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01 GLOBAL OVERVIEW by renewable energy and energy efficiency targets. 16 The International Solar Alliance was launched by the presidents of France and India to unite more than 120 sun-drenched countries to accelerate solar energy deployment in order to enhance energy security and sustainable development, improve access to energy and advance living standards. 17 In parallel, precedent-setting, ambitious commitments to renewable energy were made at the regional, state and local levels in the lead-up to and during COP21 in Paris. 18 Heads of state of African nations launched the African Renewable Energy Initiative with the goal of achieving by 2030 as much as 300 gigawatts (GW) of renewable capacity (about twice the continent’s total power capacity at end-2015). 19 The leaders of the Climate Vulnerable Forum, a broad global coalition of 30 nations (middle-income and least-developed nations, and smallisland developing states), called for 100% renewable energy by 2050 in the Manila-Paris Declaration. 20 The growing global movement for 100% renewables – driven by the imperative of addressing climate change, and the pursuit of local economic development and community-owned energy – also gained momentum from the Paris City Hall Declaration, which calls for 100% renewable energy or 80% reductions in greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. Nearly 1,000 city mayors from five continents signed the Declaration. q21 Cities around the world have become important change makers in the renewable energy and climate arena, acting independently and collectively to share knowledge and achieve their goals. 22 (p See Policy Landscape chapter.) The private sector also strengthened its commitments to renewable energy in 2015. 23 As of December, 2,025 companies had publicly pledged to reduce their carbon emissions, many through the use of renewable energy and energy efficiency; this group includes 154 US companies, with nearly 11 million employees, that have committed to purchasing 100% renewable energy. 24 By year’s end, more than 50 of the world’s largest companies were participating in RE100, a global business initiative in which companies commit to getting 100% of their electricity from renewable sources. 25 Many companies are moving beyond the motivation of social responsibility to the view that renewables make good business sense. 26 Although most of the initiatives announced in Paris and elsewhere did not start to affect renewable energy markets in 2015, there were already signs that a global energy transition is under way. 27 By some accounts, the annual growth in global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions stalled during 2014 and 2015, even as the global economy grew, due to industrial restructuring, improvements in energy efficiency and increased global deployment of renewable energy. 28 Further, per capita greenhouse gas emissions appear to be falling in 11 of the G20 economies, marking a possible shift in global trends. 29 Nonetheless, atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases continue to rise, due largely to increasing use of fossil fuels, and annual emissions are expected to continue climbing for some time in the developing world. 30 As of 2014, renewable energy provided an estimated 19.2% of global final energy consumption. Of this total share, traditional biomass, used primarily for cooking and heating in remote and rural areas of developing countries, accounted for about 8.9%, and modern renewables (not including traditional biomass) increased their share slightly over 2013 to approximately 10.3%. 31 (p See Figure 1.) In 2014, hydropower accounted for an estimated 3.9% of final energy consumption, other renewable power sources comprised 1.4%, renewable heat energy accounted for approximately 4.2% and transport biofuels provided about 0.8%. 32 Although the use of renewable energy is rising rapidly, the share of renewables Figure 1. Estimated Renewable Energy Share of Global Final Energy Consumption, 2014 Figure 1. Estimated Renewable Energy Share of Global Final Energy Consumption, 2014 Source: See endnote 31 for this chapter. Fossil fuels 78.3% 2.5% Nuclear power All renewables 19.2% Modern renewables 10.3% Traditional biomass 8.9% Biomass/ geothermal/ solar heat 4.2% Hydropower 3.9% 1.4% 0.8% Wind/solar/ biomass/ geothermal power Biofuels 28
