova@uh.savba.sk<br />

The region of Rye Island is part of the Danube Lowland. Rye Island is the area between two<br />

branches of the Danube river, on which this river is devided just below Slovak capital Bratislava: the<br />

Danube and the Small Danube. These two branches join each other near the town Komárno. The area<br />

of Rye Island is approximately 2000 km 2 and represents about 4 % of the Slovak territory. It forms a<br />

flat plain with only small differences in altitude. Its average slope is about 2,5.10 -4 and there was one<br />

of the reasons for building up channel network at this area.<br />

This channel network had to supply by water some parts of Rye Island area and on the other<br />

hand it had to regulate the groundwater resources at Rye Island. The channel SVI, SVII and<br />

Komarnansky channel are three the most important channels at this channel network and channel<br />

SVII is the biggest channel from them. The interaction between channel network and groundwater was<br />

simulated and calculated by two forms. The first way is the computation of infiltration from channel to<br />

saturated groundwater collector (or reversal) by the hydrodynamic model SKOKY and the second way<br />

is the computation by “interaction formulas”, with full acceptation of the influence of mutual interaction<br />

between surface and groundwater.<br />

Inlet (or outlet) from groundwater to open channel is key hydraulic characteristic in this<br />

process. This characteristic is given as inlet (outlet) q (m 3 .s -1 ) over the channel bottom area which is<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

fallen to one meter of length channel – it is so called „specific discharge“ q (m 2 .s -1 ). Intensity of this<br />

characteristic determines the degree of open channel impact to groundwater and reversal,<br />

groundwater impact to open channel. Discharge q constitutes as input characteristic (for surface<br />

water) or as boundary condition (for groundwater).<br />

The aim was to find the exchangeable instrument between surface water flow and ground<br />

water flow hydrodynamic models, because their outputs are influenced just by the specific discharge.<br />

It means to built up the “interaction formulas” for each selected cross-section profile and verify them.<br />

Their task consists of simplification of computation of recharge to open channels bed with full<br />

acceptation of the influence their mutual interaction with ground water. It means to reduce the<br />

computations by hydrodynamic models so that they could be used separately, without their mutual<br />

dependency, but wit full acceptation of interaction influence. Interaction formulas are able to find the<br />

discharge value q without repeated application of hydrodynamic models. If they are once built up for<br />

one open channel, they substitute the groundwater hydrodynamic model at flow simulation in this<br />

channel and reversal.<br />

This contribution deals with self building-up of interaction formulas for 9 singular cross-section<br />

profiles of SVII channel and verification its parameters. There were selected 4 variants of groundwater<br />

level in channel surroundings and 4 variants of water depth in channel for all 9 cross-sections of<br />

channel SVII. Consequently velocity field files, global recharges and “verifying recharges” were<br />

calculated for these 4 alternatives of groundwater level and channel depth conditions, for every<br />

selected cross-section profile of SVII channel. Then the parameters of these searched interaction<br />

formulas were calculated from the establishing system of linear equations by matrix method. The<br />

verification of found interaction formulas validity and their reliability was made by comparison of<br />

calculated recharges (by interaction formulas) and “verifying recharges”.<br />

Keywords: channel network, surface and ground water interaction, channel surroundings, interaction<br />

formulas, verifying discharges (recharges)<br />

_________________<br />

CONCEPTUAL MODELLING AT RIVER TISZA<br />

Zsuzsanna Flachner – Zsuzsanna Nagy<br />

Reasearch Institute for Soil and Agrochemistry, Hungarian Academy of Sciences,<br />

15 Herman Otto Street, 1022 Budapest<br />

e-mail: flachner@rissac.hu<br />

Corvinus University of Budapest, 29-43.Villanyi u.29-43., H-1118 Budapest,<br />

e-mail: zsuzsanna.nagy14@uni-corvinus.hu<br />

The Tisza river is one of the most investigated river in Hungary, especially after the cianid spill<br />

in 2000. The Tisza river project just concluded that even if all known point sources will be eliminated<br />

the pollution load will still remain at high level (90%, www.Tisza.org, Jolankai et all 2005.) Beside of<br />

the pollution extreme events such as flood (2001, 2006) and inland water stagnation (water logging),<br />

draught occur nearly in each year (maximum water logging area was in 1999, 430.000 ha).<br />

To have solution for these problems we need to have integrated approach where all<br />

stakeholders, different ministries who are in charge to finance these programmes are debuting on the<br />

issues and the possible solutions. These processes have started in the frame of the New Vasarhelyi<br />

Plan (VTT) (1 st phase of planning : 2000-2002, 2 nd phase: 2003-2005, re-planning: 2006-…) and lead<br />

to a special situation of accepting a civic (bottom up ) proposal to modify the state financed plan. The<br />

incorporation of the shallow flooding concept for floodplain retention (Bokatisz, 2002) was a large<br />

improvement for the project from integrated measures, solutions perspective in which the flood<br />

retention areas were planned to serve multifunctional purposes: contribute to the reduction of flood<br />

risk, provide water for floodplain revitalization in each year, implement land use change for area with<br />

high risk of water logging and also to integrated rural development.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The process however had another dimension – need to generate public debate, create<br />

understanding of the cross-cutting issues, the interrelation of the long term degradation of the Tisza<br />

valley in all means (social, economic and ecologic) and to present cost effective solutions. The<br />

concept developed by local stakeholders, civic organisations (Bokartisz planning team) in<br />

collaboration with national research and planning institutes (VATI, Technical University of Budapest,<br />

RISSAC) were discussed and improved along the participatory planning with the involvement of areas<br />

with long term interest in revitalizing of floodplains along the Tisza river (e.g. Nagykörű, Dél-Borsod,<br />

Bereg, Szamos – Kraszna köz). Several trainings, meetings, conferences were organized during the<br />

last 3 years, providing the opportunity to harmonize the ideas, discuss the alternatives. In this process<br />

several debuting techniques were applied with different success. Problem with understanding the<br />

cause- effect relations and the role of different actors in implementation remains as a issue to solve<br />

with different ways.<br />

Among several techniques the EU funded NeWater project (www.newater.org) has created the<br />

work environment to help to summarize these discussions and all related research work with a<br />

computer aided tool (Vensim). There were several stakeholders both at national and local levels from<br />

all types (research, municipality, NGO, planning, policy) participating at meetings organized by<br />

RISSAC and elements of the already drawn model were elaborated and specific process explained<br />

(such as the operation of `FOK (notch)- system, the soil characteristics of the area, etc.) to the<br />

international partners (UFZ, Leipzig; IIASA, Austria) who were responsible for putting these structures<br />

into flowcharts (in Vensim).<br />

In the paper the original main elements of the model concept of floodplain retention in the VTT<br />

will be presented, its development process together with the first attempts of the Hungarian modelling<br />

team exercise in the NeWater project. Further results on these activities will be available after applying<br />

the method developed in local meetings, stakeholder discussions planned to be hold during next year.<br />

Keywords: Tisza, shallow flooding concept, landuse, public debute, conceptualization, multi-purpuse<br />

solutions<br />

_________________<br />

MODEL <strong>OF</strong> POSITIVE SURGE MOVING UPSTREAM FROM <strong>THE</strong> HYDRO-POWER PLANT<br />

VARAŽDIN<br />

Gjetvaj Goran 1 , Šustić Diana 2<br />

1 Faculty of Civil Engineering, Zagreb, Kačićeva 26, E-mal: goran@grad.hr<br />

2 VPB, L.c., Zagreb, Ul. Grada Vukovara 220: E-mail: diana.sustic@zg.t-com.hr<br />

Increasing demand for electric power motivates engineers to reconstruct the existing hydropower<br />

plants (HPP) in the way to produce more electricity, especially in the periods when the demand<br />

for energy is the largest. The existing refurbishment of HPP Varaždin, located on the Drava river,<br />

anticipates the increase of the existing maximum installed discharge of 450 m 3 /s to the new maximum<br />

discharge of 550 m 3 /s. Engineers are interested in the determination of the maximum water level<br />

developed by positive surge moving upstream as a result of a sudden rejection of load in a power<br />

canal. This information is required in the design of the canal for establishing the height of<br />

embankments necessary to prevent overflow.<br />

In this paper the simulation of advancing wave front moving upstream from HPP in the case of<br />

instantaneous decrease of discharge has been simulated. The simulation has been performed by use<br />

of HEC-RAS program. HEC-RAS supports one-dimensional steady and unsteady flow water surface<br />

profile calculations, as well as rapidly varied unsteady flow in open channel. The first goal was to test<br />

the new version (Version 3.1.3) of developed model in a case for which they are no a lot of examples.<br />

The developed model was calibrated on the existing measurement performed when a sudden<br />

decrease of discharge from 450 m 3 /s to 0 m 3 /s occurred. The accuracy of the model is very good.<br />

By the calibrated model the increase of the water level in the channel was calculated in the<br />

case of the power plant standstill and by closing flow regulator in the period of 12 minutes if the flow<br />

48


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

was diminished from 500, 550 and 600 m 3 /s to 0 m 3 /s. The model showed that the water level would<br />

be increased if compared to the present state by 40 cm.<br />

It can be concluded that in the case the installed discharge is increased to 550 m 3 /s it is not<br />

necessary to reconstruct the existing embankment or change the existing plant regulations. If the<br />

installed discharge is to be increased to 600 m 3 /s embankments should be enhanced or it is necessary<br />

to anticipate by plant regulations much longer time for the flow regulator closing in the condition of<br />

maximum water level in the storage reservoir<br />

_________________<br />

IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> EXPECTED CLIMATE CHANGE ON STORAGE VOLUME UTILISATION <strong>OF</strong><br />

IMPORTANT WATER RESERVOIR <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK REPUBLIC<br />

Halmova Dana<br />

Institute of hydrology, Slovak Academy of Sciences (IH SAS), Racianska 75, Bratislava, SR,<br />

halmova@uh.savba.sk<br />

The aim of the paper is to answer the questions: how the expected climate conditions would<br />

influence the inflow into a multipurpose water reservoir Orava (one of the biggest water reservoirs of<br />

the Slovak Republic) and will be the reservoir able to supply a specific water demand during changed<br />

climate conditions?<br />

The rainfall-runoff balance model WBMOD, which works in monthly time step, was used to<br />

express the expected changes of the total runoff and the required reservoir capacity at different<br />

climate conditions. Failures in the required water supply for climate change scenario were then<br />

compared with those observed during the real life reservoir operation.<br />

Time series of precipitation, air temperature and the observed reservoir outflows were used as<br />

the input data. Precipitation and air temperature were modified in each month according to the last<br />

climate scenarios, which were calculated by models CCCM2000 and GISS1998 and estimated for the<br />

Orava reservoir catchment, for two time horizons 2030 and 2075.<br />

The conclusions, of course, pertain only the same water supply realised during the so far<br />

historical operation (1951─1980) of the structure. However, in relation to the changed climatic<br />

conditions, one would expect a rather significant change in water management. The climate change<br />

impacts as presented, are not the exact forecasts, because of uncertainties of the General Circulation<br />

Models (GCMs), as well as of the rainfall – runoff models outputs.<br />

Keywords: rainfall-runoff balance model WBMOD, water reservoir Orava and climate change<br />

scenarios.<br />

_________________<br />

A SIMPLE METHOD FOR EFFECTIVE MULTI-SITE GENERATION <strong>OF</strong> STOCHASTIC<br />

HYDROLOGIC TIME SERIES<br />

Ilich Nesa 1 , Despotovic Dejan 2<br />

1 Adj. Prof., University of Calgary, Alberta, Canada,<br />

e-mail: nilich@optimal-solutions-ltd.com<br />

2 Asoc. Professor, Dep. of Civil Eng, University of Belgrade, Serbia,<br />

e-mail: edespoto@hikom.grf.bg.ac.yu<br />

This paper presents an algorithm for generating stationary stochastic hydrologic time series at<br />

multiple sites. The ideas in this paper constitute a radical departure from commonly accepted<br />

methodologies. Instead of first generating the annual series and then subjecting them to some form of<br />

disaggregation, the approach presented here builds the stochastic series from the bottom up. A<br />

49


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

weekly or monthly time series is first generated independently for each site and each week using<br />

suitable distribution functions, with a focus on the empirically-based kernel distributions. A desired<br />

auto-regressive lag and cross-site correlation structure is then induced by systematically re-ordering<br />

the sequence of data in the generated series in each time step (week or month), thus preserving the<br />

statistical properties of the initially generated series. In the final stage the algorithm permutes the<br />

entire sub-sets of generated data corresponding to a generated annual sequence such that the annual<br />

auto-correlation of desired lag is maintained, along with the lag correlation between the data and the<br />

end of the preceding year and the beginning of the current year. The main features of the proposed<br />

algorithm are simplicity, ease of implementation and ability to handle non-linear dependence if<br />

necessary. A numerical test is presented containing the generation of 1000 years of weekly stochastic<br />

series for four sites based on the 84-year historic natural weekly flows from Southern Alberta in<br />

Canada. The algorithm holds out a promise to provide a daily stochastic time series generation, as<br />

well as to handle partial hydrologic series found in dry regions. The paper also includes additional<br />

discussion on how the stochastically generated series can be used effectively in river basin planning<br />

studies.<br />

_________________<br />

MODERN PROCESSES <strong>OF</strong> WATER RUN<strong>OF</strong>F REDISTRIBUTION IN CHILIA DELTA <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE<br />

RIVER<br />

Kornilov Mikhail<br />

Danube Hydrometeorological Observatory, 36 Geroyev stalingrada,<br />

68600, Izmail, Ukraine.<br />

dhmo@izm.odessa.ukrtel.net<br />

Water runoff redistribution within the delta network is the main feature mostly determining the<br />

processes of delta formation. Runoff distribution is not constant, it changes in dependence from phase<br />

of water regime as well as during multi-year period. The calculation and analysis of water runoff in the<br />

Chilia delta of Danube river had been done in this work.<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> GIS AT <strong>THE</strong> KARST TORRENT HYDROLOGY MODEL<br />

Assist. Ms. sc. Kunštek Duška, C. E 1 ; Assist. B.Sc. Carević Dalibor Carević, C. E 1 ;<br />

Assist. B.Sc. Ocvirk Eva, C. E 1<br />

1 University of Zagreb - Faculty of Civil Engineering, Kačićeva 26, 10000 Zagreb, CROATIA tel:<br />

+385::1: 4639 101, fax +385::1:4639 260,<br />

E-mail: kduska@ grad.hr; car@grad.hr<br />

In the engineering practice there is often the need to evaluate as safely as possible the<br />

catchment runoffs that do not dispose of water metering records or those that are not reliable enough.<br />

A special problem represent irregularly shaped torrents from which the runoff can not be reliably<br />

calculated on the basis of frequently applicable simple parametric methods. From this aspect the<br />

evaluation of torrential runoffs in the karst area, represents a specific problem. The application of<br />

complex models, on the other side, gives more reliable results, but requires mostly unavailable data.<br />

The example of spatial watershed definition, hydrographical network, sink spots and corresponding<br />

subcatchment surfaces in the torrential karst catchment represents only one, but important detail in<br />

each hydrological procedure of catchment runoff defining, and points at the need for a careful<br />

approach in the sense of evaluation and selection of input parameters in the parametric runoff<br />

calculation. One of the specific features of the karst areas as the basic elements of the karst<br />

geomorphology is the sink as a recipient. In solving the runoff from the karst fields the significant input<br />

datum in the calculation model and the limiting feature of the operation of the whole system is the<br />

50


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

absorption capacity of such recipients. The paper takes an example from the practice explaining the<br />

application of the GIS - technology (Geographic Information System) in defining several basic<br />

hydrometric parameters and a unique mathematical approach for the karst sink capacity definition.<br />

Keywords: karst field, sink capacity<br />

_________________<br />

STATISTICAL METHODS FOR CLASSIFICATION <strong>OF</strong> RIVER CHANNEL DEFORMATIONS<br />

Lobanov Vladimir A., Kondratjev Alexander N.<br />

State Hydrological Institute, St.Petersburg, Russia,<br />

lobanov@EL6309.spb.edu<br />

Statistical method has been suggested for a calculation of optimal lines for separation of a<br />

priory obtained classes. This method is based on minimization of errors of values which are outside of<br />

their own class. The method has been applied for data of V.V. Romashin and Van den Berg and as a<br />

result new lines have been calculated which divide the classes by the optimal way. Some statistical<br />

methods have been developed for an assessment of efficiency of classifications. On the basis of these<br />

methods it has been obtained that it is not statistically effective to pick out a class of incomplete<br />

meandering in the Romashin’s classification and it is necessary to combine it with a class of free<br />

meandering. For Van den Berg’s classification it has been established that an additional use of D50 is<br />

not statistical effective too for a separation of single and multi-thread channels.<br />

Keywords: classification, river channels, Romashin and Van den Berg method.<br />

_________________<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> POSSIBLE TRANSFORMATIONS IN HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL AND<br />

CHANNEL PATTERNS UNDER MODERN CLIMATE CHANGE<br />

Lobanov Vladimir, Lobanova Helen, Anisimov Oleg, Kondratjev Alexsander<br />

State Hydrological Institute, St.Petersburg,<br />

Russia, lobanov@EL6309.spb.edu<br />

Fluvial geomorphological model by V. Romashin has been used to assess the potential<br />

impacts of climatic changes on river channel pattern in the North-European Russia. Romashin’s model<br />

is based on the stream power approach characterized by the product of the river discharge and valley<br />

slope. Century-scale observational time series have been analyzed and used to develop a<br />

regionalization of the North-European Russia with respect to changes of the runoff, precipitation and<br />

air temperature. The sensitivity of the fluvial processes and river channel types to climatic changes<br />

has been assessed using the predictive climatic scenarios derived from GCMs and modern empirical<br />

trends.<br />

Keywords: modern climate change, impact, hydrometeorological time series, channel patterns,<br />

trnsformation.<br />

_________________<br />

HUMAN INFLUENCES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROMORPHOLOGICAL PARAMETERS IN <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK<br />

PART <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE CATCHMENT<br />

Renáta Magulová, Lea Mrafková<br />

Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic<br />

www.shmu.sk , renata.magulova@shmu.sk, lea.mrafkova@shmu.sk<br />

In the article the results of hydromorphological assessment in the catchment of Danube are<br />

presented. The hydromorphological assessment in Slovakia has been started in year 2003, when has<br />

51


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

been created the methodology. The methodology has been created in cooperation of SHMI with<br />

Danish colleagues in the frame of Twinning-Light project supported by the European Commision.<br />

Methodology is also in accordance with European Standard EN 14614:2004 Water quality – Guidance<br />

standard for accessing the hydromorphological features of rivers and with Water Framework Directive.<br />

Aims of Water Framework Directive include the monitoring of ecological status of surface<br />

water. Annex V of the Water Framework Directive include the description of assessment of ecological<br />

status of surface water. We divide in generality surface water bodies on: rivers, lakes, transitional<br />

waters, coastal waters, artificial and heavily modified surface water bodies. Slovak republic have not of<br />

course transitional and coastal waters. Water bodies are than divided according type. Different<br />

attributes assess type of water bodies, for example altitude typology, size typology based on surface<br />

area, geology... Basic definition of types in Water Framework Directive according to two systems:<br />

„system A“ and „system B“. The system is chosen according to segmentation on relevant ekoregions,<br />

geology, altitude and catchment area.<br />

The ecological status is defined according to: biological quality elements, hydromorphological<br />

quality elemtns and physico-chemical quality elements. For the statement of hydromorphological<br />

quality of Slovak rivers has been protocol of field survey and assessment created. Slovak republic<br />

have very various rivers and this protocol mus be suitable for evaluating for all of slovak rivers.<br />

According to this protocol of monitoring of hydromorphological conditions the following<br />

features of rivers are evaluated: chanel form (sinuosity, chanel type, chanel shortening), bank and bed<br />

characteristics (bed elements, river bed substrate, variation in width, bank stabilization, flow types),<br />

bank and riparian zone and floodplain area (lateral connectivity, vegetation) and hydrological regime.<br />

In the site protocol are recorded others additionaly parameters (geology of catchment, variation in<br />

depth, river valley form, river use affecting conditions at the site and others...)<br />

The hydromorphological assessment in Slovakia has been started at the sampling sites for<br />

water quality and at reference localities. Reference localities sould correspond with undisturbed<br />

natural status or are affected just minimally. The sampling sites for water quality has been excluded to<br />

enable the analysis of relations between hydromorphological and biological elements of river quality,<br />

needed for development of scheme of classification for water assessment. Hydromorphology of river is<br />

meaningly influenced of using of surface water and ground water (waste water discharges,<br />

surface/ground water abstraction).<br />

The river Danube is heavy influenced with human activities what can we see from the results<br />

of hydromorphological assessment. All of places of hydromorphological assessment on the river<br />

Danube are from monitoring of water quality. In the catchment Danube (SR) are one reference locality<br />

– River Vydrica and begin in 8 river kilometer. From the results is clear, that it is going about at least<br />

influenced locality, what is reflected by good final score.<br />

Keywords: hydromorphology, channel planform, in-stream parameters, bank and riparian zone,<br />

floodplain, hydrology<br />

_________________<br />

A FEW HYDROLOGICAL ANALYSES <strong>OF</strong> HIGH WATERS <strong>OF</strong> KOPAČKI RIT<br />

Maričić Siniša * 1 , Petraš Josip * 2<br />

* Faculty of Civil Engineering, Croatia,<br />

1 University J. J. Strossmayer of Osijek, Drinska 16a, 31 000 Osijek, smaricic@most.gfos.hr<br />

2 University of Zagreb, Kačićeva 26, 10 000 Zagreb, jpetras@grad.hr<br />

Kopački rit Nature Park is one of the largest natural marshlands in Europe, situated in the<br />

north-eastern part of Croatia between the Danube and the river of Drava, upstream from the mouth of<br />

Drava. The area is protected by the Ramsar Convention (1993) as an internationally important flood<br />

area and nominated by UNESCO as the World Natural Heritage. The basic ecological feature of<br />

Kopacki rit is given by the flood-dynamics so that the landscape of the whole region depends on the<br />

flood intensity. The parts of the swamp land and water are arranged in the form of a mosaic that<br />

52


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

changes the size, shape and function. The changes depend on the quantity of the raised water<br />

entering for the major part from the Danube River and for the minor part from the Drava River. Both<br />

the impact of floods on the ecological features of Kopački rit and the flood regime have been<br />

insufficiently examined so far. Only recently the significance and the need for the research of Kopački<br />

Rit’s hydrological regime has been pointed out, which would serve as a comprehensive foundation for<br />

establishing ecological features and rule book that would enable the management of the whole<br />

protected area.<br />

The paper presents a preliminary hydrological analysis stretching over three year period from<br />

2001 to 2003 in which the data on water levels and discharges were collected. The data were taken<br />

over from various sources, and measurements were carried out at different locations and collected<br />

from different monitors. Therefore, the paper points at the procedures of integration and matching of<br />

the acquired data, and extending the needed information by correlative analysis.<br />

The records of Danube’s twenty major water waves (high water levels and corresponding<br />

discharges) were taken from the three year research and focused on to explain the impact of Danube<br />

on the Kopački rit’s waters. The analysis enabled determining the features of filling and emptying of<br />

Kopački rit and establishing the high correlative connection between Kopački lake’s water level and<br />

Danube’s water level at Vukovar.<br />

To determine the interrelation between the water condition at Kopački rit and riverbeds’ waters<br />

of Danube and Drava seven important water waves (the highest water levels and discharges) were<br />

separated and analysed from the monitored three year period. Therefore, correlative analyses of<br />

Kopački lake water level and the water levels of the surrounding water gauging stations on the<br />

Danube and Drava were conducted. The analysis showed a firm correlative connection between<br />

Kopački rit’s water levels and Danube’s water levels, whereas the correlative connection at Drava’s<br />

water levels is hardly marked. Eventually, the paper points at some water balance indicators.<br />

Keywords: hydrological analyse, Kopački rit, corresponding water levels, correlative relationship,<br />

water waves<br />

_________________<br />

EVALUATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MOUNTAIN CATCHMENT’S MOISTURE BY MA<strong>THE</strong>MATICAL MODELING<br />

<strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> RAIN FLOODS<br />

Maslova Tetyana, Sosyedko Mykhaylo<br />

Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Research Institute<br />

Pr. Nauky 37, Kyiv 03028 Ukraine<br />

e-mail: tetjana_maslowa@ukr.net, sosedko_m@ukr.net<br />

Procedure of the evaluation of the catchment’s moisture is developed, which excludes<br />

necessity of long modeling in the operative conditions. Catchment’s moisture is expressed through its<br />

deficiency. Their values are oscillated usually within the limits of 10-50 mm. They are put in<br />

dependence on the specific rates of the runoff before floods and heights of terrain.<br />

Keywords: catchment’s moisture, mathematical modeling, deficiency, floods, specific rate.<br />

53


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ALTERNATIVES TO <strong>THE</strong> IMPLEMENTATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOOD MONITORING SUB-SYSTEMS TO<br />

<strong>THE</strong> END-USERS IN <strong>THE</strong> FRAMEWORK <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> NATO SfP PROJECT<br />

Mic Rodica 1 , Corbus Ciprian 1 , Stancalie Gheorghe 2 , Craciunescu Vasile 2<br />

1 National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management<br />

Sos. Bucuresti-Ploiesti 97 – 013686 Bucuresti – ROMANIA<br />

2 National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology<br />

Sos. Bucuresti-Ploiesti 97 – 013686 Bucuresti – ROMANIA<br />

rodica.mic@hidro.ro, gheorghe.stancalie@meteo.inmh.ro<br />

For the flood waves forecasting in the Crişul Alb and Crişul Negru River Basins, the VIDRA<br />

model is used. The implementation of the model within the hydrological forecasting operative activity<br />

required, firstly, the coupling of the VIDRA model with a meteorological forecasting model.<br />

In the last years, a series of high performance meteorological models was developed in our<br />

country. They could contribute both to the increase in precision of the hydrological forecasts, by<br />

quantifying the meteorological forecasts (passing from the qualitative information to the quantitative<br />

one) and to the increase of the warning anticipation time in case of flooding. Thus, in the frame of the<br />

National Administration of Meteorology (ANM) the models at fine scale are available, with three hours<br />

step, such as ALADIN model (with 48 hours anticipation) and HRM model (with 78 hours anticipation).<br />

By coupling the VIDRA continuous model for hydrological forecasting with the HRM model for<br />

meteorological forecasting, a flooding forecasting system was aimed to be created, which will be<br />

useful for the warning of national authorities that are responsible for water management, both of those<br />

that have at present a forecasting system but do not use the facilities regarding the automatic<br />

elaboration of the meteorological forecasts, and also of those that do not have at present any flooding<br />

forecasting system.<br />

An important objective of the NATO SfP project “Monitoring of extreme flood events in<br />

Romania and Hungary using EO data” is the implementation of the flood management sub-system at<br />

the end-users. This objective is achieved by means of the Internet technology. Thus, the end-user<br />

receives by Internet the information about the hydrological diagnoses and forecast, either by GIS<br />

interface (Web server and a mapserver software programme), case in witch the data comes after the<br />

run of the HRM-VIDRA-UNDA package), or directly, like an alternative, by ProgressView software.<br />

ProgressView software allows a quick and efficient numerical and graphical visualization of<br />

both levels and discharges hydrological diagnose and forecast at the end-users, in the considered<br />

cross-sections along the Crisul Alb and Crisul Negru Rivers.<br />

The main advantages of the ProgressView software are:<br />

- Easy to use because of the Windows interface;<br />

- Possibility of the dialog user - computer;<br />

- Possibility to obtain the input data either by Internet or FTP protocol;<br />

- A suggestive graphical presentation, witch allows a fast decision.<br />

The practical testing of the ProgressView software gives good results. The version developed<br />

under Windows is easy to use and the graphical presentation is very suggestive. Additionally, the<br />

taking of input data either by Intranet or by Internet (by means of the FTP protocol) makes this<br />

software to be functional on every computer with Windows operating system.<br />

54


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

N<br />

∑<br />

n=<br />

1<br />

N<br />

∑<br />

n=<br />

1<br />

−<br />

( ΔV<br />

)<br />

s<br />

E<br />

n<br />

e<br />

I<br />

∑<br />

i = 1<br />

E<br />

−<br />

x<br />

u<br />

x<br />

e<br />

( V<br />

∑<br />

e=<br />

1<br />

[ ( ΔV<br />

) xC ] =<br />

∑<br />

( V )<br />

xC<br />

−<br />

ins<br />

( V<br />

I<br />

∑<br />

i=<br />

1<br />

K<br />

∑<br />

k = 1<br />

)<br />

i<br />

)<br />

( V<br />

( V<br />

−<br />

ins<br />

ws<br />

j<br />

∑<br />

j = 1<br />

K<br />

−<br />

)<br />

)<br />

k<br />

V<br />

∑<br />

k = 1<br />

i<br />

_________________<br />

BASIC METHODOLOGY CONCEPT FOR CREATION <strong>OF</strong> WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT<br />

BALANCE <strong>OF</strong> VOJVODINA<br />

Miloradov Milorad 1 , Prohaska Stevan 2<br />

1 Academy of sciences and arts of Vojvodina (VANU), Dunavska 37, Novi Sad<br />

2 Faculty of mining and geology, Đušina 7, Beograd<br />

This work presents the basic methodology concept for creation of water resource<br />

management balance in Vojvodina. We presented basic balance equation where components of<br />

balance of available water, discharged water from different types of usage and the need for water by<br />

amount and quality are defined in predetermined time interval on considered terrestrial (balance) unit.<br />

Balance equation by amount:<br />

s<br />

n<br />

=<br />

Balance equation of quality of water:<br />

E<br />

e<br />

xC<br />

xC<br />

outs<br />

( V<br />

x<br />

i<br />

x<br />

k<br />

)<br />

ws<br />

−<br />

−<br />

j<br />

)<br />

+<br />

k<br />

J<br />

∑<br />

i=<br />

1<br />

L<br />

∑<br />

l=<br />

1<br />

55<br />

∑<br />

c = 1<br />

L<br />

−<br />

C<br />

( V<br />

∑<br />

( V<br />

( V<br />

l = 1<br />

outs<br />

dis<br />

( V<br />

)<br />

)<br />

j<br />

inf s l<br />

)<br />

c<br />

xC<br />

−<br />

)<br />

inf s l<br />

xC<br />

x<br />

j<br />

+<br />

+<br />

+<br />

M<br />

∑<br />

m = 1<br />

C<br />

∑<br />

c=<br />

1<br />

M<br />

∑<br />

m=<br />

1<br />

( V )<br />

We shortly described the methods of determining and calculating the components of water<br />

resource balance, and the data necessary for realization of those calculations. Balance equations are<br />

divided in two parts: one for surface waters and the other for groundwater’s, and in both equations<br />

component has been added which relates to interaction of these two parts of balance. Input/output<br />

variables are specified for all balance units and required math models are defined for realization of<br />

calculation. Terrestrial balance units are defined for entire territory of Vojvodina starting from very<br />

complex conditions, because many important European river flows run through Vojvodina (Danube,<br />

Tisa, Sava), then along the border of rugged river flows of Banat, which arrive from Romania. All these<br />

river flows, except Sava’s, are rugged with primary and secondary hydro system channels of Danube<br />

– Tisa – Danube, where hydro technical object have been build (gats, navigation locks, pump stations,<br />

etc.) which makes the runoff even more complex. Basic data sources have been determined starting<br />

from available data about hydrographic network of river flow; aquifer of groundwater’s, water resource<br />

objects and plants, data on hydro meteorological measurements and observations, data of withdrawal<br />

waters for all purpose, and discharged water from all sources of usage. Space and time discrimination<br />

of input/output variables is included on the basis of available time series, for other variables values<br />

can be given directly on basis of available data or calculations based on defined math models. The<br />

periods of discreet time can be changeable, but the same for all balance units. It has been suggested<br />

that discreet time should be a decade or a month, and based on that seasonal, annual and multiyear<br />

variations can be calculated, and they can be used for processing estimation of changes in water<br />

resource management balance and detailed work in plans for optimal sustainable water resources<br />

management.<br />

Keywords: water resource management balance, balance unit, balance equation, surface waters,<br />

groundwater’s, water management, Vojvodina.<br />

x<br />

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dis<br />

( V )<br />

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m<br />

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xC<br />

xC<br />

x<br />

m<br />

x<br />

c<br />


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> COINCIDENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DISCHARGE WAVES <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE AND MORAVA<br />

RIVERS<br />

Mitková Veronika<br />

Institute of Hydrology SAS, Račianska 75, 818 11 Bratislava,<br />

Slovak Republic<br />

mitkova@uh.savba.sk<br />

There, in this study, analysis of assessment of the discharge waves coincidence on the<br />

Danube and its tributary the Morava River was done. The calculations based on analyses of<br />

simultaneous occurrence of two random variables. These variables – mean daily discharges –<br />

represent the magnitudes of the flood waves observed on the main river (g. s. Bratislava – Danube)<br />

and its tributary (g. s. Moravsky Ján – Morava). For the purpose of calculations of the coincidence, the<br />

typical combinations of the variables was defined. The best results were obtained for the waves with<br />

higher peak discharges occurred in summer seasons.<br />

Keywords: The Danube River, the Morava River, coincidence of the waves.<br />

_________________<br />

APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> MIKE MODELS FOR HYDROMORPHOLOGICAL ASSESSMENT IN HUNGARY<br />

Nagy Zsuzsanna 1 , Dannisøe Jesper 2<br />

1 Corvinus University of Budapest, Department of Soil Science and Water Management, H-<br />

1118, Budapest, Villányi u. 29-43.<br />

e-mail: zsuzsanna.nagy@gmail.com, zsuzsanna.nagy14@uni-corvinus.hu<br />

2 DHI Water and Environment, Dept. Ecology & Environment, Agern Allé 5, DK-2970<br />

Hørsholm, Denmark.<br />

e-mail: jda@dhigroup.com<br />

In 2000, the Water Framework Directive was published in the Official Journal of the European<br />

Commission and has introduced new tasks into the European Water Policy. Hungary, with joining to<br />

the European Union, in the AA2003/ACT has accepted the obligation of transposition the Directives of<br />

the European Community and therefore implementation work of the Water Framework Directive has<br />

begun the implementation in order to achieve the good ecological status or potential of surface waters.<br />

In the Water Management Plans required by the Directive, all human impacts on the aquatic<br />

environment shall be quantified and evaluated, and according to the Water Directors’ meeting in Dec,<br />

2005 effects coursed by climatic changes should be considered as well. For this purpose watershed<br />

related assessment methods are needed. The aim of the study is to present watershed conditions in<br />

small sub-basins, through their ecological, chemical and water management conditions in the light of<br />

60/2000/EC Directive. The paper presents the methodological aspects of the work, in test the effects<br />

of the present and planned regulations on the catchment. Therefore the following issues were carried<br />

out by the use of Mike SHE and Mike Basin softwares: (1) investigation and modelling the result of<br />

historical, present and planned land-use at sub-basin level (runoff, infiltration, etc.) and its visualization<br />

in both space and time, (2) modelling the effect of climate change on small and meso-scale level (3)<br />

assessment of the functionality of the ecological fluvial corridor on case study areas (4) classification<br />

of the investigated stretches of the stream by physical quality, by vegetation characteristic of the<br />

channel and riverbank and by materials in order to make a decision support tool for rehabilitation<br />

measures (5) testing the UK and Italian hydromorphological assessment methods in Hungarian pilot<br />

stream sites.<br />

56


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Keywords: modelling, Mike Basin, Mike SHE, stream, ecological status, hydromorphological<br />

assessment, small and meso-scale catchment, Water Framework Directive<br />

Aknowledgements: the study was supported by the Hungarian Eötvös Grant<br />

_________________<br />

REGIONAL ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> LOW FLOWS IN HILLY AND MOUNTAINOUS AREAS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

Nikić Zoran 1 and Nikolić Jugoslav 2<br />

1 Forestry Faculty University of Belgrade, Kneza Višeslava 1,<br />

11030 Belgrade, Serbia, e-mail: znikic@yubc.net<br />

2 Republic Hydro-meteorological Institute of Serbia, Kneza Višeslava 66,<br />

11030 Belgrade, Serbia, e-mail: jugnik@EUnet.yu<br />

For planning, maintenance and management of water control systems and structures, with the<br />

purposes of maintaining the self-purification capacity of water streams and planning water quality<br />

control activities, the controlling flows, or the minimum average thirty-day discharge if 0.95 probability,<br />

must be determined. The controlling discharge of a stream, according to the current regulations in the<br />

Republic of Serbia, for determining the maximum allowed toxic concentration in water and the<br />

wastewater treatment degree is the maximum average monthly flow of 0.95 probability.<br />

In streams under systematic observation and hydrological measurement the controlling low<br />

flows are determined by the regional analysis method. It has been inferred from empirical knowledge<br />

and logical reasoning that natural low flows in medium and small streams during dry seasons depend<br />

on hydrogeology, not vice versa. Minimum average thirty-day flows of 0.95 probability are taken for<br />

dependent variables, and the quantified hydrogeological parameters for independent variables. The<br />

analysis covers streams that drain small or medium-size areas, because their low flows are more<br />

frequent and more affected by the local geology and hydrogeology. Drainage areas observed at sixtyone<br />

hydrological stations south of the Sava and the Danube in Serbia are taken as a sample.<br />

The territory of Serbia is characterized by complex geology, highly heterogeneous lithology,<br />

diverse and active tectonics and numerous erosion processes. The approach was made from the<br />

simplest variant of a multiple model by introducing two independent aggregated variables. The<br />

following step was models each with two disaggregated hydrogeological elements, i.e. combinations<br />

of groups, each of ten independent variables. Finally, a model was constructed that included all<br />

disaggregated independent variables, or a model of a total of fifteen independent variables. All<br />

together, there were three models, each with two independent variables, one model with three<br />

independent variables, three models with ten independent variables each, and a model with fifteen<br />

independent variables. These made a total of eight models. The obtained regional relationship for the<br />

minimum average thirty-day flows of 0.95 probability is considered in this paper.<br />

The quality of the established relationship is checked in respective statistical tests. Developed<br />

from the initial sample, models Q 30 95% =f(F; ΣQ) and Q 30 95% =f(I; ΣQ) were valid by all the criteria (Ftest,<br />

t-test at significance level α=0.05), which encourage their use in interpolations within the limits for<br />

each quantified hydrogeological element. The overall analytical result of the model and the established<br />

functional relations lead to valid conclusions. The main purpose of this contribution is a quick and<br />

sufficiently accurate estimate of the controlling low flows in hydrologically unexplored basins using a<br />

regional analysis of thirty-day flows to develop programmes of the water quality control.<br />

Keywords: low flow, regional analysis, controlling low flow, hydrogeological elements, stream basin,<br />

hydrologically unexplored basin, hilly and mountainous country, minimum average thirty-day flow of<br />

0.95 probability.<br />

57


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

CONTRIBUTION TO <strong>THE</strong> ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> WATER BALANCE FACTORS ON <strong>THE</strong> CASE<br />

EXAMPLE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> JABLANICA RIVER BASIN<br />

Nikolić Jugoslav 1 , Ducić Vladan 2 , Smailagić Jasminka 1<br />

1 Republic Hydro-meteorological Institute of Serbia, Kneza Višeslava 66, 11030 Belgrade,<br />

e-mail: jugnik@Eunet.yu; j.smailagic@hidmet.sr.gov.yu<br />

2 Faculty of Geography , University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 3/3, 11000 Belgrade,<br />

e-mail: vladan@gef.bg.ac.yu<br />

Water budget accounting is important in the hidrological theory and practice, where various<br />

problems are faced and addressed at different general levels. The study emphasizes the significance<br />

of a methodological approach to the analysis of the water balance elements. On the case example of<br />

a characteristic river basin some of the most important meteorological, geological, hydrological and<br />

hydro-geological factors that determine the water balance were analyzed.<br />

An account of the water balance depends on the estimate of the basic elements: precipitation<br />

and evapotranspiration as meteorological/climatological elements and run-off as a hydrological<br />

element. Each of these elements is influenced by many different factors: climatological, geological,<br />

hydro-geological, morphological, vegetational and other. The more accurate determination of any of<br />

the basic elements will improve the accuracy of the water accounting for the given area.<br />

The research shows that when analyzing precipitation the orographic effects should be taken<br />

into consideration that increase precipitation with height, but also dynamic effects that condition the<br />

size of this increase, as well as the decrease of precipitation with the further increase in height, above<br />

some critical value. It appears that the problem is not simple and that the use of simplified relations for<br />

precipitation interpolation can lead to substantial mistakes in the estimate. The outcome is justification<br />

for the application of stated three-dimensional non-hydrostatic numerical model as a better tool in the<br />

precipitation analysis in relation to classical interpolation methods.<br />

Evapotranspiration proved to be the element of the water balance, which is the most difficult to<br />

determine in quantitative terms. The described numerical model for determination of<br />

evapotranspiration in heterogeneous geological conditions represents physically based tool for<br />

successful solution of numerous practical problems in different scientific disciplines. The primary<br />

advantage of the mentioned model is good physical foundation and simplicity in practical application,<br />

that is to say implementation, along with the use of common, available data, without excessive<br />

investments.<br />

The research has shown that in addition to the primary meteorological and hydrological<br />

factors, the geology and hydrogeological conditions can substantially modify the water balance of an<br />

area. The high percentage of the total water evaporation in the Jablanica basin, upstream of the<br />

