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Duvernay Reserves and Resources Report

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Alberta Energy Regulator<br />

2.4 Geological Prospectivity<br />

When choosing drilling locations <strong>and</strong> optimizing completion strategies, operators may consider a number<br />

of geological factors that control prospectivity in the <strong>Duvernay</strong>. The amount of hydrocarbons <strong>and</strong> how<br />

the rock will respond to hydraulic fracturing is influenced by carbonate thickness, the porosity, the TOC,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the brittleness. To identify regions of greater prospectivity within the Fox Creek play, these four<br />

factors were combined <strong>and</strong> normalized by their range with equal weighting in terms of contribution<br />

to prospectivity. Figure 4 shows that <strong>Duvernay</strong> shales are regionally heterogeneous, <strong>and</strong> based on this<br />

analysis, the geologically most optimal area for prospectivity is around the Town of Fox Creek.<br />

2.5 Expected Fluid Regions<br />

In addition to mapping the <strong>Duvernay</strong> <strong>and</strong> its geological parameters, petroleum geologists can predict<br />

the fluids occupying the pore space of the rock. In an organic-rich shale deposited in a marine basin like<br />

the <strong>Duvernay</strong>, the organic material is expected to be mostly derived from phytoplankton <strong>and</strong> algae. This<br />

type of organic material, called Type II kerogen, will produce both oil <strong>and</strong> natural gas when buried <strong>and</strong><br />

exposed to elevated pressure <strong>and</strong> temperature. The relative amount of oil versus natural gas produced will<br />

depend mostly on the temperature the rocks are exposed to.<br />

The temperature at which the maximum rate of hydrocarbon generation is achieved is commonly called<br />

T max . Rock analysis can be performed to determine T max , which can be used to estimate the expected fluid<br />

type encountered at that location in the reservoir. For 35 wells in the Fox Creek play area, T max data was<br />

analyzed <strong>and</strong> the expected fluid types were mapped, resulting in expected fluid regions (Figure 5). This<br />

map is considered accurate on a regional scale, but local variations in geological history <strong>and</strong> organic<br />

material-type make actual production quite variable, especially near fluid boundaries. As well, the<br />

type of organic matter in the <strong>Duvernay</strong> can produce oil <strong>and</strong> natural gas simultaneously over a range of<br />

temperatures.<br />

Fluid regions may continue to be revised based on new information obtained from operators <strong>and</strong><br />

additional core analysis data. Additional information on T max can be found in Appendix 3.<br />

When the prospectivity map of Figure 4 is combined with expected fluid regions of Figure 5 <strong>and</strong><br />

knowledge of present <strong>and</strong> forecasted commodity prices, drilling costs, etc., one can underst<strong>and</strong> historical<br />

patterns of development <strong>and</strong> begin to make reasonably constrained projections of development over a<br />

moderate time horizon.<br />

3 Development History<br />

The <strong>Duvernay</strong> Formation was first defined by geological staff at the western division of Imperial Oil<br />

Limited (1950) for dark grey to brown, bituminous shales in wells drilled near the town site of <strong>Duvernay</strong>,<br />

east-central Alberta. The reference well in Alberta is the Anglo Canadian Beaverhill Lake No. 2 11-11-<br />

050-17W4M well.<br />

<strong>Duvernay</strong> <strong>Reserves</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Resources</strong> <strong>Report</strong> (December 2016) 7

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