markets, policy changes and uncertainties (such as unexpected or retroactive changes, new taxes on renewable generators and uncertainties around the US federal Production Tax Credit for most of the year) undermined investor confidence and held up investment and deployment. 35 Despite the important contribution of the heating and transport sectors to energy demand and global emissions – together these sectors account for about two-thirds of final energy consumption and more than half of global greenhouse gas emissions – policy makers have focused predominantly on the power sector, a trend that has helped to shape the current landscape. 36 in total final energy consumption is not growing as quickly. In developed countries, energy demand growth is slow, and displacing the large stock of existing infrastructure and fuels takes time. In developing countries, energy demand growth is rapid, and fossil fuels play a significant part in meeting this rising demand. In addition, the shift away from traditional biomass for heating and cooking to modern, more-efficient renewables and fossil fuels, while in general a very positive transition, reduces overall renewable energy shares. 33 These “two worlds” into which modern renewables are making inroads present different political and policy challenges, economic structures, financial needs and availability, and other factors that delay or advance renewable energy deployment. 34 Government policy continued to play an important role in renewable energy developments. The number of countries with renewable energy targets and support policies increased again in 2015, and several jurisdictions made their existing targets more ambitious. (p See Policy Landscape chapter.) However, in some Even in the face of ongoing fossil fuel subsidies and tumbling prices in 2015, renewable energy continued its rapid growth in both capacity added and energy produced. The power sector experienced the greatest increases in capacity, whereas growth of renewables in the heating and cooling and transport sectors was comparatively slow. 37 Solar photovoltaics (PV) and wind were the most dynamic markets, and hydropower continued to provide the majority of renewable power capacity and generation. Bioenergy remained the leader by far in the heat (buildings and industry) and transport sectors. 38 Growth rates for various renewable energy technologies reflect a number of factors, including falling renewable energy technology costs and increasing competition for policy support and investment among different renewable technologies. 39 Low fossil fuel prices also affected growth rates, causing turbulence in some markets, particularly for renewable heating and cooling; biofuels were sheltered in many locations where mandates exist, although the low oil prices affected the appetite for new investment. 40 (p See Figure 2 and Reference Table R1.) Figure 2. Average Annual Growth Rates of Renewable Energy Capacity and Biofuels Production, End-2010 to End-2015 % Growth Rate in 2015 40 Growth Rate End-2010 Through 2015 Source: See endnote 40 for this chapter. 30 28 20 10 0 2.4 2.7 17 9.7 6 3.9 3.7 2.9 42 35 17 12 3 6.5 -0.9 01 -10 Geothermal power Hydropower Solar PV CSP Wind Solar heating Ethanol production Biodiesel production Power Heating Transport RENEWABLES 2016 · GLOBAL STATUS REPORT 29
- Page 1 and 2: RENEWABLES 2016 GLOBAL STATUS REPOR
- Page 3 and 4: GSR 2016 TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword
- Page 5 and 6: Figures Figure 1. Estimated Renewab
- Page 7 and 8: FOREWORD The year 2015 was an extra
- Page 9 and 10: RENEWABLES GLOBAL STATUS REPORT (GS
- Page 11 and 12: Note: Some individuals have contrib
- Page 13 and 14: Sweden Robert Fischer (University o
- Page 15 and 16: REVIEWERS AND OTHER CONTRIBUTORS Sh
- Page 17 and 18: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY GLOBAL OVERVIEW A
- Page 19 and 20: RENEWABLE ENERGY INDICATORS 2015 IN
- Page 21 and 22: TOP FIVE COUNTRIES Annual investmen
- Page 23 and 24: SOLAR PV: Record deployment and rap
- Page 25 and 26: INVESTMENT FLOWS A new record high;
- Page 27: 01 GLOBAL OVERVIEW The year 2015 wa
- Page 31 and 32: Sidebar 1. Regional Spotlight: Sout
- Page 33 and 34: Figure 4. Renewable Power Capacitie
- Page 35 and 36: also are growing, as are wind turbi
- Page 37 and 38: n Latin America: Biomass-based heat