Lebane section, is a consequence of the geological factors, foremostly of the rock permeability. The<br />

upper drainage area of the Jablanica was selected as the representative of water-repellent,<br />

conditionally arid terrain in natural conditions. The terrain is not permeable enough in relation to rapid<br />

and substantial percolation of water, thus the discharged precipitation is exposed to the action of<br />

energetic and aerodynamic factors that primarily affect the evapotranspiration process. The<br />

consequence of these influences is high percentage of total evaporation (evapotranspiration) in<br />

relation to discharged precipitation. The terrain with higher water permeability and deeper water<br />

percolation, such as karst, substantially affects decrease of evapotranspiration and an increase in the<br />

water run-off.<br />

Keywords: precipitation, evapotranspiration, run-off, water balance, climatological conditions,<br />

geological conditions, hydrological conditions, hydro-geological conditions.<br />

58


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROLOGICAL CALIBRATION SCENARIOS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> HSPF MODEL FOR <strong>THE</strong> UPPER ISKAR<br />

BASIN<br />

Ninov Plamen 1 , Ribarova Irina 2 , Nikolaidis Nikos 3 , Tsoraki Rania 3 , Kalinkov Peter 2 , Kukurin<br />

Krasimir 2 , Topalova Jana 4<br />

1 National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, 66 Tzarigradsko shoossee, 1784 Sofia, Bulgaria,<br />

(E-mail: plamen.ninov@meteo.bg)<br />

2 University of Architecture, Civil Engineering and Geodezy, 1 Chr. Smirnensky blvd, 1046 Sofia,<br />

Bulgaria, (E-mail: ribarova_fhe@uacg.bg)<br />

3 Department of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chania, Greece, (E-mail:<br />

nnikolai@mred.tuc.gr)<br />

4 University “Kliment Ohridski”-Biological Faculty, Dragan Tzankov blvd 8, Sofia, Bulgaria<br />

(E-mail: topalova@biofac.uni-sofia.bg)<br />

Research on the Upper Iskar subwatershed in the Danube basin, which supplies water for the<br />

Iskar Reservoir, was carried out. This reservoir is the biggest drinking water reservoir on the Balkan<br />

Peninsula with important economic and social role, which predestines the indispensability and<br />

significance of the undertaken investigation. The application of the HSPF model is treated as a time<br />

response of the watershed based on hydrological mass balances, incorporating GIS-data and<br />

integrating point and no-point sources. The goal of hydrological calibrations is to adjust the simulated<br />

flow to resemble the observed flow data as closely as possible – procedure requiring adjustment of<br />

various parameters within HSPF model reflecting the real hydrological, climatic, geological,<br />

topographic and anthropogenic conditions in the studied River Iskar catchment area. The calibration of<br />

the model is based on the collected multifarious information for the period 2000-2001 and verification<br />

of the model on 2002 data. The calibration scenarios for adjustment of the annual trends and water<br />

balances, seasonal discrepancies, high and low flows distributions are briefly discussed. This is a first<br />

step before the water quality modeling.<br />

Keywords: Upper Iskar subwatershed, HSPF model, calibration, verification<br />

_________________<br />

STATISTIC MOLDING <strong>OF</strong> DEPENDENCE <strong>OF</strong> DRAIN DISCHARGE AND RAINFALLS<br />

Pivić Radmila 1) , Jošić Dragana 1) , Đurović Nevenka, 2) Rudić Dragan 2)<br />

1) Institut za zemljište, Beograd, e-mail: soilscis@eunet.yu<br />

2) Poljoprivredni fakultet, Beograd<br />

At the experimental drainage field Varna of Institute of Soil Science near Sabac on pseudogley<br />

soil, was established drainage experiment with three variants of spacing of drains: 20m, 25m and<br />

30m.<br />

Statistic molding of conditionality of drain discharge and intensity of rainfalls was prepared<br />

according to the data of daily sums of rainfalls and according to the data of drain discharge collected<br />

for the period of experiment 2002.-2004.<br />

For statistic molding, in this experiment, MA (Moving Average) model was used and observed<br />

in two stochastically processes, where conditionally first process intensity of rainfalls is “process<br />

effect” and second process, “process cause” is drain discharge.<br />

MA module primarily can be use for forecasting of the value of process and for further analysis<br />

of soil, planning, dimensioning and functioning of drainage system.<br />

Keywords: MA model, rainfalls, drain discharge<br />

59


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

HYDRODYNAMIC ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> COMPLEX WELLS TESTING ON GROUNDWATER<br />

SOURCE PALANACKI KISELJAK<br />

(SMEDEREVSKA PALANKA, SERBIA)<br />

Prof. Dr Polomčić Dušan<br />

Institute of Hydrogeology, Faculty of Mining and Geology, Djusina 7, Belgrade, Serbia<br />

dupol2@gmail.com<br />

Groundwater source of natural mineral water „Karadjordje“ is located in Smederevska Palanka<br />

on 90 km southeast from Belgrade. During February 2006, the complex tests of abstraction wells (B-<br />

1A, B-2, B-2A), performed on groundwater source for determining hydrogeological parameters of<br />

aquifer, hidraulic characteristics of wells, measurement of mutually well influence, and measurement<br />

of river Kubrsnica influence on tapped aquifer. A individual wells testing by step-test method. Results<br />

from these testing was interpreted by graphoanalytical methods and processing by complete<br />

hydrograph. The group tests of abstraction wells was designed on minimum 21 days with maximum<br />

capacity well installed pumps, but test was stopped, because the growth of river stage caused the rise<br />

of groundwater table over the static groundwater level. These indicated very intensive hydraulic<br />

interaction between river and tapped alluvial aquifer.<br />

Keywords: groundwater source, aquifer testinq, hydraulic connection between aquifer and river.<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> INFLUENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> CLIMATICAL, PSYHICAL AND GEOGRAPHICAL FACTORS<br />

GENERATING FLOODS IN <strong>THE</strong> SMALL HIDROLOGICAL BASINS LOCATED IN <strong>THE</strong> WESTERN<br />

PART <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> CARPATHIAN MOUNTAINS<br />

Popovici Felicia<br />

National Institut of Hydrology and Water Management,<br />

Sos. Bucuresti - Ploiesti 97, Bucuresti, cod 013686, ROMANIA<br />

fexilro@yahoo.com<br />

The purpose of this paper is to present the influence of the climatical, psyhical and<br />

geographical factors (precipitations, geology, soil, vegetation, antropical impact) to the maximum<br />

discharge, factors who generate the floods in small basins situated in the west part of Oriental<br />

Carpathians, Romania.<br />

For the period of study (1975 – 2000), is very important to analyse:<br />

I. the maximum discharge which are produced;<br />

II. the more important elements of floods;<br />

III. the characteristics of the precipitations and runoff coefficients which are produced in the<br />

basins considerated.(Gurghiu, Tarnave, Sovata, Bistra , Hodos, Homorodul Mare and<br />

Homorodul Mic, Rastolita.)<br />

Tabels and graphics are coming to illustrate with accuracy the relationships between the<br />

characteristics of the rainfalls and geographical conditions of the main floods produced in these<br />

basins.<br />

The reason of these analyse is to determine useful parameters for the prediction and forecast<br />

of the floods in small basins, because these basins have a high speed reaction to the inputs elements.<br />

(precipitations and its characteristics).<br />

Keywords: physico-geographical factors, maximum discharge, floods, runoff coefficient<br />

RAIN -RUN<strong>OF</strong>F RELATIONSHIPS<br />

60


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

SYSTEMS APPROACH TO <strong>THE</strong> ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATIC CHANGE IN A SMALL RIVER<br />

BASIN<br />

Prodanovic Predrag 1 and Simonovic Slobodan P. 1<br />

1 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Western Ontario,<br />

London, Ontario, Canada, N6A 5B9; e-mail: pprodano@uwo.ca<br />

The focus of this study is on the mathematical modeling support for implementation of the<br />

inverse approach to climatic change impact assessment in small river basins. The model used in the<br />

assessment of risk and vulnerability to changing climatic conditions is described in this paper. The<br />

model is a combination of a sophisticated system dynamics model linked to a continuous hydrologic<br />

model of a river basin. The system dynamics model represents the socio-economic components such<br />

as urban and rural population, housing, business activity, land and water use. The hydrologic model is<br />

a seventeen parameter semi-distributed water balance model. The combined model links the socioeconomic<br />

aspects of a river basin (such as changing land use patterns) to physical processes (such<br />

as potential evapotranspiration and direct runoff). The physical processes (through direct runoff and<br />

precipitation) are linked to flood damage and drought levels, which then directly influence the<br />

population and business sectors of the socio-economic component. A number of such key feedback<br />

relationships are discussed in the paper. The application of the model is illustrated with a case study<br />

of a small river basin (3,500 km 2 ) in southwestern Ontario, Canada.<br />

Keywords: Continuous Hydrologic Modelling, System Dynamics, Systems Thinking, Climate Change,<br />

Risk, Vulnerability<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SENSITIVITY <strong>OF</strong> A RAIN RUN<strong>OF</strong>F FORMATION PROCESSES ON <strong>THE</strong><br />

MOUNTAIN CATCHMENTS<br />

Pryimachenko Nataliia<br />

Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Research Institute<br />

Pr.Nauky 37, Kyiv 03028 Ukraine<br />

e-mail: natali.priym@mail.ru<br />

Increase of requirements to quality of the hydrological calculations and forecasts stimulates<br />

development of researches on the runoff modelling processes. By present time are developed<br />

mathematical models of the rain floods, which differ from degree of detailed elaboration of the<br />

description of the processes, which occurred on the river catchment. Many of these models were<br />

beyond tests and applied in a practical hydrology. Except for means for development of the calculation<br />

methods and forecasts of the runoff model are used with the purpose of deeper disclosing of complex<br />

interrelations in the runoff formation mechanism.<br />

Application of the mathematical modelling puts forward a number of problems. One of them,<br />

as is known, is an estimation of the model parameters. Thus it is important not only achievement of a<br />

comprehensible final result, that is reception of the calculated hydrographs close to that, which are<br />

observed, but also reception of authentic, physically explainable values of parameters.<br />

The judgement about physical reliability of received parameters of the model can be born by<br />

their comparison with caused constants (for example, properties of the soils) or based on comparison<br />

of the calculated sizes of a water balance component of the river basin with observable in real<br />

conditions. Because of absence of some important data about the catchment structure at the<br />

discharge variation modelling the reservoir should be considered as the system, which separate<br />

properties known only approximately. This circumstance and discrepancy of the initial<br />

61


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

hydrometeorological information force the researcher to apply to identification of the runoff model<br />

parameters optimization procedures that can lead to reception of ambiguous decisions. With the<br />

purpose of maintenance of reliability and stability of parameters greater value is represented with data<br />

about character of the processes, which occur on the catchment, to their importance in the general<br />

runoff formation mechanism.<br />

The purpose of this research was not only to draw a conclusion on necessary accuracy of an<br />

estimation of the model parameters, but also to pay attention to more detailed research of those runoff<br />

processes, which are defining at various hydrometeorological situations, which develop on the<br />

catchment. Work is executed based on application of the runoff formation mathematical model on the<br />

mountain catchments of the Carpathians. Estimations are received by numerical experiments on the<br />

fact data of the observations.<br />

Based on numerical experiments is investigated sensitivity of the runoff formation<br />

mathematical model, applied in conditions of the mountain district, concerning variability of its<br />

parameters.<br />

Influence of accuracy of the set these or those model parameters on quality of calculation of<br />

the hydrograph appreciably depends on a level of field of precipitations that causes parity between<br />

superficial and subsurface runoff.<br />

The received quantitative estimations of errors of calculation of the hydrographs of the rain<br />

floods allow understanding the importance of the separate model parameters and runoff formation<br />

processes, in it described. The most essential influence on the final results renders accuracy of<br />

division of water-formation by kinds of the runoff and definition of size of losses on the superficial<br />

detention of water. However, at the description of these processes there are difficulties because of<br />

absence of the convincing aprioristic information for the set of the corresponding parameters. Other<br />

model parameters, which define intensity of evaporation, filtration, an exhaustion of the saved up<br />

water equivalent in a river network and adjusting influence of the catchment, can be established with a<br />

sufficient degree of accuracy on the basis of the available given hydrometeorological observations.<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> FLOOD <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> OPEN CUT COAL MINING <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE CATCHMENT AREA<br />

Riti Adrian<br />

‘’Politehnica” University of Timisoara, Faculty of Hydrotechnics, G. Enescu St., no.1 a , 300022<br />

Timisoara, Romania, e-mail adrianriti@yahoo.com<br />

This paper presents the specific elements of location in Romania, Jiu catchment area,<br />

respectively Danube catchment area, of the open cut coal mining correlated with catchment area<br />

characteristics.<br />

Are taken in consideration: the shape of surrounding land, hydro geological and geological<br />

conditions, physical-mechanical property of rocks, the qualitative characteristic of mineral useful<br />

substance, the depth of limit exploitation, the position of construction from the surface.<br />

The exploitation of coal in hard hydro geological conditions is generally difficult and imposes<br />

the realization of some drainage works which are very important for the bed-mining in normal<br />

conditions of work and security of peoples and of the equipment used in exploitation.<br />

In the open cut coal mining is the possibility of appearance of some water eruption and floods,<br />

with specifically consequence on the catchment area. This is a consequence of some important<br />

quantity of precipitation in correlation with deterioration of drainage system and repletion of land with<br />

water from anterior rain.<br />

A distinguished importance for an activity without hardness, delayers, and production lost is<br />

open cut coal mining floods prevention.<br />

62


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

To prevent the floods we must know the open cut coal mining flooding risk before taking any<br />

prevention measures<br />

To prevent the open cut coal mining floods we must maintain functional the hydro technical<br />

improvement and works for torrent extinction and interception of water access in the mining perimeters<br />

and also we must assure collection and rhythmical discharge of open cut coal mining waters.<br />

The waters from infiltration and precipitation must be collected through the guard channels on<br />

every step and from the quarry cut-off through draining channels filled with the ballast and from here<br />

they will flow in the pump station of the open cut coal mining<br />

Is necessary at the same time to entertain the undiverted riverbeds, crooks and waterbeds<br />

from deviated water.<br />

Mine site water management seeks to control or manage various hydrological process with<br />

outcomes that fluctuate randomly. Although rare, extreme outcomes can occur with potentially<br />

devastating consequences.<br />

Keywords: catchment area, water drainage, coal mine<br />

_________________<br />

ALGORITHMS FOR OPERATIVE CONTROL <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOOD PASSAGE<br />

Stary, M. 1 – Dolezal, P. 1 – Jaros, L. 1<br />

1 VUT FAST ÚVHK, Zizkova 17, Brno, Czech Republic, stary.m@fce.vutbr.cz<br />

The substance of this contribution is the description of construction and application of<br />

controlling algorithms, which in maximum possible way enable to influence effectively, with operative<br />

runoff control, the natural rainfall – runoff process in river basin during flooding and to prevent, or to<br />

reduce flood flows and flood damage. For the construction of controlling algorithms the combination of<br />

optimal programming methods and selected methods of artificial intelligence is used (principle of<br />

adaptability, fuzzy–regulators and neural networks). The case study documents achieved results.<br />

For the use of a fuzzy regulator, chosen from the artificial intelligence methods, the approach<br />

was selected, where the relationship between discrete points of space of solution inputs and<br />

corresponding controlling quantities (outflows from the reservoirs) is not solved in advance. On the<br />

contrary, at every time point, in which the controlling quantity is required to be changed, the values of<br />

controlling flows will be calculated; based on the actual state of the system and estimation of future<br />

inflows (rainfall prediction) with the help of the optimization algorithm. It is possible to use the<br />

simulation model with the chosen optimized parameters, which are the unknown controlling flows. A<br />

part of this algorithm is a fuzzy regulator, which in connection with the controlling flow value at every<br />

step determinates, in succession, the value of controlled quantity (controlled outflow) and all partial<br />

water outflows from the reservoir. The course of action and controlled quantities are then changed<br />

almost continuously (Starý, 2001).<br />

The advantage of fuzzy regulators, tested on the number of applications of operative control<br />

simulation, is their simplicity at fuzzy inference system (FIS) construction and considerable stability of<br />

regulation circuit. Their weak point, with the use of MATLAB environment with Fuzzy Logic Toolbox, is<br />

their use is time consuming, which reduces the possibility to use constructed controlling algorithms for<br />

operative control of complicated systems in practice. The second problematic point is, that the authors<br />

in this development environment did not succeed in compiling the constructed programs into self<br />

starting *.exe files (observing the instructions). Therefore it was decided to assess the possibility of the<br />

fuzzy inference system with the neural network, which can be easily used in programming of the same<br />

controlling algorithm in other programming language (transfer of topology, weight and transmission<br />

biases) and simple use of FIS approximation matrix for linear interpolation between outputs Δu<br />

corresponding with periodically spaced inputs e and Δe in input space. FIS Approximation matrix is<br />

constructed with the help of two nested loops, which are used in MATLAB environment for repeatedly<br />

calls of corresponding debugged FIS with given fixed steps of e and Δe changes. FIS for various<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

combinations of e and Δe then calculates corresponding values of Δu. The corresponding values of e,<br />

Δe, Δu, which create rows of approximation matrix, are saved into the text file. The approximation<br />

matrix is then used as a training matrix for training of the neural network. As an alternative it is<br />

possible for calculation of Δu sharp value for e and Δu given sharp values of inputs during the program<br />

run to use, in simplified way, an appropriate interpolation function. In MATLAB environment INTERP2<br />

function was used, which enables linear interpolation directly in an approximation matrix.<br />

The case study of the system control with two reservoirs documents the achieved results,<br />

which univocally prove the possibility of replacement the fuzzy regulator by the neural regulator, or by<br />

the method of linear approximation in FIS approximation matrix.<br />

Literatura<br />

Starý, M. (2001): Operative Control of Water Outflow from the Reservoir during Flooding, 6 p.,<br />

MATLAB 2001, Prague<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SPATIAL VARIABILITY <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> PHREATIC LEVELS BY A<br />

COMFORT INDEX AND <strong>THE</strong> E<strong>OF</strong> METHOD (EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL FUNCTIONS), A CASE<br />

STUDY FOR <strong>THE</strong> NW PART <strong>OF</strong> ROMANIA<br />

Phys. Res. Tanase Elena,<br />

NIHWM, Sos. Bucuresti-Ploiesti 96, Bucharest, ROMANIA, elena.tanase@hidro.ro<br />

Dr.Ing. Bretotean Mihai<br />

NIHWM, Sos. Bucuresti-Ploiesti 96, Bucharest, ROMANIA, mihai.bretotean@hidro.ro<br />

1. The comfort index method is a spatial variability study method, defined with the aim to<br />

diagnose and measure the climate change impact on phreatic levels in space.<br />

The phreatic anomalies are sensitive to climate change under the North Atlantic Oscillation<br />

(NAO), which is the major perturbation during the cold season in Romania; hence the relation phreatic<br />

anomalies-temperature-precipitation is taken into consideration:<br />

The maximum impact of the climatic change under the NAO perturbation for the phreatic<br />

ai<br />

anomalies is defined by the index “I”, and in percents by the I% index: I % = 100 −∑<br />

pi • , a1<br />

i amax<br />

i<br />

is the anomaly of phreatic levels, a2 is the standard deviation of phreatic levels, in winter and a3 is the<br />

frequency of snow cover in January (in days -1 ); pi+p2+p3=100, p1=50, p2=10, p3=40 chosen under<br />

the assumption of normality, in a subjective way.<br />

Interpretation: I% minimum corresponds to the maxim climate change and I% maximum<br />

corresponds to minimum climate change impact (light areas on the map). Analyzing the spatial<br />

representation of “I%”, it is found that the climate change impact is space-variable, increasing from<br />

North to South and from East to West, stronger in the Crisuri river basin.<br />

2. The E<strong>OF</strong> method is a spatial pattern method evaluating the spatial variability pattern along<br />

the temporal variability through the eigenvalues and eigenvectors. The dominant spatial pattern of<br />

variability of the phreatic levels in the analyzed spatial domain arise from the slow variation in the lowfrequencies<br />

domain of the main forcing, the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The original data set can<br />

be “constructed” applying the equation:<br />

Y( t)<br />

= Y(<br />

t)<br />

+ ∑ P Cn<br />

• E<strong>OF</strong> mod e<br />

n<br />

n<br />

The E<strong>OF</strong>1 pattern is associated to the main perturbation under NAO mode; it explains 72.49%<br />

of variability. The E<strong>OF</strong>2 pattern is associated to the mean conditions and explains 9% of variability; it<br />

is best described by the NAO DJFM index.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

3. Conclusions<br />

- The E<strong>OF</strong> method provides a complete description of the spatial and temporal variability,<br />

through the main eigenvalues and eigenvectors: in general (E<strong>OF</strong>s1,2) the lowest<br />

eigenvalues( largest eigenvectors) express the influence of the long-term dynamic<br />

behavior under the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).<br />

- The spatial variability is increasing from North to South and from East to West as shown<br />

by the comfort index I% and the main E<strong>OF</strong>s.<br />

- The NAO+ number is the leading number associated to the North Atlantic Oscillation for<br />

the temporal evolution of phreatic levels: when NAO + is increasing, the phreatic levels<br />

are lowering. The phreatic anomaly is well correlated to the number of NAO+ events<br />

(when NAO index positive and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is in positive phase)<br />

associated to drought conditions and the high depth of phreatic levels.<br />

_________________<br />

MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN SLOVENIAN RIVERS<br />

Ulaga Florjana, M.Sc.<br />

florjana.ulaga@gov.si<br />

Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia, Vojkova 1b, Ljubljana, Slovenia<br />

Hydrology service of Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia is also carrying out<br />

systematic measurements of concentration and transport of suspended sediment in rivers. The<br />

purpose of suspended sediment measurements is to determine the total amount of suspended load<br />

sediment concentration and sediment transport at specific place along the river in one year and in long<br />

period.<br />

One of the important documents that integrate the river basin management in Europe is Water<br />

Framework Directive which also determinate definitions for high, good and moderate ecological status<br />

in rivers. One of the characteristics of surface water body types on which ecologically characterization<br />

of environmental status should be done is also substratum of the river. This means, that it is<br />

necessary to know the characteristics of changes in river bad and the transport of suspended solid in<br />

rivers. To assure high water quality status it is important to consider river continuity as one of the<br />

hydro morphological quality elements. The river has high quality status if the continuity of the river is<br />

not disturbed by anthropogenic activities and allows undisturbed migration of aquatic organisms and<br />

sediment transport.<br />

The beginnings of monitoring of sediment transport in Slovenia, date back to 1955 when<br />

sampling started in the catchment area of the Savinja River. A regular monitoring of suspended<br />

material concentration on the rivers Mura and Vipava has been taking place since 1985. The number<br />

of sampling points on the Sava River is subject to change. In year 2006 in monitoring network are<br />

included stations on 13 rivers. On seven rivers concentration of suspended sediment is measured<br />

every day and on six rivers only in time of extreme hydrological situations. The result is determination<br />

of transport of suspended sediment in river, which is product of measured concentration and<br />

discharge. Multi annual mean values of transported suspended material of the Mura River is about<br />

323 thousand tons, of the Savinja River is about 304 thousand tons and of the Vipava River is about<br />

25 thousand tons in one year. On the basis of the catchment area knowledge, the decrease of earth<br />

surface in the hinterland of individual stations can be estimated. In this way, the following estimate is<br />

possible: in similar hydrological and erosion conditions as registered in the 50-year period, the surface<br />

of the Mura River catchment area would lower on average for 21mm, the catchment area of the<br />

Savinja River for 70mm and of the Vipava River for 18mm in thousand years.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

FLOODS AND CLIMATE CHANGE, STUDY ABOUT 1000 YEARS <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE FLOODS IN<br />

AUSTRIA<br />

Wachter Karl 1<br />

1 Department of Water Management, Expert Unit, Government of Lower Austria<br />

3423 Wördern, Korngasse 7, Austria. Email: k.wachter@utanet.at<br />

(At present Detached National Expert at the European Commission DG Joint Research Centre,<br />

Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy. Email: karl.wachter@jrc.it)<br />

We find written reports about flood occurrences on the Upper Danube as far back as the 11 th<br />

century, mainly in chronicles of monasteries, parishes and cities. Also, many historic flood marks still<br />

exist. It was of interest to compare the flood occurrences of the past 1000 years with climate change<br />

data of the same period. This study focused especially on temperature fluctuations for this long period.<br />

The first report considered is from the year 1012 and the last great flood on the Danube River was in<br />

August 2002. In this study we consider flood reports only upstream of Vienna. The accuracy of the<br />

flood records depends on the reporters that described the occurrences; nevertheless it gives an<br />

impression about the importance of the flood under the prevailing circumstances. Extreme floods arise<br />

in the period 1000 - 2002 as well in relative cold ages as in relative warm ages. A significant influence<br />

or relation between great floods and climate change in form of the average-temperature is not visible<br />

in the long period of 1000 years. To use only short observation periods to calculate a trend is not really<br />

reliable.<br />

Keywords: Danube River, historical floods, climate change, flood marks<br />

_________________<br />

LISFLOOD MODELLING IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE BASIN<br />

Wachter Karl 1,5 ), Kalas Milan 2,6 ), Szabo Janos 3,7 ), de Roo Ad 4 )<br />

1 ) European Commission DG Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability,<br />

21020 Ispra, Italy. Email: karl.wachter@jrc.it<br />

2 ) European Commission DG Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability,<br />

21020 Ispra, Italy. Email: milan.kalas@jrc.it<br />

3 ) European Commission DG Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability,<br />

21020 Ispra, Italy. Email: janos.szabo@jrc.it<br />

4 ) European Commission DG Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability,<br />

21020 Ispra, Italy. Email: ad.de-roo@jrc.it<br />

5 ) Detached National Expert from Department of Water Management,<br />

Government of Lower-Austria, 3109 St.Pölten, Austria.<br />

6 ) Detached National Expert from Department of Land and Water Resources Management,<br />

Faculty of Civil Engineering, Slovak University of Technology, Bratislava, Slovakia<br />

7 ) Detached National Expert from H-EURAqua Water-Environmental Consulting Engineering,<br />

Organizing, Developing and Trading Ltd., Szentendre, Hungary<br />

The flooding experienced throughout central Europe in August 2002 and also in east Europe<br />

2005 are the most recent examples of the damages caused by unforeseen weather driven natural<br />

hazards. In response to these flood events, the European Commission started the development and<br />

pre-operational testing of a European Flood Alert System (EFAS). The Danube has been selected as<br />

one of the pilot catchments. It is a very challenging river basin in the sense that is one of the biggest<br />

catchments in Europe with about 800.000 km 2 and sharing with 18 countries. For the Danube, the<br />

European Flood Alert System contributes also to the basin-wide improvement of flood forecasting as<br />

defined in the Danube Flood Action Plan of the ICPDR, agreed by the Ministers of the Danube<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

countries in December 2004. The hydrological model used for EFAS is the LISFLOOD model, which<br />

has been specifically designed for simulation of rainfall-runoff processes in large river catchments.<br />

Detailed calibration and validation studies are being performed for the pilot catchments including<br />

Danube. For this purpose high resolution data from National Water Authorities are collected, preprocessed,<br />

and incorporated in the LISFLOOD model. JRC staff and Detached National Experts from<br />

Austria, Hungary and Slovak Republic are developing, testing and evaluating the modeling system for<br />

the Danube river basin. The modeling work was started in the Upper Danube, the Morava River, the<br />

Drava and the Tisza River and at the moment the work is continued in downstream parts of the<br />

Danube basin, depending of the incoming and available data. The contribution presents the current<br />

state of development of the project in the Danube catchments, explains necessary steps in data<br />

processing and preparation for the modeling, and shows calibration and validation results.<br />

Keywords: Floods, Floods Forecasting, Flood Alert System, Hydrological Modelling, Transnational<br />

River Basin, Danube River<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROLOGY <strong>OF</strong> PLITVICE LAKES AND <strong>THE</strong> UPPER KORANA –<br />

CORRELATION AND TRENDS<br />

Zwicker Gordana 1 , Rubinić Josip 2 , Kompar Dario 3<br />

1 Public Institution Plitvice Lakes Nacional Park, Conservation Research Center Ivo Pevalek, 53231<br />

Plitvička jezera, Croatia (zsc.gordana@np-plitvicka-jezera.hr)<br />

2 Faculty of Civil Engineering University of Rijeka, Department for Hydrotechnic and Geotehnic,<br />

V.C.Emina 5, 51.000 Rijeka, Croatia (jrubinic@gradri.hr)<br />

3 Crosco d.o.o., Vukovarska 18, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia (dario.kompar@crosco.hr)<br />

Plitvice Lakes are part of world’s protected natural heritage because of its distinctive and very<br />

sensitive biodynamic system characterized by growth of tufa barriers which are forming chain of the<br />

lakes. This paper presents the analysis of hydrological features of Plitvice Lakes area, as well as<br />

upper Korana River flow. Korana River begins its flow at the junction of waters coming from Plitvice<br />

Lakes and stream Plitvica. That first part of Korana River flow is characterized with the growth of new<br />

tufa barriers, but also with the significant water losses. Research conducted in this paper confirms that<br />

space and time differences of hydrological characteristics for inside one year and years long period<br />

are significant for the area.<br />

Registered decreasing trend of mean annual discharge in the observed area is also analyzed<br />

in the context of regional trend in Croatian karst area for the referent 30-years period (1961-90). The<br />

general regional dependence of mean annual discharge, decreasing discharge trends and the<br />

envelope of these correlations is determined. Resulted trend slope for the Kozjak – bridge station is on<br />

the right edge of anvelope of the highest registrated values for the wider regional area. Possible<br />

reason is the changes in character of water losses from the lake. This paper analyses correlation of<br />

water losses in upper Korana and Plitvice Lakes and state of hydrological circumstances using<br />

characteristic annual values and distribution of data inside one year.<br />

The results of conducted analysis indicate that water balance of upper Korana River flow is<br />

less than the inflow from the Plitvice Lakes, i.e. water losses from the river bed of Korana are bigger<br />

than the inflow during the major part of the year.<br />

Keywords: tufa barriers, Plitvice Lakes, water losses, trends, karst.<br />

67


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

68


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

EROSION, SEDIMENT TRANSPORT<br />

AND SEDIMENTATION<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

70


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> SUSPENDED SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER<br />

Babić Mladenović Marina, Ph. D., Knezević Zoran, B. Sc, Tutulić Marija, B.Sc.<br />

Jaroslav Černi Institute for the Development of Water Resources<br />

Jaroslava Ćernog Street, 80, 11226 Belgrade, Serbia<br />

Marina.Babic-Mladenovic@jcerni.co.yu<br />

A qualitative analysis of sediment transport in the backwater zone of the Iron Gate Reservoir<br />

revealed a very complex process which depends on a large number of natural factors and artificial<br />

influences and has a significant temporal and spatial dimension. The quantitative assessment of the<br />

sediment transport process in the backwater zone of the Iron Gate Reservoir was based on the<br />

conclusions of a previous quantitative analysis and the application of statistical methods to the data<br />

obtained from discharge and suspended sediment measurements in the upstream sectors of the<br />

reservoir on the Danube River. Empirical relations which may be used to analyze sediment transport<br />

along the Danube River were established. The established empirical functions are very significant in<br />

scientific and practical terms, since they can be employed in diverse engineering tasks which require<br />

expertise on sediment transport along the Danube in its natural or backwater conditions.<br />

Keywords: Danube, sediment, transport<br />

_________________<br />

DISPERSION MODEL IN ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> TRANSPORT THROUGH STRATIFIED MEDIA<br />

Dimkić, M 1 . and Pušić, M. 2<br />

1 Institute for the Development of Water Resources „Jaroslav Černi”, Jaroslava Černog 80, 11226<br />

Pinosava, Beograd, Sebia<br />

jdjcerni@EUnet.yu<br />

2 Institute of Hydrogeology, Faculty of Mining and Geology, Djušina 7, Belgrade, Serbia<br />

mpusic@ptt.yu<br />

Tracer tests, conducted at the Žičko Polje Groundwater Source in the City of Kraljevo, opened<br />

several interpretation and simulation problems, especially with regard to the definition and<br />

quantification of the dispersion term in the groundwater transport equation.<br />

Geological investigations of the ground indicated three aquifer sedimentation cycles, whose<br />

seepage characteristics differed.<br />

The concept of an equivalent homogeneous aquifer was introduced to support the analysis; it<br />

is defined by a hydraulically-equivalent homogeneous aquifer which includes the coefficient of<br />

equivalent geometric dispersivity.<br />

However, during the course of model calibration, a three-layer model produced much better<br />

results. Varying seepage characteristics of the aquifer along the vertical are identified here as having<br />

a major influence on the coefficient of dispersivity.<br />

This example showed the importance of using a multi-layer model, even under conditions<br />

when it appears that the aquifer may be modeled as a single-layer aquifer. Numerical tests were also<br />

undertaken to determine how stratification might affect the definition of and variation in the coefficient<br />

of dispersivity.<br />

Keywords: Dispersion, transport equation, equivalent homogeneous aquifer.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ESTIMATE <strong>OF</strong> RESERVOIR SILTING USING “EROSION POTENTIAL METHOD”<br />

Gavrilovic Zoran, Stefanovic Milutin, Milojevic Mileta and Cotric Jelena<br />

Institute for the Development of Water Resources "Jaroslav Cerni",<br />

11226 Beograd (Pinosava), Jaroslava Cernog 80, Serbia<br />

tel. (+381) 11-3906-461 fax: (+381) 11-3906-461<br />

Email: zgavrilo@Eunet.yu<br />

Sedimentation and siltation is a problem that directly affects the life span of the accumulations.<br />

Since the accumulations are built on appropriate sites which are rare they should last for at least fifty<br />

years. If it is possible they should last for several times longer period than mentioned. It can be<br />

achieved only by correct research of erosion intensity, appropriate calculating and timely anti-erosion<br />

measures. Mistakes done during periods of planning or construction have shortened the life span of<br />

existing accumulations, although, there are some assertive examples.<br />

Dams and reservoirs are very expensive structures which are built at least for one century or<br />

longer periods. The facts that the reservoir silting intensity is such that the planned life will be several<br />

times shorter are already determined after the first decades of monitoring.<br />

It is not always possible to protect the reservoir from sedimentation, and often such protection<br />

is too expensive. For this reason, the need of the reliable prognosis of the reservoir silting led to the<br />

development of several models of calculation of silting intensity already in the phase of the preliminary<br />

research and the selection of the dam site at which, in addition to other conditions, there is a<br />

proportionally low risk of silting.<br />

The most numerous group of models is the one in which erosion intensity is estimated based<br />

on the suspended sediment concentrations. These methods are suitable only for large-scale<br />

reservoirs on large lowland rivers.<br />

In the former Yugoslavia and Serbia, the most frequent dams and reservoirs were built on the<br />

watercourses of torrential character with a significant percentage of bed load. Calculation methods<br />

suitable for large lowland rivers underestimated the silting intensity several times.<br />

The method called “Erosion Potential Method” (EPM) has been developed for the mapping of<br />

erosion processes and erosion classification. Method is in official use for almost fifty years with<br />

permanent upgrading and developing. It has recently been upgraded and extended to include the GIS<br />

technology. This method is applied in watershed management analysis and calculations, global soil<br />

degradation by erosion, sediment yield, and sediment transport and reservoir siltation. Up to date<br />

development of this method contributed to high degree of reliability of sediment yield evaluation and<br />

sediment transport evaluation. The method consists of:<br />

Quantitative classification of erosion (1954)<br />

Quantitative sediment regime (1955)<br />

Torrent classification (1956)<br />

Methods of optimizing calculations of the volume of erosion control works (1958)<br />

The method was enhanced several times:<br />

Erosion Potential Method I phase (1966)<br />

Erosion Potential Method II phase (1968)<br />

Erosion Potential Method III phase (1986)<br />

Identification of erosion regions (1998)<br />

Development of information and GIS procedures and applications for EPM (1985 - to date).<br />

This paper presents long-term experience during “Erosion Potential Method” application and<br />

new procedures.<br />

Keywords: Erosion mapping, sediment calculating, siltation, erosion control measures, accumulation<br />

protection<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ASPECTS ON ELECTROMECHANICAL SENSORS <strong>OF</strong> SLIDING LAND AND RIVER EROSION<br />

IGNAT Mircea*, ZARNESCU George*, NEDELCU Lucia**, TELIPAN Gabriela*<br />

*National Institute for Electrical Engineering, Bucharest-INCDIE CA,<br />

mignat@icpe-ca.ro, zgcnet@yahoo.com,<br />

** Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering<br />

In Romania are effects of the hydrogeological phenomena and surface erosion processes;<br />

significant water discharges, floods hydrographs, drought and ice accumulating, impact of the climatic<br />

changes on the water resources and of the land.<br />

A disaster effect is the sliding and displacement of the land.<br />

In this way the monitoring and control of sliding land and river erosion is necessary and very<br />

important. A conventional solution is the topographical mapping and mark monitoring.<br />

The main parameters of the sliding land or river erosion phenomena are:<br />

� Displacement<br />

� Direction<br />

� Forces<br />

This paper presents the specific electromechanical sensors for monitoring this parameters:<br />

� Linear inductive sensors (displacement,forces)<br />

� Rotational electromechanical sensors (angular displacement and direction); rotative<br />

transformer, selsyne, resolver.<br />

There are described the specific structure, the electromechanical characteristics; electric<br />

voltage (output parameter ) function of displacement, direction or force (input parameters), the<br />

methods of mounting sensors,functional conditions and a case study of utilizing this sensor in<br />

monitoring the sliding land in Prahova valley in a Romanian research project.<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ROLE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SUSPENDED SEDIMENTS IN TRANSPORTATION <strong>OF</strong> 137 Cs BY <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

RIVER<br />

Kanivets Volodymyr V.<br />

Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute (UHMI), Prospekt Nauki, 37, Kyiv 03028, Ukraine, email:<br />

kaniv@vent.kiev.ua<br />

In 1997-2002 the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Service was conducting the regular<br />

observations on 137 Cs content in the water of the Ukrainian length of the Danube River (from Reni to<br />

Vilkovo). Sampling technology, which applied, allowed to conduct the separate determination of 137 Cs<br />

on the suspended sediments and in dissolved state. The data of observations for the sediment runoff<br />

at the head of Danube delta (Reni station, 55 mile) and in Kiliyskiy arm (Izmail and Vilkovo stations)<br />

were used for calculation of 137 Cs transport by the suspended sediments.<br />

The mean annual runoff of the suspended sediments at the head of delta constituted 43.5<br />

million t for the period 1962-1991. The mean annual turbidity at the head of delta and over the length<br />

of Kiliyskiy arm constituted 200 g/m 3 approximately. A sharp decrease in turbidity (in 2 times) at the<br />

Danube delta happened during 1989-1990 and mean turbidity for the period of 1992-2004 was the<br />

lowest for the entire history of observations in the region (90-100 g/m 3 ). This can be an evidence of<br />

general decrease of intensity of catchment erosion and, possibly, it is a consequence of anti-erosion<br />

measures taken in agriculture.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Turbidity and granulometrical composition of the suspended sediments are identical at the<br />

head of the delta and along Kiliyskiy arm; also the suspended sediments runoff and turbidity of water<br />

at the Danube delta remains stable during the last decade. Danube delta is a transit zone for the siltyclayey<br />

particles, share of which in suspension constitutes about 80-85%.<br />

As demonstrated by calculations, in 1998-2002 about 75-80% of 137 Cs was transported by<br />

suspended sediments and 20-25% was transported in dissolved form. It was revealed that about 80%<br />

of 137 Cs is associated with silty-clayey particles, which are the products of catchment erosion and<br />

which represents so-called transit fraction of sediments. There is a close correlation between the<br />

content of “suspended” 137 Cs (Bq/m 3 ) in water and the turbidity of water (kg/m 3 ).<br />

During 1998-2002 there was an insignificant gradual decrease of the mean annual<br />

concentration of the dissolved 137 Cs in water of the Danube River (from 0,48 to 0,39 Bq/m 3 ), mainly<br />

due to the decrease of 137 Cs in the contact layer of catchement soils as a result of natural decay of this<br />

radionuclide and its deepening into the soil due to diffusion and convective transfer.<br />

The level of contamination of the suspended sediments by 137 Cs had decreased from 22±12<br />

Bq/kg in 1998 to 12±6 Bq/kg in 2002. Such decrease could be due to the natural radioactive decay<br />

and possible decrease of inflow of the fine particles from the catchment.<br />

The values of 137 Cs partition coefficient, which is equal to the ratio of concentrations of 137 Cs in<br />

solid and liquid phases, were calculated on the basis of 125 measurements of the 137 Cs<br />

concentrations in the dissolved form and in the particulate form at the Izmail station during 1998-2002.<br />

Kp values are being changed in the wide range. It is possible that such changes are<br />

determined, in first turn, by changes in the granulometrical composition of the suspended sediments. It<br />

should be noted that the upper limit for Kp is the same for each year – about 130 000 l/kg. The highest<br />

