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Executive Summary

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In addition to quantitative uncertainty assessments provided in accordance with UNFCCC reporting guidelines, a<br />

qualitative discussion of uncertainty is presented for all source and sink categories. Within the discussion of each<br />

emission source, specific factors affecting the uncertainty surrounding the estimates are discussed.<br />

Box ES-4: Recalculations of Inventory Estimates<br />

Each year, emission and sink estimates are recalculated and revised for all years in the Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse<br />

Gas Emissions and Sinks, as attempts are made to improve both the analyses themselves, through the use of better<br />

methods or data, and the overall usefulness of the report. In this effort, the United States follows the 2006 IPCC<br />

Guidelines (IPCC 2006), which states, “Both methodological changes and refinements over time are an essential<br />

part of improving inventory quality. It is good practice to change or refine methods when: available data have<br />

changed; the previously used method is not consistent with the IPCC guidelines for that category; a category has<br />

become key; the previously used method is insufficient to reflect mitigation activities in a transparent manner; the<br />

capacity for inventory preparation has increased; new inventory methods become available; and for correction of<br />

errors.” In general, recalculations are made to the U.S. greenhouse gas emission estimates either to incorporate new<br />

methodologies or, most commonly, to update recent historical data.<br />

In each Inventory report, the results of all methodology changes and historical data updates are presented in the<br />

Recalculations and Improvements chapter; detailed descriptions of each recalculation are contained within each<br />

source's description contained in the report, if applicable. In general, when methodological changes have been<br />

implemented, the entire time series (in the case of the most recent Inventory report, 1990 through 2014) has been<br />

recalculated to reflect the change, per the 2006 IPCC Guidelines (IPCC 2006). Changes in historical data are<br />

generally the result of changes in statistical data supplied by other agencies. References for the data are provided for<br />

additional information.<br />

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28 DRAFT Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990–2015

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