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chapter - Atmospheric and Oceanic Science

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Interannual low frequency variability: Background<br />

Others studies have shown that the tropical Atlantic Ocean also plays an<br />

important role in the interannual variability of the rainy season of the Amazon <strong>and</strong><br />

Northeast region of Brazil (Hastenrath <strong>and</strong> Heller 1977; Moura <strong>and</strong> Shukla 1981;<br />

Servain 1991; Pulwarty, 1994; Nobre <strong>and</strong> Shukla 1996; Uvo et al. 1998; Souza et<br />

al. 2000 <strong>and</strong> others). However, for the Uruguay <strong>and</strong> southern Brazil, Diaz et al.<br />

(1998) show that both Pacific <strong>and</strong> Atlantic SST anomalies influence the rainfall<br />

regime in these regions during austral Spring <strong>and</strong> Summer, although during the fall-<br />

Winter period (April-July) only the SST anomalies in the southwestern Atlantic<br />

seem to have an influence on rainfall anomalies in this region.<br />

Much of the precipitation during the rainfall season in La Plata basin is produced<br />

by large mesoscale precipitation systems. Mesoscale Convective Processes<br />

(MCCs; Maddox 1980) are a subset of mesoscale precipitation systems characterized<br />

by their large size <strong>and</strong> longevity. The term MCC is an infrared satellite imagebased<br />

definition of cloudiness that was named by Maddox (1980) to classify the<br />

mesoscale systems that produce great rainfall amount over the North American<br />

Great Plains during spring <strong>and</strong> summer. Most MCCs occur over l<strong>and</strong> regions situated<br />

on the lee side of major topographic features <strong>and</strong> downstream from a low level<br />

jet that brings a continuous supply of warm-moist tropical air to feed the convection<br />

(Laing <strong>and</strong> Fritsch 1997; Velasco <strong>and</strong> Fritsch 1987). In that sense, La Plata<br />

basin is a favourable region for the occurrence of MCCs because it is located on the<br />

lee side of the Andes Mountains <strong>and</strong> downstream of the SALLJ, which supplies<br />

warm <strong>and</strong> moist air from the Amazon basin to feed the convection (Marengo et al,<br />

2004). Recently, Nieto Ferreira et al (2003) have presented an observational study<br />

of the January-March 1998-99 differences in precipitation, atmospheric circulation,<br />

<strong>and</strong> occurrence of large, long-lived convective cloud systems in South America.<br />

They chose this period because of the strongly contrasting Southern Oscillation<br />

conditions, where one of the strongest El Niño episodes on record was under way<br />

in the Pacific Ocean during JFM 1998 <strong>and</strong> a strong La Niña conditions prevailed in<br />

the Pacific Ocean during JFM 1999. They found that the SALLJ was about twice<br />

as strong during the warm ENSO phase than during the cold one. The stronger<br />

SALLJ was accompanied by large, long-lived convective cloud systems <strong>and</strong> nearly<br />

twice as much rainfall in subtropical South America (parts of southern Brazil,<br />

Uruguay, <strong>and</strong> Argentina).<br />

3.2. Variability over the La Plata basin<br />

Studies of precipitation variability have been hampered by the lack of an<br />

extensive observational network. Nevertheless, there are some results, mainly in<br />

connection with the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) that show that it has a<br />

considerable signal in the interannual variability of the precipitation over the La<br />

Plata basin (Aceituno 1988; Ropelewski <strong>and</strong> Halpert 1987, 1989; Kiladis <strong>and</strong> Diaz<br />

39

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