Kp values could have been observed when fine clayey particles dominated in composition of the<br />

suspended sediments.<br />

_________________<br />

MONITORING SEDIMENT TRANSPORT REGIME IN <strong>THE</strong> TORRENTS <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

Kostadinov Stanimir<br />

Faculty of Forestry, Belgrade University<br />

Kneza Višeslava 1, 11030 Belgrade, Serbia<br />

E-mail: kost@EUnet.yu<br />

The process of sediment transport in natural watercourses is very complex. Monitoring and<br />

measurement of sediment transport in natural watercourses are very complex, delicate and expensive.<br />

This is the reason why psamological measurement is much less organised and widespread than<br />

hydrological monitoring. The consequence is a great number of psalmologically unresearched<br />

watercourses. This refers especially to torrents, in which water discharge is very rarely measured, and<br />

sediment transport is measured only very rarely for the needs of a scientific project.<br />

Sediment transport measurement in torrents is a very difficult problem. The difficulties<br />

originate from the torrential nature. During the greater part of the year torrents are characterised by a<br />

low water discharge and then there is no sediment transport (some of them are even temporarily dry).<br />

After intensive rainfall and flood waves, torrents transport great quantities of sediment, so then it is not<br />

possible to use any instruments for water discharge and sediment transport measurement (except<br />

floats for measurement surface flow velocity). For this reason, evidently, the classical hydrometric and<br />

psamological methods for water discharge and sediment transport measurement cannot be applied in<br />

torrents. In this case, in the study of water and sediment regime, stationary and expeditional research<br />

and measurements adapted to torrent nature are applied.<br />

This paper presents the measurement method and the regime of suspended sediment and<br />

bedload transport in torrents, on the example of the torrents Dubošnički Potok, Lonjinski Potok and<br />

Djurinovac Potok in West Serbia and Lješraska Dolina in Southeast Serbia. The research shows that<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

more than 80% of the total annual water discharge and more than 90% of the total annual sediment<br />

transport occur during the flood waves.<br />

Keywords: monitoring, suspended sediment and bedload, sediment transport, sediment regime.<br />

_________________<br />

COMPREHENSIVE MONITORING CONCEPT IN <strong>THE</strong> CONTEXT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> INTEGRATED DANUBE<br />

RIVER ENGINEERING PROJECT BETWEEN VIENNA AND BRATISLAVA<br />

Liedermann Marcel 1 , Tritthart Michael 1 , Habersack Helmut 1<br />

1 Institute of Water management, Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering<br />

Department of Water, Atmosphere and Environment<br />

University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna<br />

Muthgasse 18, A-1190 Vienna, Austria<br />

E-Mail: marcel.liedermann@boku.ac.at<br />

One of the last free flowing reaches of the Danube River in Austria, between Vienna<br />

(Freudenau) and the Austrian-Slovak border (Bratislava), is currently subject to an integrated river<br />

engineering and restoration project. The reach, heavily regulated at the end of the 19 th century, is<br />

today a critical spot for inland navigation due to water depth, characterised by a steady riverbed<br />

erosion of 2 to 3.5 cm per year. Water depth is too low and fluctuates too much during the seasons to<br />

provide reliable and competitive navigation conditions. Furthermore most of the region is part of the<br />

National Park “Donau Auen”, which leads to a high public interest regarding the ecological situation.<br />

The sediment balance is in danger and may cause serious ecological problems. Hence the Austrian<br />

Ministry for Transport, Innovation and Technology (BMVIT) and the ViaDonau launched the<br />

“Integrated River Engineering Project to the East of Vienna” with three main objectives:<br />

1. To reduce riverbed erosion by adding larger gravel sizes within the natural grain<br />

size spectrum.<br />

2. To improve navigation conditions, particularly during low flow periods, by raising<br />

water levels using modified groyne shapes.<br />

3. To achieve improved ecological conditions by riparian restoration measures and the<br />

reconnection of side arms.<br />

In order to ensure effectiveness of the measures planned, a comprehensive monitoring<br />

concept is compiled. It covers and interrelates both abiotic and biotic investigations to allow integrative<br />

conclusions. In a first step the measures are applied to a 3 km test reach where the effectiveness of<br />

measures and the monitoring concept can be approved. The following implementation over the entire<br />

length of 40km is divided into five sections. It is planned to accompany the construction process by<br />

monitoring presumably until the year 2017.<br />

The abiotic part of the monitoring concept, which has been developed at the University of<br />

Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, consists of several work packages which include<br />

measurements concerning hydrology and hydraulics, sediment budget and transport, changes in<br />

morphology, river bed deformation and considerations regarding navigation. Besides the usual range<br />

of measurements like water depth, discharge and 3D velocities, methods of direct shear stress<br />

measurements will be tested and intensive bed load and suspended sediment measurements will be<br />

performed. Furthermore an extensive amount of numerical simulations is planned. For instance a<br />

high-resolution 3-D flow simulation model covering sections of untypical length (partially up to 12 km)<br />

and a sediment transport simulation model will be applied. The objective is the development of a<br />

sediment balance model which has the ability to estimate transportation loads and riverbed evolution<br />

when morphology has been modified. Another main focus lies on biotic simulations as habitat<br />

modelling for some characteristic fish species and for makrozoobenthos, carried out by the University<br />

of Vienna. Niches of ecological importance like anabranches, shallow zones and sections where river<br />

widening takes place will be monitored intensively. The paper gives an overview of the abiotic<br />

monitoring concept, the current project status and first experiences of the integrative measurements.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROLOGICAL ANALYSIS <strong>OF</strong> ALLUVIUM TRANSPORT BETWEEN BAZIAS AND CALAFAT<br />

BEFORE AND AFTER HYDRO-ENERGETIC SYSTEM IRON GATES BUILDING<br />

Lupescu Daniel, Dumitrascu Marcela Florentina<br />

Jiu Water Directorates Craiova, Nicolae Romanesc Bd., Nr. 54, Craiova, Romania<br />

daniel.lupescu@daj.rowater.ro, marcela.dumitrascu@daj.rowater.ro<br />

After hydro-energetic and navigable system Iron Gates building, some changes showed up in<br />

alluvial soil leakage regime and in the riverbed dynamics. The Danube sector who was analyzed<br />

(Bazias-Calafat) it is monitored by National Administration “Romanian Water”–Jiu Water Directorates.<br />

The alluvial material it usually classifies by his transport way in: suspended sediments and bed load, in<br />

fact those are the principal categories that matter in practical calculations. The sediment discharge is<br />

an important factor for an accurately projection and exploitation of hydraulic structures. Before Danube<br />

barrage to Iron Gates, it was generally measure the suspended sediments, bed load measurements<br />

was some few. On the basis of existing data to hydrometric station Orsova it was determine daily<br />

alluvium discharge[R, kg/s] (and then monthly and annually average and extreme discharges), in this<br />

way a correlation between these and monthly discharges [Q, m³/s] it is establish. A comparison<br />

between this values prove that the multi-annual storage value resulted for analyzed time, for this<br />

station it was 1150kg/s. From analogous calculations, but based on existents data from many<br />

hydrometric stations afterwards turned up, comparatively with previous situation before Danube<br />

barrage to Iron Gates, it result that it was considerably influence the limitation of alluvium discharge.<br />

Alluvium discharge has a remarkable importance into practice. From sedimentation in the places with<br />

slow speed show up the clogging storage phenomena, navigable depth it decrease etc. The<br />

knowledge of river alluvium is necessary for realize those measures who stop or decrease the harmful<br />

effects of sedimentation. For signal danger decrease it require many measures like: maximal decrease<br />

of soil erosion from the catchment and from lake versants, afforestation works, terrassements, sills,<br />

banks slide stopping, ploughland on the contour lines, torrents arrange etc.<br />

Keywords: alluvium, Danube, sedimentation, Iron Gates, discharge<br />

_________________<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> SEDIMENT SUPPLIED TO A SMALL WATER RESERVOIR<br />

AT KREMPNA<br />

Michalec Bogusław, Tarnawski Marek<br />

rmmichbo@cyf-kr.edu.pl<br />

The work presents results of computations of sediment amount supplied to a small water<br />

reservoir at Krempna. The studies comprised the mountain part of the Wisłoka river basin closed by<br />

the water reservoir profile at Krempna. In result of a detailed elaboration of physiographic parameters<br />

for the Wisłoka river partial basin, the outflow denudation value was determined using Reniger-Dębski<br />

and Branski methods. The amount of sediment outflowing from the catchment was also computed by<br />

DR-USLE and MUSLE methods. Results of hydrological measurements, i.e. flow and corresponding<br />

concentration of suspended sediment load in the cross section of the Wisłoka river above the reservoir<br />

made possible calculation of the real quantity of outflowing sediment. The computations considered<br />

diversification of suspended sediment concentrations in the river cross-section. For that reason<br />

hydrometric verticals were determined in which suspended sediment concentration was measured on<br />

different heights. The results of these measurements allowed to calculate the sediment transport using<br />

van Rijn method.<br />

The reservoir at Krempna collects water in the period from May to November and is emptied in<br />

the other half-year. It was found that the average sediment inflow to the Krempna reservoir during the<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

May-November half-year has been respectively 18.67 thous. t·0.5 year -1 by Reniger-Dębski method,<br />

8.27 thous. t·0.5 year -1 by Brański method and 4.12 thous. t·0.5 year -1 by DR-USLE method, 2.85<br />

thous. t·0.5 year -1 by MUSLE method and 4.41 thous. t·0.5 year -1 according to measurements.<br />

Computations of suspended sediment load using van Rijn method were carried out on the basis of two<br />

measurements made at mean flows in the Wisłoka river. The results obtained by the methods applied<br />

were compared with results of the Krempna reservoir silting measurements.<br />

Keywords: suspended load, concentration of suspended sediment, sediment transport, reservoir<br />

silting<br />

_________________<br />

DYNAMICS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DELTA COASTLINE AS AN INDICATOR <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> EVOLUTION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

CHILIA DELTA AT <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE MOUTH<br />

Mikhailova M.V. 1 , Cheroy A.I. 2 , Mikhailov V.N. 3<br />

1 Water Problems Institute, Russain Academy of Sciences, Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119991 Russia,<br />

maria@aqua.laser.ru<br />

2 Danube Hydrometeorological Observatory, Geroev Stalingrada 36, Izmail, 68600<br />

Ukraine, dhmo@te.net.ua<br />

3 Moscow State University, Vorob’evy gory, Moscow, 119992<br />

Russia, vmikh@hydro.geogr.msu.su<br />

The Danube delta is the second largest delta in Europe. The hydrographic network of this<br />

delta consists of the systems of four main branches: the Chilia (the most water-abundant and braided),<br />

Tulcea, Sulina, and Gheorghe. At the mouth of the Chilia branch, there is an active advancing<br />

subdelta (the Chilia Delta), which includes numerous islands and branches.<br />

The aim of the paper is to reveal the peculiarities of the delta coastline dynamics at the mouth<br />

of the Chilia branch. The paper is based on the results of joint investigations of the Danube<br />

Hydrometeorological Observatory, Institute of Water Problems of Russian Academy of Sciences and<br />

Moscow State University (Faculty of Geography). To study the changes of the delta coastline during<br />

1972–2005, authors applied hydrological-statistical and balance methods, special field investigations,<br />

and analysis of space images.<br />

The basic factor responsible for the formation of the Chilia Delta over the last 250 years was<br />

the sediment runoff of the Danube River and the Chilia branch. In 1960–1980, the Danube River flow<br />

was regulated by numerous reservoirs. In spite of the increased irreversible water losses, the period of<br />

1961–2002 turned out to be much more water abundant (211 km 3 /year) that the period of natural<br />

regime from 1840 to 1920 (193 km 3 /year). The water runoff of the Danube River during the period of<br />

1972–2005 was higher, then during the full period of observations (1840–2005). Unlike the water<br />

runoff, the suspended sediment runoff was subjected to dramatic anthropogenic reduction. Over the<br />

periods of 1961–1970, 1971–1984, and 1985–2002, the mean values of suspended sediment runoff of<br />

the Danube River made up 48.0, 45.8, and 28.5 million t/year, respectively, which was far less than<br />

the values observed in previous periods (62.8 million t/year in 1840–1920). The main reason for the<br />

suspended sediment runoff reduction in the lower reaches of the river is associated with sedimentation<br />

in Iron Gate-I and -II reservoirs.<br />

The Chilia branch began to build its delta in the middle of the 18th century, and in the 18–19th<br />

centuries it was one of the most dynamical deltas of the world. At present, the Chilia Delta is one of<br />

the largest advancing deltas on the coasts of the Black Sea. The Chilia Delta underwent four stages of<br />

development: the branchless stage; the stage with few branches; the multi-branch stage; and again<br />

the stage with few branches (starting in 1956). Approximately, until 1930, the Chilia Delta coastline<br />

was classified as a fluvial-dominated type, i.e., each branch formed a small promontory, and such<br />

promontories were separated by small bays. Over the period of 1957–1980, the length of the delta<br />

coastline decreased by 10 km. The coastline began to smooth out, its progradation into the sea<br />

slowed down, number of the delta branches reduced. The type of the coastline changed from fluvial-<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

dominated to wave-dominated. In 1972–2002, the Chilia Delta increment made up 21.4 km 2 , and the<br />

abrasion equaled 14.0 km 2 , so the delta area increased by 7.4 km 2 (0.25 km 2 /year). The stormy<br />

activity resulted in formation of new accumulative spits along the coastline.<br />

Changes of the morphometric characteristic (the delta area, the alluvial fan volume, the delta<br />

coastline length, etc.) closely connect with the sediment runoff variations. The decisive role of<br />

sediment runoff in the development of the Chilia delta can be confirmed by the dependence of the<br />

delta area and the volume of the alluvial fan on the cumulative sediment runoff (i.e., the sum of<br />

sediments for the period of delta formation up to the respective moment) of the branch.<br />

This work was supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (grants № 04-05-<br />

64149, № 05-05-65110).<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> SAVA RIVER IMPOUNDMENT AT MAVČIČE AND GROUNDWATER REGIME <strong>OF</strong> KRANJSKO<br />

– SORŠKO POLJE ALLUVIAL AQUIFERS<br />

MIKULIČ Zlatko M.Sc., SAVIĆ Vlado, GALE Urša, ANDJELOV Mišo Ph.D.<br />

Agencija Republike Slovenije za okolje;<br />

zlatko.mikulic@rzs-hm.si; miso.andjelov@gov.si<br />

Alluvial aquifers of Kranj and Sora plain (Kranjsko-Sorško polje in Slovenian) along the Sava<br />

River in Slovenia (Figure 1) are among the most abundant in groundwater in the whole country. It is<br />

estimated that total groundwater discharge from aquifers into the Sava and the Sora rivers amounts at<br />

least to three times the drink water consumption quantity of the nearby capital Ljubljana, even during<br />

most severe droughts. The groundwater regime of both aquifers is highly influenced by the Sava<br />

River. Twenty years ago in 1986 the Sava River canyon at the section from Kranj to Mavčiče village<br />

was impounded for the purpose of hydroelectric production in Mavčiče hydroelectric power plant,<br />

some fifteen kilometres upstream of Ljubljana. This construction led to an interesting course of<br />

processes regarding groundwater level regime, groundwater flow direction and groundwater reserves.<br />

_________________<br />

ONE-DIMENSIONAL MULTI-STRIP TRANSPORT MODEL FOR LONG DISTANCE SEDIMENT<br />

TRANSPORT IN NAVIGATION CHANNELS, CASE STUDY <strong>THE</strong> RIVER ELBE<br />

Prohaska Sandra, Westrich Bernhard<br />

University of Stuttgart, Institute of Hydraulic Engineering (IWS), Pfaffenwaldring 61, 70 569 Stuttgart,<br />

Germany,<br />

e-mail: sandra.prohaska@iws.uni-stuttgart.de<br />

Many European rivers are being regulated using groyne structures, which have a great<br />

influence on the flow and suspended sediments transport. Fine sediments associated with<br />

contaminants are deposited in the groyne fields and could be resuspended and remobilised by high<br />

erosive flood events. The exchange process of suspended sediment between a main channel and<br />

adjacent groyne fields is a key process of sediment transport in such waterways.<br />

To describe long-term and large scale transport processes, a one-dimensional model is<br />

suitable. For assessing the resuspension, transport and redeposition of the very fine sediments<br />

deposited in the groyne fields, a one-dimensional multi-strip model has been developed, which allows<br />

to account for the exchange between the side strips and the main channel. The model is based on a<br />

finite difference formulation focussing on flow and suspended sediment transport in three river<br />

compartments. The one-dimensional 3-strip model comprises the flow and transport equations<br />

coupled by exchange parameters between the strips. Due to the complex flow field inside the groyne<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

field, the exchange coefficient is determined by a 2-d flow model and entered to the 1-d model. The<br />

exchange terms are determined according to the river discharge. When the water level is lower than<br />

the groyne crest the exchange process between the strips is dominant. When the groynes are<br />

completely submerged advective flow occurs, which can be approximately captured by the 1-d model.<br />

This study aims at modelling the interaction between the groyne fields and the main channel of<br />

38 km long stretch of the river Elbe during extreme flood event occurred in August 2002. The River<br />

Mulde, left tributary, was severely polluted by wastewater from the mining and chemical industries<br />

discharged to the river. Therefore, the modelled area starts around 3 km upstream of the mouth of the<br />

Mulde. The goal was to determine the effect of the flood on the deposited sediments in groyne fields<br />

along the River Elbe, due to urgent issues about the impact of resuspended contaminants on the<br />

aquatic environment.<br />

Generally, during the first 14 days of simulated period, deposition was the dominant process,<br />

where about 771 m 3 of sediments were deposited. Within the next 12 days erosion occurred with the<br />

maximum eroded volume of about 50000 m 3 . Erosion of deposited suspended sediments started and<br />

ended when the discharge was approximately 1400 m 3 /s.<br />

The results showed that before the extreme flood, deposition in the groyne fields occurred.<br />

During the flood, the erosion of the main channel was dominant. However, erosion of some deposited<br />

material in the groyne fields occurred as well, with the maximum erosion depth of about 2.2 cm in the<br />

right groyne field at km 285.9. Furthermore, 17% of the total eroded sediments eroded from the<br />

groyne fields. Erosion in the groyne fields started 1 day after the erosion in the main channel occurred.<br />

The multi-strip model and its use could be extended to all rivers if the division of crosssectional<br />

flow areas, in terms of different flow velocities and depths, is relevant. The modelled results<br />

showed that erosion and deposition occur in the same cross-section at the same time. Deposited<br />

material in some groyne fields during low discharge was eroded during flood event.<br />

Nevertheless, further use could be for flood events when the flow characteristics of flooded<br />

areas are different from the ones in a main channel. Also, the deposition of eroded material from the<br />

river bed to the flood plains is important when the eroded sediments are contaminated and flood plains<br />

are used for agricultural purposes.<br />

Keywords: suspended sediment transport, exchange, groyne fields, Elbe, 1-d modelling, multi-strip<br />

method.<br />

_________________<br />

FIELD INVESTIGATION <strong>OF</strong> GRAVEL RIVERBEDS BY FREEZE-PANEL SAMPLER<br />

Rakoczi Laszlo<br />

VITUKI Environmental Protection and Water Management Research Institute<br />

H-1453 Budapest, P.O. Box 27, Hungary, lrakoczi@axelero.hu<br />

The first results of a freeze-panel bed material sampling project are presented. Freezing<br />

enables to take undisturbed samples from gravelly streambeds. Conclusions were drawn concerning<br />

the stratification in the upper 15-20 cm thick layer of the bed, the effect of flow regime on the grainsize<br />

composition, the reliability of drag-pipe samplers, the shape of coarse gravels and provided grainroughness<br />

data for the calibration of 2D flow numerical models.<br />

Keywords: gravel-bed Rivers, freeze-panel samplers, undisturbed samples.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

SOIL EROSION IN <strong>THE</strong> REPUBLIC <strong>OF</strong> MOLDOVA<br />

Summer Wolfgang<br />

FH-Campus Vienna, Civil Engineering-Management, Daumegasse 1/2, A-1100 Vienna, Austria, email:<br />

office@w-summer.org<br />

Due to the breakdown of the former Soviet Union, the centrally organized large-scale<br />

agricultural structures became obsolete as markets for agricultural products disappeared overnight.<br />

The Republic of Moldova was left with an energy- and cost-intensive agricultural infrastructure. It was<br />

impossible to quickly adopt the existing infrastructure to the regional needs of the country. In addition,<br />

natural processes such as drought, soil losses due to extensive landslides, wind erosion, degradation<br />

of soil fertility and many other negative erosion-related impacts threatened the agricultural productivity<br />

of the soils as well as agricultural economy and the wealth of the rural population. It is estimated that<br />

soil erosion in Moldova results in a financial loss of 45–55 million € annually. The lack of available<br />

information and data on natural processes as well as the lack of legal and strategic guidance to<br />

farmers can be seen as a major cause of the devastating situation of the country.<br />

Keywords: benefits; costs; institutions; legislation; Moldova; policy; soil erosion and conservation.<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROLOGICAL AND INSTRUMENTED ASPECTS ON MONITORING AND ANALYSING<br />

SUSPENDED SEDIMENT CROSSING INTERNATIONAL BORDERS<br />

Summer Wolfgang, Schindl Georg, Studnicka Markus, Eckelhart Alexandra<br />

FH-Campus Vienna, Civil Engineering-Management, Daumegasse 1/2,<br />

A-1100 Vienna, Austria,<br />

e-mail: office@w-summer.org<br />

The transport of suspended sediments in rivers and streams is a natural process, increasingly<br />

influenced by human activities. It has ecological as well as economic effects. In order to recognise and<br />

react on these changes in river basins it is important to record the quantities of suspended sediment in<br />

a technically correct as well as in a comparable way. The monitoring often has to be done on<br />

transboundary river systems. Technical discrepancies in the monitoring strategies as well as<br />

institutional, organisational and legal difficulties are a major problem in the setup of common<br />

standardized procedures. This paper summarises the outcome of the ICCE task force activity on a<br />

general “Guidance to standardization and comparison of methods used for evaluation of sediment<br />

transport crossing international borders”, focusing on hydraulic aspects as well as on monitoring<br />

techniques.<br />

Keywords: international, transboundary, monitoring, suspended, sediment, hydraulics<br />

80


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

PROTECTION <strong>OF</strong> RIVER DANUBE FROM RIVER BED DEFORMATION<br />

Tadić Zdenko<br />

Hidroing d.o.o. Osijek, T. Smičiklasa 1, 31000 Osijek, Croatia, zdenkot@hidroing-os.hr<br />

Radeljak Ivan<br />

Hidroing d.o.o. Osijek, T. Smičiklasa 1, 31000 Osijek, Croatia, ivanr@hidroing-os.hr<br />

Kuspilić Neven<br />

Građevinski fakultet, Fra Andrije Kačića-Miošića 26, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia, kuspa@grad.hr<br />

Tadić Lidija<br />

Građevinski fakultet, Crkvena 21, 31000 Osijek, Croatia, ltadic@gfos.hr<br />

Đuroković Zoran<br />

Hrvatske vode, Splavarska 2A, 31000 Osijek, Croatia, zoran.djurokovic@os.t-com.hr<br />

Haničar Davor<br />

Hrvatske vode, Splavarska 2A, 31000 Osijek, Croatia, handav@voda.hr<br />

Ištuk Miroslav<br />

Agencija za plovne putove unutarnjih voda, Prisavlje 14, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia,<br />

agencija.plovni.putovi@vu.t-com.hr<br />

River Danube, as a main European river, is continuously changing its’ riverbed and<br />

embankments due to hydrological and morphological processes as well as human activities. Previous<br />

activities on river regulation and current situation imply that river section from kilometer 1380 up to<br />

kilometer 1433, from mouth of Drava River at Aljmaš up to Hungarian border, needs urgent<br />

measurement to prevent further bank erosion which is most intensive in Kopački rit area. Beside this,<br />

deposition of sediments in the river inside the shipping corridor needs long and intensive mitigation<br />

measures.<br />

In past period, there were no significant activities undertaken on protection of river banks in<br />

area of Nature Park Kopački rit, which resulted in greater erosion and negative impact on Nature Park.<br />

Right bank erosion process followed by subsidence of this area caused reduced embankment width to<br />

just few meters. Average erosion rates are as high as 60 meters in 30 years. This amount was<br />

calculated in region between river kilometer 1401 and 1407 where actual values range from 10 to 100<br />

meters. Considering the height of the riht river bank and morphology of the adjacent terrain the section<br />

between river kilometer 1400 and 1410 is the most endangerd.<br />

Fact that the Nature Park Kopački Rit is threatened by the embankment and riverbed erosion<br />

that would cause a great impact on the morphology and the wild life in Kopački Rit have initiated the<br />

Croatian Water Authority to start with urgent embankment protection activities at the most endangered<br />

locations.<br />

In order to prepare project documentation, hydrological activities and field investigations were<br />

undertaken to ensure relevant input data and valuable basis for mathematical modeling of stream flow.<br />

This project has the main goal to protect the most eroded part of the Danube River in Croatia<br />

(river kilometer 1400 to 1410) as a continuation from previous activities in order to provide basis for<br />

river regulation and shipping corridor. Beside this, project will be very useful basis for bilateral and<br />

trilateral cooperation due to fact that field measurements and cartography activities have been recently<br />

carried out (recent maps, river cross sections based on GPS, velocity and discharge measurements<br />

based on Doppler equipment etc.).<br />

Result of this project is proposal for river regulation and shipping corridor together with activity<br />

plan for Croatian side of the river.<br />

Keywords: River Danube regulation, riverbed deformation, river morphology, protection measures<br />

81


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> DYNAMICS <strong>OF</strong> SEDIMENT DISCHARGE IN <strong>THE</strong> ROMANIAN SECTOR <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

RIVER<br />

Dr. TEODOR Sorin, ing. RADULESCU Carmen, ing. CIUCĂ Radu<br />

NIHWM<br />

sorin.teodor@hidro.ro<br />

The paper is based on an analysis of the evolution in time regarding the sediment discharge in<br />

the inferior section of the Danube River, between Bazias and Isaccea.<br />

The study has three objectives: the first objective – assessment of total sediment discharge,<br />

and the assessment of the second component, the bed-load discharge (a component which was not<br />

taken into account until now in the sediment balance calculations), the second objective – the<br />

assessment of the influence that the hydroenergetic structures located on the Danube River itself, but<br />

also on its tributaries, have upon the sediment discharge in the last three decades (1970 – 2003), the<br />

third objective is the percentage evaluation of the repartition regarding the solid suspension outflow on<br />

the main branches of the Danube River.<br />

Keywords: sediment runoff, global sediment discharge, percentage repartition of the sediment runoff.<br />

_________________<br />

MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> RIVER BEDS RESEVOUR AND SEDIMENTATION PROCESS ON CATACMENT<br />

<strong>OF</strong> SATESKA RIVER<br />

Prof.dr Trendafilov.Aleksandar<br />

(Faculty of Forestry – Skopje str:Bulevar Aleksandar Makedonski)<br />

G.F.I. Georgieski Slave<br />

( Water development institute of Macedonia<br />

str: III Udarna Makedonska brigade E-mail:zvdstp@mt.net.mk )<br />

G.F.I. Milosevski Vangel<br />

(Water development institute of Macedonia str: III Udarna Makedonska brigade; E-mail:<br />

milosevskivangel@yahoo.com)<br />

Monitoring in river bed-reservoir on erosion and processing on sedimentation on river basin for<br />

r.Sateska<br />

Processes of erosion,their determination and quantity are scientic problems of interest for<br />

many scientists of us and the world.<br />

River Sateska is one of the biggest river in catachment of Ohrid lake, and in the lake to get<br />

involved enormous erosion alluvium, and, acceleration the process of dying out at the nearest area of<br />

Ohrid lake (protected by UNESCO).<br />

In catachmen in the river Sateska all river bed was prospected from aspect to process and<br />

modeling of erosion.<br />

Styding is (6) sixth measuring profiles and (30) river basin in catachment on the river Sateska<br />

lake reservoir of erosion.<br />

Fortify is (29) measuring profiles in Ohrid lake, and analyze (echo-sounder, snapshots)<br />

register in a button of the lake, and determinate is the quantity amount sediment and granulated<br />

composition.<br />

Keywords Processing of erosion and sedimentation, quantity amount, echo-sounder snapshots)<br />

granulated composition.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN SLOVENIAN RIVERS<br />

Ulaga Florjana, M.Sc.<br />

Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia<br />

Vojkova 1b, Ljubljana, Slovenia<br />

florjana.ulaga@gov.si<br />

Hydrology service of Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia is also carrying out<br />

systematic measurements of concentration and transport of suspended sediment in rivers. The<br />

purpose of suspended sediment measurements is to determine the total amount of suspended load<br />

sediment concentration and sediment transport at specific place along the river in one year and in long<br />

period.<br />

One of the important documents that integrate the river basin management in Europe is Water<br />

Framework Directive which also determinate definitions for high, good and moderate ecological status<br />

in rivers. One of the characteristics of surface water body types on which ecologically characterization<br />

of environmental status should be done is also substratum of the river. This means, that it is<br />

necessary to know the characteristics of changes in river bad and the transport of suspended solid in<br />

rivers. To assure high water quality status it is important to consider river continuity as one of the<br />

hydro morphological quality elements. The river has high quality status if the continuity of the river is<br />

not disturbed by anthropogenic activities and allows undisturbed migration of aquatic organisms and<br />

sediment transport.<br />

The beginnings of monitoring of sediment transport in Slovenia, date back to 1955 when<br />

sampling started in the catchment area of the Savinja River. A regular monitoring of suspended<br />

material concentration on the rivers Mura and Vipava has been taking place since 1985. The number<br />

of sampling points on the Sava River is subject to change. In year 2006 in monitoring network are<br />

included stations on 13 rivers. On seven rivers concentration of suspended sediment is measured<br />

every day and on six rivers only in time of extreme hydrological situations. The result is determination<br />

of transport of suspended sediment in river, which is product of measured concentration and<br />

discharge. Multi annual mean values of transported suspended material of the Mura River is about<br />

323 thousand tons, of the Savinja River is about 304 thousand tons and of the Vipava River is about<br />

25 thousand tons in one year. On the basis of the catchment area knowledge, the decrease of earth<br />

surface in the hinterland of individual stations can be estimated. In this way, the following estimate is<br />

possible: in similar hydrological and erosion conditions as registered in the 50-year period, the surface<br />

of the Mura River catchment area would lower on average for 21mm, the catchment area of the<br />

Savinja River for 70mm and of the Vipava River for 18mm in thousand years.<br />

83


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

WATERSHED EROSION AND SEDIMENT YIELD DURING CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES<br />

Assistant Vouk Dražen, B.Sc.CE a<br />

Professor Malus Davor, Ph.D.CE b<br />

Assistant Bekić Damir, M.Sc.CE c<br />

a University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Kačićeva 26, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia,<br />

dvouk@grad.hr<br />

b University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Kačićeva 26, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia,<br />

malus@grad.hr<br />

c University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Kačićeva 26, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia,<br />

dbekic@grad.hr<br />

Soil erosion problems on construction sites and resulted transport of sediment downstream<br />

the watershed, as well as, its final settling are comprised within this paper. Negative aspects of such<br />

processes are primary manifested through sediment buildup in downstream area and its influence on<br />

disturbance of natural biological balance in nearby water bodies and on surface area.<br />

Strong correlation between the volume of earth works and generating quantities of suspended<br />

sediment puts the highway construction sites under special concern. Extensive highway network<br />

development in Croatia during the last few years has witnessed that little or no attention's been given<br />

to this problem. Since new highway directions are planned and overall process of large surface area<br />

disturbance hasn't been finished, implementation of sophisticated and well-known best management<br />

practices (BMPs) in erosion control should be considered.<br />

The importance of implementing such practices was shown on the case of highway “Istarski<br />

Ipsilon” located in the middle-southern Istra region (Croatia). Due to the world-wide acceptance,<br />

Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) was used to estimate the degree of soil loss.<br />

Investigation results emphasize that good after construction maintenance program is also one of the<br />

essential elements in reducing the erosion rate of the soil and avoiding downstream problems with<br />

sediment deposition. The problems concerning additional expenses for erosion control measures and<br />

their descriptive comparison with damages resulted from plugging the drainage lines, constant loosing<br />

of hydraulic capacity in pertinent separators (grit and grease chambers) and lagoons as well as the<br />

reduction in their treatment efficiency were also implied.<br />

This paper proposes systematic approach concerning soil loss prediction together with<br />

different measures to control surface erosion and transport of sediment.<br />

Keywords: erosion, sedimentation, highway construction, BMP's<br />

84


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

WATER QUALITY AND<br />

ECOHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES<br />

85


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

86


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

STRATIFICATION FEATURES <strong>OF</strong> A SNOW COVER <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> UKRAINIAN CARPATHIANS AND<br />

ITS PHYSICOMECHANICAL QUALITIES<br />

Aksyuk O., Grishchenko V.,<br />

Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Research Institute (UHRI),<br />

Kiev, Ukraine, Nauki ave. 37, 03028,<br />

e-mail: uhmi@uhmi.org.ua<br />

In this work the results of researches of features strarigraphy and physicomechanical qualities<br />

of a snow cover of high mountains of the Ukrainian Carpathians are considered. Detailed researches<br />

of these characteristics are necessary for definition of both stocks of a moisture and stability of snow<br />

thickness on slopes in pools of the rivers.<br />

Keywords: snow cover, dug-hole, penetrometer, temperature, snow density, destructions<br />

metamorphism, design procedure of maximal snow accumulations.<br />

_________________<br />

CYANIDE POLLUTION WAVE EMISSION ON <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER IN GIURGIU – RUSE SECTOR<br />

PRODUCED BY <strong>THE</strong> ECOLOGIC ACCIDENT FROM “S.C. AURUL BAIA MARE” IN JANUARY –<br />

FEBRUARY 2000<br />

Arges – Vedea Water Department,<br />

Giurgiu Hydrological Station, Dan Barbilian Street, no.14, Giurgiu<br />

The paper presents some part of the event and the monitoring of the pollution phenomena on<br />

Giurgiu department territory (km 527 – 465), because of the pollution with cyanide and heavy metals<br />

produced by the “S.C. Aurul Baia Mare”.<br />

The accident occurred in 30 Th of January at 22.30 because of the dyke braking, dyke which<br />

was surrounding the decantation pond, thus being overflowed appreciatively 100 000 mc of liquid<br />

which contained between 50 and 100 tons of cyanide and heavy metals.<br />

The paper is structured as fallows:<br />

Chapter 1: The characteristics of Danube River waters in Giurgiu sector before the pollution<br />

Chapter 2: The ecologic accident produced at “S.C. Aurul Baia Mare” – causes, emission and<br />

effects on the environment and international relationships.<br />

Chapter 3: The emission of the pollution wave and effects upstream Giurgiu – Ruse section<br />

Chapter 4: The evolution of the pollution wave in Giurgiu – Ruse sector<br />

Chapter 5: The management of the pollution phenomena at local level<br />

Chapter 6: Conclusions<br />

Keywords: cyanide, pollution, Danube River, water quality analysis<br />

87


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> WATER MINERAL COMPOSITION CHARACTERISTICS ALONG <strong>THE</strong> BULGARIAN PART <strong>OF</strong><br />

<strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

Blaskova Stefka<br />

National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology – Bulgarian Academy of Sciences<br />

66 Tzarigradsko Chaussee blvd, 1784 Sofia, Bulgaria;<br />

Stefka.Blaskova@meteo.bg<br />

The investigation is based on the information from 8 hydrochemical stations situated along the<br />

Bulgarian part of the Danube – Novo selo (km 833.6), Vidin (km 790.2), Lom (km743.3), Somovit (km<br />

607.7), Nikopol (km 597), Svistov (km 554.3), Silistra (km 375.5) and the estuary parts of the main<br />

Bulgarian tributaries: the Lom river (km 741.6), the Iskar river (km 636.4), the Vit river (km 609.4), the<br />

Ossam river (km.599.8), the Yantra river (km 536.7), the Russenski Lom river (km 497.8).<br />

The studied period covers five years (1991-1995) under monthly monitoring concerning the<br />

Danube stations and seasonal monitoring regarding the tributaries stations. The mineral content of the<br />

- 2-<br />

following water quality parameters is analized: hydrocarbonates (HCO3 ), sulfates (SO4 ), chlorides<br />

(Cl - ), calcium (Ca 2+ ), magnesium (Mg 2+ ), sodium and potassium (Na + +K + ), hardness and total<br />

dissolved solids (TDS). The water quality information is based on standard methods of sampling and<br />

chemical analysis.<br />

The time alterations are investigated by trend analysis of measured values. The results show<br />

some tendencies common to all station along the Bulgarian part of the Danube. A slight increase in<br />

the total dissolved solids (TDS) is observed. The sulfates contents are steady. The concentrations of<br />

magnesium, calcium, hydrocarbonates and chlorides increase but the contents of sodium and<br />

potassium decrease with time.<br />

The longitudinal alterations are studied by trend analysis of average values of mineral content<br />

parameters at the hydrochemical stations. A gradually increase in the mineral content along the river<br />

is observed.<br />

The seasonal alterations of studied parameters show winter maximum and summer minimum.<br />

The Danube water type along the Bulgarian part is low mineralized bicarbonate water with<br />

prevalent cation Ca 2+ - 2+ 2+<br />

. It is valid: HCO3 > Ca +Mg .<br />

The data reveal that the mineral content characteristics concerning the Bulgarian tributaries<br />

are similar to the Danube characteristics. Only the Russenski Lom river distinguishes with the higher<br />

concentrations of studied ions.<br />

According the mineral content parameters the Bulgarian Danube tributaries pertain to I<br />

category. Two exceptions exist: the Russenski Lom river – II category concerning TDS and hardness.<br />

The registered contents of sulfates (SO4 2- ), chlorides (Cl - ) and total dissolved solids (TDS) at<br />

the stations along the Bulgarian part of the Danube are in the range of I water quality category. The<br />

values of the hardness pertain to II water quality category.<br />

88


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

RECENT PHYTOPLANKTON CONTENTS AND WATER QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> BAJA-BEZDAN CHANNEL<br />

ON <strong>THE</strong> BORDER LOCALITY <strong>OF</strong> BACKI BREG<br />

Snežana Čadjo, Aleksandar Miletić, Radojka Bugarski<br />

Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia<br />

Belgrade, Serbia<br />

e-mail: scadjo@hidmet.sr.gov.yu, aleksandar_miletic@yahoo.com, rbugarski@ptt.yu<br />

Among other activities, Republic Hydrometeorologic Service of Serbia deals with water quality<br />

examinations on the border-cut water-flows, under the International Water Co-operation Programme<br />

with Hungary. This paper presents the results on phytoplankton analysis and some physico-chemical<br />

characteristics of Baja-Bezdan channel between 2003.-2004. The results of physico-chemical water<br />

analysis, according to chemical classification of waters in Hungary, show that the majority of examined<br />

parameters matched the I and II class of water quality. Some parameters, like concentration of<br />

dissolved oxygen and the percentage of water saturification by oxygen, occasionally matched the III<br />

and IV class of water, when the cases of supersaturification and the oxygen deficit have been noted.<br />

In the spring period of 2003., it has been noted the occasional increase of bio-degradable organic<br />

matter in water. Concentrations of ammonia and nitrates have been low during the period of<br />

examination, but the increase of nitrite concentration, have been occasionally noted during the spring<br />

and summer. The low concentrations of orthophosphates and total phosphor have been measured.<br />

The phytoplankton community was characterized by 203 taxa from 8 algal divisions, that points out to<br />

a great biodiversity of algae in channel. In quantitative way green algae were dominant with 83 taxa<br />

and diatoms with 72 taxa. The quantitative analysis mostly showed the dominance of diatoms in all<br />

periods of examinations. The most important representatives of centric forms were: Cyclotella<br />

meneghiniana Kützing, Stephanodiscus hantzschii Grun. and Aulacoseira granulata (Ehrb.) Simonsen.<br />

The forms of order Pennales were represented by the species of genus Fragilaria and species<br />

Asterionella formosa Hassall. In winter and by the beginning of spring, beside diatoms the algae from<br />

the division of Chrysophyta were present in large number: Dinobryon divergens Imhof, Dinobryon<br />

sertularia Ehrb. and Synura uvella Ehrb. Green algae were at their most in spring and summer. Their<br />

representatives are the species of genera: Scenedesmus, Micractinium, Actinastrum,<br />

Dictyosphaerium, Golenkinia, Pediastrum and Coelastrum. Saprobiologic plankton analysis show the<br />

presence of β and α-mesosaprobionts. Saprobic index in the period of examination matched the II<br />

class of water quality.<br />

Keywords: phytoplankton, diatoms, physico-chemical parameters, nutrients, saprobiologic analysis<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> BIOACCUMULATION <strong>OF</strong> PRIORITY POLLUTANTS IN SEDIMENTS <strong>OF</strong> THREE MAJOR<br />

EUROPEAN RIVERS<br />

Claus Evelyn, Blübaum-Gronau Elke and Heininger Peter<br />

Federal Institute of Hydrology (BfG); Am Mainzer Tor 1, 56068 Koblenz, Germany<br />

