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Chapter 5 Robust Performance Tailoring with Tuning - SSL - MIT

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(a) (b)<br />

Figure 1-2: Artists’ concepts of Origins missions: (a) SIM [1] and (b) TPF [2].<br />

astrophysical targets [2, 70]. The original baseline design for TPF is an infrared sep-<br />

arated spacecraft interferometer [13]. However, as the result of a series of industry<br />

studies at the time of this writing there are three competing architectures for TPF:<br />

an infrared (IR) structurally-connected interferometer, an infrared formation-flown<br />

interferometer and a visible light coronograph. Figure 1-2(b) shows an artist’s con-<br />

cept of the SCI design proposed by Lockheed Martin. For the purpose of the work in<br />

this thesis only the SCI architecture is considered.<br />

1.2 Problem Statement<br />

One problem inherent in complex system design arises due to a trade-off that occurs<br />

over the development phase between design flexibility and the accuracy of performance<br />

predictions. Early in the mission development, models of the proposed design are<br />

created to assess system performance. At this stage, design alterations come at a<br />

modest cost, but the models used to predict performance are uncertain, resulting<br />

in low-confidence predictions. Designing the system to meet requirements across this<br />

large uncertainty space may not be possible. In the later phases of the program, flight<br />

components and limited integrated test data become available dramatically increasing<br />

the accuracy of the performance predictions. However, an unfortunate consequence<br />

23

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