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chapter - Atmospheric and Oceanic Science

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Taking the difference of results (total period annual mean) between the 1%<br />

CO2 increase experiment <strong>and</strong> the pre-industrial experiment, the configuration is<br />

similar to that in the previous analysis. In that case the difference was performed<br />

between a period of constant high CO2 value <strong>and</strong> a period of increasing concentration.<br />

Figure 13.12 illustrates the impact. The differences are larger in the Pacific<br />

<strong>and</strong> Atlantic ITCZ regions; there is an increase of precipitation over the southern<br />

sector of the La Plata basin <strong>and</strong> part of the Amazon region, <strong>and</strong> a reduction over the<br />

SACZ area. The patterns are similar to other model results.<br />

c. Climate of twenty century<br />

Regional climatic scenarios<br />

Fig. 13.11. Difference between period I (year 71 to year 280) <strong>and</strong> period II (year 11 to year 70) of 1% CO2<br />

increase experiment. (a) Mean annual precipitation (%); (b) Mean annual temperature (ºC).<br />

This experiment is running from 1861 to 2000, <strong>and</strong> contains all anthropogenic<br />

forcings during the period. The objective of this experiment is to establish one of<br />

the controls run to compare with future climates. The difference of this run with the<br />

1% CO2 increase experiment is shown in figure 13.13. Results are similar to the<br />

previous comparisons, with increased precipitation over the La Plata basin <strong>and</strong><br />

increased temperature mainly over central South America.<br />

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