Phone: +49261 1306 5307; Fax: +49261 1306 5363<br />

E-mail:Heininger@bafg.de<br />

The paper addresses the relation between sediment pollution by organochlorine compounds<br />

and their bioavailability as reflected in a bioaccumulation test with the aquatic oligochaete L.<br />

variegatus. Sediments from seven sites on the rivers Danube, Elbe, and Rhine were investigated. The<br />

accumulation tendency of the individual organochlorine compounds varied considerably. In general,<br />

DDT and metabolites as well as PCBs were accumulated much stronger than HCHs and HCB.<br />

89


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Keywords: bioaccumulation, biota-sediment accumulation factor (BSAF), organochlorine pollutants,<br />

river sediments, Elbe, Danube, Rhine<br />

_________________<br />

METHODOLOGY <strong>OF</strong> MONITORING DEVELOPMENT AS PART <strong>OF</strong> WATER QUALITY<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Ćosić-Flajsig Gorana 1 , Petričec Mladen 2<br />

1 Croatian Waters, Croatia, Zagreb, Ulica grada Vukovara 220, gcosic@voda.hr<br />

2 Energy Institute, Croatia, Zagreb, Ulica grada Vukovara 37, mladen.petricec@ie-zagreb.hr<br />

Economic development and urbanisation of space have lead to a significant devastation of the<br />

environment, particularly water as its most important component. Clean environment and ensuring of<br />

sufficient water quantities of adequate quality are increasingly becoming a limiting factor of social<br />

development. The principle of sustainable development, whose starting point is the premise that the<br />

need fulfilment of the present generation must not exclude such possibility for the future generations,<br />

is being introduced into planning documents. The United Nations Sustainable Development<br />

Commission (UN SDC) enacted the Declaration on Sustainable Development, thus officially marking<br />

the start of global implementation of the concept of sustainable development.<br />

The basic prerequisite for ensuring sustainable development in the water sector requires<br />

integrated approach and evaluation of all nature components, both environmental and human.<br />

Characteristics and problems of water quantity and water quality management are being interlinked,<br />

also with other resources which influence waters by taking into account hydrological, ecological and<br />

socio-economic factors. The enactment of the EU Water Framework Directive resulted in a<br />

requirement to create an integrated, systematic, scientifically-based concept for solving water<br />

management problems. The development of adequate tools which would enable the implementation of<br />

sustainable development and the establishment of sustainable water management within integrated<br />

environment management created formal conditions for obtaining this goal. The importance of river<br />

basin was recognized, and it became the basic management unit of integrated water management,<br />

while monitoring became one of the main factors for checking both the implementation of a water<br />

management plan and the efficiency of applied measures.<br />

This complex interaction of different processes in the environment requires a different<br />

approach to problem-solving, thus the introduction of the problem-oriented approach, i.e. so-called<br />

DPSIR approach (Driving Forces – Pressure – State – Impact – Response), which was adopted as a<br />

problem-solving procedure in environmental protection. The prerequisite for this approach is obtaining<br />

high quality, purposeful information, which necessitates the establishment of a monitoring programme,<br />

whose scope is greater and which is more expensive than the regular monitoring of water status. This<br />

implies a necessary optimisation of the monitoring programme in terms of minimisation of costs and<br />

maximisation of information necessary for decision-making.<br />

Efficient implementation of the problem-oriented approach requires the use of indicators as a<br />

scientific, expert-based tool for obtaining high quality information for decision-making, which enables a<br />

presentation of data and information on water quality management in a recognizable, accessible<br />

format to decision-makers.<br />

The paper shall present the methodology of selecting water quality indicators resulting from a<br />

water quality management plan of a river basin, which supports the implementation of the plan, and,<br />

apart from the local component, includes national and international levels as well. Based on defined<br />

water quality indicators, optimal water quality monitoring, “tailor made” river basin monitoring is<br />

created, with the main purpose of obtaining necessary information. In line with set objectives,<br />

methodology and criteria for optimal water quality monitoring of a river basin are proposed.<br />

Keywords: EU Water Framework Directive, integrated water management, water quality monitoring,<br />

indicator<br />

90


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> FLOODS ON <strong>THE</strong> ECOSYSTEMS <strong>OF</strong> BEGA – TIMIS CATCHMENT AREA<br />

Cretu Gh 1 , Mocanu F.C 2 , Badaluta-Minda I.C 2<br />

1 “Politehnica” University of Timisoara, Faculty of Hydrotechnics,<br />

G. Enescu St., no.1ª, 300022 Timisoara, Romania,<br />

e-mail gcr@mail.dnttm.ro<br />

2 “Politehnica” University of Timisoara, Faculty of Hydrotechnics,<br />

G. Enescu St., no.1ª, 300022 Timisoara, Romania,<br />

e-mail flaminiamro@yahoo.com<br />

The concept of sustainable development of water resources not only strengthens but extends<br />

also the policies in water management domain. It is very well known that streams are ecosystems<br />

characterized through a great spatial and temporal variability, the flow controlling their physical and<br />

biological functioning.<br />

One of the major negative consequences, increased in the last period, is the series of<br />

hydrological extreme events. This amplifies the negative feed-back at the level of biological structure<br />

and dynamics of ecosystems.<br />

The conservation and management of these ecosystems requires taking into account the<br />

natural flow and the variability of this regime. The high waters impact on the banks structure leads to a<br />

decrease of spawning zones and a decrease of the benthic invertebrate populations also because of<br />

the erosion processes occurred.<br />

In this paper are analyzed the changes occurred into the ecosystems in the Timis-Bega<br />

catchments area, tributaries of first order of Danube, due to the floods from April 2005, and means to<br />

do a comparative analyze from 2004 and 2005 and of the consequences above stream ecology.<br />

The analysis of water quality variables has been carried out according to the management<br />

plan at 4 main sections for each stream: the monitoring stations Luncani, Balint, Timisoara and Otelec<br />

(on Bega stream) and at the stations Sadova, upstream Lugoj, Sag, Graniceri (upstream RO-YU<br />

Border) using the data base for two years 2004-2005.<br />

The nutrients play an important role in determining the status of aquatic systems. The form<br />

studied and with high importance in stream waters are the inorganic ones: ammonium, nitrates, nitrites<br />

for N, and orthophosphates for P.<br />

To interpret the data and trends was applied a statistical procedure (PCA – Principal<br />

Component Analysis - using the XLSTAT program) on the Bega stream, the main source of water<br />

supply of Timisoara city, resulting a correlation matrix between the main 9 parameters during 2005,<br />

which is a very useful tool for visualization of the data set and was also used a cluster analysis for the<br />

same stream.<br />

The main conclusion which can be drawn is that not only one cause produces all the changes<br />

in the ecosystem. Many changes are initiated also by the other characteristics of the hydrological<br />

characteristics (discharges, water chemistry) where the real cause is hard to indicate because<br />

interfere a range of changes in the same time, are interconnected, and the effects are cumulative.<br />

Keywords: sustainable development, ecosystems, impact, management<br />

91


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

REHABILITATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> WATERCOURSES IN <strong>THE</strong> ECONOMICALLY DEPRESSED AREAS –<br />

ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES – <strong>THE</strong> WATER SUPPLY SYSTEM <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> TOWN<br />

ANINA<br />

Cristescu Diana, Cristescu Stefan, Mihailescu Irina<br />

“Banat” Water Direction, no. 32, Mivai Viteazul Street, RO – Timisoara,<br />

diana101010@yahoo.com, irimihailescu@yahoo.com<br />

In Romania, according to RO Govt. Urgency Ordinance no. 24 as of 30 Sept 1998, the rules<br />

governing the depressed areas depending on the economic development level have been set out,<br />

thus resulting 7 such areas.<br />

The status of “economically depressed area” involves certain facilities for the investments in<br />

that areas. From the viewpoint of environment protection works, the status of depressed area could<br />

boost the investments in environmental rehabilitation of that areas. It is well known that, for instance,<br />

the unemployment rate is reversely proportional to the measures of protecting the quality of water.<br />

Thus, the higher the unemployment rate the lower the concern of people with environment issues<br />

(diminishing of the resources for buliding and maintaining wastewater treatment facilities, of the<br />

investments for water supply systems, and so on).<br />

An example of the facts above is the faulty water supply of the town Anina from the storage<br />

lake Buhui.<br />

Keywords: economically depressed areas, environmental rehabilitation, water supply, water<br />

engineering works, environment protection<br />

_________________<br />

FOSSIL FLUVIAL FORMS IN <strong>THE</strong> KOLUBARA BASIN<br />

Slavoljub Dragićević 1 , Jugoslav Nikoić 2 and Nenad Živković 3<br />

1 Faculty of Geography, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 3/3,<br />

11000 Belgrade, Serbia, e-mail: sasa@gef.bg.ac.yu<br />

2 Republic Hydro-meteorological Institute of Serbia, Kneza Višeslava 66,<br />

11030 Belgrade, Serbia, e-mail: jugnik@EUnet.yu<br />

3 Faculty of Geography , University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 3/3,<br />

11000 Belgrade, Serbia, e-mail: schmele@gef.bg.ac.yu<br />

A large number of fossil fluvial forms in the Kolubara basin was the reason for a complex<br />

analysis if numerous factors that controlled their development. The relationship was established between<br />

Pliocene and Quaternary sinking of the lower Kolubara valley, formation of the Kolubara Fault,<br />

staged shifting of the Kolubara from the original channel and river material deposition into the fossil<br />

fluvial forms. The length of each meander cutoff and abandoned channel was calculated and summed<br />

for the length of the Kolubara River. The analysis was used to prepare a map of the fossil fluvial features.<br />

Keywords: the Kolubara, fluvial erosion, deposition, meander cutoff, abandoned stream channel, tectonics.<br />

92


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> POLLUTION WITH PATHOGENS – A PERMANENTLY POLLUTION <strong>OF</strong> DANUBE<br />

PRODUCED BY WASTEWATER DISCHARGING FROM URBANE ARIAS IN JIU WATER<br />

DIRECTORATES<br />

Dumitrascu Oliver Cristian, Dumitrascu Marcela Florentina<br />

Jiu Water Directorates Craiova<br />

Nicolae Romanesc Bd., Nr. 54, Craiova, Romania<br />

oliver.dumitrascu@daj.rowater.ro, marcela.dumitrascu@daj.rowater.ro<br />

The wastewater collected from urban arias represents an important pollution source for the<br />

environment. The wastewater comes from many sources: every wash bowls, toilets, etc. The Jiu River<br />

is an important left affluent of Danube. The significant sewage pollution sources from Jiu hydrographic<br />

river basin, they are the municipalities from the 4 county who are monitored by Water Directorates Jiu.<br />

The Water Directorates Jiu manage also the Danube River from the entrance in Romanian territory,<br />

approximately a half of his length in Romania. When this wastewater is discharged without a strict<br />

control or inadequate treated the pathogenic microorganisms cause hydro transmitted diseases to<br />

humans and animals. There are three main types of microorganisms that can be found in wastewater:<br />

bacteria, viruses and protozoa. Viruses are among the most important, and potentially most hazardous<br />

of the pathogens found in wastewater. Viruses are generally more resistant to treatment processes,<br />

are more infectious, and require smaller doses to cause infection than most of the other pathogen<br />

types. Gastrointestinal infections are among the most common diseases caused by bacterial<br />

pathogens in wastewater. Since it would be practically impossible to test water for each of the wide<br />

variety of pathogens that may be present, microbiological water quality monitoring is primarily based<br />

on tests for indicator organisms. Indicators, most commonly used are: total coliforms, fecal coliforms<br />

and fecal streptococci. Like in other science, any deep analyses of the pollution problems suppose to<br />

realize one mathematical model of reality and to make some studies on him. For coliforms<br />

concentrations simulation in time and space is necessary to estimate them speeds of disappearance<br />

from stream, either naturally die or because the environment. To the modeling end it illustrates by<br />

examples the calculation of total coliforms downstream from a city when it know the population, the<br />

daily discharge, the temperature, length, width, etc. In the last years, in the hydrological basin Danube,<br />

the D.A.Jiu laboratories effected bacteriological analysis bimonthly, monthly and quarterly on the<br />

Danube River, in 6 sections, analysis that confirmed the third class of microbiological quality and the<br />

second class of quality for Danube at Calafat. The wastewater treatment is cleaning used water and<br />

sewage so it can be returned safely to our environment. The wastewater treatment plants reduce<br />

organic matter and pollutants; naturally occurring helpful bacteria and other microorganisms consume<br />

organic matter in wastewater and are then separated from the water.<br />

_________________<br />

ECOLOGICAL ASPECTS <strong>OF</strong> HUMAN IMPACTS ON GROUNDWATER - SURFACE WATER<br />

INTERACTION. CASE STUDY FROM BULGARIA<br />

Gergov Georgi 1 , Orehova Tatiana 2<br />

1 National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, 66 Tsarigradsko Chaussee, 1784 Sofia,<br />

Bulgaria, e-mail: georgi.gergov@meteo.bg<br />

2 Geological Institute - BAS, 24, “Acad.G.Bonchev” str., 1113 Sofia,<br />

Bulgaria, e-mail: orehova@geology.bas.bg<br />

Some common cases of human intervention on stream-aquifer systems are considered,<br />

including (i) instream gravel mining and (ii) pumping from aquifer near a stream. Main related adverse<br />

93


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

consequences are discussed, causing environmental changes including groundwater level drawdown.<br />

A case study from Bulgaria illustrates harmful effects on the environment from human activities. Some<br />

approaches for rehabilitation of the site are discussed.<br />

Keywords: groundwater, stream-aquifer interaction, instream mining, abstraction wells.<br />

_________________<br />

PRECIPITATION WATER QUALITY THROUGHOUT <strong>THE</strong> BULGARIAN PART <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

CATCHMENT AREA<br />

Iordanova L.<br />

National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences<br />

Blvd Tzarigradsko Chaussee, No. 66, 1784 Sofia, Bulgaria<br />

e-mail: lili.iordanova@meteo.bg<br />

Bulgarian precipitation quality monitoring system consists of 46 station dispersed throughout<br />

the country – 36 of them operate since 2002 and the other 10 are in the process of creation. In 4 of the<br />

stations, the samples are obtained in 06 UTC, the time for daily precipitation amount measurement for<br />

climate stations. In the other 42, the obtainment occurs in the main synoptical hours (00, 06, 12 и 18<br />

UTC), when the precipitation amount is measured.<br />

In the national part of the Danube basin, there are 14 stations from the precipitation chemistry<br />

monitoring network. The samples are obtained 4 times a day (00, 06, 12 и 18 UTC) since 2002. There<br />

are 8 stations in the process of creation: 6 on the river flow and 2 in the basin interior. They will follow<br />

the same procedures. The pH of the precipitation is measured in each station immediately after<br />

sample obtainment with a portable pH-meter and the value is transmitted in a separate group in the<br />

synoptical telegram. The rest of the samples are monthly transported to the nearest laboratory for<br />

- 2-<br />

nitrate (NO3 ), sulphate (SO4 ) and conductivity analysis.<br />

The quality of the rainfall in this part of Bulgaria during 2005 is of special interest, because the<br />

year was marked with numerous precipitations and the chemical composition data are notably more<br />

than for the previous years. The abundant data allows for obtainment of relevant monthly-average<br />

concentrations of contaminators as well as comparison between months with different amounts of<br />

precipitation.<br />

The yearly average amounts of rainfall for the period 1931-1985 vary from 500mm in Silistra to<br />

800mm in Vratsa. The 2005 yearly amounts for all stations in question exceeded those about 2 times.<br />

For the months from May to September 2005, the monthly values are<br />

explicitly higher than corresponding average ones. The only exception is Cheni Vruh, the station with<br />

the biggest yearly and monthly precipitation amounts in the region. In all stations (except Silistra and<br />

V. Tarnovo) the values for 2005 are higher than those for 2004. The monthly precipitation quantities as<br />

well as the monthly-average values of the analysed components are presented. The correlation<br />

between them is investigated separately for each station as well as interstationaly.<br />

The maximum of monthly precipitation amounts for 2005 is in August. In May there is an<br />

evident pick with lower than the maximal values while for March and April the quantities are minimal.<br />

The concentrations of the analysed components present a minimum in August and May and maximum<br />

in April. The same correlation exists, though not so starkingly, for the pH, as well. The correlation<br />

regarding the 6-hourly precipitation quantities and their corresponding 6-hourly concentrations is<br />

analogical. The reason is that the stations are situates in the urban centers where the pollution is<br />

heightened due to the anthropogenic factors. In case of abundant precipitations, the typical contents of<br />

the chemical precipitation components, for the settlement in question, lower.<br />

The higher the precipitation monthly amount, the closer to the neutral for the atmosphere is<br />

the value of the pH. The cross-correlations between the same ingredients measured in different<br />

stations are most notable in the city stations on the west border of the Bulgarian part of the Danube<br />

basin. The reason of this significant correlation is the fact that frequently the precipitations over those<br />

94


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

towns are from the same cloud systems. When the abounding rains fall the precipitation particles’<br />

characteristics are closer to the cloud systems’ ones not to the washed ones with local origin.<br />

_________________<br />

ORGANIC MICROPOLLUTANTS IN ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> WATER QUALITY<br />

Prof. Dr. Ivancev-Tumbas Ivana 1 , Prof. Dr.-Ing. Gimbel Rolf 2 and Dr.-Ing. Hobby Ralph 3<br />

1 Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Trg Dositeja Obradovica 3, 21000 Novi Sad,<br />

e-mail: i.ivancev-tumbas@ih.ns.ac.yu<br />

2 IWW Water Centre, Moritzstraße 26, D-45476 Muelheim an der Ruhr,<br />

e-mail: gibmbel@uni-duisburg.de;<br />

3 University Duisburg-Essen, Faculty of Engineering Science, Institute of Energy and Environmental<br />

Engineering / Water Technology, Bismarckstraße 90, D-47057 Duisburg,<br />

e-mail: hobby@uni-duisburg.de<br />

Water quality assessment regarding organic micropollution is very complex issue that consists<br />

of several important topics which must be taken into account. First of all is the right choice of<br />

substances that should be analyzed. It should be pointed out that having in mind state of the<br />

instrumental analysis today one can find in water only that what one is looking for. This choice is<br />

strongly influenced by the purpose for which water is used and corresponding water quality criteria<br />

which should be developed and revised in accordance with newest scientific results permanently both<br />

regarding substance identity and concentration. The other important issue is an implementation of<br />

valid standard methods for the water analysis. Unfortunately there is still lack of the standard analytical<br />

methods for lot of organic micropollutants.<br />

In paper is presented literature review on presence and fate of organic micropollutants that<br />

have been recently investigated in numerous projects in Europe and worldwide. Special attention is<br />

paid on pharmaceuticals and endocrine disrupting chemicals as well as on analytical methods used for<br />

the analysis. It is already known that very few of these substances are on the List of priority pollutants<br />

(Water Framework Directive) and at the moment its revision is expected. Also some specific pollutants<br />

that were found in Middle and the Lower Danube Basin are pointed out. Recent developments in IPPC<br />

Directive implementation (96/61/EC) are expected to help the process of collecting data about<br />

chemicals that are in use and their emission into environment. Local and regional efforts should be<br />

made on identification of pressures regarding organic micropollution of water bodies very carefully by<br />

paying attention on local conditions in order to fill the data gap for the Danube basin which is still<br />

present due to great social and economic differences between the countries. Together with the latest<br />

scientific knowledge on fate and behavior of emerging pollutants in environment and wastewater<br />

treatment and state of the art of wastewater treatment in the Basin, the data about pressures should<br />

serve as the basis for revision of the lists of traditionally analyzed parameters (e.g. pesticides, some<br />

industrial chemicals) in a way that will contribute both to achievement of good ecological status of the<br />

river and protection of the numerous existing and potential drinking water sources.<br />

95


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ESTIMATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE NUTRIENTS FLUX IN <strong>THE</strong> MODERN PERIOD<br />

Klebanov D.O., Osadcha N.M.<br />

Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Research Institute, Nauki Ave., 37, 03028, Kyiv, Ukraine, email:<br />

den@uhmi.org.ua<br />

The River Danube is the biggest waterway of the Black Sea basin, which makes influence on<br />

chemical composition of a shelf zone, and, under favorable meteorological conditions, on the whole<br />

north-west part of the sea.<br />

The received results were variable within broad ranges - for mineral forms of nitrogen - 116,6 -<br />

832,3 thousands tons/ year, and for phosphate - 10,9 – 40,3 thousands tons/ year. As a whole it is<br />

possible to tell about presence of the general trend to decrease of a Danube nutrients flux to the Black<br />

sea. Two characteristic periods were observed for distribution of reseived data dealing with nitrogen<br />

and phosphorus mineral fluxe within the term under study. It is possible to consider years 1989 – 1994<br />

as the first one for Nmin when the mean of the nitrogen mineral outflow was 395 thousands tons per<br />

year. The greatest limits of oscillation of the noted parameter which came to 7 times - from 116,6<br />

thousands tons in 1993 to 832,3 thousands tons in 1990 – have been notified in this time. In the<br />

second period, to which we have referred years 1995 - 2004, the average Nmin outflow was less by 20<br />

% and came to 320,7 thousands tons/ year at much narrow limiting values of oscillations - from 234,8<br />

thousands tons in 2004 to 414,2 thousands tons in 1999 р (Fig.1).<br />

Р min , thousands t/year<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

96<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

NH4+NO2+NO<br />

PO4<br />

Figure 1. Danube nutrients fluxe dynamics, Reni city within 1989 – 2004<br />

Changes of a mineral phosphorus outflow occured also according to two basic periods, first of<br />

which was within year 1989 - 1999 when the trend to decrease of Рmin outflow was observed. The<br />

average value was 26,5 thousands tons per year (limiting values of oscillations were 10,9 – 40,3<br />

thousands t/year). The more stable values of Рmin fluxe was noted in second period what began in<br />

2000. The average obtained value was 14,0 thousands t/year, what was practically twice a less in<br />

comparison the previous time at limiting values of fluctuation 12,0 - 15,6 thousands t/ year.<br />

The Danube nutrients discharge changeability is determined by concentrations of elements<br />

dissolved in water and for Nmin also river water content. It was found a direct relation between Nmin<br />

discharge and water content which was characterized by high coefficient of correlation r = 0,81. In<br />

contrast, for mineral phosphorus such connection was insignificant and its mathematical expression<br />

had negative value, i.e. with tendency for water runoff to be more elevated the phosphatic ions flux<br />

decreased.<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

N min , thousands t/year


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

SPATIAL-TEMPORAL EVOLUTION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> BIOTIC COMMUNITIES<br />

IN <strong>THE</strong> AQUATIC ECOSYSTEMS FROM DANUBE DELTA BIOSPHERE<br />

Stanescu Elena * , Lucaciu Irina * , Ivan Stefania * , Nicolau Margareta * , Vosniakos F. **<br />

* National Research and Development Institute for Industrial Ecology – ECOIND<br />

90-92 Sos.Panduri, 050663, Bucharest, sector 5, Romania<br />

phone: +40/21/4100377; fax: +40/21/4100575, 4120042; e-mail: ecoind@incdecoind.ro<br />

** Applied Physics Laboratory, Science Department,<br />

Technological Educational Institute (TEI) of Thessaloniki,<br />

P.O. Box 14561, 54 101 Thessaloniki, Greece, e-mail: bena@gen.teithe.gr<br />

The aquatic ecosystems are dynamic systems that keep their stability in the conditions of<br />

permanent fluctuations of biotic and nonbiotic parameters [1], [2]. The dynamic equilibrium of the<br />

aquatic ecosystems is acomplished because of the conexions between the species and the<br />

environmental conditions and also because of the mutual conexions between the existing populations<br />

[3], [4]. From this point of view, the study of biotic/population – zooplankton and/or benthonic<br />

components – are important for the water protection system in the Danube River basin.<br />

The paper presents the research results regarding the biological analysis comparative from aquatic<br />

ecosystems of the Danube Delta - in order to study the most representatives biotic communities of the aquatic<br />

ecosystems (phytoplankton, zooplankton, benthonic macroinvertebrates) - in two stock compartments – water<br />

and sediment – from the sampling sites: Uzlina and Murighiol for the drawing campaigns period April 2003 –<br />

October 2005.<br />

Investigations of the biological properties of water and sediment samples were focused on the<br />

quantitative (numerical density, biomass, abundance after numerical density and biomass) and qualitative<br />

components (dominant species, indicator species) through the development of a sampling program and the<br />

samples processing, properly dimensioned at spatial and temporal stage<br />

Keywords: biological analysis, aquatic ecosystems, Danube Delta, biotic components –<br />

phytoplankton, zooplankton, benthic macroinvertebrates.<br />

References:<br />

Cristofor, S. – „L’evolution de l’etat trophique des ecosytems aquatiques caracteristiques du Delta du<br />

Danube. 1. Le regime hidrologique, transparence Secchi et la reserve de phosphore et d’azote<br />

6. Responses de la vegetation submerse en fonction de la reserve de nutrients et du regime<br />

hidrologique”. Rev. Roum. Biol.-Biol. Anim., 32:83-91, 129-138, 1987.<br />

Vadineanu, A., Cristofor, S. – „Basic requirements for the assessment and management of large<br />

international water systems: Danube River, Black Sea”. – In: Proceedings of the International<br />

Workshop: Monitoring Tailormade, 71-81. Beekbergen, The Netherlands, 1994.<br />

Vadineanu, A. – „The Danube Delta”. Naturopa, 66:26-27, 1991.<br />

Gastescu,P; Oltean,M; Nichersu,I; Constantinescu, A – “Ecosystems of the Romanian Danube Delta<br />

Biosphere Reserve, explanation to a map 1: 175 000”, 1998.<br />

97


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

NATURAL AND HUMAN COMPOUNDS IN HYDROGEOCHEMICAL COMPOSITION <strong>OF</strong><br />

GROUNDWATER FROM SPRINGS IN NEOVOLCANIC ROCKS <strong>OF</strong> SLOVAKIA<br />

Makisova Zuzana, Fendekova Miriam, Stojkovova Michaela<br />

Department of Hydrogeology, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Comenius University, Pavilon G, Mlynska<br />

dolina, 842 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic<br />

makisova@fns.uniba.sk; fendekova@fns.uniba.sk; stojkovova@fns.uniba.sk<br />

Mountains built by Neogene volcanic complexes are located in the central and eastern part of<br />

the Slovak Republic covering the area of 5400 km 2 , what is about 10 % of the whole territory. They<br />

belong to the Inner Western Carpathians. Neovolcanic rocks create two neovolcanic fields – the<br />

Central Slovakian and the Eastern Slovakian ones.<br />

Evolution of neovolcanics has a clear affinity to processes of subduction in External<br />

Carpathians and to the back-arc extension inducing diapiric upraise of asthenospheric material (Bezak<br />

et al., 2000) during Neogene. Petrographic and geochemical character of rock composition is directly<br />

limited by character of subducted plate and upper mantle. Based on the age, spatial distribution and<br />

petrologic-geochemical composition, following types of volcanic rocks were distinguished in the<br />

Slovakian neovolcanic provinces: areally distributed silicic volcanic rocks of Early to Mid-Miocene<br />

ages, areally distributed andesite volcanic rocks of the Middle Miocene ages, arc-type basaltic<br />

andesite to andesite volcanic rocks of Middle Miocene to Pleistocene ages and alkaline basaltic<br />

volcanism of Pannonian to Pleistocene ages.<br />

Hydrogeological conditions of neovolcanic rocks are quite complicated. They depend primarily<br />

on geological- tectonic conditions, then on the rock genesis and lithology and on secondary alternation<br />

of minerals. Groundwater formation is influenced mainly by climatic conditions, groundwater reserves<br />

are primarily recharged by infiltration of atmospheric precipitation. Besides the determining<br />

mineralogical – petrographic composition of the neovolcanic rocks and their structural properties,<br />

a series of factors (temperature, pressure conditions, concentration and partial pressure of CO2,<br />

oxidation-reduction conditions, groundwater flow velocity and circulation depth) form the groundwater<br />

chemical composition. The main process creating the chemical composition in silicate systems of<br />

neovolcanic rocks is the incongruent silicate dissolution (silicate weathering). Locally, anthropogenic<br />

factors (industry, agriculture, tourism, and mining activities) influence with variable intensity the final<br />

groundwater chemical composition, often already by pollution of the atmosphere.<br />

The groundwater from neovolcanic rocks of Slovakia were characterized using results of<br />

groundwater sampling, as well as of archive data coming from the Geochemical atlas of Slovakia<br />

(Rapant et al., 1996). As the next step, groundwater was classified using classification based on<br />

prevailing ions. The interrelationships assessment of the samples taken by department members was<br />

performed using multivariate statistical methods. Obtained results were interrelated with geological,<br />

mineralogical and petrologic settings of respective localities and analyzed. In the end, classification of<br />

samples according to the groundwater chemistry primary origin and secondary pollution was worked<br />

out.<br />

Results can be formulated as follow. Groundwater from neovolcanic rocks in Slovakia is<br />

typical by relatively low value of TDS, which can be much higher in the case of sulfidic ore<br />

mineralization presence in the rock environment. The main cations are Ca 2+ and Mg 2+ , with increased<br />

value of Na + in the case of deeper circulation in the rock environment; the main anions are<br />

represented by HCO3 - and SO4 2- . Also high content of H4SiO4 and presence of CO2 aggressive is<br />

typical. Higher values of Fe 2+ , Mn 2+ and Al 3+ cations can be found, as well. Anthropogenic influence is<br />

- + 2-<br />

visible in increased values of NO3 , NH4 and HPO4 coming either from the agricultural activities or<br />

from polluted precipitation.<br />

Analyzed samples from Podzamcok well and Velka Lehota represent typical groundwater from<br />

neovolcanic rocks. In other samples a slight influence of sulfidic ores presence in the rock<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

environment can be seen. The groundwater sample from Cebovce differs from all other samples by<br />

very high amount of TDS – totally 1350 mg.l -1 and by zero content of aggressive CO2. Water was<br />

identified as groundwater coming from underlying Mesozoic complexes.<br />

_________________<br />

WATER QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> LOWER DRAVA RIVER<br />

Mijušković-Svetinović Tatjana*, Brezak Silvio **, Mijošević Gordana**<br />

* Faculty of Civil Engineering Osijek, Drinska 16 a, 31 000 Osijek, Croatia;<br />

e-mail: tatjanam@gfos.hr<br />

** Croatian Waters, Water Management Department For the Drava and Danube River Basins – Osijek,<br />

31 000 Osijek, Croatia;<br />

e-mail: sbrezak@voda.hr ; mgordana@voda.hr<br />

The paper includes review and evaluation of water quality for four monitoring stations in the<br />

lower stretch of the Drava River in the Republic of Croatia – Donji Miholjac, Bistrinci, Višnjevac and<br />

Nemetin – during period of twenty-five years (1980 – 2005).<br />

The Drava River water quality has been evaluated with respect to physical-chemical,<br />

microbiological and biological water quality parameters (pH value, electrical conductivity, DOC, BOD5,<br />

COD, oxygen saturation, nitrates, nitrites, ammonium, coliform bacteria count and saprobic activity<br />

index), as well as for the group of parameters (physical-chemical, oxygen regime, nutrients,<br />

microbiological and biological parameters) with regard to the current regulations in the Republic of<br />

Croatia.<br />

Keywords: lower Drava, water quality, water quality evaluation<br />

_________________<br />

APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> ENVIRONMENTAL ISOTOPES IN WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT <strong>OF</strong><br />

<strong>THE</strong> VELIKA MORAVA CATCHMENT<br />

Miljević Nada 1 , Golobočanin Dušan 1 , Maksić Aleksandar 1 , Nadeždić Milica 2 , Kapor Branislava 2<br />

and Holko Ladislav 3<br />

1 Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, Belgrade, Serbia<br />

2 Republic Hydrometeorologcal Service of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia<br />

3 Slovak Academy of Sciences, Institute of Hydrology<br />

emiljevi@vin.bg.ac.yu<br />

Environmental isotopes (deuterium, tritium, oxygen-18) together with hydrochemical<br />

parameters (water temperature, pH value, electrical conductivity, major ions, and flow measurements)<br />

were applied to study dynamics of hydrological cycle in the Velika Morava catchment. Stable isotope<br />

composition data of analyzed water samples (from three meteorological stations, seven sites for water<br />

quality and 25 piezometers) were aligned along the meteoric world line indicating a common water<br />

origin and a relation between the flows of surface and shallow underground water in the basin.<br />

Seasonal trends of δ 18 O in precipitation and river water were modeled using periodic regression<br />

analysis to fit seasonal sine wave curves to annual δ 18 O variations. Circulated mean residence time<br />

was in the range from 3.5 (Ljubicevski most) to 12 months (Ibar) displaying similar value for<br />

catchments with related geology/geomorphology. Digital filter technique was performed to calculate<br />

baseflow using long-term discharge data.<br />

Keywords: stable isotopes, tritium, mean residence time<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

MODELING <strong>OF</strong> A CONDITION <strong>OF</strong> HYDROCHEMICAL SYSTEMS IN CONDITIONS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong>RMAL<br />

LOADING<br />

Mostova Nina<br />

Ukrainian Research Hydrometeorological Institute<br />

Pr. Nauky, 37, Kyiv 02028 Ukraine e-mail: n.mostova.mail.ru<br />

On materials of experimental researches on a water reservoir-cooler of the Zaporozhye<br />

nuclear power plant and adjoining water area are revealed conditions and factors defining course of a<br />

physical-chemical processes and a condition of the basic hydrochemical systems in conditions of<br />

thermal loading. On basis of analysis of results of the experimental researches, balance calculations<br />

and data of physical-chemical thermodynamic modeling was developed an algorithm of water quality<br />

formation in conditions of constant heating of water. The received results can be considered as<br />

general for all water objects, which will test an influence of heating waters, in particular of Danube<br />

basin, and are used for an establishment of principles of formation of their chemical compound and<br />

water quality.<br />

The condition of carbonate-calcium and carbonate-magnesium systems is defined by<br />

heterogeneous equilibrium between the dissolved components of these systems and solid phases,<br />

which are formed from corresponding ions. For the characteristic of a saturation degree of natural<br />

waters used saturation index, which increases raises probability of sedimentation of a solid phase.<br />

The estimation of equilibrium of hydrochemical systems was carried out based on the program<br />

complex TETRA, in which basis lays the thermodynamic model, which allows not only to estimate a<br />

condition of equilibrium hydrochemical systems, to count saturation indexes, but also to model<br />

processes of sedimentation and dissolution. For modeling as initial value were used concentrations of<br />

the dissolved chemical substances.<br />

The analysis of the received data has allowed allocating three groups of the factors influencing<br />

on the condition of investigated hydrochemical systems:<br />

• the maintenance of dissolved ions Ca 2+ , Mg 2+ −<br />

, HCO3 ;<br />

• рH values and water temperature;<br />

• the concentration of dissolved CO2.<br />

It is established, that increase of concentration of the dissolved ions in the reservoir in<br />

comparison with their concentration in water of adjoining water area, which not subject to technogenic<br />

heating, leads to increase in a saturation of system by calcite and magnesite.<br />

The increase in pH value and rise in water temperature leads to growth of the saturation index<br />

that serves as the reason of shift of carbonate equilibrium towards to water saturation by firm phases.<br />

With reduction in water of the contents dissolved CO2 the saturation of system in relation to<br />

corresponding mineral is increased. It is necessary to note, that character of hydrobiological and<br />

physicochemical processes in the reservoir-cooler such, that the contents CO2 is insignificant and<br />

average long-term meaning of pH value makes 8,35.<br />

It was shown that high pH value and water temperature (average annual is 22,8°С) create<br />

favorable conditions for water supersaturation by calcite and magnesite.<br />

The period of highest water temperature in the reservoir coincides with the period of the<br />

greatest intensity of development of hydrobionts that leads to sharp increase of рН value and create<br />

conditions for supersaturation.<br />

The received results are common for water objects, testing an influence of thermal loading.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

WATER QUALITY AND QUANTITY IN <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK MONITORING STATIONS ON <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

RIVER<br />

Mrafková Lea, Magulová Renata<br />

Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic,<br />

lea.mrafkova@shmu.sk<br />

In this work the data of water quality and quantity in year 2004 and 2005 from monitoring<br />

stations, which are collected for TNMN reports are presented. The TNMN (TransNational Monitoring<br />

Network) builds on national surface water monitoring networks. The operation of the TransNational<br />

Monitoring Network (TNMN) is aimed to contribute to implementation of the Convention on<br />

cooperation for the protection and sustainable use of the Danube River (DRPC) and is in operation<br />

since 1996.<br />

The overall purpose of the TNMN is<br />

• To provide an objective and reliable source of data on water quality<br />

• To provide a basis for assessing the effectiveness of point and diffuse source pollution<br />

abatement measures<br />

• Safeguarding the health of humans using the Danube (and tributaries) as a source of<br />

drinking water<br />

• Safeguarding all other agreed uses of the Danube such as commercial and recreational<br />

fisheries, bathing and other water contact recreations, as a habitat for flora and fauna, as<br />

a source of irrigation water, industrial uses and so on (TNMN yearbook)<br />

Water quality data from the monitoring programme are regularly gathered by Danubian<br />

countries, merged at Central Point at Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, processed by using<br />

agreed procedures and provided to ICPDR information system.<br />

To select monitoring locations for the purposes of international monitoring network in Danube<br />

River Basin, the following selection criteria for monitoring location had been set up:<br />

• located just upstream/downstream of an international border<br />

• located upstream of confluences between Danube and main tributaries or main tributaries<br />

and larger sub-tributaries (mass balances)<br />

• located downstream of the biggest point sources<br />

• located according to control of water use for drinking water supply<br />

Monitoring location included in TNMN should meet at least one of the selection criteria.<br />

Slovak monitoring sampling stations, from which the data are collected for TNMN reports on<br />

the Danube and the Vah river are: Danube - Bratislava -R,M,L, Danube – Medvedov, Danube –<br />

Komsrno, Vah- Komarno.<br />

The determinants for monitoring have been chosen based on the international agreements on<br />

the transboundary rivers monitoring, risk analysis results, supplementary activities as investigative<br />

monitoring of the pollutants in the drinking waters reservoirs and streams, screening of the pollutants<br />

in the rivers under the relevant sources of pollution, sediments and waste waters done in 2001-2004<br />

and sediments monitoring in the drinking waters reservoirs and streams. The analytical methodologies<br />

for the determinands applied in TNMN are based on a list containing reference and optional analytical<br />

methods. The National Reference Laboratories (NRLs) have been provided with a set of ISO<br />

standards (reference methods) reflecting the determinand lists, but taking into account the current<br />

practice in environmental analytical methodology in the EU.<br />

The basic processing of the TNMN data consisted of calculation of selected statistical<br />

characteristics and classification of water quality determinands in each monitoring site.<br />

Keywords: TNMN, determinand, monitoring station, quality, quantity, class, Danube, river<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> TROPHIC CONDITION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> RIVER TAMIS IN <strong>THE</strong> SUMMER SEASON<br />

Nemes Karolina 1 , Simeunovicy Jelica 1 , Bugarski Radojka 2 , Vörös Lájos 3 ,<br />

Matavuly Milan 1<br />

1 University of Novi Sad, The Faculty of Sciences, Department of Biology and Ecology<br />

21000 Novi Sad, Serbia, E-mail: karolina@ib.ns.ac.yu<br />

2 Hydrometeorological Service of the Republic of the Serbia<br />

3 MTA Balatoni Limnológiai Kutatóintézet Tihany, Hungary<br />

Eutrophication is a process of biological transformation of organic matter in disturbed aquatic<br />

ecosystems that usually reveals the species composition. An important task in linking science and<br />

policy in European water research is a delivery of the system of classification for different types of<br />

waters, including rivers and canals.<br />

The research of the Tamis river in Serbia has been carried out in the course of the summer in<br />

2004 and 2004 by collecting the surface water sample and sediment. We have studied the plankton<br />

composition in the midle Banat region in the canal Navigable Begey at boundary site Srpski Itebey,<br />

downstream Klek, the river Tamis at boundary site Jasa Tomic, midle sector after the dam- Botos, in<br />

river Brzava at boudary site Markovicevo, the river Tamis after the industrial town Pancevo and in<br />

canal Banatska Palanka-Novi Becej near Botos. The trophic condition was estimated with nutrient<br />

content, phytoplankton (diversity, chlorophyll a and ectoenzyme phosphatase enzyme activity of<br />

water).<br />

Algal biomass revealed chlorophyll a content what expresses trophic potential: excellent >1<br />

mg/m 3 , good 1-5 mg/m 3 , moderate 5-30 mg/m 3 , poor 30-50 mg/m 3 and, finally, above 50 mg/m 3 bad<br />

ecological potential. Phosphatase enzyme activity (i.e. PME-phosphomonoesterase) of untreated<br />

water sample was measured using p-nitrophenylphosphate as a substrate for acid, neutral, and<br />

alkaline enzyme activity of water (OD420nm). The phosphatase enzime activity revealed ecological<br />

potential: excellent 0.01-0.10 µmol/pNP/s/dm 3 , good 0.10-2.50 µmol/pNP/s/dm 3 , moderate 2.50-5.00<br />

µmol/pNP/s/dm 3 , poor 5.00-10.00 µmol/pNP/s/dm 3 , and bad potential above 10.00 µmolpNP/s/dm 3 .<br />

