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chapter - Atmospheric and Oceanic Science

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ABSTRACT<br />

During approximately the last century southeastern South America has<br />

experienced important changes in its precipitation regime, consequently affecting<br />

the hydrologic balance of the region, <strong>and</strong> particularly of the La Plata basin.<br />

Changes have been observed in many other regions of the world, but South<br />

America is probably one where largest change magnitudes are found. Moreover,<br />

the trends have intensified in the last 30 to 40 years due to changes in changes<br />

in the atmospheric circulation <strong>and</strong> likely due to l<strong>and</strong> use changes.<br />

As a consequence of the increased precipitation in semiarid regions of<br />

Argentina, the agricultural l<strong>and</strong> extent has increased, which has been beneficial<br />

for increased revenues, but at the same time this has created new ecological<br />

problems. Consequently, although semiarid regions have benefited from the<br />

increased precipitation, other regions are flooding more frequently, <strong>and</strong> in certain<br />

cases some areas have been left permanently under water<br />

Changes in precipitation correspond with a doubling of changes in river discharge,<br />

so that by each 1% increase precipitation, the streamflow increases by<br />

2% or more. This indicates that activities dependent on the streamflows are highly<br />

vulnerable to possible regional trends related to the global Climate Change.<br />

61<br />

CHAPTER<br />

REGIONAL PRECIPITATION TRENDS<br />

Ernesto Hugo Berbery 1 , Moira Doyle 2 <strong>and</strong> Vicente Barros 2<br />

1 Universidad de Maryl<strong>and</strong>.<br />

2 CIMA/CONICET. Universidad de Buenos Aires.<br />

V

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