Measured chemical differences (i. e. pH, maior nutrients and conductivity) suggested that the<br />

Tamis river basin is negatively influnced by the point pollution resources passing by the canal<br />

Navigable Begey. The investigated phytoplankton assemblages were predominant over the benthic<br />

diatom species (70%) thus denoted nutrent reach environment. The average content of chlorophyll a<br />

5.57 mg/m 3 and ectoenzyme phosphatase activity 2.67 µmol/pNP/s/dm 3 in summer season pointed<br />

out moderate ecological potential of the Tamis River. According to phosphatase enzyme activity,<br />

phosphorus availability controls the algal biomass and sensitivity of microbial communities to trophic<br />

condition of the river Tamis was in accordance with temperature-limited condition of the eutrophic<br />

Hydrosystem Danube-Tisza-Danube (HS DTD) waters.<br />

Estimated trophic conditions pointed out ecologically mosaic in water quality of HS DTD in the<br />

midle Banat region and moderate ecological potential of the river Tamis.<br />

Keywords: the river Tamis, phytoplankton, trophic condition<br />

102


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROMORPHOLOGICAL ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> TISZA RIVER QUALITY WITHIN UKRAINE<br />

Obodovsky Olexandr, Iarochevitch Alexei<br />

Kyiv National Taras Shevchenko University, Geographical department,<br />

Hlushkova av., 2 Kyiv 03127, Ukraine<br />

pripyat@i.kiev.ua<br />

Conceptual basis of hydromorphological quality assessment of the rivers within Ukrainian part<br />

of the Carpathians eco-region in accordance with the standards of EU Water Framework Directive was<br />

determined. Main principles of hydromorphological monitoring system organization on the Carpathian<br />

rivers were substantiated. First hydromorphological quality assessment results of some rivers were<br />

received.<br />

Keywords: Riverbed processes, hydromorphological quality assessment, hydromorpho-logical<br />

monitoring, hydromorphological station, riverbeds.<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROLOGICAL ACCESSION TO <strong>THE</strong> IMPROVE <strong>OF</strong> WASTE DISPOSAL<br />

Patrčević Vladimir, Ph.D.Civ.Eng., Maričić Siniša, M.Sc.Civ.Eng.,<br />

Šibalić Luka, B.Sc.Civ.Eng.<br />

Faculty of Civil Engineering, University J.J. Strossmayer in Osijek<br />

e-mail: vladimir.patrcevic@zg.htnet.hr, smaricic@gfos.hr, lukas@hidroing-os.hr<br />

The unsuitable management with waste is the biggest global problem of environmental<br />

protections. In Croatia waste was to the center eightieth years the most often disposal without any<br />

control and without any security measures of environments. Consequence of spontaneous dispose of<br />

wastes have been imperiled sanitary, ecologically and security condition of environment. Water is one<br />

of most important integral parts of total life on the land and therefore the social has to make all that<br />

preserves this natural resource.<br />

With new legal provisions in Republic Of Croatia, problem of care of waste tries solve on the<br />

best be possible way. On the space of village Stari Jankovci, south-east from Vinkovci, has been<br />

planned the construction of center for the management waste disposal for District Vukovar - Srijem.<br />

Before the construction this Center necessary makes Study of impact on the environment. This work is<br />

the segment of Study which includes the hydrological aspect of influence on the environment.<br />

Keywords: Ecology, climate, waste disposal, precipitation, wind<br />

_________________<br />

BASIN-WIDE WATER BALANCE IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE RIVER BASIN<br />

Petrovic Pavel 1 , Mravcova Katarina 1 , Miklanek Pavol 2 , Holko Ladislav 2 ,<br />

Kostka Zdeno 2<br />

1 Water Research Institute, 812 49 Bratislava, Nabr. Arm. Gen. L. Svobodu, Slovakia<br />

2 Institute of Hydrology of the SAS, 831 02 Bratislava, Racianska 75, Slovakia<br />

e-mail: pavel.petrovic@slovanet.sk<br />

The paper describes results of mutual work of the National Committees of the IHP UNESCO<br />

of the Danube countries and experts and scientists nominated by their countries. The full report of this<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

study is recently (at the time of the Conference) printed and available. It represents the task of the<br />

second phase of the co-operation of Danube countries in frame of the IHP UNESCO in the field of<br />

hydrology and it is published as the tenth follow-up volume No. VIII part 3 of the Hydrological<br />

Monograph of the Danube River Basin.<br />

The first part of the report lists the administrative background and circumstances which<br />

favourably helped to intensify work on the project since 2002. International part of the work, meetings<br />

of experts and steering committee were supported by set of the UVO ROSTE contracts in total amount<br />

of 82 800 US$. Simultaneously, work of the Slovak co-ordination team and performing of the Slovak<br />

contribution to the whole task was supported by the Slovak Science and Technology Agency –<br />

contract No. APVT-99-018202.<br />

The second part of the report deals with the general water balance of the Danube River basin<br />

assessment. Methodology for WatBal application is described in details. The Danube basin area was<br />

initially split into 110 balance regions. Water balance model WatBal was intended to be applied for<br />

each such region, but it was found that it was not possible to apply the WatBal model for all selected<br />

balance regions. Reasons are explained in details in the paper.<br />

The third part of the report deals with the disaggregation of “point” results obtained by the<br />

WatBal model with lumped parameters for individual balance regions into the space – into the map<br />

presentation using the GIS technology.<br />

The interpolated map of precipitation was prepared using the interpolation technique of kriging<br />

with extended drift. The map was validated visually, by comparison of measured and interpolated<br />

precipitation and by comparison of subbasin precipitation extracted from the map and calculated by<br />

participating countries in WatBal applications.<br />

Input for spatial disaggregation of actual evapotranspiration areal mean is represented by<br />

results from the WatBal modelling for particular balance regions.<br />

Spatial disaggregation of actual evapotranspiration resulting from WatBal was made by<br />

interpolation of WatBal values attributed to centres of gravity using kriging with extended drift.<br />

Map of long-term mean annual runoff depth was prepared by the same approach as the map<br />

of actual evapotranspiration. Measured runoff was attributed to the centre of gravity of each basin and<br />

then kriging with extended drift was used to interpolate the map of mean annual runoff depth.<br />

The last part of the paper – conclusions and recommendations - lists the achievements of the<br />

project among which it is necessary to mention the significance of the report for the International<br />

Commission for Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR); because our topic is in very close relation to<br />

the ICPDR’s Joint Action Programme, which in chapter 3.13 explicitly deals with the general water<br />

balance of the Danube River basin.<br />

Finally it is worth to mention that the obtained results and assembled data can create a good<br />

starting base for further studies of water balance and climate change impact on water regime in the<br />

Danube River basin.<br />

Keywords: Danube, water balance, mathematical modelling, GIS, precipitation, evapotranspiration,<br />

runoff, mapping.<br />

_________________<br />

NUMERICAL SIMULATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> POLLUTION RISK DURING <strong>THE</strong> BREAKDOWN <strong>OF</strong> A<br />

<strong>THE</strong>RMIC FURROW<br />

Popescu Ştefan 1 , Chiorescu Esmeralda 1 , Niţescu Cătălina 1 , Prepeliţă Dan 1 , Moruz Ilie 1<br />

1 Technical University “Gh. Asachi”, Jassy, Department of Hydroameliorations<br />

and Environment, Blvd. D. Mangeron 67 Iaşi 700050 Romania<br />

spopescu@tuiasi.ro<br />

In this paper are presented conceptual and mathematical models for thermic furrows, both<br />

during normal operating conditions and during a break-down generated by damage or errors in the<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

exploitation. Subsequent these models, by means of a software program to pre-process raw data, and<br />

then using the FEFLOW software package, the two operating states of the furrows will be simulated in<br />

adequate scenarios. Thus, technical performances of the thermic furrows are emphasized, as well as<br />

the influence of some parameters of geothermal water (concentration and temperature) and soil<br />

(humidity and temperature) upon the development of the chemical process of pollution of the between<br />

furrows soil.<br />

Keywords: thermic furrow, heat transfer, chemical pollution, numerical simulation.<br />

_________________<br />

PROCEDURE FOR <strong>THE</strong> DETERMINATION <strong>OF</strong> PERIODS CRITICAL TO <strong>THE</strong> CONSERVATION <strong>OF</strong><br />

QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> NATURAL WATERCOURSES<br />

Prof. Dr. Prohaska Stevan, Majkić Brankica<br />

Jaroslav Černi Institute for the Development of Water Resources, Belgrade, sada@sezampro.yu,<br />

brankica.majkic@jcerni.co.yu<br />

From the perspective of conservation of quality of natural watercourses, the natural processes<br />

which play a crucial role in defining the lengths of critical periods are the rate of discharge and water<br />

temperature. In essence, these processes are random and are generally recorded by water gauging<br />

stations of hydro-meteorological services of various countries. They are characterized by extensive<br />

spatial and temporal fluctuations, and to a large extent vary during the year. The correlation function of<br />

these phenomena has a negative sign and thus a highly unfavorable impact on the status of water<br />

quality.<br />

The paper addresses the definition of procedures for quantitative determination of the length<br />

of the period during the year which is unfavorable with regard to both the occurrence of critical values<br />

of the said phenomena and the length of the period - relatively low flows and high water temperatures.<br />

The proposed procedure is based on a theoretical definition of intra-annual distributions of the said<br />

phenomena and the identification of periods during which deterioration of other water quality<br />

parameters of a natural watercourse will be most likely.<br />

Keywords: water quality, critical period, flow, water temperature, intra-annual distribution,<br />

conservation of water quality.<br />

_________________<br />

PROCEDURE FOR GEO-INFORMATIVE MODELING <strong>OF</strong> DESIGNED ECOLOGICAL NETWORK IN<br />

RIVER BASINS<br />

Prof. Samoylenko Victor, Dr.Sc.Geogr., C.Sc.Tech.<br />

Taras Shevchenko Kyiv National University, Department for Physical Geography and Geoecology,<br />

apt.2, Pimonenko Str. 5, Kyiv, Ukraine, 04050,<br />

e-mail: samvic@yandex.ru<br />

New approaches and procedure for geo-informative mathematical-cartographic modeling of<br />

designed river basin ecological network were substantiated and elaborated. The results can be used<br />

in regional and basin programs, schemes and designs of water & nature resource management and<br />

ecological network forming.<br />

Keywords: river basin, bio-landscape structure, designed ecological network, mathematicalcartographic<br />

modeling, GIS, water & nature resource management.<br />

105


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> DEVELOPMENT <strong>OF</strong> NITRATE CONCENTRATIONS IN SURFACE RUN<strong>OF</strong>F AND DRAINAGE<br />

RUN<strong>OF</strong>F IN <strong>THE</strong> AGRICULTURAL MICROBASIN RYBARIK (SLOVAKIA)<br />

Sebin M., Pekarova P., Miklanek P.<br />

Institute of Hydrology Slovak Academy of Sciences, Racianska 75, 831 02 Bratislava, Slovakia,<br />

sebin@uh.savba.sk<br />

The nitrate concentration trends in the experimental microbasin of the Institute of Hydrology,<br />

Slovak Academy of Sciences near Povazska Bystrica (Slovakia), in the period 1987–2005, are<br />

evaluated in this paper. Water quality in surface runoff and drainage runoff in this agricultural<br />

microbasin is monitored since 1986. Total area of the Rybarik basin is 0.119 km 2 . The length of the<br />

stream from spring to closing profile is 255 m, the mean slope of the stream is 9.1%, and the mean<br />

slope of the basin is 14.9%. The forest coverage during the period 1986–2005 was approximately<br />

10%, rest of the land is arable. We evaluated the mean monthly nitrate concentrations in surface<br />

runoff and drainage runoff (Figure 1a) and their trends. The results of analyses indicate decreasing<br />

trend of nitrate transport from basin that is mainly caused by decrease in use of nitrogen fertilizers in<br />

the Rybarik basin after the year 1989.<br />

According to measured data, an empirical regression model was developed of dependence of<br />

the annual nitrates transport from the Rybarik basin LNO3 (kg.ha -1 .a -1 ) on annual runoff depth (R) and<br />

the annual amount of applied nitrogen fertilizers (F).<br />

LNO3 = - 29.67 + 0.294 R + 0.405 F, r2 = 0.73. (1)<br />

The analyses of the mean monthly concentrations showed that maximum nitrate<br />

concentrations in surface runoff and in drainage runoff (Figure 1b) are in the spring season – in the<br />

period of snow melt or in the period, when there is no vegetation cover in the basin, and the discharge<br />

rapidly increases and nitrates are washed off from the upper layer of the soil profile. Between June<br />

and August the nitrate concentrations are on annual minimal values – summer depression. During<br />

autumn, in certain years, the nitrate concentrations show slight increase – mainly in September. As<br />

- -<br />

Figure 1a shows, NO3 concentrations in drainage runoff (in comparison to NO3 concentrations in<br />

surface runoff) are significantly higher.<br />

a) b)<br />

NO3 - [mg.l -1 ]<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

I.87 I.89 I.91 I.93 I.95 I.97 I.99 I.01 I.03 I.05<br />

Figure 1. a) Course of mean monthly nitrate concentrations and b) seasonal changes of nitrate<br />

concentrations in surface runoff in closing profile of the microbasin Rybarik (S) and drainage runoff (D)<br />

in the period 1987- 2005<br />

Acknowledgements<br />

This work was supported by the Science and Technology Assistance Agency under the<br />

contract no. APVT-51-017804, and by project VEGA 5056.<br />

106<br />

D<br />

S<br />

- -1<br />

NO3 [mg.l ]<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

I<br />

III<br />

c<br />

V<br />

VII<br />

IX<br />

XI<br />

S<br />

D


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ARSENIC IN CORRELATION WITH <strong>THE</strong> QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> GROUNDWATER <strong>OF</strong> WATERWORKS<br />

FROM MIDDLE BANAT AND WELLS <strong>OF</strong> ZRENJANIN<br />

Dr Ševaljević Mirjana 1 and Dr. Petković Saša 2<br />

1 Higher Technical Shool, Zrenjanin, 2 Healtprotect Institute, Zrenjanin<br />

arijanas@neobee.net<br />

In the earlier works (1, 2) the correlation of arsenic with turbidity, chloride and number of<br />

entrobacterien were found. The correlation of arsenic with quality parameters in this work enable to<br />

define dominant factors on measured turbidity caused by dissollution of elements (Fe and As) from the<br />

sediments. The ground water from the same region are contaminated with the approximately<br />

stationary components concentrations after the equlibrium was achieved for dissolution of sediments<br />

and sedimentation, in contact as substrate with ground water as reagens despersion. Soluble gases<br />

are activated as electron - acceptors in galvanic cells with the electron - donor reaction enable<br />

dissolution of substrate can give insoluble salts and its activation in secondary reactions. The stability<br />

of weak complexes of feratte (III) with cations are depending on oxidation state and the composition of<br />

electrolyte. The results of monitoring of groundwater in this work obtained for 23 waterworks of midlle<br />

Banat (1), for 19 wells of Zrenjanin 2004. (2) and for 50 wells of Zrenjanin 2006 by standard analytical<br />

methods in Healthprotect Institute in Zrenjanin enable examination of arsenic correlation with the<br />

quality of groundwater (with much higher organic matter, turbidity, ammonium, phosphate, iron<br />

concentrations and often entrobacterien fot that region, to proposed maximal allowed<br />

concentrations). The thickness of the ionic layer is about 100 nm at the concentration 10 - 6 mol/l of<br />

insoluble salts dispersed in water, so chemical reaction are dominant in controll of colloid stabillity.<br />

Increasing the concentrations of salts to 10 -3 compresses the double layer to 10 nm. Decreased depth<br />

of ionic layer increase electrokinetic potential and kinetic energy of electron and hydrogen ion,<br />

activated in catalytic hydrogen reduction of hydride and arsenide in equilibrium with sediments. In the<br />

work ( Ševaljević (3) was shown rate constants of sedimentation mycroelements controlled by<br />

diffusion (k d, As (1/min) ) is determined: with electron current through gas hydrogen adsorbed in<br />

double laye ( I (e)), diffusion overpotential of reduced or hydrogenated element ( η difMH), overpotential<br />

of gas hydrogen on catalytic metal (iron) (2η H2/ Fe ) and standard potential of mycroelement as As, Pb<br />

and Cd (E 0 ox<br />

M /M ), accordinglly to equation: k d, As (1/min) = I (e)·η difMH = I (e) (2η H2/Fe- E 0 ox<br />

M /M)/RT.<br />

TABLE I.Minimal and maximal values of As and other quality parameters for waterworks from<br />

midlle Banat and wells in Zrenjanin<br />

As<br />

μmol/l<br />

Fe<br />

μmol/l<br />

Turb.<br />

NTU<br />

Org.m.<br />

mmol/l<br />

PO4 3-<br />

μmol/l<br />

Cl -<br />

mmol/l<br />

NH3<br />

mmol/l<br />

pH<br />

El.<br />

cond.<br />

S/m<br />

23<br />

waterworks 0,03 - 3,6-34 0 - 6,5 0,45- 5,1-12 0,2-7,3 0,05- 7,5 - 0,1-<br />

(2004.)<br />

19<br />

1,5<br />

3,3<br />

0,5 8,1 0,2<br />

Wells 0,13- 18-94 6,4 - 0,7-2,0 0,1- 0,2-1,1 0,02- 7,5- 0,1-<br />

(2006.<br />

50<br />

0,5<br />

79<br />

4,2<br />

0,3 8,2 0,14<br />

Wells 0,13- 15-76 4,6 - 0,8-2,3 3-89 0,2-3,9 0,03- 7,2- 0,1-<br />

(2006) 0,2<br />

48<br />

0,2 8,3 0,19<br />

Minimum arsenic concentrations in waterworks were found often for concentration of iron<br />

equal as solubility Fe (II)-carbonate (6 μmol/l). For range pH 7,5 - 8, 1 faster iron and arsenic<br />

sedimentation indicate on hydrogen reactions in corellation with decreased turbidity. In neutral range<br />

107


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

of pH, Fe(III) is precipitated. The solubility of iron increases by formation weak complexes as cations<br />

(FeCl2) 2+ (detected for only one waterwork with pH = 7,1 at high chloride 3 mmol/l increased iron<br />

complex with solubility of 57 μmol/l and turbidity 127 , with prevented arsenic dissolution or releasing<br />

as gas arsin). The increased arsenic concentration indicate to increase oxigen concentration with<br />

decrease of organic matter.<br />

Factors controliing colloid stability in wells groundwater related to waterworks (2004) indicate<br />

decrease of organic mater and phosphate and amonia. Higher arsenic concentrations (2004.) related<br />

to wells (2006) can be explained by smaler phosphate concentration (< 4 μmol/l ) and more intensive<br />

oxigen corrosion.<br />

LITERATURE<br />

Stojiljković D., Tošić D.,Ševaljević M.(2004): Sadržaj arsena i kvalitet voda javnih bunara u Zrenjaninu,<br />

Letopis naučnih radova, Poljoprivredni fakultet, Novi Sad191-198<br />

Ševaljević at al: Uticaj zagađenja podzemnih voda srednjeg Banata na zagašenje enterobakterijama,<br />

Melioracije, zemljište i voda, Novi sad, 2006<br />

Ševaljević M. The Thesis:Razvoj galvanostatskog hidriranja arsena i koncentrovanja olova i<br />

kadmijuma radi određivanja atomskom apsorpcionom spektrofotometrijom, Novi Sad, 2000<br />

_________________<br />

IMPLEMENTATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> EU WATER FRAMEWORK DIRECTIVE IN BAVARIA:<br />

WATER QUALITY MONITORING, RISK ASSESSMENT & RIVER BASIN MANGEMENT PLANS<br />

Dr. Simon Simone, Dr. Bittersohl Jochen, Dr. Sprenger Wolfgang,<br />

Wolf Birgit, Dr. Rothmeier Franz<br />

Bavarian Environment Agency, Bürgermeister-Ulrich-Straße 160, 86179 Augsburg<br />

email: poststelle@lfu.bayern.de, simone.simon@lfu.bayern.de<br />

On October 23rd, 2000, the “Directive 2000/60/EC of the European Parliament establishing a<br />

framework for the Community action in the field of water policy“ was officially adopted. The key aims of<br />

the EU WFD are the management of water in river basins, the expanding scope of water protection to<br />

all waters - including surface waters and ground water, and the combined approaches of emission limit<br />

threshold values and water quality standards.<br />

The EU WFD sets the following clear deadlines for implementation: By the year 2003 the EU<br />

WFD codes concerning water management were put into the national legislation of the member<br />

states. At the second deadline (March 2005) the EU WFD required the analysis of river basins<br />

concerning pressures, impacts, and economic aspects (EU WFD Art. 5). Bavaria took the<br />

responsibility for the reports about the Danube, Rhine (Main and Alpenrhein/Lake Constance) and<br />

Elbe river basins within Germany’s national boundaries. These reports contain a risk assessment for<br />

surface and ground water, judging whether the acceptable status (as defined in the EU WFD) could be<br />

achieved before 2015 or not. In our assessment of surface waters we defined four risk classes: (1)<br />

organic pollution, (2) nutrient pollution, (3) hydromorphological alterations, (4) hazardous substances.<br />

The ground water risk assessment is based on the concentration level of nitrate.<br />

The establishment of high quality long-term monitoring programmes, to the end of 2006, is<br />

essential for the effective implementation of the WFD. The monitoring should be cost-effective and<br />

rationally risk-based. Our judgement is that inadequate investment in monitoring, including network<br />

infrastructure, data quality and management, will lead to a significant risk of missing the WFD’s<br />

environmental objectives.<br />

We set up four pilot projects in Bavaria for testing the effectiveness of monitoring programmes<br />

concerning number of monitoring sites, quality elements for operational monitoring, sampling<br />

frequency and sampling methods. Each project focuses on a specific environmental hazard, e.g. for<br />

running waters: (a) nutrient pressures within an area of intensive agricultural land use, (b)<br />

hydromorphological alteration – especially in Alpine river basins, and (c) high levels of nutrient and<br />

108


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

organic pollutants in surface waters with a low discharge. Concerning groundwater monitoring, we<br />

chose a groundwater body at risk – situated in an area with intensive agricultural land use and with<br />

high groundwater vulnerability. These four pilot projects identify the most suitable measuring methods<br />

and instruments to identify the impact of pollutants upon surface and ground waters.<br />

Once the analysis results of the above monitoring pilot programs are compiled at the end of<br />

2006, we will produce river basin management plans supplemented by more detailed programmes<br />

and “measurement plans for sub-basin, sector, issue, or water type, to deal with particular aspects of<br />

water management” [Directive 2000/60/EC, 2000]. Therefore we set up two pilot management projects<br />

for establishing detailed programmes for sub-basins in Bavaria- for surface water and ground water.<br />

For that we developed catalogues of measures to determine the specific detected impacts e.g. for<br />

reducing impacts from agriculture and hydromorphological alterations.<br />

The following sections 2., 3. and 4. describe three of our pilot projects which are located in the<br />

map in Figure 1 below: Section 2. describes the project for monitoring surface water (“Wertach”),<br />

Section 3. for monitoring ground water (ground water body “Main IV A1”), and Section 4. for<br />

establishing a programme of measure in the context of a river management plan (“Vils”).<br />

_________________<br />

NUMERICAL MODELLING <strong>OF</strong> ACCIDENTAL POLLUTION SPREADING AT UPPER PART <strong>OF</strong><br />

HRON RIVER<br />

Velísková Yvetta, Pekárová Pavla<br />

Institute of Hydrology SAS, Racianska 75, 831 02 Bratislava, Slovakia<br />

e-mail: veliskova@uh.savba.sk; pekarova@uh.savba.sk<br />

The paper deals with numerical simulation of transport and transformation of accidental<br />

pollution at upper part of the Hron River (Central Slovakia), in the section with possibility of<br />

contamination incidence. There were used two numerical models for this simulation: MODI and<br />

SIRENIE. Both of them are based on solution of two-dimensional advection – diffusion equation, but<br />

the model SIRENIE uses analytical solution of this equation and the model MODI uses numerical<br />

methods and so-called stream-tube conception. There were simulated accidental pollutant events<br />

during extremely low discharges at this river part. Models, besides other hydrologic and hydraulic input<br />

data (depth, velocity, width or cross-section area, discharge), require dispersion coefficients for<br />

simulation. The transverse dispersion coefficients, which were used in models, were obtained from<br />

results of field measurements at the stated part of the Hron River. The longitudinal dispersion<br />

coefficients were estimated by empirical formula, in which the value of the longitudinal dispersion<br />

coefficient is function of average slope of water surface, average stream width and discharge.<br />

Both of models can simulate also self-purification. Because we tried to simulate the most<br />

critical situation, we inserted the decay coefficient equal 0.<br />

According to results of simulations it was possible to see transport and transformation of the<br />

pollutant concentration wave in cca 20 km long part of endangered section of the Hron River<br />

downstream from the tributary of the Istebník brook. The results of simulation show that if the pollutant<br />

outflow mass is 200kg, the pollutant wave will pass through the section approximately during 16 hours<br />

(discharge in the stream during exceptionally dry period is 6 m 3 s -1 ) and the pollutant concentration<br />

before Banska Bystrica will be higher by 7.5 mg.l -1 . This increasing of pollutant concentration could be<br />

critical for some water organisms.<br />

It is very important to give higher attention to prediction and solution of ecological accidents<br />

also in future, because from the outputs of climate scenarios it is clear that occurrence of minimum<br />

discharges at streams would be more and more frequent, the industry and land-use of regions near<br />

streams would mean possibility of new pollutant sources and from point of view of environment it is<br />

necessary to know how we can solve such problems.<br />

109


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Acknowledgement:<br />

This work was supported by Science and Technology Assistance Agency (Slovakia) under the<br />

contract No. APVT- 51- 017 804 and by VEGA 2/5054/25 and 2/5056/25.<br />

_________________<br />

DETERMINATION <strong>OF</strong> ELECTRICAL CONDUCTIVITY AND NITRATE POLLUTANT <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong><br />

LESNOVSKA RIVER IN <strong>THE</strong> SECTION BETWEEN VILLAGES DOLNI BOGROV AND CHEPINCI<br />

Velkovski Grigor, Bozhinova Svetlana<br />

Institute of Water Problems - Bulgarian Academy of Sciences<br />

Department: Hydraulic and Hydrophysical Problems of Water Systems<br />

E-mail: griwel@iwp.bas.bg : svetlana@iwp.bas.bg<br />

The main purpose of this study was to specify the river flow (Q, m3/s), nitrate concentrations<br />

and electrical conductivity in a part of the Lesnovska River Basin, situated near the Sofia City, the<br />

capital of Bulgaria. The investigated river section is between two villages – Dolni Bogrov and Chepinci.<br />

There is predominantly agricultural land along the riversides.<br />

With balance of the incoming water flow and pollutant transported by them are evaluated the<br />

incoming from filtration water flow by sections and transported by them pollutants (nitrate).<br />

The methodology that is worked out for measuring water flow by profiles and determination of<br />

pollutant quantity (or group pollutants) works well in this direction.<br />

Contamination of the river flow by profiles and along the investigated sector is determined. As<br />

a result it became clear that the most contaminated with NO3 river water is in the sector near the<br />

village Chelopechene and bridge Chelopechene. Contamination in the river profiles is not<br />

homogeneous. There are zones in the river flow with low and others with high pollution.<br />

The ascertainment that in a certain distance from the inflow of a certain feeder the<br />

contamination in the flow is homogenized is in contrary to generally concept in literature.<br />

The general conclusion after the investigation is that the water of the Lesnovska river in<br />

studied sector is with average pollution with nitrate, but the filtrated water from the agricultural area<br />

along the river in this pollution are with significant contribution.<br />

Keywords: Surface and groundwater pollution, nitrate contamination from agriculture, fertilizing<br />

impact, electrical conductivity<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> COMPARISON <strong>OF</strong> DIFFERENT APPROACHES TO <strong>THE</strong> COMPLEX WATER QUALITY<br />

ASSESSMENT IN <strong>THE</strong> SMALL RIVERS <strong>OF</strong> CITIES<br />

Veres Katerina<br />

Taras Shevchenko Kyiv National University, Ukraine<br />

Postal address apt.136, Priozerna Str., 8, Kyiv, Ukraine, 04211<br />

E-mail: ivaket@ukr.net<br />

Comparison and analysis of water quality integral estimates for small rivers of strongly<br />

urbanized territories by different procedures were fixed. Elaboration of advanced procedure was<br />

proposed. Such procedure has to take into account the stochastic structure of water quality<br />

parameters and their factor conditionality.<br />

Keywords: ecological appreciation, quality of water, ecological situation, small rivers, river basins,<br />

urbanized territories, geo-ecological state, ecological index.<br />

110


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE CHARACTERISTICS DANUBE IN FRUSKA GORA`S<br />

REGION<br />

Vidić I. Nada, Sc. D<br />

E-mail: alma-mons@hotmail.com, mons@apv-nauka.ns.ac.yu<br />

.Fruska gora Danube Region is on the left bank of Danube reiver and, identify it`s geo-space.<br />

This region is 81,4 km long and it is spread from Croatian boarder west at Neštin, to Tisa mouth in to<br />

Danube, west of Old Slankamen ( Vidic,2002).<br />

In these region, there are imortant touristics resource : cultural monuments, cultural<br />

manifestation, etno-cultural resource, picnic places, weekend zone,hunthing places.<br />

Characteristic of water of Danube are important for activity in all touristics potentital.<br />

In this paper are analysed quantitative and qualitative characteristics water of Danube water<br />

stage, chemical characteristics, for hydrological station : Backa Palanka (1298,6 km), Novi Sad (<br />

1255,1 km) and Slankamen ( 1215,5 km),( Table 1).<br />

Table 1 Characteristic values of water of river Danube in the stations:<br />

Bačka Palanka, Novi Sad, Old Slankamen -period 2000-2004 ***<br />

m o n t h s<br />

indicators<br />

V VI VII VIII IX avarage years values<br />

Ba;ka Palanka<br />

Water stage 410,33 303 501,6 301,5 301,7<br />

PH 8,33 8,03 8,1 7,9 7,9 6,6<br />

Suspended solids 28 23 28 25 22,7 28,18<br />

SO4/2mg/l 33,6 34,6 34 32,7 39 27,3<br />

Cl-mg/l 18,03 19,5 17,7<br />

Novi Sad<br />

20,5 17,17 22,9<br />

Water stage 264,5 272 206,8 213,6 176,4 267,3<br />

PH 8,06 7,8 8,14 8,06 7,94 7,8<br />

Suspended solids 15,6 45 23,8 38,2 27,6 24,9<br />

SO4/2mg/l 33,8 31,6 33,2 33,2 34 40,1<br />

Cl-mg/l 16,3 15,8 16,4 14,5 15,6 19,4<br />

Old Slankamen<br />

Water stage 287,4 291,8 206,8 201,2 260,6 226,7<br />

Ph 8,2 8,08 8,16 8,2 7,8 84<br />

Suspended solids 31,2 25,2 17,6 31,8 36,2 17,2<br />

SO4/2mg/l 30,6 34,2 32,2 33,4 36,2 33,9<br />

Cl-mg/l 18,5 13,3 17,8 17,08 20,17 17,6<br />

*** Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia, Hydrological yearbook – 3 Quality of water, Belgrade, for<br />

years:2000, 2002, 2003,2004<br />

It have to be done analysis of water in other locations in industrial zones such as: Celarevo,<br />

Sremski Karlovci, Beocin.<br />

For the development of tourism in this region of the Danube river it is very imortant<br />

implementaion of the results of :<br />

• Project - Danube River Entreprise Pollution Reduction-DREPR 6) , and<br />

• Implementation Nacional Environmental Policy in Serbia –NEAP.<br />

In this aim there is necessity to adopt legislation in this area.<br />

111


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

GROUND-WATER TEMPERATURE IN MUNICH - <strong>THE</strong> TWO OLDEST TIME SERIES<br />

(1874-1935 AND 1886-1935)<br />

Dipl.-Geol. Wirth S. Daniel 1)<br />

1)<br />

c/o Münchner Stadtentwässerung, Friedenstrasse 40, D- 81671 München.<br />

email: daniel.wirth@muenchen.de<br />

Introduction<br />

In the last decades groundwater temperature measurement grew more and more important. It<br />

plays a major role in energy production by means of heat pumps. Besides these values are important<br />

indicators of the influence the city has on the environment.<br />

Measurements<br />

From 1874 to 1935 already, the City of Munich, ("Münchner Stadtentwässerung"), 2) registered<br />

the temperature of the city´s ground water (upper storey), dedicated to health protection. Most of these<br />

values are from up to 40 measuring points, generally measured at a two-week interval.<br />

On the premises of a hospital in München-Bogenhausen, 400 m east of the river Isar,<br />

measurements were taken from December 1874 to December 1935. In München-Sendling, 5 km from<br />

here, westward the river, there exist measurements from January 1886 to December 1935, on the<br />

ground of a farm.<br />

Location of the measuring points "Bogenhausen" and "Sendling" in Munich<br />

Object in view<br />

These two time series are the oldest series available in Munich. They have been chosen in<br />

order to estimate possible long-time influences on the groundwater temperature. In the following, we<br />

would like to present first results of the statistical analysis of these data.<br />

First Results and Outlook<br />

At the „Bogenhausen“ measuring point, the average of the annual maximum ground-water<br />

temperatures of the hydrological years 1931-35 is 0.9 °C higher than the average 1875-79. The<br />

average of the annual minimum temperature 1931-35 is 0.2 °C higher than 1875-79. At the „Sendling“<br />

measuring point, the average of the annual maximum temperatures 1931-35 is 0.5 °C higher than<br />

1886-90. The average of the annual minimum temperature 1931-35 is 1.0 °C higher than the average<br />

1886-90. There is an upward trend of the monthly groundwater temperature at the time series 1874-<br />

1935 and at the series 1886-1935. These two trends are significant.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Ground-Water Temperature [ ° C ]<br />

13<br />

12<br />

11<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

trend = 0,021 °C / year<br />

temperature<br />

6<br />

1874 1879 1884 1889 1894 1899 1904 1909 1914 1919 1924 1929 1934 1939<br />

Linear trend of monthly ground-water temperatures: measuring point "Bogenhausen", December 1874<br />

to December 1935<br />

Ground-Water Temperature [ ° C ]<br />

13<br />

12<br />

11<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

trend = 0,024 °C / year<br />

temperature<br />

113<br />

Year<br />

6<br />

1884 1889 1894 1899 1904 1909 1914 1919 1924 1929 1934 1939<br />

Linear trend of monthly ground-water temperatures: measuring point "Sendling", January 1886 to<br />

December 1935<br />

At the beginning of these measurements, the nearer drainage areas considering the two<br />

measuring points (approx. 1 km each) were rural regions with almost no sealed surface. Until 1935<br />

however these areas got an urban character. There was a large growth of population in munich at the<br />

end of the 19 th and at the beginning of the 20 th century. For that reason the increasing site density,<br />

surface sealing due to road construction, as well as the underground pipe systems constructed to<br />

supply and disposal of the respective city departements, were important anthropogenic factors. For<br />

example new major streets were constructed in the area of the two measuring points, including<br />

numerous underground pipe lines.<br />

The upward trend of the ground-water temperature is a possible indicator of the influence the<br />

urban development had on the environment 1874-1935. Further analysis of the two time series, a<br />

comparison with other "old" measurements and a comparison with „modern“ groundwater<br />

temperatures in Munich are intended.<br />

1) Dipl.-Geol. Daniel S. Wirth, c/o Münchner Stadtentwässerung,<br />

81671 München. email: daniel.wirth@muenchen.de<br />

The "Münchner Stadtentwässerung" (City of Munich, Waste Water Management) is devoted to<br />

environmental protection and public health.<br />

Year


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

114


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

WATER RESOURCES MANAGMENT<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

116


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM (DSS) FOR WATER MANAGEMENT, ASSISTING WFD<br />

IMPLEMENTATION IN ROMANIA<br />

ADLER Mary - Jeanne * PhD, McKinney Daene ** PhD, PE, DROBOT Radu *** PhD,<br />

NICOLAU Codrin ****<br />

*National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, Bucharest, Romania, adler@hidro.ro,<br />

**Texas University, Austin, USA, daene@aol.com,<br />

***Technical University of Civil Engineering, Bucharest, Romania, drobot@utcb.ro,<br />

**** eMagus Consult codrin.nicolau@emagus.ro<br />

After the big floods of 2005, decision makers have become increasingly interested in decision<br />

support system that allow to present in a synthetic and graphical form the alternative choices and the<br />

evaluation of the expected damages or benefits arising from their decisions in the field of flood<br />

management.<br />

In the field of flood risk mitigation and control the present state of the art allows for the<br />

development of reliable rainfall -runoff models, but in general the forecast is strongly affected by the<br />

knowledge of the uncertainty with future rainfall. In addition, a wide gap exists not only between<br />

Meteorologists and Atmosphere Physicists on one side and Hydrologists, Soil Physicists and<br />

Engineers on the other side, but also between Scientists and Decision makers. A DSS for Romania in<br />

water management was designed for multiple decision levels covering the flood management issue<br />

including well -equipped basins regarding hydro -technical infrastructures as well as, water supply and<br />

spills.<br />

The recent years additional issues were added in the field of water management in Romania<br />

regarding WFD implementation; consequently, decision makers in the field of integrated water<br />

management, have become increasingly interested in decision support systems that allow presenting<br />

in a synthetic and graphical form the alternative choices in river basin master -plan designing, in water<br />

supply during droughty periods or accidental spills.<br />

Therefore, to be of any practical value, the DSS including different procedures like expert<br />

systems or optimization methods allows for simulation of alternative management policies under<br />

uncertain evolution of natural events (flooding, droughts or accidental spills).<br />

In this presentation, will be presented the DSS design and in detail, water allocation module.<br />

The application was provided for Arges Basin, a heavy modified water body, where ecological<br />

discharges are very important issue during droughty periods. Optimization of water allocation keeping<br />

safety the live and decreasing the pressures in the basin will be presented. It is for the first time in<br />

Romania that was succeeded in giving priority to water supply keeping the ecological discharges on<br />

the river and subordinating hydropower production and reservoirs management to this purposes.<br />

Keywords: Decision Support System for water management, water allocation optimization<br />

117


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

PACK <strong>OF</strong> INFORMATICS APPLICATIONS FOR REALIZING ANNUAL STUDIES AT <strong>THE</strong><br />

HYDROMETRICAL STATIONS AND ON RIVER BASINS<br />

Purdel Adrian, Pasoi Ion<br />

National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management<br />

Romania, Bucuresti – Ploiesti road, no.97, 013686, Bucharest, Romania,<br />

e-mail eu_andy@yahoo.com, ion.pasoi@hidro.ro<br />

During a year, in Romania are realized hydrometrical studies at the gauging stations and on<br />

river basins. In the conditions of the automation of the collecting, archiving, validating and processing<br />

of the hydrometrical data, the elaboration of some informatics applications was needed. After using<br />

and testing these applications appeared the idea of integrating them in only one pack, in order to<br />

make these applications “communicate” between them.<br />

In these respect the present paper proposes two applications HIDROMET (hydrometrical<br />

study at the gauging station) and HIDROBAZ (hydrometrical study on river basin). The two<br />

applications are realized in Excel having as initial data hydrologic and meteorological parameters from<br />

automatic and classic gauging stations. They integrate applications for the automatic calculation of the<br />

discharge and sediment transport measurements (CAMDAR), automatic expression of the rating<br />

curves and rating tables (CHELIM), automatic calculation of hydraulic rating curves (CHELIMH),<br />

automatic representation of cross-sections (CRAPT), and automatic calculation of natural discharge<br />

(RECONDA, VALMED, VALMAX). All these applications, taken separately, have been tested and<br />

have been implemented at different stages in the hydrological network.<br />

The paper presents the structure of these packs and of each integrated application, their use<br />

and utility.<br />

Keywords: informatics application, automatic calculation, hydrometrical studies<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> HISTORICAL FLOODS THAT AFFECTED ROMANIA IN 2005<br />

Anghel Elena, Frimescu Lavinia<br />

elena.anghel@hidro.ro<br />

The year 2005 was characterized by the intensification of flood occurrence phenomenon. Both<br />

controlled river basins and also uncontrolled areas such as torrents and small basins were affected by<br />

intense floods beginning with the second decade of February, the most important floods, causing<br />

casualties and important damage, occurred during April – September.<br />

Intense floods were caused by impressive precipitation quantities, monthly precipitation values<br />

of 150-300 mm, most of them having a high torrential character in a short time.<br />

In April violent floods were recorded in Banat County and the most important aspect is that the<br />

entire territory was flooded and the phenomenon lasted a long time and the water withdrew very<br />

slowly.<br />

The previous floods from 1970, 1972, 1975 and 1991, although exceeded the ones from 2005,<br />

occurred on smaller areas.<br />

The maximum discharges recorded in 2005 on some rivers (Barzava, Prahova, Siret, Trotus,<br />

Arges, Putna, Rm.Sarat, Prut) were the biggest ones in the annual maximum discharge range.<br />

Although in the last 40-50 years floods occurred on the majority of Romanian rivers, the ones<br />

registered in 2005 were special because the flooding phenomenon had never such a long duration<br />

(from March to September) in the last 100 years.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

WATER SUPPLY <strong>OF</strong> NOVI SAD THROUGH HORIZONTAL DRAIN WELLS<br />

Prof. Dr. Babac Dušan, Civil Engineer 1 , Dr. Pavle Babac, Civil Engineer 1<br />

1 Balby International, Belgrade, Kraljice Marije 71<br />

E-mail: balby@BITSYU.NET<br />

Novi Sad, administrative, economic, and cultural center of Vojvodina, has domestic and<br />

industrial water supply from the aquifer of Danube alluvial area with radial collector wells. There are<br />

tree different locations with this wells:<br />

• old ground water resource "Strand". There are six radial collector wells, started 1961 with<br />

total discharge 200-300 l/s today<br />

• new ground water resource "Petrovaradinska Ada". There are six radial collector wells,<br />

started 1984 with total discharge 600 l/s today<br />

• new ground water resource "Ratno ostrvo" across "Petrovaradinska Ada". There are nine<br />

radial collector wells with total discharge<br />

700-800 l/s today<br />

In 1978, conducted researches approved relationship between "Strand" wells discharge<br />

decrement and well drains clogging accompanied with Danube river bottom clogging with alluvial<br />

deposit.<br />

In 1978 total production of 6 radial collector wells was over 600 l/s, but current production is<br />

250 l/s.<br />

Ground water source "Ratno ostrvo" is most important and most powerful resource for water<br />

supplying system, with capacity 700-800 l/s.<br />

During 14 years, the use of 9 radial collector wells on location "Ratno ostrvo" showed<br />

continuous total specific discharge of wells with increased wells depression. Increased wells<br />

depression ware in relationship with the bottom clogging contact of river Danube and at the same time<br />

drains clog and clogging drain area surround them. Based on available data for wells BHD-2 - BHD-<br />

10, (value of coefficient transmissibility (T), drawdown value (S) and discharge (Q) for year 2003)<br />

applying method approximation radial collector wells with vertical wells (Re), there were calculated<br />

approximately values of hydraulic equivalent distance from river Danube (b) to wells area in ground<br />

water source "Ratno ostrvo" in Novi Sad.<br />

Calculated values, on the level of estimation, of hydraulic equivalent distance from river<br />

Danube to the line of wells on ground water resource "Ratno ostrvo" for year 2003 is, between 100 m<br />

and 200 m. This result is real regarding 10 years exploitations on ground water resource. This result<br />

from ground water source "Ratno ostrvo" is comparable with the result from ground water source<br />

"Strand" (most of all values of equivalent distance (b) level Danube from 6 wells, in function of time).<br />

In this paper was given recommendation of procedure correlation and connection between<br />

well discharge and clogging process on way: river Danube - alluvial deposit - wells.<br />

Keywords: water supply, novi sad, horizontal drain wells, Prof. Dr. Dusan Babac, Dr. Pavle Babac<br />

119


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

NAVIGABLE WATERWAY BETWEEN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE AND <strong>THE</strong> AEGEAN SEA - POSIBILITIES<br />

Babac Pavle, PhD. Civ.eng 1 , Janićijević Zoran, MSc.Civ. Eng, AM ASCE 2<br />

1 Balby International, Belgrade, Kraljice Marije 71, E-mail: balby@BITSYU.NET<br />

2 TESECO. Belgrade, Dr Djordja Jovanovica 11, E-mail: zoranjan@eunet.yu<br />

This Project has more than 100 years history, which tell us the evolution of aims, needs and<br />

proposed solutions.<br />

In 1904 started real initiative for building the navigable route in order to connect the Danube<br />

with the Aegean Sea. An American firm of New Jersey (USA) in 1908 made a preliminary project<br />

design of a navigable route Morava-Vardar (Axios).<br />

The idea raised by the Governments of Greece and former Yugoslavia and<br />

in 1961, preliminary project plans were elaborated. Mission of the United Nations experts<br />

visited former Yugoslavia in 1973 to investigate the background of the project and to assess its<br />

validity. The experts concluded it was likely that a waterway could be economically justified.<br />

In period from 1973 till 2006, engineers from Serbia prepared complete preliminary design for<br />

future waterway.<br />

The Danube-Aegean waterway, 650 kilometers length, has to overcome approximately 812<br />

meters of fall, or a fall of only 1.25 meters per kilometers of length. If we compare the Danube-Aegean<br />

project fall, with the fall on some European canals (Vienna-Budweis Canal, Danube-Moldau Canal,<br />

Bohemian-Moravian Canal, etc.) it is obvious that the Danube-Aegean waterway is technically far<br />

easier to construct than the above referred to canals.<br />

Question is: What this waterway can provide to the countries on Balkan region and what<br />

benefit European countries can have from exploitation of this waterway.<br />

By the influence of resent global strategic events central European countries must think about<br />

hypothetical restriction of energy supplement from Russia. Alternative solution is to supply European<br />

country with middle east oil by waterway Vardar (Axsios) - Pcinja - South Morava - Great Morava -<br />

Dunav (Danube). In this moment oil transportation looks more objective then transportation of other<br />

gods. Along the coast of waterway it is possible to install fiber optic cable for hi - speed data transfer<br />

during the canal construction.<br />

Waterway could transform Serbia in to the partner of EU and USA and could provide global oil<br />

trade security.<br />

Keywords: NAVIGABLE WATERWAY, DANUBE, AEGEAN SEA, POSIBILITIES, NIKOLA<br />

STAMENKOVIC, MORAVA - VARDAR (AXIOS)<br />

120


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

OSAM RIVER FLOW MODELLING<br />

Bojilova Elena<br />

National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology – Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Department of<br />

Hydrology, 66 Tzarigradsko chausse Avenue, 1784 Sofia, Bulgaria,<br />

E-mail: Elena.Bojilova@dir.bg<br />

Stochastic modelling of recovered natural river flow for Osam river is performed. Osam River<br />

situated in North Bulgaria, is one of the tributaries of Danube River. The focus of the presented<br />

research is application of disaggregation models for subseasonal disaggregation - annual flow totals to<br />

monthly flows. Data series with recovered natural flow are used. The synthetic flow sequences with<br />

monthly values are generated.<br />

Temporal disaggregation models for flow modelling are applied. Two basic models are<br />

executed in one-stage scheme:<br />

- Case 1 – extended Mejia and Rousselle model and<br />

- Case 2 – Lin model, one stage disaggregation approach.<br />

Data from five stations along the Osam River are used – Bely Osam at Troian city; Cherny<br />

Osam at Velchovska; and stations at Lovech, Gradishte and Isgrev. The comparison between the<br />

models is made and presented. Using the model with better performance (Lin model, one stage<br />

scheme) the synthetic flow sequences with monthly values are generated.<br />

We could concluded that temporal disaggregation models are suitable for disaggregation of<br />

the recovered natural river flows with combined recharge conditions (snowmelt and/or rainfall) in the<br />

catchment areas. Also they are well applicable for the specific climatic and hydrologic conditions in<br />

Bulgaria.<br />

Keywords: stochastic and disaggregation modelling, recovered natural river flow.<br />

_________________<br />

SURFACE WATERS <strong>OF</strong> MONTENEGRO<br />

Bošković Milan, Bajković Ivana<br />

Hydrometeorological Institute of Montenegro<br />

Podgorica, Montenegro<br />

ivana.bajkovic@meteo.cg<br />

Natural resources of surface water in Montenegro (springs, brooks, rivers and lakes) are<br />

considerably bigger than the average surface fresh water of the former Yugoslavia, and many times<br />

bigger than the average of Europe or of the World.<br />

When we adopt as a criterion the specific module of surface runoff q [l·s -1 ·km -2 ] which in the<br />

World is only 7 l·s -1 ·km -2 and in the former Yugoslavia 16 l·s -1 ·km -2 , the Montenegro with its 43 l·s -1 ·km -<br />

2<br />

belongs to the most productive regions in the World, because only 3-4% of the total dry land has<br />

such or a higher specific runoff .<br />

The area of the mountainous territory of Montenegro (with the average level above the sea of<br />

1050 m, and with the average slope of terrain around 30%) is 13.812 km 2 (or with the adequate part of<br />

the sea atea 16.352 km 2 ). On this territory are formed several main water courses which flow in two<br />

directions: toward the Black sea and the Adriatic sea. The considerable part of the area of Montenegro<br />

is on the region of the continental dinaric stone, which is without constant surface runoff, but with<br />

many crevices, depressions in karst and places where the flow sinks. Sinking waters flow under the<br />

surface toward the sea or to another flow outside the territory of Montenegro. The complex of Skadar<br />

lake, Drim and Bojana is by the hydrogeography extremely complicated, with the catchments area<br />

121


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

around 20000 km 2 . It is formed on the territory of Serbia, Macedonia, Greece, Albania and<br />

Montenegro and there is a large number of hydroenergetic power stations in this region.<br />

In this work is presented a global review of the available quantities of surface water in<br />

Montenegro, and its comparation with the waters of Serbia and Montenegro, the former Yugoslavia,<br />

Europe, and the whole Planet.<br />

Keywords: specific runoff module, catchments area, discharge, precipitation, transpiration<br />

_________________<br />

APPLICABILITY <strong>OF</strong> GIS TECHNIQUES IN EXCESS WATER HAZARD MAPPING ON <strong>THE</strong> SOUTH<br />

GREAT HUNGARIAN PLAIN<br />

Bozán Csaba 1 , Körösparti János 1 , Pásztor László 2 , Kozák Péter 3 ,<br />

Herceg Árpád 3 , Kuti István 4 and Pálfai Imre 3<br />

1 Research Institute for Fisheries, Aquaculture and Irrigation, P.O.B. 47, H-5541 Szarvas, Hungary,<br />

bozancs@haki.hu; korospartij@haki.hu<br />

2 Research Institute for Soil Science and Agricultural Chemistry of the Hungarian Academy of<br />

Sciences, P.O.B. 35, H-1525 Budapest, Hungary, pasztor@rissac.hu<br />

3 Directorate for Environmental Protection and Water Management of Lower Tisza District, P.O.B. 390,<br />

H-6724 Szeged, Hungary<br />

4 Geological Institute of Hungary, P.O.B. 106, H-1143, Budapest, Hungary, kutil@mafi.hu<br />

Frequent occurrence of extreme anomalies in natural water supply is a great problem for the<br />

agricultural production in Hungary. An important step towards an effective solution is the detailed and<br />

reasonably accurate mapping of the influential environmental factors of excess water inundation. In<br />

the flat-land regions of Hungary (on nearly half of the total area of the country) excess waters cause<br />

several problems in addition to floods. The inundated total area might be as high as 5,000-6,000 km 2 .<br />

In this paper GIS based mapping of excess water hazard and some related influential factors are<br />

presented in Csongrád and Békés counties which are situated in the South part of the Great<br />

Hungarian Plain. Reasonable and preventive management of agricultural areas requires satisfactory<br />

information on the spatial and temporal distribution of excess water. Limited numbers of affecting<br />

environmental factors were considered, and information on these factors was collected and arranged<br />

in a harmonised manner. The affects of soil, agro-geology, relief, groundwater, land use and<br />

hydrometeorology were represented by one parameter. In this way the formation of excess water was<br />

defined and quantified. Effect of soil was modelled and spatially represented by the water<br />

management characteristics of soil (infiltration capacity, mm/h) which based on Kreybig map series<br />

(1:25,000) and 1:100,000 scale map of the hydrophysical characteristics of soils. Effect of<br />

(agro)geology on the formulation of excess water was represented by a complex index taking into<br />

consideration the depth and thickness of the uppermost aquitard. Effect of relief on the formulation of<br />

excess water was represented by a normalized version of relief intensity; i.e. Variation in elevation / 75<br />

* relief energy. 1:25,000-scale topography map was utilized for the digital terrain model. Effect of<br />

groundwater was modelled and spatially represented by the standard depth of groundwater; i.e. the<br />

average of its ten highest values within two periods (1960-1980, 1981-2005) because of drying of<br />

Danube-Tisza Divide. Effect of land use was modelled by a numeric coefficient based on CORINE<br />

Land Cover (CLC-50) database and individually attributed to its categories. Effect of hydrometeorology<br />

on the formulation of excess water was modelled by the humidity index. Monthly precipitation and<br />

potential evapotranspiration data series covering the period of 1951-2000 from 20 meteorological<br />

observing stations were used. According to our method the lower the values of all the above<br />

mentioned influential factors are, the more significant the role in excess water formation is. Multiple<br />

regressions was used for the determination of the role of various factors in the formation of excess<br />

water thus providing weights for its stochastic linear estimation by the applied factors. According to our<br />

experience, involving humidity index in multiple regressions rather worsened the fitness; finally it was<br />

used just as a multiplying correction coefficient. The values coming from the regression equation were<br />

multiplied by and added to a constant value, resulting in the Complex Excess Water Hazard Index.<br />

122


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The values provided by the equation were then used to compile the excess water hazard map based<br />

on more detailed original map layers. This study has allowed drawing several conclusions and<br />

identifying limitations that would have wide applications in the use GIS methodology for diagnosis of<br />

excess water damages. As a consequence the resulted risk map can be utilized in numerous land<br />

related activities: land use and agricultural planning, water management interventions, water oriented<br />

cultivation systems, wetland restoration etc.<br />

Keywords: excess water risk, GIS, stochastic mapping<br />

_________________<br />

FORMATION <strong>OF</strong> ECOHYDROGRAPHICAL REGIONS IN SLOVENIA<br />

Brilly M. 1 , Globevnik L. 2 , Bizjak A. 2 , Vidmar A. 1<br />

1 University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Jamova 2, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia,<br />

mbrilly@fgg.uni-lj.si<br />

2 Institute for Water, Hajdrihova 28, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia,<br />

lidija.globevnik@guest.arnes.si<br />

The European Union Water Framework Directive (WFD) has provided the framework for the<br />

protection and improvement of the aquatic environment. According to the Directive, surface water<br />

bodies should be classified into categories and differentiated according to types in the chosen<br />

category. A draft of differentiation of rivers and lakes in Slovenia into types of ecohydrographical<br />

regions is presented in the paper. The WFD provides two kinds of differentiation on surface body<br />

types: system A according to Illies (1978) with ecoregions on the relevant map in Annex XI of WFD,<br />

and system B. System B gives the grounds for consideration of specific country conditions according<br />

to obligatory and optional factors. The same degree of differentiation should be achieved by System B<br />

as is by System A. System B implements ecohydrographical regions according to obligatory factors<br />

(descriptors). Slovenia is subdivided into seven ecohydrographical regions: three in the Adriatic Sea<br />

river basin and four in the Danube river basin. Watershed borders determine the dividing lines of<br />

ecohydrographical regions. The main factors for determination of ecohydrographical regions are<br />

altitude and geology with predominant karst phenomena. Major rivers with watersheds larger than<br />

1000 km2 are treated individually. Small rivers with catchment of less than 100 km2 are differentiated<br />

according to ecohydrographical regions. The optional descriptor, such as transport of sediment, then<br />

determines types of rivers (both major and small).. The types of river are developed by GIS and 3Dmodels<br />

of a river network.<br />

Keywords: Water Framework Directive, types of river<br />

HOW TO TAKE ACTION FOR RIVER RESTORATION<br />

Brilly M. & Rusjan S.<br />

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Civil Engineering,<br />

Jamova 2, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia, mbrilly@fgg.uni-lj.si<br />

River rehabilitation is a long-term, costly and complex process involving numerous actions.<br />

The process of development via a bottom-up approach is described in the paper. The emphasis in the<br />

presented methodology is in active involvement of stakeholders and citizens who are driven with their<br />

particular interests. The integrity of action-taking is established at a lower level and in a smaller stretch<br />

of a river and its relevant corridor. Crucial is the direct involvement of interested parties in the decision<br />

making process and actions. The willingness to cooperate and the level of social capital are the key<br />

elements. The operation is integrated and driven by a steering committee recognised by the involved<br />

parties. The consideration of stakeholder’s interests is provided through the application of the Multi-<br />

Attribute and Cost-Sharing model developed on the Glinscica stream case study.<br />

Actions should be organised and driven by a body recognised by all involved parties (UNEP,<br />

2004). Efforts must involve a pro-active participation and contributions of both governmental and nongovernmental<br />

stakeholders. An NGO or the private sector can act as a partner in action. The form of<br />

organisation depends on the local practice, legislation and size of action. Actions should take place at<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

the lowest possible level, then demand-driven approaches can be applied. The lowest level of<br />

participation is usually considered by means of providing the access to information and active<br />

dissemination of information (HarmoniCOP, 2005). All stakeholders should be involved from the<br />

beginning in selecting the appropriate solution and management options. Attention must be given to<br />

local demands. Comprehensive analyses of present and future societal demands are required, and<br />

strong support and acceptance from the local communities should be secured. With such analyses<br />

realistic choices can be made from a wide range of technological, financial and management options.<br />

River rehabilitation must include maintenance and care, which is not possible without full co-operation<br />

of locals and stakeholders.<br />

In management and decision-making processes transparency should be ensured, establishing<br />

trust of the inhabitants. Early, continuous, targeted and transparent communication between all parties<br />

is required to establish firm partnerships. Management of problems is related to the interests,<br />

knowledge and experience. The idealistic technical approach lies in sophisticated modelling with all<br />

necessary data including the assessment of possible risk. The lack of data and knowledge asks for a<br />

more simple analysis with good expert estimation, but such a system fails if experts develop a<br />

particular interest or if they want to promote particular solutions. Independent facilitators of the<br />

decision making process could be beneficial when problems are particularly difficult with opposing<br />

interests of stakeholders. A third party also helps to avoid that the competitive authorities dominate in<br />

the process.<br />

Regardless of the approach chosen, each river restoration asks for a flexible, tailor-made setup.<br />

Each necessary step can be taken at different points in time, depending on available resources<br />

and capabilities. It is thus advisable to apply a well-defined logical framework, consisting of a<br />

comprehensive set of logically related tasks:<br />

1. Identification of the need for action<br />

2. Establishing a steering committee<br />

3. Setting boundaries<br />

4. Development of preparation plan<br />

5. Implementation<br />

• Operational management: on-site versus off-site<br />

• Institutional arrangements, such as capacity building, awareness raising, and<br />

• Public participation<br />

6. Monitoring and evaluation<br />

An important step in the process is the formation of a steering committee. The steering<br />

committee includes key stakeholders, interested citizens, public officials, and any other groups or<br />

individuals who are interested in or might be affected by the restoration initiative (Fogg and Wells,<br />

1998). Local citizen groups comprise multiple interests that hopefully share a common concern for<br />

environmental conservation and interest of local community. Such broad-based participation helps<br />

ensure that self-interests of administration do not operate the process from the top down. The steering<br />

committee ensures high level participation in the development and implementation of the revitalization<br />

action. Interested parties will participate actively in the planning process by discussing issues and<br />

contributing to their solution as members of the steering committee. They will share the decision<br />

making and objectives. Shared decision-making implies that the interested parties not only participate<br />

actively in the planning process, but also become partly responsible for the outcome (EU, 2002).<br />

The steering committee generally takes care of the following:<br />

• Carrying out restoration planning activities.<br />

• Coordination of development of the preparation and implementation plan.<br />

• Identifying public’s interest in the restoration effort.<br />

• Making diverse viewpoints and objectives known to decision-makers.<br />

• Ensuring that local values are considered during the restoration process.<br />

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BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Comparing the alternatives is the key to decision-making in such cases. Often in planning a<br />

river rehabilitation project, we are faced with making a choice among various options – alternatives. If<br />

the only consideration is costs, we can use economic principles to guide our selection. Many times,<br />

however, the choice involves both strictly quantitative measures (such as costs) and strictly qualitative<br />

measures (aesthetical aspects or even political viability). In such cases we must use a process to<br />

approximately “quantify” all measures at a similar, numerical scale, so that we can perform<br />

mathematical calculations which assist the decision maker to consider preferences and interests of all<br />

parties involved (stakeholders). The list of main stakeholders together with their interests is included in<br />

the model so that the decision maker has an overall picture of the preferences for a certain state of the<br />

water body and also possible conflicting interests.<br />

Efforts and actions must involve a pro-active participation and contributions of both<br />

governmental and non-governmental stakeholders. An NGO or private sector can act as a partner in<br />

action. The form of organisation depends on the local practice, legislation and size of action. The main<br />

idea of Cost-Sharing is distribution of costs for realization of selected alternatives among interested<br />

stakeholders. The basis for Cost-Sharing derives from performance of each alternative regarding the<br />

pre-defined objectives of river rehabilitation and satisfaction of stakeholders’ interests. The agreement<br />

of the stakeholders on the importance of certain objective is the crucial aspect for the application of<br />

the model. Otherwise, if the agreement of the stakeholders on the importance of defined objectives is<br />

not reached, the selection of the preferred alternative can be easily manipulated. On the other hand,<br />

Cost-Sharing provides an insight into the preparedness of stakeholders to realize their interests<br />

through their actual involvement in the selected alternative.<br />

References<br />

EU 2002, Guidance on public participation in relation to the water framework directive.<br />

Fogg, J., Wells, G., 1998. Stream Corridor Restoration, Principles, Processes, and Practices, U.S.<br />

Department of Agriculture, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Tennessee Valley<br />

Authority, Federal Emergency Management Agency, U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S.<br />

Department of Housing and Urban Development, U. S. Department on the Interior, 536 pp.<br />

HarmoniCOP, 2005, Learning together to manage together, Improving participation in water<br />

management, University of Osnabruck, Institute of Environmental System Research, 99 pp.<br />

_________________<br />

WATERCOURSE REHABILITATION – MANAGEMENT SCHEME<br />

Cristescu Diana 1 , Vlaicu Ionel 1<br />

1 “Banat” Water Direction, no. 32, Mivai Viteazul Street, RO – Timisoara,<br />

diana101010@yahoo.com<br />

Watercourse rehabilitation is one of the major objectives provided by the Water Framework<br />

Directive 2000/60/EC. In that way, a first step is setting up the typology of the watercourses, followed<br />

by identification of the existing water bodies. Later on, depending on the economic analysis and the<br />

ecologic objectives, final rehabilitation measures will be set for the watercourse being studied.<br />

All these steps are covered by a logical management scheme on the rehabilitation of<br />

watercourses.<br />

Keywords: ecological rehabilitation, Water Framework Directive 2000/60/EC, water management,<br />

water bodies, ecological objectives, sustainable development<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

EFFECT <strong>OF</strong> WATER USE ON HYDROLOGICAL REGIME IN <strong>THE</strong> PERIOD 1994 – 2004<br />

Danáčová Z. 1 , Poórová J. 2 , Liová S. 3 , Kullman E. 4 , Blaškovičová Lotta 5<br />

1 Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic, e-mail:<br />

zuzana.danacova@shmu.sk<br />

2 Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic, e-mail:<br />

jana.poorova@shmu.sk<br />

3 Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic, e-mail:<br />

sona.liova@shmu.sk<br />

4 Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic,<br />

e-mail: eugen.kullman@shmu.sk<br />

5 Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic,<br />

e-mail: lotta.blaskovicova@shmu.sk<br />

The contribution deals with the methodology of water balance in Slovak Republic. It evaluates<br />

the development of groundwater and surface water withdrawal in consideration of integrated approach<br />

of balance of surface water and groundwater. It also deals with the change of obtaining of data about<br />

surface water use by change of legislation in the area of waters in Slovak Republic by implementation<br />

of WFD into Slovak legislation. The special stress is put on balance and assessment of performance<br />

of significant water reservoirs.<br />

Keywords: water balance, water resource balance, water utilization, water resources<br />

_________________<br />

REGIONALIZATION <strong>OF</strong> EXTREME FLOODS IN ROMANIA<br />

DINU Rodica, Dr. STANCIU Petre<br />

National Institute of Hydrology an Water Management<br />

Sos. Bucuresti-Ploiesti nr.97, Bucharest, sector1<br />

rodica.dinu@hidro.ro, stanciu@hidro.ro<br />

Romania has a developed hydrographic network which has a surveyed length of 78905 km.<br />

Seasonal, but also yearly variations of runoff are a characteristic of our rivers. Seasonal and<br />

multiannual variations of runoff are caused by natural factors, especially the climatic one.<br />

Repeated and intense floods are one of the most characteristic phenomena encountered on<br />

Romanian rivers. On most of the rivers, floods occur during the entire year.<br />

The physical-geographical conditions, relief, geology, soils, vegetation make the Romanian<br />

territory a complex of characteristic hydrological areas.<br />

This paper presents the evolution of flash floods and floods on Romanian territory,<br />

comparisons between similar floods, and also consequences associated to them.<br />

An important chapter of the paper is also the presentation of the regionalization of extreme<br />

floods recorded on the main rivers from Romania.<br />

Keywords: regionalization, extreme flood, flood, hydrographic network<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT PLAN – RELEVANCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL BEHAVIOUR <strong>OF</strong> A<br />

CATCHMENT<br />

Dorner Wolfgang 1 , Schrenk Christian 1 , Spachinger Karl 1 & Metzka Rudolf 1<br />

1 University of Applied Sciences Deggendorf, Edlmairstr. 6+8, D-94469 Deggendorf, Germany<br />

E-mail: wolfgang.dorner@fhd.edu<br />

Flood risk maps are a modern concept to communicate flood risks to the broad public and<br />

provide compiled information about potential flood events to relevant public bodies like water<br />

management authorities, municipalities or disaster control staffs. For almost each section of a river<br />

basin run-off and water levels can be defined based on the likelihood of annual reoccurrence, using a<br />

combination of hydrological and stream-flow models, or based on historical records and mappings. In<br />

catchments with flood control reservoirs with controlled outlets the extent of a flood depends on the<br />

available volume, and objectives of detention and therefor the control strategy. As part of the EU<br />

financed Interreg IIIB Project ILUP – Integrated Land Use Planning and River Basin Management a<br />

concept for a risk map for the underflow of a controlled flood control reservoir was designed, taking<br />

into account the aspects of a controlled run-off and possible changes to the control strategy.<br />

The catchment of the Rott, a right hand side tributary to the river Inn, has a size of 1200 km²,<br />

whereof the reservoir controls the run-off of about 575 km². The storage reservoir was developed and<br />

built between 1968 and 1971 and has a total capacity of 13.9 Mio m³ and a flood retention capacity of<br />

12.75 Mio m³. One of the main purposes was the protection of fertile agricultural areas, flood defense<br />

for settlements in the downstream river valley as well as recreation.<br />

The actual hydrological calculations show that the estimations of the design floods, used for<br />

the construction of the reservoir, were underestimated. The evaluation of the control strategy of the<br />

reservoir based on actual data and a new hydrological model for the river Rott proved, that the<br />

expectations about the detention effect were to optimistic. For the Rottauensee reservoir a new control<br />

strategy was suggested, including<br />

A. an increase of the flood discharge without any detention and<br />

B. a flexibilisation of the control strategy for higher discharges.<br />

At the Rott already minor events are flooding wide areas of the intensive used flood plain.<br />

Starting at a discharge at the outlet of the reservoir of 40 m³/s the first bridge and agricultural sites and<br />

at 120 m³/s first buildings and settlements are affected. At the moment the basic discharge is set to a<br />

maximum of 40 m³/s. An increase up to 80 m³/s would be possible without much harm to buildings or<br />

infrastructure. But even with an improved steering concept the reservoir, due to it’s defined capacity,<br />

isn’t able to provide a full protection for all assets in the underflow.<br />

As a modern system of risk communication and as decision support for the flexible control of<br />

the reservoir a set of flood risk maps was designed. For different target groups the interests in the<br />

map’s contents, the ability to interpret the map and the necessary level of detail was evaluated. The<br />

difficulty was to integrate also the result of a flexible control strategy of the reservoir and the<br />

uncertainties of future changes to the detention strategy due to political and economic aspects. A<br />

leveled concept was designed based on the national standards for flood risk maps, that is under<br />

development by a national working group of the LAWA (“Working Group of the Federal States on<br />

water issues”).<br />

Keywords: control strategy, flood control reservoir, flood risk maps, risk management<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

RISK MAPPING IN PUTNA RIVER BASIN (ROMANIA) A CASE STUDY FOR FLOOD CONTROL<br />

Drobot Radu 1 , Stanescu Viorel Al. 1 , Amaftiesei Romeo 2 , Cheveresan Bogdan 3<br />

1 Technical University of Civil Engineering Bucharest, Bd. Lacul Tei 124, Sector2,<br />

Bucharest, Romania; drobot@utcb.ro<br />

2 National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, Sos.Bucuresti-Ploiesti 97 Sector 1<br />

Bucharest, Romania<br />

3 ESRI Romania, str. Roma nr.8, Sector 1,<br />

Bucharest; Romania; bcheveresan@geosystems.ro<br />

A tool for modern approach in flood control consists in assessing the maps of the flood hazard<br />

along the vulnerable areas.<br />

First, according to the maps at suitable scale, the study area and the building of Digital Terrain<br />

Model (DTM) have been performed. The topographic information has been completed with field<br />

campaign aimed to give more and reliable data particularly on cross profiles.<br />

Next, the hydrologic study has been considered. Under the assumption of maintaining a<br />

constant frequency of the maximum discharge along Putna river course, the flood waves of the<br />

tributary components have been determined. Then, the hydrological data have been used as input in<br />

hydraulic model of flood routing. The outputs of the hydraulic model are the water stages determined<br />

in each cross profile. Intersecting them with the DTM, lead to flooding areas corresponding to<br />

discharges of several probabilities of exceedance. The maximum discharges of standard probabilities<br />

(1%; 5%) have been computed by making use of Pearson III distribution function, while the run-off<br />

depths of the components were assumed to be proportional with those of the corresponding<br />

probabilities considered in the studies.<br />

The hydraulic model is based on Saint-Venant balance and motion equations, the Romanian<br />

model UNDA being used in this respect. The resulted map of flooding areas corresponding to abovementioned<br />

probabilities is finally provided.<br />

Keywords: Digital Terrain Model, hydrological data, hydraulic model, flood routing, flooding areas<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROTECHNICAL CONSTRUCTIONS IN <strong>THE</strong> CRISUL REPEDE RIVER BASIN<br />

INFLUENCE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> HYDROTECHICAL CONSTRUCTION IN FLOODS MITIGATION AND <strong>THE</strong>IR<br />

EFFECTS IN ROMANIA AND HUNGARY<br />

DUME Dorel 1 , GALE Marinela 2 , ROMAN Petru Ioan 3<br />

1 Crisuri Rivers Authority, Oradea, 35 Ion Bogdan str., 410125, Romania dorel.dume@dac.rowater.ro<br />

2 Crisuri Rivers Authority, Oradea, 35 Ion Bogdan str., 410125, Romania marinela.gale@dac.rowater.ro<br />

3 Crisuri Rivers Authority, Oradea, 35 Ion Bogdan str., 410125, Romania petru.roman@dac.rowater.ro<br />

Crisul Repede River Basin is situated in the center part of Crisuri Rivers Basin (north -western<br />

Romania and eastern Hungary) with a surface of 9 211 km 2 . The requirements for water exploitation<br />

are more an more higher and the pressure always upper on the water reservoir requires efficiency for<br />

water resource, in particular done trough a better hydrographical development scheme. Because of<br />

the irregular character of water flow, the infusion of accumulation lakes should balance the higher<br />

volumes of water, which are flowing down the valley during the rainy season, to redistribute them<br />

during the draught season. This issue has an important function in the process of efficiently use of<br />

water resources and to satisfy the water supply of water use from basin. The coverage of water supply<br />

is not possible without the rational, balanced and complex use of water resource. The constructional<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

and operational measures in the upper Crisuri Rivers Basin have effects in floods mitigation and on<br />

damages decreasing in the two countries.<br />

Keywords: Crisul Repede River, hydrotechnical constructions, flood mitigation, Romania, Hungary.<br />

_________________<br />

IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> HEPP “DJERDAP I” BACKWATER ON FORELAND FORESTS<br />

Gavrilovic Zoran, Stefanovic Milutin, Milojevic Mileta, Puzovic Renata and<br />

Cotric Jelena<br />

Institute for the Development of Water Resources "Jaroslav Cerni",<br />

11226 Beograd (Pinosava), Jaroslava Cernog 80, Serbia<br />

tel. (+381) 11-3906-461 fax: (+381) 11-3906-461<br />

Email: zgavrilo@Eunet.yu<br />

The areas close to big rivers with relatively stable year flooding cycle have always been<br />

inhibited by autochthonous plants and animal habitats. Depending on species adaptability, these<br />

areas are inhibited by forest habitats of oak, ash, poplar and willow.<br />

In order to satisfy their needs, people have transformed the flooding areas into agricultural<br />

land, and since ancient times executed large training works on big rivers to control floods, and in arid<br />

areas to irrigate and to improve navigable routes, up to present times. The controlled areas are<br />

nowadays much widened, to the detriment of vast forest areas. The present state in the Danube<br />

foreland is stabilised et the end of XIX and beginning of XX century.<br />

The aim of forestry is to produce as much as possible of wood mass, however, when we<br />

consider the foreland woods, they have other very important tasks within the flood control system to<br />

which the forestry-economic plans have to be subdued.<br />

From the water resources development point of view, narrow forest areas within forelands play<br />

a double role: the protection of the upstream embankment slope from wave strokes caused by wind,<br />

and water flow velocity decrease in the vicinity of the embankment. Such forest areas should be<br />

managed only in the way which enables a permanent survival of the zones without periods of barren<br />

embankments.<br />

All above said represents the world practice, however, in former Yugoslavia, some changes<br />

occurred after the construction of the HPP Djerdap I on the Danube in the Djerdap gorge situated<br />

between Serbia and Romania.<br />

A construction of a dam on every river, especially on a big river like the Danube, disturbs the<br />

natural regime of waters and flooding. During the very designing time possible disturbances of water<br />

regime and possible environmental damages upstream and downstream of the dam, have been<br />

calculated, and the system for the consequences prevention and alleviation designed.<br />

Considering the foreland woods which for thousands of years grow in the area, and which for<br />

centuries represent a part of the flood control system, it was clear that a great area will be devastated<br />

due to the water level rise for a few meters. On the basis of the designed water regime disturbance,<br />

the forest areas having no more survival chances were defined, as well as the areas on which a<br />

species conversion should be made (e.g. plant willow in the poplar area).<br />

The protecting embankments have been placed to the new protection elevation, and the<br />

places on the it with no more conditions for the protection vegetation growth, paved by concrete.<br />

After the construction of the HPP Djerdap I a great lake has been formed in the Danube and<br />

its tributaries, which prolonged the foreland flooding into the vegetation season. In 1978 the peak level<br />

was established and it has been maintained up to now. A systematic multidisciplinary research on the<br />

HPP Djerdap I backwater impact on the foreland, also started at that time. The backwater impact on<br />

foreland woods was one of the research fields. Since the scope of the research is very wide, this<br />

paper will present a synthesised review of the achieved results in the period 1978. Up to today.<br />

Keywords: Degraded Forest; Flood Impact; River Regime<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT IN CROATIA<br />

Gereš Dragutin<br />

Croatian Waters, Ulica grada Vukovara 220, Zagreb, Croatia<br />

and University of Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Osijek, Croatia<br />

e-mail: dgeres@voda.hr<br />

Issues related to the concept of sustainability are analyzed in the paper. Sustainable<br />

development is the new water resources paradigm of the 1990s. An appropriate reconciliation of<br />

economic, ecological and social factors is not unrealistic utopia. A review of water-related areas of<br />

concern in Agenda 21, the blueprint for sustainability, is offered, with particular reference to its chapter<br />

18 devoted to freshwater resources. Water guidelines issued by the European Union, actually setting<br />

the framework for all water related activities, are described. The water management concept for<br />

catchement areas can be regarded as a novel approach to water management. Therefore a holostic<br />

perspective is advocated, looking at the existing inter-relationships and interfaces with other subsystems,<br />

including ecological, social, economic, institutional, etc.<br />

The sustainability of water resources in the 21st Century will be critically dependent on our<br />

ability to correctly manage water resources systems under a more variable future climate. The<br />

problem is that there is currently no effective mechanism for rapidly moving the state of scientific<br />

knowledge into widespread usage by the agencies responsible for managing our water resources.<br />

Sustainable water management requires approaching the range of water problems and the variety of<br />

types of water bodies (from freshwaters to oceans) in an integrated way. Recognizing that water<br />

management cuts across all uses of water planning and interventions must be cross-sectoral.<br />

Planning and management must be predicated on meeting both human needs and the requirements<br />

of the aquatic environment for sustainable supplies of water in adequate quantities and of acceptable<br />

quality.<br />

The true spatial, environmental and institutional dimensions of problems must be recognized,<br />

and they must be dealt with accordingly. There is a need for improved coordination and collaboration<br />

among water resources planning and management agencies. Planning and management contexts<br />

must be consistent with the issues they address, and they must recognize relevant ecosystem<br />

interactions. Water management policies must take on global dimensions. Political processes must be<br />

better understood and shaped to focus on holistic water management approaches. And preventive,<br />

rather than remedial actions should be emphasized. It is emphasized that water is not a commercial<br />

commodity but rather a heritage that has to be preserved so that civil engineers, and water engineers<br />

in particular, bear a lot of responsible development in this area.<br />

Educators have an important role to play in the development and implementation of strategies<br />

for integrated water management. The teaching, research, and service functions of universities are<br />

ideally suited to educate a variety of publics on water management issues. In this context, the general<br />

conditions and the potential for implementing sustainable water management is examined.<br />

Keywords: sustainable development, water sector, water management, water preservation,<br />

European Union, Croatia. (5.1.2006.)<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

BUILDING DATA BASE AND TOOLS FOR <strong>THE</strong> SAVA RIVER BASIN SUSTAINABLE USE,<br />

MANAGEMENT AND PROTECTION<br />

Globevnik Lidija, Vidmar Andrej, Brilly Mitja, Šraj Mojca<br />

Faculty for Civil Engineering and Geodesy University of Ljubljana, Jamova 2, Ljubljana, SLOVENIA<br />

Lidija.Globevnik@guest.arnes.si<br />

The Sava River basin all riparian countries are collaborating in the development of the river<br />

basin management plan. For the purpose of scientific investigation, an integrated expert data and<br />

information management system is being developed for the river. The system is being developed in<br />

the project funded by EU scientific research programe and shortly named SARIB. The following steps<br />

have been undertaken so far: a) collection of data from all riparian countries, b) information about GIS<br />

and modeling software tools c) data preparation, harmonisation and integration into GIS. For the<br />

cartographic bases we obtained five maps of the catchment area (scale 1:500000) in the Lambert<br />

Conformal Conic projection. The maps have been processed into GIS system and miscelaneous<br />

spatial data from riparian countries imported. Data obtained for Slovenian part of the catchment are<br />

oriented in the Gauss Krüger projection; therefore we have transformed data into Lambert Conical<br />

Uniform projection. The projection of data for Serbia and Monte source was East 19°Degrees30min,<br />

MDG Datum (in shp format). The projection of country spatial data from Bosnia and Herzegovina was<br />

East of 16degree30min, MGI Datum. The transformation of these data has been done in Autodesk<br />

Map 6 transformation code system: source: East 19°Degrees30min, MDG Datum: destination: Europe,<br />

ED50, 1987: ETRS89 datum: Lambert Conformal Conic projection for Europe. Tools are being<br />

developed will link water quality and water flow models, such is WatBal model.<br />

Keywords: the Sava River, catchment management plan, SARIB, water management data base<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL METADATABASE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> COUNTRIES SHARING <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE<br />

CATCHMENT<br />

Goda László 1 , Hils Michael 2 , Belz Jörg Uwe 3<br />

1 ADU-KÖVÍZIG, H-65001-Baja Pf. 84, Hungary, e-mail: goda@adukovizig.hu<br />

2 BfG, Am Mainzer Tor 1, D-56068 Koblenz, Germany, e-mail: hils@bafg.de<br />

3 BfG, Am Mainzer Tor 1, D-56068 Koblenz, Germany, e-mail: belz@bafg.de<br />

This paper is a summary of the project “The Hydrological Metadatabase of the Danube<br />

Countries”. The aim of the project was to collect and to publish meta-information about the relevant<br />

discharge- and precipitation stations from the whole Danube Basin. The stored metadata cover the<br />

mean features of the stations and moreover the facts about the records observed at the stations.<br />

The project has been carried out by a German-Hungarian expert group within the frame of the<br />

Hydrological Cooperation of the Danube Countries.<br />

The countries in the Cooperation were asked to supply information for the metadatabase.<br />

Metadata of 317 discharge stations and 1294 precipitation stations have been collected altogether.<br />

The gathered information has been stored in an ESRI ArcGIS-format database and possible to<br />

use by ArcReader. The ArcReader is a free viewer software that supports viewing of all maps<br />

generated on the basis of ArcGis.<br />

The database and the viewer software will be published on a CD.<br />

Keywords: database, metadata, discharge, precipitation<br />

131


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

IMPACT <strong>OF</strong> EXPECTED CLIMATE CHANGE ON STORAGE VOLUME UTILISATION <strong>OF</strong><br />

IMPORTANT WATER RESERVOIR <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> SLOVAK REPUBLIC<br />

Halmova Dana<br />

Institute of hydrology, Slovak Academy of Sciences (IH SAS), Racianska 75, Bratislava, SR,<br />

halmova@uh.savba.sk<br />

The aim of the paper is to answer the questions: how the expected climate conditions would<br />

influence the inflow into a multipurpose water reservoir Orava (one of the biggest water reservoirs of<br />

the Slovak Republic) and will be the reservoir able to supply a specific water demand during changed<br />

climate conditions?<br />

The rainfall-runoff balance model WBMOD, which works in monthly time step, was used to<br />

express the expected changes of the total runoff and the required reservoir capacity at different<br />

climate conditions. Failures in the required water supply for climate change scenario were then<br />

compared with those observed during the real life reservoir operation.<br />

Time series of precipitation, air temperature and the observed reservoir outflows were used as<br />

the input data. Precipitation and air temperature were modified in each month according to the last<br />

climate scenarios, which were calculated by models CCCM2000 and GISS1998 and estimated for the<br />

Orava reservoir catchment, for two time horizons 2030 and 2075.<br />

The conclusions, of course, pertain only the same water supply realised during the so far<br />

historical operation (1951─1980) of the structure. However, in relation to the changed climatic<br />

conditions, one would expect a rather significant change in water management. The climate change<br />

impacts as presented, are not the exact forecasts, because of uncertainties of the General Circulation<br />

Models (GCMs), as well as of the rainfall – runoff models outputs.<br />

Keywords: rainfall - runoff balance model WBMOD, water reservoir Orava and climate change<br />

scenarios.<br />

_________________<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> LAND USE CHANGE IMPACT ON RUN<strong>OF</strong>F IN <strong>THE</strong> RIMAVA BASIN<br />

Hlavčová Kamila 1 , Szolgay Ján 1 , Kohnová Silvia 1 , Horvát Oliver 1 , Tegelhoffová Martina 1<br />

1 Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Slovak University of Technology,<br />

Radlinského 11, 813 68 Bratislava, Slovak Republic,<br />

kamila.hlavcova@stuba.sk, jan.szolgay@stuba.sk, silvia.kohnova@stuba.sk, horvat@svf.stuba.sk,<br />

tegelhoff@svf.stuba.sk<br />

The influence of land use on runoff generation is very complicated; as land use and soil cover<br />

have an effect on interception, surface retention, evapotranspiration, and resistance to overland flow.<br />

Due to the complexity of the processes involved, the magnitude of their impact on runoff generation<br />

and subsequent flood discharge into the river system is still highly uncertain. When interpreting the<br />

results of landuse change simulations using distributed rainfall-runoff models on mid-sized and large<br />

catchments several interacting sources of the uncertainties must be considered. In the absence of<br />

direct experiments with the impacts of usually patchy land use change in catchment of such scales<br />

(which is mostly the case in practice), modelling results can only be confronted with results from<br />

experimental catchments (which are rarely available) and with results from other modelling studies in<br />

similar environments and also with expert judgement. In this study an alternative approach was<br />

followed to assess the adequacy of a distributed hydrological model to estimate changes in the runoff<br />

regime due to land use changes in the Rimava basin in central Slovakia. A physically-based rainfallrunoff<br />

model with distributed parameters was used for modelling runoff from rainfall and snowmelt.<br />

132


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Parameters of the model were estimated using climate data from the period of 1974 – 1980 and from<br />

3 digital map layers: land-use map, soil map and digital elevation model. Several scenarios of land use<br />

changes were prepared, and runoff under new land use conditions was simulated. Long-term mean<br />

annual partial runoff components under unchanged and changed land use conditions were estimated<br />

and compared.<br />

Keywords: rainfall-runoff model with distributed parameters, land use change scenarios, changes in<br />

runoff components.<br />

_________________<br />

UPGRADING ENVIRONMENTAL PROJECTS BY CFD MODELLING<br />

Jovanović M., Kapor R., Prodanović D., Zindović B.<br />

University of Belgrade, Faculty of Civil Engineering<br />

Bulevar kralja Aleksandra 73, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia<br />

mjovanov@grf.bg.ac.yu<br />

Contamination of river waters in terms of scale, intensity, and duration, cause such severe<br />

problems that application of conventional engineering methods for environmental remediation projects<br />

is no longer adequate, and much more thorough hydraulic analysis, based on numerical solution of<br />

equations describing precise physical laws, is the only acceptable approach for solving small-scale<br />

and large-scale fluid flow problems, as well as for addressing contaminant transport and<br />

sedimentation phenomena.<br />

The Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD), being one of the most rapidly developing<br />

disciplines in the last few decades, is presently being increasingly connected with environmental<br />

issues. In addition to the two most obvious applications associated with the environment – the water<br />

quality and transport processes modelling, CFD finds application in many other fields of environmental<br />

engineering, such as stratified flow phenomena, dynamics of effluents, sediment transport and<br />

particle-associated contaminant transport, soil, aquifer, and surface waters remediation,<br />

bioremediation, etc.<br />

Excellent possibilities of CFD application in practical engineering are illustrated by addressing<br />

one particular environmental issue - the problem of ecological remediation of large stagnant water<br />

bodies, such as bays. This kind of remediation, which includes improvement of the water quality, and<br />

reduction of sediment contamination, is elaborated on one particular case study – the Cukarica Bay on<br />

the Sava River, near its confluence with the Danube River in Belgrade. Measures, such as flushing of<br />

the Bay and dredging of sediments, have been studied by numerical simulations, using previously<br />

calibrated two-dimensional finite-element model. By studying physical processes in detail, it was<br />

possible to draw many useful conclusions, and to make appropriate recommendations to investors<br />

and working operative.<br />

One specific conclusion in this case study was that flushing the Bay by pumping water can<br />

significantly improve the water quality, provided that the recirculating flow at the bay entrance is not<br />

strong enough to suppress the outflow from the bay. Accordingly, it was recommended that flushing is<br />

most efficient during the low flow of the Sava River, and that, due to strong recirculation at the<br />

entrance, it has very little effect when discharges are greater than the mean discharge.<br />

Another important conclusion derived from the performed CFD numerical experiments was<br />

that concentrated release of dredged sediments into the river can also be successfully simulated<br />

numerically, as well as the resultant concentration fields and the bed elevation changes. As the<br />

sediment size is variable, the gradation curve needed to be replaced by a histogram, and calculations<br />

were carried out for a number of fractions. Then contributions of all fractions were added up for the<br />

total concentration. The calculated concentration field, as well the corresponding river bed elevation<br />

changes induced by the release of dredged material, greatly depend on the flow conditions of the<br />

Sava River. After studying this phenomenon in detail, it was recommended that the mean flow<br />

conditions are best for execution of dredging works.<br />

133


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The presented case study well supports and illustrates a general conclusion that application of<br />

CFD modelling can significantly improve the quality of engineering work, making the remediation<br />

projects less costly and more reliable.<br />

_________________<br />

CHARACTERIZATION <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> RUN<strong>OF</strong>F REGIME AND ITS STABILITY<br />

IN <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE CATCHMENT<br />

Kovács Péter<br />

VITUKI Environmental Protection and Water Resources Research Institute<br />

H-1453 Budapest, Pf. 27, Hungary, kovacsp@vituki.hu<br />

The main purposes of this investigation were to identify the regions of the Danube Catchment,<br />

within each of the runoff regime of the rivers (i.e., the typical timely distribution of their flow discharges<br />

within the year) is highly similar and to determine the areal distribution within the Danube Catchment<br />

of various indices, each of which characterize the stability of one selected (or integrated) element of<br />

the inter-annual distribution of the flow discharges in the rivers. The present investigation was carried<br />

out as one of the projects of the hydrological cooperation of the 13 Danube Countries in the frame of<br />

IHP UNESCO.<br />

The computations necessary for the inveastigations, were carried out by processing the series<br />

of monthly mean discharge values of 206 gauging stations operated on the river network of the<br />

Danube Catchment. The initially required length of the data series, 51 years (1950-2000), or not<br />

significantly shorter series (down to 42 years) could be provided for the majority (95 %) of the stations.<br />

The identification of the stability and the runoff regime types is based on the probability of<br />

occurence of six particular hydrological events: the first, second and third greatest monthly mean<br />

discharges of the year, symbolized with MAX1, MAX2 and MAX3, and the first, second and third<br />

lowest monthly mean discharges of the year, min1, min2 and min3.<br />

The numerical results of runoff regime type identification process can be seen in Table 2 and<br />

are graphically displayed on the map of the Danube Catchment on Figure1. 8 main runoff regime<br />

types and 17 sub-types were found in the Danube Catchment.<br />

Various indices caharacterizing the stability of the runoff regime, N(MAX1), N(MAX2), N(MAX3),<br />

N(min1), N(min2), N(min3), along with the synthetizing indices NMAX, Nmin and NR, as defined, after Nováky,<br />

by the formulae Eq. (2) – Eq. (6), were computed and displayed on Figures 2-4.<br />

Keywords: Danube River, runoff regime, characterization, runoff regime stability<br />

_________________<br />

METHODOLOGY AND STRUCTURE <strong>OF</strong> REGIONAL SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR HYDROLOGICAL<br />

COMPUTATIONS<br />

Lobanov Vladimir A, Lobanova Valery Yu,<br />

State Hydrological Institute, Limnological Institute of RAS, St.Petersburg, Russia,<br />

lobanov@EL6309.spb.edu<br />

Regional decision support and management system are developing for a practical realisation<br />

of hydrological computations for water projects in any region. This system is realising as the<br />

specialised GIS for regional hydrological computations and includes data base, software for<br />

hydrological computations in gauged and ungauged sites, visualisation of results on digital maps.<br />

Development of GIS includes two main stages: creation and operation. During the stage of creation<br />

the following tasks are fulfilled: creation of data base and software for data base, restoration of longterm<br />

time series, assessment of homogeneity and stationarity, determination of design hydrological<br />

performances in gauged sites, development of regional models for computation in ungauged sites,<br />

134


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

software for hydrological computations and representation of the results for gauged sites. During a<br />

stage of operation of this GIS two main functions of the system take place: monitoring of stability of all<br />

characteristics (and their re-computation if it is necessary) in sites of observations and computations<br />

for ungauged sites. For regional computation, a user forms his own database. This database includes<br />

field measurements fulfilled by the user at ungauged site during any period of time and basin<br />

descriptors obtained by user for ungauged site which are factors of regional models (for example,<br />

basin area, precipitation, average altitude of basin, etc). In addition, the user forms his own database<br />

of historical records at analogues sites for restoration of historical long-term series from short-term<br />

field observations by space-time regional relationships. For computations the user applies this<br />

database as well as a database of knowledge, i.e. all results obtained on the previous stage of GIS<br />

formation: computed hydrological characteristics at sites and parameters of regional models. The<br />

results of computation for any ungauged site can be presented and restored in the database as new<br />

information.<br />

Keywords: decision support system, hydrological computations, data base, software, GIS.<br />

_________________<br />

ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> DESIGN FLOODS AT UNGAUGED BASINS BY REGIONAL MODELS<br />

Lobanova Helen V.<br />

State Hydrological Institute, St.Petersburg, Russia, lobanova@EL6309.spb.edu<br />

Development of regional regression models between design modulus of maximum runoff and<br />

hydrographic descriptors of watersheds is considered for case study of the Central area of the<br />

European part of Russia. Three structures of relationships are used: structure of “reductzionnaya”<br />

formula, additive and multiplicative structures. Assessment of efficiency of built models has been<br />

realized on the dependent as well as independent data of observations. In addition, an efficiency of<br />

averaging of errors of models at the nearest gauged sites is estimated. It has been obtained that such<br />

simple regional models are enough effective and allow to determine a design maximum runoff with<br />

errors 25-30% for ungauged sites.<br />

Keywords: ungauged basins, regional models, design floods, efficiency.<br />

_________________<br />

APPLICATION <strong>OF</strong> HISTORICAL MAXIMUM FOR FLOOD ESTIMATION<br />

(<strong>THE</strong>ORY AND CASE STUDIES)<br />

Lobanova Helen V, Lobanov Vladimir A.<br />

State Hydrological Institute, St.Petersburg, Russia, lobanova@EL6309.spb.edu<br />

Application of information about the historical maxima in hydrological computations allows to<br />

make more precise about design hydrological performances and to pass in some cases from<br />

extrapolation to interpolation as more reliable decision. In this paper the analytic solution is given for<br />

task of determination of empirical non-exceeded probability and parameters of distribution function<br />

taking into account of any historical maximums, which are located inside as well as outside of time<br />

series of observations and for their mixed location. For the particular case studies the advantage of<br />

consideration of the historical maxima is shown in comparison with computations without these<br />

maxima. Also it has been established that an exponential function between maximum discharges in<br />

order of their reducing and ordinates of standard normal distribution is enough effective for fitting of<br />

upper part of empirical distribution function.<br />

Keywords: historical maximum, floods, design hydrological characteristic, distribution function.<br />

135


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

PRECIPITATION AND CLOUD COVERAGE TENDENCIES IN <strong>THE</strong> UPPER DANUBE CATCHMENT<br />

WITH RESPECT TO GLOBAL WARMING<br />

Mika J. 1 , Bálint G. 2 , Csík A. 2 , Gulyás M. 2 , Bartók B. 3 , Borsos E. 3 and Schlanger V. 1<br />

1 Hungarian Meteorological Service; P.O. Box 39, H-1675 Budapest, Hungary, mika.j@met.hu<br />

2 VITUKI Environment and Water Research Institute; P.O. Box 27, Budapest H-1453,<br />

Hungary, balint@vituki.hu<br />

3 Faculty of Geography, Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca, Clinicilor 5-7, Romania<br />

Spatial and temporal variability of observed monthly precipitation data is analysed for the<br />

upper Danube sub-catchment by using 76 stations situated in six countries (Austria, Czech Republic,<br />

Germany, Hungary, Slovakia and Romania). Two main aspects are tackled: i) average horizontal and<br />

vertical distribution in the present, characterised by temporal Fourier analysis; ii) empirical relation of<br />

the coefficients against the hemispherical mean temperature, characterised by the method of<br />

instrumental variables (Mika and Balint, 2000). This previous study quantified much of the climate<br />

change effect, in the 1974-1998 monotonously warming period, now these earlier results are further<br />

validated in four more respects: 1) The previously established regression coefficients are applied to<br />

check whether the past correlation to the hemispherical mean temperature could have been used to<br />

predict the precipitation anomalies of the following 1999-2003 period. 2) Similar empirical analysis of<br />

the observed sea-level pressure is performed to interpret the established precipitation responses,<br />

meteorologically. 3) Parallel empirical analysis of surface based cloudiness of a similar period (1973-<br />

1996). 4.) GCM-outputs of 16 different models, interpolated by the SCENGEN software package, are<br />

compared with the empirical relations concerning regional precipitation, cloudiness and sea-level<br />

pressure.<br />

Keywords: precipitation – cloudiness – climate change – statistical analysis – GCM-outputs.<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> LOCAL COMMUNITY TORRENT DEFENSE ACTION PLAN AS AN IMPORTANT SUPPORT<br />

FOR STATE FLOOD DEFENSE SYSTEM<br />

Milojevic Mileta 1 , Gavrilovic Zoran 1 , Stefanovic Milutin 1 , Ristic Ratko 2 and<br />

Cotric Jelena 1<br />

1 The Institute for the Development of Water Resources „Jaroslav Černi„<br />

11226 Belgrade (Pinosava), Serbia, Jaroslava Černog 80, Tel. / Fax: (+381) 11-3906-461<br />

2 Forest Faculty, Serbia, 11000 Belgrade Kneza Viseslava 1<br />

e-mail: mecmilet@beotel.yu<br />

The consequences of torrential floods, different from plain rivers flooding, always have<br />

catastrophic extent regardless the real range of the flood, since torrential floods every time always<br />

followed by devastating effects on human and natural goods. The characteristics of torrential floods<br />

necessitated the development of various methods for its reconstruction and genesis. Different types<br />

of cloud pattern and wind situation can cause, for similar cloud situation, different flood hydro grams.<br />

This is a key point for a design of the efficient flood forecasting emergency system applicable for the<br />

remote areas.<br />

In order to synthesize and standardize program quality, in 1998.year, the Ministry prescribed<br />

methodology to be applied in the preparation of the said program.<br />

Organization and implementation of flood control of rivers and streams external to the system<br />

of routine flood control is organized and implemented by Local Community Torrent Flood Control<br />

Headquarters.<br />

136


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

During several decades of activity on the applied hydrologic and erosion control research<br />

work for small catchment’s areas, a number of methods have been developed within the Department<br />

for catchment’s area management of "Jaroslav. Černi" Institute for Development of Water Resources.<br />

This database served for the development of the Method of Flood Wave Genesis Simulation in Real<br />

Time. The method enables preliminary computation of the maximum discharge for assumed situations<br />

of cloud masses (shower) movements over the drainage area.<br />

The methodology of torrent flood defense requires estimation of possible discharges and the<br />

time of flood wave onset for a potentially endangered region. In addition, the warning procedure is<br />

shortened and direct communication was established between the radar center of the weather service<br />

and the flood defense headquarters of the endangered region.<br />

Today, territory of Serbia and Montenegro has medium coverage with done Action plans for<br />

torrent flood defense. Elevation of the covered territory is between 80-2800 m, and represents full<br />

range of torrent diverse, from high mountain torrents up to downstream torrents. The plan defines all<br />

relevant aspects ranging from methods of organization, management, and warning to details of<br />

participation and distribution of manpower and defenses required to complete the task., there are a<br />

great number of buildings in flood areas of torrent flows, in the mountain regions, especially, which are<br />

bring into danger. In this way we were forced to create methodology for defining of flood areas in<br />

valleys of torrent flood flows.<br />

Paper presents obtained results of designed torrent defense Action Plans, as an Official<br />

method which combines radar meteorology, torrential hydrology and GIS techniques to enable quick<br />

determination and assessment of the detected situation in order to provide a sufficient time for the<br />

flood defense system to be put in operation. For defining of flood areas<br />

Is necessary to prepare two kinds of data: DTM (digital terrain model) of analyzed areas and<br />

water level lines as result of hydrological and hydraulically examinations. Flood areas border line in<br />

combination with cadastre plans directly show details of endangered areas<br />

Keywords: Hydrology, Torrent Flood Analysis, Meteorology, Flood zones<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> ORGANIZING <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> EVOLUTION <strong>OF</strong> HYDRO MORPHOLOGY <strong>OF</strong> A<br />

RIVER AND ITS NEIGHBOURING AREA. CASE STUDY IN BARLAD RIVER BASIN<br />

Moraru C., Purdel A.<br />

National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management – Romania, Bucuresti, Romania<br />

e-mail ion.pasoi@hidro.ro<br />

During the year 2005 in Romania there have been many floods with low repeating frequency.<br />

Such floods occurred in Siret River Basin in July and August 2005.<br />

The main characteristics of these floods have been the maximum discharge was far greater<br />

than the previous one and the maximum discharge was registered during nighttime. These specific<br />

aspects have generated initial errors mainly because hydrologists have been obliged to extend as fast<br />

as possible the rating curves even with 200%. These errors have been corrected after a deeper<br />

analysis, but that generated, for a short period, different sets of values. Also because of the huge<br />

volume of water, the hydraulic structures could not attenuate the flood very much. It also worth<br />

mentioning the role of the automatic gauging stations which have functioned perfectly during these<br />

floods, generating sets of values without gaps.<br />

Also in many cases at the gauging stations, the riverbed has great mobility thus putting<br />

specific problems from the point of view of flood monitoring.<br />

The present paper presents a short analysis of the generation of these floods, initial data<br />

regarding flood monitoring and the way these data were processed.<br />

The paper ends with recommendations regarding monitoring of such kind of floods.<br />

Keywords: hydro morphology, Frame Directive 60/2000, water body type, monitoring sections<br />

137


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

HYDROLOGICAL ASPECTS <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> NAVIGABLE CHANNEL RESTORATION PROBLEM IN <strong>THE</strong><br />

UKRAINIAN DANUBE DELTA<br />

Morozov V. N.<br />

Danube Hydrometeorologcal Observatory,<br />

36 Geroyev Stalingrad str. Izmail, Ukraine 68600<br />

e-mail; morozov@izm.odessa.ukrtel.net<br />

Transit navigation through the Ukrainian part of the Delta from the Danube River to the Black<br />

Sea and back practically ceased in the end of the 20 th Century. Under these circumstances Ukraine is<br />

taking active actions aimed at soonest possible restoration of the navigation by means of building the<br />

deep navigable canal of her own from the Danube to the Black Sea.<br />

The main factor limiting the transit navigation in the Danube Delta is the presence of shallow<br />

estuarine bars. That is why the problem of navigation restoring here could be solved in two<br />

fundamentally different ways:<br />

1) building a canal with locks opening into the sea outside of the zone where river<br />

sediments are accumulated;<br />

2) dredging an opening in the bar for navigation purposes and maintaining the<br />

intended depth there.<br />

The main advantage of the first option is practical absence of silting of the navigable canal<br />

with the sediments brought by the river. Construction of the canal would not influence the natural<br />

processes of water and sediments’ flow re-distribution between the arms in the Delta. However, while<br />

using the canal with locks we should expect silting of its marine part as the result of the sediments flow<br />

along the coast and distribution of marine water in the bottom layer in the canal all over its length.<br />

Building a navigable canal through estuary of one of the arms in the Danube Delta has a<br />

common fundamental drawback: regular dredging will be needed as long as the canal will be operated<br />

in order to maintain the designed parameters of the navigable channel. Dredging would result at<br />

anthropogenic pressure on the processes of water and sediments’ flow redistribution between the<br />

arms, increase of sea water penetration into the Danube Delta and modification of sediments’ balance<br />

in the marine part of the Delta.<br />

The level of anthropogenic pressure on the hydrological regime in the Delta will depend on the<br />

scale of hydraulic engineering works, as well as on the direction of the delta-forming processes under<br />

the natural conditions. Thus, the question of anthropogenic pressure minimization on the natural<br />

complex of the Danube Delta becomes the matter of optimal choice of an arm to establish the<br />

navigable channel.<br />

Long experience of improving navigability in the non-tidal river deltas having many arms<br />

shows that attempts to use small side watercourses for this purpose is unpromising. Among such<br />

futureless watercourses are nine out of twelve arms in the Kilijskaya Delta of the Danube. Out of the<br />

rest the Potapovkiy Arm has a long estuarine segment where the depth does not exceed 5 meters and<br />

the Starostambulskiy Arm has the extensive and shallow bar.<br />

According to its depth and widths the bed of the Bystroye Arm is close to the designed<br />

parameters of the navigable channel. The only limiting segment here is the relatively short and stable<br />

bar formed in the deep coastal water. The natural hydrological and morphological characteristics of<br />

the Bystroye Arm allow to avoid extensive hydro-engineering works during the navigable channel<br />

building and operation.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

The results of the comprehensive hydrological studies in the Danube Delta permit us to<br />

conclude that the Bystroye Arm is the most acceptable option of building the navigable channel<br />

through the active part of the Kilijskaya Delta.<br />

References<br />

Hydrology of the Danube Delta / Edited by V.N.Mikhailov. Moscow: GEOS Publishers, 2004. 448 p.<br />

_________________<br />

DETERMINATION <strong>OF</strong> EVAPOTRANSPIRATION AND WATER BALANCE<br />

ON <strong>THE</strong> CASE EXAMPLE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> ZAPADNA MORAVA RIVER UPPER BASIN<br />

Nikolić Jugoslav 1 , Nikić Zoran 2 , Dragićević Slavoljub 3<br />

1 Republic Hydro-meteorological Institute of Serbia, Kneza Višeslava 66,<br />

Belgrade, Serbia, e-mail: jugnik@EUnet.yu<br />

2 Forestry Faculty University of Belgrade, Kneza Višeslava 1, Belgrade,<br />

Serbia, e-mail: znikic@yubc.net<br />

3 Faculty of Geography, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 3/3, 11000 Belgrade,<br />

Serbia, e-mail: sasa@gef.bg.ac.yu<br />

Evapotranspiration is one of the basic elements of the water balance and phase of the cycle of<br />

circulation of water in nature, which is according to the up to date research, most difficult to<br />

determine in quantative terms. In heterogeneous geological conditions, on the case example of the<br />

Zapadna Morava river upper basin, the determination of evapotranspiration was performed by an<br />

application of the adequate numerical model, which is used comparatively with the method of the<br />

water balance.<br />

The applied model has a good physical foundation, uses routine starting data available, and<br />

its testing was performed by the use of electronic lysimeters. The comparable water balancing was<br />

performed through hydrogeological approach to research.<br />

The model is comprised of modules that describe the energy, dynamics and plant physiology<br />

influences, with parameterization of geological influences of the terrain. Modularly determined<br />

parameters are integrated through the basic equation of the model that includes, among others,<br />

physical processes that mainly regulate the evapotranspiration: the absorption of solar energy, which<br />

provides latent evaporation heat to active surface and transport mechanism of water steam from<br />

evaporating surface.<br />

In natural environments, inlcuding river basins, heterogeneous geological conditions exist<br />

which cause heterogeneous evapotranspiration field. In other words, the characteristics of<br />

evapotranspiration vary with the change of coordinates. Model enables determination of total water<br />

evaporation for heterogeneous areas, calculated in net points with horizontal resolution, which is such,<br />

that elementary surface approximates homogenous area with satisfying accuracy.<br />

Application and verification of the model was conducted on the upper basin of West Morava<br />

River. Parameterization of geological influences of the terrain on water evaporation was performed by<br />

comparative analysis of spatial evaporation calculated by the model and the values obtained from the<br />

water balance method. Balancing takes into account the total run-off through hydrogeological<br />

approach to terrain exploration and the analysis of the precipitation using the verified model. Elements<br />

of the water balance were obtained from series of data from measurements lasting several years in<br />

relation to precipitation and flow rate on relevant locations from the model domain.<br />

Keywords: evapotranspiration, hydrological cycle, numerical model, energy balance, water balance,<br />

heterogeneous geological conditions, geomorphologic characteristics, hydrogeological conditions.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ADAPTATION STRATEGIES REGARDING WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT IN <strong>THE</strong><br />

CONTEXT <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATIC CHANGES. CASE STUDIES<br />

OPRISAN Elisabeta, Ph.Dc.<br />

National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, Sos. Bucuresti – Ploiesti 97, sector 1, 013686<br />

Bucharest, Romania, elisabeta.oprisan@hidro.ro<br />

Climatic changes aren’t just a theoretical issue nowadays. They are present in numerous<br />

areas of the planet, including Romania.<br />

An eloquent example are the events occurred in Romania in 2005, year in which, in some<br />

areas, the largest quantities of rainfall for the last 100 years were recorded, and when intense floods<br />

occurred on an exceptional long time interval, from February until September, situation which was<br />

never come across.<br />

In order to identify the influence of climatic changes on water resources and the hydrological<br />

cycle in general, two research directions were initiated by the NIHWM:<br />

• The identification of the modifications in the size and distribution of mean monthly<br />

discharges in two river basin – Siret (S=42000 km 2 ) and Arges (S=12000 km 2 )<br />

• The identification of the modifications in the size and distribution of maximal annual<br />

discharges of some small tributaries on the Romanian reach of the Tisza River.<br />

The research emphasized the fact that the influence of climatic changes in the hypothesis of<br />

the proposed modification scenarios, do not have influence in the Siret river basin, but they are<br />

important in Arges river basin. Mainly, these changes are:<br />

• The increase in monthly discharges in December – February with 26 – 43% and their<br />

decrease in March – August with almost 50%<br />

• The decrease in the multiannual mean liquid stock with values between 19 and 24%<br />

As the size and distribution of annual maximal discharges are concerned, for certain small<br />

tributaries of the Romanian reach of the Tisza River, they were statistically analyzed on an interval of<br />

about 100 years, emphasizing the following aspects:<br />

• Starting with 1975 – 1978 important changes occur in the monthly distribution and in the<br />

size of maximal annual discharges<br />

• A great number of maximal annual discharges occur in autumn<br />

• A reduction in the number of occurrences of maximal discharges in winter months appear;<br />

• A shift in the period of occurrence of maximal discharges from May-June towards March –<br />

April.<br />

Based on the results obtained the elaboration of certain adaptation measures was started, in<br />

order to cope with the occurred changes.<br />

The adaptation measures concern both resources, water demands, and also the aspects<br />

regarding the protection against floods. These latter are extensively presented in the full<br />

communication, this abstract presenting only some aspects.<br />

Regarding the water demands, measures are necessary for: conservation and increase in<br />

efficiency; technological changes; adaptation of lifestyle, variation of crops, industrial recirculation;<br />

improvement of the legislation and inserting economic instruments.<br />

Regarding water resources the following are aimed at: infrastructures, physical modification of<br />

the existent ones; interbasinal transfers; alternative systems of water supply.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

ROMANIAN - HUNGARIAN HYDROTECHNICAL CONVENTION<br />

FOR REGULATIONS PROBLEMS TOWARDS TRANSBOUNDARY WATERS<br />

OROS Claudiu 1 , ŞTRENG Octavian 2 , GALE Marinela 3<br />

1 Crisuri Rivers Authority, Oradea, 35 Ion Bogdan str., 410125, Romania claudiu.oros@dac.rowater.ro<br />

2 Crisuri Rivers Authority, Oradea, 35 Ion Bogdan str., 410125, Romania<br />

octavian.streng@dac.rowater.ro<br />

3 Crisuri Rivers Authority, Oradea, 35 Ion Bogdan str., 410125, Romania marinela.gale@dac.rowater.ro<br />

The border between Romania and Hungary has 448 km (416 km of earth and 32 km of<br />

waters). The relief configuration, in steps with mountains at 100-150 km far from border, gives forth to<br />

flows from East to West to cross Hungarian territory and then to drain into Tisa river. The big slopes<br />

from mountain regions help the development of important floods on Tur, Crasna and Crisuri, floods<br />

which in 48-72 hr manage to cross the border. A critical situation was caused by flood and demanded<br />

collaboration between two countries in decreasing flood events. The first ROMANIAN-HUNGARIAN<br />

CONVENTION was in 3 November 1969. On 25 June 1986 the Convention has been renewed. On 15<br />

September 2003 at Budapest a new Convention of collaboration in protecting and using transbourdary<br />

water was signed. Major Objectives of the Convention: to achieve a good water status; to prevent<br />

water alteration and control over pollution; to prevent, to fight, to limit and to control the harmful<br />

transbourdary effects like: flood, drought and accidental pollution; to develop a monitoring system in<br />

evaluating water status; to assure a durable use of water resource; to facilitate common actions of<br />

technical analysis and development.<br />

Keywords: Crisuri Rivers, convention, hydrotechnical, transboundary water, Romania, Hungary.<br />

_________________<br />

E-LEARNING SYSTEM FOR SUSTAINABLE FLOOD MANAGEMENT<br />

Pasche Erik * and Radić M. Zoran **<br />

Hamburg University of Technology (pasche@tuhh.de)<br />

Faculty of Civil Engineering University of Belgrade (zradic@grf.bg.ac.yu)<br />

In the past years an increase of flood hazards could be observed world-wide. While experts<br />

still discuss whether these hazards are the onset of a trend due to climate change or merely the<br />

consequence of cyclic changes there is a strong push on decision-makers (and politicians) to reduce<br />

the vulnerability of urban areas along most of the big European rivers.<br />

Conventional flood management strategies which are targeting at the defence of these flood<br />

prone areas by dikes and walls are not an adequate answer. In general the investments for these<br />

defence structures can not be provided ad hoc. Additionally they will reduce the retention capacity of<br />

the river which needs to be compensated to avoid increased flood risk downstream. However<br />

possibilities for these compensation measures are limited.<br />

Looking for more economic and sustainable flood defence strategies, a great potential is seen<br />

in an improved flood resilience of urban areas. It comprises individual preventive and emergency<br />

measures at buildings and municipal infrastructure and a land-use policy to adopt building activities to<br />

the risk. However the people living in flood prone areas are only ready to take such measures of flood<br />

preparedness if they have a good knowledge about their vulnerability, flood risk and ways of damage<br />

reduction. Thus the right perception of the flood situation and an effective transfer of this flood hazard<br />

message to the public is decisive for the success of non-structural flood defence policy. This new<br />

approach of sustainable flood management means a paradigm change: from defending to living with<br />

flood. A good information policy as well as intensive training will be necessary for stakeholders as well<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

as planners and engineers to get their acceptance and to extend the expertise of engineers and<br />

planners to methods of risk mapping, retrofitting, fitting and emergency response.<br />

Through cross-border research cooperation, international research team from the Hamburg<br />

University of Technology, the University of Belgrade and the University of Montenegro, led by the<br />

authors of this paper, have developed an e-learning instrument for sustainable flood management. It<br />

extends the learning material of the civil engineering and environmental engineering program at the<br />

three universities and thus primarily addresses students of these programs. But it also supports<br />

externals, e.g. engineers and planners, in their need of life-long learning by providing auto-deductive<br />

learning methods and by giving them access to all learning components via internet.<br />

The objective of this paper is to introduce into sustainable flood management tools and to<br />

present developed e-learning instrument. Within the first part sustainable flood management concept<br />

based on new flood policy of the EU is presented. It is based on Integrative flood management by<br />

structural and non-structural measures and new technologies for decision support. In the second part<br />

the deductive concept of the e-learning tool will be described and the three main components: the<br />

tutorial, the knowledge base and the virtual trainer are presented.<br />

The efficiency of this e-learning instrument is demonstrated by the pilot application during the<br />

International Summer School in 2005 and the first presentation to wide audience was made in<br />

Belgrade’s Final Conferences 2005 “Sustainable Flood Management – concept and tools to learn it”<br />

(FCEUB, Belgrade, December 12). Improved version will be tested during the Summer School 2006<br />

(Montenegro, Herceg Novi, September 16-23).<br />

Development of this innovative internet-based learning tool within the last three years is<br />

supported by the German Academic Exchange Service and the Stability Pact of Southeast Europe.<br />

Participants from Serbia are also supported by the Ministry of Science and Environment Protection<br />

National Water Program (Projects No. 21-A and No. 20-A).<br />

_________________<br />

CONSIDERATIONS REGARDING <strong>THE</strong> MONITORING <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> EXTRAORDINARY FLOODS FROM<br />

SIRET RIVER BASIN IN JULY AND AUGUST 2005<br />

Pasoi I., Purdel A.<br />

National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management – Romania, Bucuresti, Romania<br />

e-mail ion.pasoi@hidro.ro<br />

During the year 2005 in Romania there have been many floods with low repeating frequency.<br />

Such floods occurred in Siret River Basin in July and August 2005.<br />

The main characteristics of these floods have been the maximum discharge was far greater<br />

than the previous one and the maximum discharge was registered during nighttime. These specific<br />

aspects have generated initial errors mainly because hydrologists have been obliged to extend as fast<br />

as possible the rating curves even with 200%. These errors have been corrected after a deeper<br />

analysis, but that generated, for a short period, different sets of values. Also because of the huge<br />

volume of water, the hydraulic structures could not attenuate the flood very much. It also worth<br />

mentioning the role of the automatic gauging stations which have functioned perfectly during these<br />

floods, generating sets of values without gaps.<br />

Also in many cases at the gauging stations, the riverbed has great mobility thus putting<br />

specific problems from the point of view of flood monitoring.<br />

The present paper presents a short analysis of the generation of these floods, initial data<br />

regarding flood monitoring and the way these data were processed.<br />

The paper ends with recommendations regarding monitoring of such kind of floods.<br />

Keywords: flash-flood, monitoring, data errors and corection<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

PRESSURE IDENTIFICATION AND <strong>THE</strong> IMPACT ON <strong>THE</strong> WATER RESOURCES IN BEGA<br />

CATCHMENT AREA<br />

Pepa C.A. 1<br />

1 Politehnica University of Timisoara,Faculty of Hydrotechnics,Str. G Enescu,nr.1°,300022<br />

Timisoara,Romania, adelinapodaru@yahoo.com<br />

Water men’s life. Water can be found everywhere and plays an important role in human life<br />

and equilibrium of the environment. The agriculture, industry and urbanization have had and have a<br />

special impact on the biodiversity and water necessity.<br />

This paper tries to identify the pressure and the impact on the water resources in Bega<br />

catchment area, indirectly tributary of the Danube, which collect the waters from Timisoara area.<br />

Taking into account the fact that Bega is a cross border stream, it has to respect the condition<br />

imposed by actual treaties and conventions.<br />

Knowing the impact of the pressures on the water resources lead us to the sustainable<br />

management which can be materialized through: the protection, conservation and prevention of the<br />

water resources degradation, and the water quality improvement through specific measure also, which<br />

take into account the prevention, reduction and the integrated control of pollution, the water protection<br />

against contamination from agricultural source, urban waste water treatment, risk evaluation and the<br />

dangerous substances discharged in water, established through specific rules in the domain.<br />

The hydromorphologic pressure represents the pressure category which can have direct<br />

impact on surface waters and can result from hydrotechnical works.<br />

On the Banat cachment area are 64 sectors of regularized rivers on the total length of 699 km.<br />

It is established that a number of 34 rivers works with a 435 km length can be considerate significant<br />

hydromorphologic pressure.<br />

The only navigable stream in the Banat cachment area is the Bega Channel<br />

In present the Bega channel is open only for touristic navigation very reduced and only on the<br />

Sanmihaiu Roman reach, because the Sanmihaiul Roman locks is non-operating.<br />

The Bega river is split in two rivers reach: spring – upstream of Timisoara and upstream of<br />

Timisoara – border. On the spring-upstream of Timisoara reach were not registered outrunning of the<br />

second classes, the parameters values being characteristics to the „good state” of water.<br />

On the upstream of Timisoara-border reach, the oxygen regime altered, the indicators are in<br />

the limits of the third quality classes. This outrunning is registered because of sewage waters become<br />

from the economical agents and from the population of Timisoara city from water tratement plant<br />

Aquatim Timisoara.<br />

The Bega river are spited in two rivers reach: sources – upstream of Timisoara and upstream<br />

of Timisoara – border. On the source-upstream of Timisoara reach aren’t registered outrunning of the<br />

second classes, the parameters values being characteristics of the „good state” of water.<br />

Keywords: catchment area, water resources, water quality, sustainable development.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

A DECISION SUPPORT FRAMEWORK FOR WETLAND REHABILITATION AND MANAGEMENT –<br />

A CASE STUDY <strong>OF</strong> BARDAČA WETLAND<br />

Pistrika A. 1 , Makropoulos C 2 and Maksimovic C .1<br />

1 Imperial College London, UK ; 2 University of Exeter, UK<br />

This paper aims to provide support to the rehabilitation of the Bardača Wetland in Bosnia and<br />

Herzegovina (flood plane of Vrbas and Sava rivers) and the economic redevelopment of its<br />

surrounding area, in terms of sustainable water resources management and environmentally friendly<br />

economic development options, within the context of the Water Framework Directive. The work<br />

provides a decision support framework assisting an impoverished area with a distinct lack of<br />

organisational framework and technical guidelines to develop and implement local level environmental<br />

action plans. Furthermore, the study attempts to identify alternative development options that are<br />

economically attractive, ecologically sound, socially acceptable and technically feasible and thus to<br />

contribute to the establishment of a sustainable wetland policy. The activities encourage<br />

environmentally friendly wastewater and stormwater disposal in the wetland region and more<br />

significantly focus on raising the public awareness and seeking the active participation of the local<br />

population in the decision-making process. The work presented is a part of the EU supported LIFE-<br />

LICENSE project.<br />

Keywords: decision support framework - local environmental action plan – wetland -water allocation<br />

model - wastewater disposal - sustainable development options - public participation<br />

_________________<br />

MULTIPURPOSE USE <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> GACKA RIVER WATER<br />

Ivica Plisic, M.Sc., Civil Engineering Institute of Croatia, J.Rakuše 1, 10 000 Zagreb,<br />

Croatia, ivica.plisic@igh.hr<br />

Danko Holjevic, B.Sc., Croatian Waters VGO – Rijeka, Ul. G. Ciotte 17b, 51 000 Rijeka,<br />

Croatia, e-mail: dholjev@voda.hr<br />

Prof. Josip Petras, Ph.D, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Kaciceva ul. 26, 10 000 Zagreb, Croatia,<br />

e-mail: jpetras@master.grad.hr<br />

Gacka river is one of the prettiest karst watercourses with permanent water flow. Water from<br />

its spring is utilised for water supply of the town of Otočac and its surroundings. Along its course,<br />

creek trout fishing is widespread, whereas the fish breeding sites have been built on its tributaries and<br />

backwaters. Gacka water is utilised for electric power production, and a part of it is diverted from the<br />

hydroelectric power plant tunnel for water supply needs of the coastal area at the foot of the Mt.Velebit<br />

and its islands. Construction of hydrotechnical tunnels has also been bringing water from the adjacent<br />

Lika river catchment into the Gacka river catchment for the needs of electric power production. Flood<br />

protection of the town of Otočac and the entire Gacko field depends on HE Senj hydroenergetic<br />

system operation regime.<br />

Such a multipurpose use of the Gacka river water causes management problems because the<br />

use of a part of water for one purpose decreases available water quantities for other purposes.<br />

Therefore there is a need to placate demands of various users for the same water. The problem is<br />

also the water supply of the coastal area at the foot of the Mt.Velebit and its islands, which demands a<br />

high water quality, and water used for that purpose is almost at the end of this multipurpose system.<br />

This work reviews the existing use of the Gacka river, planned water use and needs for water.<br />

It analyses relationships of water use for various purposes and proposes solutions that take into<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

account available water quantities and the use schedule with regard to necessary water quality for<br />

respective use.<br />

Keywords: multipurpose use of water<br />

_________________<br />

CONCEPTS <strong>OF</strong> SYSTEM BASED ON OGC WEB SERVICES FOR MANAGEMENT AND DECISION<br />

SUPPORT AND MONITORING FLOODS<br />

Popov Srđan 2 , Sakulski Dušan 1 , Mirjana Vojinović Miloradov 2 , Jelena Jakšić 2 , Maja Turk 2 ,<br />

Milorad Miloradov 2<br />

1 UNU-EHS – United Nations University, Institute for Environment and Human Security,<br />

Bonn, Germany<br />

2 Faculty of Technical Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 6,<br />

Novi Sad, Serbia<br />

miloradov@uns.ns.ac.yu<br />

Flood named “Banat Tsunami” came on suddenly with such a water force that nobody could<br />

find shelter. The level of the river Tamiš rose by 7 meters and over 164 million cubic meters of water<br />

overflowed from its basin and flooded several communities in Banat region.<br />

Flooding of river Tamiš was caused by strong showers in the upper flow of the river and by<br />

melting of huge amount of snow in Carpathian mountains. Damage caused by flood wave had<br />

enormous dimensions and fatally influenced local population during spring in 2005.<br />

Competent and well known institutions (PWMC Vojvodina Vode Novi Sad, Institute Jaroslav<br />

Černi Belgrade, Sector for water of The Executive Council of the Automous Province of Vojvodina and<br />

others. ) monitored the situation in Banat. Estimated damages caused by „Banat Tsunami“ are:<br />

existance of over 20.000 people has been jeopardized; over 1.000 people from flooded villages were<br />

evacuated and situated in temporary collective centers and around 2.000 people from jeopardized<br />

region left their homes and moved with there relatives and friends; around 300 houses were totally<br />

distroyed; hundreds of people lost entire property; hundreds of children were forced to stop attending<br />

the school; agriculture products and crops from over 7.000 ha were destroyed; and the flood was fatal<br />

for around 3.000 domestic animals (pigs, ship, goats, etc).<br />

“Banat Tsunami” resulted in many problems for safety, health and human environment.<br />

Epidemic and infection risk was huge. Veterinaries and services were involved in collecting the bodies<br />

of dead animals and their degradations. Public water supply system in Jaša Tomić, Međa and<br />

Krajišnik were shut down due to risk of contamination. Private wells were contaminated by feces.<br />

Population was supplied with bottled water and water from tanks.<br />

Very important step and phase in defending from flood is the decision making process.<br />

contemporary multidisciplinary system and approach for process of solving problems of decision<br />

making in flood management was needed. Using the advantages of computerization along with geoinformational<br />

system, based on RDBS, and simulation with optimized methods it is possible to ensure<br />

fast registration and transfer of critical and key information which would significantly help in decision<br />

making during defense from flood.<br />

Research team from the Faculty of technical sciences, University of Novi Sad with United<br />

Nations University – Institute for Environment and Human Security developed the model of system<br />

based on OGC web services for managing and decision support and monitoring floods. OGC web<br />

service enables interaction geo-informational systems based on XML, HTTP, SGML, GML, GEO<br />

VRML and similar technologies.<br />

Keywords: Flood, OGC web services, management, decision support, monitoring floods, Banat.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

TECHNICAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL SOLUTIONS<br />

FOR <strong>THE</strong> ACCOMPLISHMENT <strong>OF</strong> AN UNDERGROUND WATER STORAGE<br />

Prepelita Dan 1 , Nitescu Eftimie 1 , Craciun Vasile 1 , Chiorescu Esmeralda 1 ,<br />

1 Technical University “Gh.Asachi” of Iasi, Department of Hydroamelioration and Environment Blvd. D.<br />

Mangeron 67 Iasi , 700050, Romania, predans@yahoo.com<br />

The provide of water necessary for employement from areas with showing a deficit resources,<br />

is realize in usual mode by stocking of necessary volumes in surface accumulation; there are obtain<br />

by transversal impound of a water course with over-ground barrage, in the favourable emplacement.<br />

In special situation, the water source can be constituted by means of local phreatic water<br />

resources; in this case, ground water must be conducted by pumping from wells.<br />

In case of hard water deficit, in underground reception basin or of an irrational exploitation can<br />

be applied method of artificial recharge of aquifer from surface water source.<br />

For this aim, water is drived from river by mean of complex channels network, infiltration<br />

basins and, at times, and deep injection wells.<br />

Enriching and rational water utilization of stock groundwater is obtained, also, by realization of<br />

underground water stocks, there are obtain by impound of a escape bellow the major streambed and<br />

the minor streambed, with transversal underground barrage (dam).<br />

This type of harnessing can be applied in hill area of water courses with permeable tray and<br />

alluvial bed with big or medium granulation, the rivers presenced one great contribution and<br />

geomorphologic stability.<br />

In comparison with one surface stores are obtain by over-ground barrage and with known<br />

methods of a recharge of aquifer from surface water source - specific methods from bank of a rivers<br />

and limitrophe terraces - the harnessing solutions with underground baraje in the river bed - is<br />

presence many technical, economical and ecological advantages. In principal, is admit the tapping of<br />

ground water stocks, by easy methods, in qualitative and quantitative adequate conditions, indifferent<br />

of level water variation in over-ground water course, even if is dry. It is possible the water<br />

gravitational transport for water consumers - from downhill areas.<br />

In this paper are present two possibilities of creation an underground water<br />

controllable by using underground barrage (dam) - with captation – adjustment – transportation<br />

installations.<br />

One technical solutions conformable to Patent RO nr.107007, authors: D.Prepelita and colab.<br />

- concerns the creation of an underground water storage by building an impermeable “V” shaped dam<br />

sunken under a river bed, endowed with a special water plug, allowing the irrigation of agricultural<br />

lands (Figure 1).<br />

Another technical solution consentaneous to Patent RO 94257, by E.Nitescu and colab.,<br />

presents the solution for the execution of non-permeable screens made of flexible membrane,<br />

vertically fitted into the soil using a special equipment (Figure 2). The proposed technology can be<br />

used also for the realization of other environmental works (elimination of water losses from channels,<br />

great water basins, basins for filtering stations). The technology is ecological because no diggings or<br />

earth being immediately reintroduced in the soil.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Figure 1 Figure 2<br />

_________________<br />

A NEW METHOD FOR STUDING <strong>THE</strong> RELATIONS BETWEEN HYDROLOGICAL<br />

GEOMORPHOLOGICAL AND GEOLOGICAL PARAMETERS <strong>OF</strong> A RIVER<br />

Purdel A.<br />

National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management – Romania, Bucuresti, Romania, e-mail<br />

eu_andy@yahoo.com<br />

The idea of creating a method for the study of the relation between geomorphologic,<br />

hydrological and geologic parameters comes from the necessity of solving some controversies<br />

between specialists in this matter – especially in the areas where generic geomorphologic laws are not<br />

respected by the nature.<br />

The paper proposes a methodology of studying the relation between the geomorphology and<br />

geology of a river basin and its hydrological characteristics, based on analysis made on river sectors.<br />

A river sector is defined as the distance between two confluences of the same Strahler rank.<br />

The analysis can be made by means of PC with the Microsoft Office – Excel. With its aid<br />

different relations between the geomorphologic characteristics of the basin that has to be studied, and<br />

its hydrological parameters can be calculated and represented as trend lines on specific charts. These<br />

charts give a more comprehensive image of the mutual influences between geomorphologic,<br />

hydrological and geologic parameters, between river and landscape taken separately, that is the<br />

landscape looks the way it looks partly because of the river and the river flows the way it flows due to<br />

some geomorphologic aspects.<br />

The basic material needed are topographic maps of the region (1:50000; 1:25000), geological<br />

maps (1:200000) and some terrain work (mainly eye observation and topographic profiles). The data<br />

gathered in this way are than organized and introduced in the computer for analysis.<br />

Keywords: geomorphology, corelation, hydrological parameters<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

<strong>THE</strong> BASIC MEASURES AGAINST DIFFUSE POLLUTION IN WATER QUALITY <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> GROUND<br />

WATER BODIES AND SURFACES WATER BODIES<br />

ROSU Alina Letitia 1<br />

; DAMIAN Gabriela 2<br />

; PERSA Diana 3<br />

1<br />

Banat Water Branch, Romanian Water Directorate, Mihai Viteazul no. 32, Timisoara, Timis, Romania,<br />

alina.blaj@dab.rowater.ro; alinaeti@yahoo.com<br />

2<br />

Feldan Consult srl, Paciurea No.1, Timisoara, Timis, Romania, alina.blaj@dab.rowater.ro;<br />

feldan_consult@yahoo.com<br />

3<br />

Consiliul Judetean Constanta, Romania,<br />

dpersa@cjc.ro<br />

Diffuse pollution is increasingly being recognized as a major source of water quality problems<br />

in both surface and ground water. Indeed, as pollution resulting from point sources is reduced by the<br />

efforts of implementation of the measures included in the UE legislation, diffuse sources frequently<br />

remain as the dominant source of pollution which could be reduced using the best available<br />

technologies concerning the soil protections against the intensive agricultures and against the<br />

lixiviates from landfill waste. Diffuse pollution covers both urban and rural sources For this reason it<br />

could be better to improved the methods for established the new landfill or the new site for a new<br />

industries or a new farms. They could be influence the water quality of the ground water bodies and<br />

surfaces water bodies, both of them, so this reason the analyzed for choose a new site must be treat<br />

witch more responsibilities. In this paper could be find some new elements which must be involved in<br />

decision make for the choose the new sites of the new economics investment and on the other hand,<br />

that elements didn’t have the factual importance in Romania before. The implementation of the Water<br />

Directive 60/2000/EEC have been identified the ground and surfaces water bodies that must be<br />

protected for a good water management and water resource conservation and protection. Using the<br />

Arc view soft we could make an complex evaluate for a better decision for environmental protection.<br />

Keywords: diffuse pollution, ground water bodies, surfaces water bodies, protection, Arc view GIS<br />

analyzed.<br />

_________________<br />

<strong>THE</strong> UNDINE INFORMATION SYSTEM – INTEGRATED DOCUMENTATION <strong>OF</strong> HYDROLOGICAL<br />

EXTREMES<br />

Schwandt Daniel, Claus Evelyn, Keller Martin, Krahe Peter, Wilke Klaus, Heininger Peter<br />

Federal Institute of Hydrology (BfG), P.O.Box 20 02 53, 56002 Koblenz, Germany, schwandt@bafg.de<br />

During periods of extraordinary flooding or extreme low water the public has a greater need for<br />

hydrological information. Assessment and ranking of current hydrological extremes usually depend on<br />

comparisons made with historical hydrological extremes or parameters derived from long-term time<br />

series.<br />

For a better assessment and ranking of current hydrological extremes, for an overview over a<br />

wide area for experts and laymen alike, the Undine Information System holds historical and current<br />

data for selected gauges and water quality monitoring stations. Information from the fields of<br />

hydrometeorology, qualitative and quantitative hydrology are linked in a holistic approach to the<br />

thematic complex "hydrological extremes". Depending on the data available, detailed information on<br />

historical extreme events (including the pre-instrumental period), with links to reports, data collections<br />

and further information, is available. Conjointly with Länder authorities and other actors in the river<br />

basin, the results of coordinated "flood measuring programs" are immediately made available in the<br />

information system and stored as a source of information for floods to come.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Figure 1. Welcome page of the Undine Information System<br />

The Undine Information System categorizes the information into:<br />

� current hydro-meteorological status,<br />

� basic data and historical data (water quality monitoring stations & gauges) and<br />

� historical extreme events.<br />

An image map with the main basins in Germany and pop-up menus with these categories for<br />

each basin is the starting point for navigation (figure 1). A map of the individual basin shows the<br />

location of gauges and water quality monitoring stations and allows for selection.<br />

For selected gauges, basic data on location, operator and graphics of the water level and<br />

runoff of the last 31 days, statistical values (e.g. mean discharge), a table with the ten most severe<br />

high and low water discharges of the available time series and corresponding diagrams, as well as the<br />

stage discharge relation and information about the history of the gauge are displayed.<br />

For selected water quality monitoring stations basic data on location, operator and graphics for<br />

common continuously measured parameters (e.g. water temperature, pH, conductivity) for the last 31<br />

days are also provided. For many parameters, that can be selected from lists, diagrams illustrate the<br />

dynamics of the measurements over many or single years. Along with the diagrams plain descriptions<br />

for the parameters are given.<br />

Historical extreme events in the catchment are listed as events affecting the main channel and<br />

events in the tributaries. For historical flood and low water events compact details are presented<br />

(hydro-meteorological situation, flood routing, losses and damages, adverse effects on water quality)<br />

supplemented by links to reports and measurements.<br />

During ongoing flood and low water events the current water level, runoff and tendency of the<br />

last four hours is given for selected gauges of supra-regional importance on a dynamic map. A runoffbased<br />

color-coded classification in five categories, ranging from extreme low water to extreme flood, is<br />

used to label the gauges.<br />

Sponsored by the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear<br />

Safety (BMU), the Undine Information System has been developed at the Federal Institute of<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

Hydrology since 2004. The pilot area for data preparation and technical development is the Elbe river<br />

basin. Future application areas are the river basins of the transboundary rivers Oder, Rhine and<br />

Danube.<br />

Keywords: hydrological extremes, documentation, hydrological information system, Undine<br />

_________________<br />

INFLUENCE <strong>OF</strong> CLIMATE CHANGES ON IRRIGATION REQUIREMENTS IN NOR<strong>THE</strong>RN<br />

CROATIA<br />

Šimunić Ivan, Tomić Franjo<br />

Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zagreb, Croatia, e-mail: simunic@agr.hr<br />

With only 11,700 ha of irrigated agricultural areas, the Republic of Croatia holds one of the last<br />

positions in Europe. For this reason, the Government started the «Project of irrigation and<br />

management of agricultural land and waters», which will be implemented in three stages.<br />

A part of the Project was aimed at determining:<br />

Influence of climate changes on irrigation requirements in Northern Croatia;<br />

Crop evapotranspiration (required amount of water);<br />

Soil water deficit;<br />

Quality of irrigation water.<br />

Climate data of meteorological stations Đurđevac and Donji Miholjac, for the periods 1961-<br />

2003 and 1994-2003 were used. Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) was calculated by the Penman-<br />

Monteith method, effective precipitation by the USBR method (US Bureau of Reclamation), while crop<br />

evapotranspiration (ETc) was calculated from the relationship between ETo and crop coefficient (Kc),<br />

taking account of the different stages of crop development. Soil water balance in luvisol was<br />

calculated for each crop using the Palmer method (corrected and calibrated according to Vidaček,<br />

1981), for two different depths (to 0.1 m and 0.1-1.0 m). Investigations were carried out on soil of the<br />

following water constants: field water capacity (Fwc)=360 mm and wilting point (Wp)=160 mm.<br />

The following crops were tested: tobacco, soybean, sunflower, sugar beet, cabbage and kale,<br />

pepper, cucumber and tomato.<br />

Data were processed with the aid of the computer program «Cropwat».<br />

Quality of irrigation water was assessed for the County Canal watercourse; water samples<br />

were taken in the period from 1983 to 2003. Water quality score was calculated for each year pursuant<br />

to the Water Classification Directive (Official Gazette 77/98). The following individual watercourse<br />

quality indicators were analyzed: oxygen concentration, oxygen saturation, COD (chemical oxygen<br />

demand) and BOD5 (biochemical oxygen demand). Of nutritious substances ammonium and nitrites<br />

were analyzed, while among microbiological indicators quality score was based on total coliform<br />

bacteria and the number of aerobic bacteria, as well as on the PB (Pantle-Buck) saporbic index.<br />

Research results revealed a rise in air temperature in the whole studied region in the last<br />

investigation period (1994-2003) – by 1 oC (Đurđevac) and by 0.6 oC (D. Miholjac). Due to higher air<br />

temperatures, water requirements of all crops (crop evapotranspiration) were increased in that period.<br />

Increased water requirements ranged from 22 mm in the Đurđevac region to 19.4 mm in the region of<br />

D. Miholjac (average over all crops). Water balance revealed also a higher water deficit in soil.<br />

Increased soil water deficit amounted to 8.9 mm in the Đurđevac region, and to 9.1 mm in the region<br />

of D. Miholjac (average over all crops). Water quality in the County Canal watercourse was monitored<br />

for 21 years, in 11 years of which water was above water category III according to group indicators.<br />

The results allow the conclusion that climate changes in the last investigation period caused<br />

increased water requirements of crops grown, and thereby also higher water deficit in soil and the<br />

need of providing larger quantities of good-quality irrigation water.<br />

Keywords: climate changes, irrigation requirements, water quality<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

A NEURAL NETWORKS IN INTEGRATED WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

Šperac Marija<br />

Faculty of Civil Engineering Osijek, Drinska 16a, 31000 Osijek, Croatia<br />

e-mail: msperac@gfos.hr<br />

Continuous measurement of all parameters relating to quantities and quality of water, water<br />

distribution, sewage networks and treatment plants, is necessary for rational and efficient use of the<br />

resource. Real time water information management is essential for preserving biodiversity and<br />

safeguarding human lives and the environment from drought, flood and water quality disasters. Realtime<br />

data management, simulation and optimisation modelling, with data assimilation, forecasting, and<br />

reporting, and support for operational management can be provided with a real-time rule-based expert<br />

system. Modern water management is characterised by considering water systems in their entirety<br />

together with all influencing factors and other related systems. Integrated water management and<br />

control of water resources highly complex issue covering a wide spectrum of activities in the field of<br />

assessment, planning, designing, operation and maintenance. Current policy objectives for water<br />

management focus on the creation and maintenance of a sustainable living environment, taking into<br />

account all demands made on the water system by the different interest. Moreover, as in any other<br />

management field, all the above activities take place in institutional, social and political environment.<br />

Therefore, the management and control of water resource systems is a multi-disciplinary task<br />

requiring different techniques and considerable changes have been observed during the last decade<br />

in the approaches towards tackling the problems. Resent development in the field of artificial<br />

intelligence (AI) techniques are helping to solve various problems of water resources modelling and<br />

management. It should be noted that water resources management is a complex issue having a wide<br />

range of activities. It is an application of structural and nonstructural measures to control natural and<br />

man-made water resources systems for beneficial human and environmental purposes. The<br />

application of ANN approach to water resources management problem has been classified into<br />

several distinctive activities and application sectors. An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is nowadays<br />

recognized as a very promising tool for relating input data to output data. It is said that the possibilities<br />

of artificial neural networks are unlimited. Here we focus on the potential role of neural networks in<br />

integrated water management. An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is a mathematical methodology<br />

which describes relations between cause (input data) and effects (output data) irrespective of the<br />

process laying behind and without the need for making assumptions considering the nature of the<br />

relations. ANN is an information processing system that roughly replicates the behaviour of a human<br />

brain by emulating the operations and connectivity of biological neurons. They can be used with great<br />

benefit for planning, designing, operating and maintaining services such as water distribution and<br />

sewage networks, and treatment works, while minimising the consequences of the impact of<br />

wastewater discharges on the environment, and particularly on groundwater and receiving waters.<br />

ANNs are extensively applied for assessment purposes like rainfall-runoff modelling, water quality<br />

prediction in natural flows, approximating ecological relations. They also been applied for optimal<br />

reservoir operation.<br />

Keywords: artificial intelligence, artificial neural network, water management, real time information.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

WEB-BASED SYSTEM FOR TRANSBOUNDARY FLOOD RELATED GEO-SPATIAL<br />

INFORMATION MANAGEMENT<br />

Stancalie Gheorghe (1) , Craciunescu Vasile (1) , Constantinescu Stefan (2) ,<br />

Ovejanu Ionut (2) , Corbus Ciprian (3) , Mic Rodica (3)<br />

(1) National Meteorological Administration, 97 Soseaua Bucuresti-Ploiesti, Sector 1, 013686 Bucharest,<br />

Romania<br />

gheorghe.stancalie@meteo.inmh.ro, vasile.craciunescu@meteo.inmh.ro<br />

(2) Faculty of Geography - University of Bucharest, Bd-ul Nicolae Balcescu, Nr.1, Sector 6, 07000<br />

Bucharest, Romania<br />

stefanc@geo.unibuc.ro; ionut@unibuc.ro<br />

(3) National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, 97 Soseaua Bucuresti-Ploiesti, Sector 1,<br />

013686 Bucharest, Romania<br />

rodica.mic@hidro.ro; corbus@hidro.ro<br />

In the latest years floods and accompanying landslides, occurred quite frequently in Romania,<br />

some of which isolated, others-affecting wide areas of the country's territory. One region, which suffers<br />

from flood damages on a regular basis, is the transboundary area of the Crisul Alb, Crisul Negru and<br />

Kőrős Rivers spanning across the Romanian–Hungarian border.<br />

An important objective of the NATO SfP 978016 project “Monitoring of extreme flood events in<br />

Romania and Hungary using Earth Observation data” is the development of a dedicated sub-system<br />

based on remote sensing and GIS technology (FLOODSAT), in order to improve the flood<br />

management and implementation of mitigation programs, in the mentioned area.<br />

The paper presents the design and the main function of the flood monitoring on-line support<br />

system for spatial information management, as well as the results of the implementation.<br />

The FLOODSAT sub-system is web-based with a distributed architecture and consists in a<br />

core server, which handles the interactions between the various modules, the end-users management,<br />

the display and manipulation of data. The server-side of the sub-system application consists of a Web<br />

server and a mapserver software programme. The Web server contains information to be distributed<br />

over the Web on request from one or many clients by HTTP. As the Web server software is not able<br />

to do geo-processing, it is able to communicate with the mapserver software to pass on requests from<br />

the client for geo-processing.<br />

The GIS database interconnected with the modeling modules, integrates the hydrological and<br />

hydraulical models into the sub-system. The main functions of the FLOODSAT are the following:<br />

acquisition, storage, analysis, management and exchange of raster and vector graphic information<br />

and related attribute data for the flood monitoring activities, as well as updating the information, data<br />

restoring, elaboration of thematic documents and generation of value-added information. The<br />

distribution of the spatial and tabular attribute data over an Internet Web-based network represents a<br />

powerful and effective communication method that overcomes the disadvantages of the classical<br />

approach. Users with appropriate privileges can access the FLOODSAT through the web browser and<br />

perform queries, and retrieve different products useful for the flood management like satellite-derived<br />

maps with the flooded areas, land cover/land use maps, flood hazard maps for several probabilities of<br />

the maximum discharge occurrence, flow related charts, etc.<br />

This FLOODSAT sub-system will contribute to regional quantitative risk assessment (using<br />

flood hazard and vulnerability characteristics) for monitoring and hydrological validating risk<br />

simulations. An important result will be the preventive consideration of flood events when determining<br />

land development and in special planning in the Romanian – Hungarian Crisul Alb, Crisul Negru and<br />

Kőrős transboundary basins.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

_________________<br />

HIGH FLOODS IN ROMANIA IN 2005- SIRET RIVER BASIN CASE STUDY<br />

LESSONS ON PREPAREDNESS AND PREVENTION ROLE IN FLOOD CONTROL<br />

STANESCU Viorel Alexandru and DROBOT Radu<br />

University of Civil Engineering, Bucharest, ROMANIA<br />

Blvd. Lacul Tei 124, Bucharest, Sector1, Romania,<br />

stanescu@hidro.ro drobot@utcb.ro<br />

During 2005 very large floods occurred in Romania. The flood damages during 1993-2004<br />

(about 0.8 billion Euro) as compared with those reported in 2005 (about 1.4 billion Euro) show the<br />

greatness and aggressiveness of the floods in 2005. Among the largest floods of the year 2005, the<br />

July flood of Siret River Basin was the most remarkable and a study case for this basin (Basin area =<br />

44739 km 2 ) is deemed. The initial conditions of soil moisture and the triggering intensive rainfalls<br />

distributed in time and space are first considered and then the flood wave hydrographs of the most<br />

contributive tributaries are presented in the points of confluences with Siret River. To make a<br />

comparison with the recorded floods in the past, the 2005 flood and the other remarkable ones are<br />

centred at their peaks. The probability that is assigned to the recorded peak discharges in 2005 is<br />

highlighted. Considering the damages and the losses of lives as well as the manner in which the<br />

action for flood control have been conducted, the conclusions on the non-structural and structural<br />

measures aiming to improve the degree of preparedness, the prevention and operational intervention<br />

are highlighted.<br />

Keywords: isohyets, flood wave hydrograph, non-structural measures, structural measures<br />

_________________<br />

USING <strong>THE</strong> DANUBIA DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM TO IDENTIFY CLIMATE CHANGE<br />

EFFECTS ON GROUNDWATER MANAGEMENT PERSPECTIVES<br />

Trifkovic A. 1 , Barthel R. 1 , Nickel D. 1 , W. Mauser 2 , Strasser U. 2 , Ludwig R. 3 , Willems W. 4 , Frueh<br />

B. 5<br />

1 Institute of Hydraulic Engineering (IWS), Universitaet Stuttgart, Pfaffenwaldring 61, D-70569<br />

Stuttgart, Germany, ++49 711 685-65771,<br />

roland.barthel@iws.uni-stuttgart.de<br />

2 Faculty for Geosciences, Ludwig-Maximilians University (LMU)<br />

w.mauser@iggf.geo.uni-muenchen.de<br />

3 Institute for Geography, University of Kiel, Germany<br />

4 Institute for Applied Water Resources Management and Geoinformatics, IAWG - Ottobrunn, Germany<br />

5 Institute for Atmospheric Physics, University of Mainz, Germany<br />

Within the GLOWA initiative of the German Ministry of Research and Education, the research<br />

project ‘GLOWA-Danube’ aims at the development of new water resource management modelling<br />

technologies that integrate natural and socio-economic sciences in assessment of Global Change<br />

consequences. For this reason, natural science (meteorology, hydrology, hydro-geology, plant<br />

ecology, glaciology, remote sensing, computer science) and socio-economic science (agricultural and<br />

environmental economy, environmental psychology and tourism) research groups from different<br />

German institutions have developed the decision support system DANUBIA.<br />

This decision support system for integrative environmental modelling is based on 16 objectoriented,<br />

spatially distributed and raster-based sub-components that represent disciplinary models for<br />

the description of the various water related processes. Based on the scenarios of future Global<br />

Change, the DANUBIA system models water cycle related processes in order to provide support to<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

decision makers by simulating the impacts of different potential water resources management<br />

strategies. The system equally considers the influence of natural changes in the ecosystem, such as<br />

climate change, and changes in human behaviour, e.g. changes in land use or water consumption.<br />

This paper describes the framework of GLOWA-Danube project and the developed decision<br />

support system DANUBIA with a focus on two models developed by the Universitaet Stuttgart. These<br />

two sub-models ‘Groundwater’ and ‘WaterSupply’ form together the Groundwater Management<br />

complex of DANUBIA and can be used to illustrate the applied concept for integrative modelling of<br />

natural and socio-economic phenomena and processes., Some of the results and potential<br />

applications just as well as some of the problems, constraints and difficulties in connection with the<br />

development of Groundwater Management complex are presented.<br />

The project GLOWA-Danube is a highly integrative scientific project. Within the first working<br />

period (2001-2004) it has been shown that a web-based model integrating natural and socioeconomic<br />

sciences can be developed using an object oriented approach. As far as the large scale groundwater<br />

modelling is concerned it can be said that despite the difficulties groundwater models of this size and<br />

heterogeneity can be applied successfully if two main aspects are considered carefully: a) setting of<br />

the appropriate conceptual model, namely in the adequate definition of the model layers geometry and<br />

boundary conditions, and b) careful use of such models, especially as a part of IWRM system, only to<br />

address long term, regional problems. The development and validation of an object-oriented water<br />

supply model for the upper Danube area provided not just the possibility for “rule – based” simulation<br />

of technical, economic and social aspects of water supply withdrawal, transport and distribution, but its<br />

integration with the hydrologic, on one side, and socio-economic, on another side, represents the<br />

basis for the simulation of integrated groundwater management scenarios.<br />

Keywords: Global Change, Integrated Water Management, Groundwater, Water Supply<br />

_________________<br />

SOCIO-PSYCHOLOGICAL CONSEQUENCES <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> FLOOD<br />

- an Example of Jaša Tomić-<br />

Prof. Dr. Vuksanović Gordana<br />

Department of Sociology, Faculty of Philosophy, Novi Sad, Dr Zorana Đinđića 2<br />

e-mail: gocavuk@eunet.yu<br />

Prof. Dr. Radivojević Radoš<br />

Faculty of Technical Science, Trg Dositeja Obradovića<br />

e-mail: rados@uns.ns.ac.yu<br />

The data presented in this paper are the result of the empirical research which was carried out<br />

in Jaša Tomić, a small town in the Sečanj municipality. The main aim of the research was to<br />

investigate the consequences of the flood on three levels, on the personal level, family level and the<br />

level of the local community. The consequences of the flood were investigated in the sphere of living<br />

conditions, interpersonal relations in the local community, attitude of the responsible institutions to the<br />

population affected by the flood. As the basic method for data collection the scientific interview was<br />

used. The questionnaire had 86 questions and it was devided into seven parts (household members,<br />

household, husbandry, movability, flood experience, financial possibilities, protection against the<br />

flood). The sample of 200 respondents provided a saficient number of every group of respondents,<br />

those whose houses were destroyed, those whose houses were damaged and those whose houses<br />

were not damaged. In addition to the scientific interview, content analysis, observation and biography<br />

method were used.<br />

Before and right after the Second World War Jaša Tomić was a cultural and industrial centre<br />

of the municipality. All local institutions were located there. Jaša Tomić had developed a textile<br />

industry, blacksmith shop, agriculture. It had an elementary and two secondary schools, one grammarschool<br />

and one secondary school for different crafts. There was a hospital, too.<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

From the last decade of the 20th century there has occured a grate change in the<br />

development of Jaša Tomić. Many factories work with a lower capacity, or they do not work at all. A lot<br />

of employees lost their jobs. The unemployment rate in Jaša Tomić, as well as in the whole Sečanj<br />

municipality, is one of the highest in Vojvodina. In shuch a situation the flood happened. Jaša Tomić is<br />

located 1000 metres far from the Romanian border. The problem with the Timis which our neighbours<br />

faced at the beginning of April 2005, on April 20 became our problem, too. Some parts of Jaša Tomić<br />

were completely flooded, 365 houses were destroyed and 229 were seriously damaged. Twenty<br />

people died for less than two months from the beginning of the flood, mainly from the heart attack.<br />

According to the municipality data 683 inhabitants lost their homes. 65,5 % of the total number of the<br />

displaced population started to live with their friends and relatives and 34,5% were settled in a<br />

collective accomodation. They were accomodated in the hotel, in schools, restaurants, in the old<br />

people's home.<br />

The results indicated that both the local community as well as the broader community were not<br />

prepared enough for the consequences of the elementary disasters. That is why it is necessary to<br />

recommend some actions on the local and govemental level: renewal of the work of civil defence;<br />

training for offering psychological help; preparation of the general form for the collection of the basic<br />

statistical data etc.<br />

Keywords: Jaša Tomić, flood, local community, socio-psychological consequences<br />

_________________<br />

OVERVIEW <strong>OF</strong> WATER RESOURCES UTILIZATION AND MANAGEMENT IN BULGARIA<br />

Yancheva StIiliana 1<br />

1 Senior researcher, Institute of Water Problems, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences<br />

Address: ”G.Bonchev” St., bl.1, Sofia 1113,Tel: +359/2/979-24-86,<br />

E-mail:stiliana@iwp.bas.bg<br />

Temelkova Maria 2<br />

2 Researcher, Institute of Water Problems, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences<br />

Address: ”G.Bonchev” St., bl.1, Sofia 1113,Tel: +359/2/979-24-86,<br />

E-mail:mondaybg@mail.bg<br />

Water is a limited and valuable resource. Also water is a social and environmental good,<br />

which has an economic value. As a result of that, water became one of the basic factors determining<br />

to a great extent the development and territorial distribution of productive forces and the standard of<br />

living of the population.<br />

Today the management of water resource system (WRS) is a considerably more complicated<br />

process compared to the past when subject of water resource control were separate, independently<br />

acting water resource facilities with a low degree of water utilisation. Those were analysed also<br />

independently of each other, and the rules for water distribution and usage were mostly based on<br />

common sense and some intuition.<br />

In contrast to that, the contemporary planning and management of water resource complex<br />

(WRC) has to take into consideration a multitude of hydraulic structures interconnected on many<br />

levels by hydrological, power supply, tech-economic, ecological, social and other types of links<br />

emerging in the process of water utilisation during the different stages of WRS development. The<br />

management of WRC is made even more complicated by the stochastic nature of the runoff, water<br />

consumption, electric production, and other components of the WRS structure as well as the fact that<br />

water is an inseparable part of other complex multiparameter systems such as the environment and<br />

the national economy.<br />

Today WRS are considered, with a reason, among the most complex cybernetic systems.<br />

Their efficient management is only possible by using the latest scientific methods and other means for<br />

planning and decision making. That is why, in order to neutralize as quickly as possible the<br />

economical ineffectiveness and ecological incompatibility of the WRS policies of the country from the<br />

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23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia<br />

past, it is necessary for the new policy to be based on a scientifically supported strategy and tactics for<br />

water control.<br />

All of the above suggests that our scientists and other specialists face the enormous task of<br />

proposing and implementing in practice new ways for satisfying the constantly growing needs for<br />

water in a manner that maximizes the economic and social effects of water usage while preserving the<br />

ecological balance in nature.<br />

156


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia


23 nd <strong>CONFERENCE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> DANUBE COUNTRIES ON <strong>THE</strong> HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL<br />

BASES <strong>OF</strong> WATER MANAGEMENT<br />

28- 31. August 2006 Belgrade – Republic of Serbia


REPUBLIC HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICE <strong>OF</strong> SERBIA<br />

11030 Belgrade, Кneza Višeslava 66, Republic of Serbia<br />

Тel.: +381 11/35 37 923, Fax: +381 11/35 37 847<br />

E-mail: office@hidmet.sr.gov.yu<br />

Republic Hydrometeorological Service is a separate Republic organization for the<br />

carrying out of the functions of hydrometeorological service on the territory of the<br />

Republic of Serbia. It performs its duties through five basic organization units as follows:<br />

• SECTION FOR METEOROLOGY<br />

• SECTION FOR HYDROLOGY<br />

• SECTION FOR ENVIRONMENT CONTROL<br />

• SECTION FOR HAIL SUPPRESSION<br />

• SECTION FOR GENERAL ADMINISTRATION<br />

Basic functions of the Service are the following:<br />

• Planning, establishing, exploitation, maintenance and development of the state<br />

network of meteorological and hydrological stations;<br />

• Systematic monitoring of quality and quantity characteristics of the state of<br />

atmosphere, surface and ground waters;<br />

• Planning, establishing, exploitation, maintenance and development of the system<br />

for collecting, processing, archiving and distributing of meteorological and<br />

hydrological data and information;<br />

• Maintenance and development of meteorological and hydrological forecasting<br />

system, producing weather and water forecasts, issuing warning against weather<br />

and hydrological disasters, including accidental pollution of the air and water;<br />

• Keeping of standard instruments and calibration of meteorological and<br />

hydrological instruments and equipment;<br />

• Planning, establishing, exploitation and maintenance of the hail suppressing<br />

system and precipitation stimulation;<br />

• Research of atmospheric and hydrological processes;<br />

• Creation of meteorological and hydrological bases, analyses and studies for the<br />

purpose of planning, designing and exploitation of objects and systems;<br />

• Carrying out of international obligations in the domain of meteorology and<br />

hydrology.<br />

http:// www.hidmet.sr.gov.yu


Institut za vodoprivredu "Jaroslav Černi"<br />

a.d.<br />

1947-2006<br />

Tel. 011 390 6469, Fax: 390 6481; E-mail: HeadOffice@jcerni.co.yu,


PWA “Srbijavode”<br />

www.srbijavode.co.yu<br />

Our main activities are:<br />

Cares of waters in Serbia<br />

• Managing of the water resources<br />

• Managing the use of waters<br />

• Protection against waters<br />

• Water conservation<br />

PUBLIC WATER AUTHORITY ″SRBIJAVODE″,<br />

Bulevar umetnosti 2А, 11 080 Belgrade, tel: +381 11 311 94 00


"HIDROELEKTRANE DJERDAP" d.o.o.<br />

KLADOVO<br />

Trg Kralja Petra 1, 19320 Kladovo,SRBIJA - tel. +381 19 801-224, 801-651,<br />

fax. +381 19 801-646, 801-659<br />

HE "ĐERDAP I"<br />

The Đerdap I Hydroelectric and Navigational System, a complex and multipurpose<br />

construction, is located on 943. kilometer of the<br />

Danube.<br />

The construction officially began on 7. September<br />

1964. The first hydroelectric generating units were<br />

put into operation on 6. August 1970. The damming<br />

of the Danube was completed on 13. August 1969.<br />

There are 6 hydro generators with vertical Kaplan<br />

turbines in each electric power plant, Yugoslav and<br />

Romanian, which are of the same dimensions. The<br />

reted power of a generator is 190 MW. At the time of<br />

the construction they were the world' s biggest turbines of the type.<br />

Both navigation locks are constructed in two levels.<br />

Passing through the locks lasts between 70 and 90<br />

minutes. The construction of the navigation locks at<br />

the Đerdap I System permanently solved the<br />

problem of navigation through the Đerdap section of<br />

the Danube. The annual capacity of the section is<br />

increased for about six times, and all the previous<br />

obstacles and dangers are eliminated.


Republic of Serbia<br />

Ministry of Agriculture,<br />

Forestry and Water Management<br />

-Directorate for Water-<br />

Authority responsible for integrated water resources management in the Republic<br />

of Serbia is the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management with its<br />

competent authority Directorate of Water.<br />

Directorate for Water ensures:<br />

• water resources management policy;<br />

• multipurpose water use;<br />

• flood protection;<br />

• water protection;<br />

• international cooperation, particularly through implementing international<br />

conventions and agreements for following river basins:<br />

• Danube river basin<br />

- Convention Regarding the Regime of the Navigation on the Danube,<br />

Belgrade, 1948<br />

- The Convention on Co-operation for the Protection and Sustainable<br />

Use of the River Danube (Danube River Protection Convention), Sofia,<br />

1994<br />

• Tisza river basin<br />

- Agreement for the Environmental Protection from Pollution of the Tisza<br />

River and Tributaries, 1986<br />

• Sava river basin<br />

- International Framework Agreement on the Sava River Basin, 2004<br />

Of particular importance for international cooperation is implementation of existing bilateral<br />

agreements with neighboring countries as well as negotiating new agreements.<br />

In order to perform its duties Water Directorate has following organizational units:<br />

1. Strategic Planning and Management Department<br />

2. Governing, Analysis and Water Standardization Department<br />

3. International Cooperation Group<br />

4. Water Use and Protection Department<br />

5. Protection from Water Department<br />

6. Legal, Financial and Administration Department<br />

7. Water Inspectorate<br />

Ministry of Agriculture,<br />

Forestry and Water Management<br />

-Directorate for Water-<br />

Web site: www.minpolj.sr.gov.yu<br />

Bulevar umetnosti 2a, 11070 Novi Beograd, Serbia<br />

tel: +381 11 201 33 60<br />

fax: +381 11 311 53 70<br />

E-mail: rdvode@minpolj.sr.gov.yu


Public Water Management Company (PWMC) "Vode Vojvodine"<br />

www.vodevojvodine.com<br />

PWMC "Vode Vojvodine", as public, non profit water management company is responsible for<br />

water resources in Vojvodina Province.<br />

It covers with its activities:<br />

1. total area of 21.506 km 2 ,<br />

2. about 2.000.000 inhabitants,<br />

3. important water infrastructures (1.500 km levees, 20.000 km drainage channels, regional<br />

multi-purpose Danube-Tisa-Danube Hydro-system on 17.800 km 2 ) and<br />

4. important economic objectives and potentials.<br />

The basic operation of the JVP "Vode Vojvodine" is to manage waters, protection of water and<br />

from it in this inundating region. This refers to any surface or underground water, including the<br />

potable water, thermal or mineral waters. The activities in this field of water management are:<br />

• management of water resources and coordination of water requirements of various users;<br />

• follow-up, maintenance, and improvement of water regime;<br />

• maintenance and reconstruction of water economy facilities;<br />

• organization and realization of flood defence;<br />

• conduct of surplus waters and organization of defence from internal waters on a landreclamation<br />

area;<br />

• organization and realization of anti-torrent and anti-erosion measures;<br />

• supply of usable water;<br />

• organization and realization of water anti-pollution measures;<br />

• investment execution in building up or reconstructing any water economy facility;<br />

• making of technical documents/plans referring to water economy;<br />

• preparation of plans and programmes in water economy;<br />

• organization and management of water economy information system and documents on<br />

waters;<br />

• execution of tasks referring to inter-state agreements in the field of water economy,<br />

• organization of study-research works in the field of water economy.<br />

These activities are being executed through water management companies (21) in the Province,<br />

and PWMC is coordinating their work thus representing public interests and priorities. It has 350<br />

employees.

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