- Page 39 and 40: n Africa: Although biofuel producti
- Page 41 and 42: JOBS IN RENEWABLE ENERGY Table 1. E
- Page 43 and 44: 02 MARKET AND INDUSTRY TRENDS BIOMA
- Page 45 and 46: BIOMASS ENERGY Figure 7. Shares of
- Page 47 and 48: China, the third largest ethanol pr
- Page 49 and 50: concluded long-term offtake agreeme
- Page 51 and 52: GEOTHERMAL POWER Figure XX. Figure
- Page 53 and 54: GEOTHERMAL INDUSTRY Low natural gas
- Page 55 and 56: HYDROPOWER Figure 12. Hydropower Gl
- Page 57 and 58: OCEAN ENERGY OCEAN ENERGY MARKETS O
- Page 59 and 60: Country of Spain, the first commerc
- Page 61 and 62: 7.3 GW was installed, for a total o
- Page 63 and 64: Figure 16. Solar PV Capacity and Ad
- Page 65 and 66: SOLAR PV INDUSTRY The solar PV indu
- Page 67 and 68: Sharp - in the storage market by in
- Page 69 and 70: CSP INDUSTRY It was a watershed yea
- Page 71 and 72: SOLAR THERMAL HEATING AND COOLING F
- Page 73 and 74: SOLAR THERMAL HEATING/COOLING INDUS
- Page 75 and 76: WIND POWER WIND POWER MARKETS Wind
- Page 77 and 78: WIND POWER Figure 23. Wind Power Gl
markets, policy changes and uncertainties (such as unexpected<br />
or retroactive changes, new taxes on renewable generators and<br />
uncertainties around the US federal Production Tax Credit for<br />
most of the year) undermined investor confidence and held up<br />
investment and deployment. 35 Despite the important contribution<br />
of the heating and transport sectors to energy demand and<br />
global emissions – together these sectors account for about<br />
two-thirds of final energy consumption and more than half of<br />
global greenhouse gas emissions – policy makers have focused<br />
predominantly on the power sector, a trend that has helped to<br />
shape the current landscape. 36<br />
in total final energy consumption is not growing as quickly. In<br />
developed countries, energy demand growth is slow, and displacing<br />
the large stock of existing infrastructure and fuels takes<br />
time. In developing countries, energy demand growth is rapid,<br />
and fossil fuels play a significant part in meeting this rising<br />
demand. In addition, the shift away from traditional biomass for<br />
heating and cooking to modern, more-efficient renewables and<br />
fossil fuels, while in general a very positive transition, reduces<br />
overall renewable energy shares. 33 These “two worlds” into which<br />
modern renewables are making inroads present different political<br />
and policy challenges, economic structures, financial needs and<br />
availability, and other factors that delay or advance renewable<br />
energy deployment. 34<br />
Government policy continued to play an important role in renewable<br />
energy developments. The number of countries with renewable<br />
energy targets and support policies increased again in<br />
2015, and several jurisdictions made their existing targets more<br />
ambitious. (p See Policy Landscape chapter.) However, in some<br />
Even in the face of ongoing fossil fuel subsidies and tumbling<br />
prices in 2015, renewable energy continued its rapid growth in<br />
both capacity added and energy produced. The power sector<br />
experienced the greatest increases in capacity, whereas growth<br />
of renewables in the heating and cooling and transport sectors<br />
was comparatively slow. 37 Solar photovoltaics (PV) and wind<br />
were the most dynamic markets, and hydropower continued to<br />
provide the majority of renewable power capacity and generation.<br />
Bioenergy remained the leader by far in the heat (buildings<br />
and industry) and transport sectors. 38<br />
Growth rates for various renewable energy technologies reflect a<br />
number of factors, including falling renewable energy technology<br />
costs and increasing competition for policy support and investment<br />
among different renewable technologies. 39 Low fossil fuel<br />
prices also affected growth rates, causing turbulence in some<br />
markets, particularly for renewable heating and cooling; biofuels<br />
were sheltered in many locations where mandates exist, although<br />
the low oil prices affected the appetite for new investment. 40<br />
(p See Figure 2 and Reference Table R1.)<br />
Figure 2. Average Annual Growth Rates of Renewable Energy Capacity and Biofuels Production,<br />
End-2010 to End-2015<br />
%<br />
Growth Rate in 2015<br />
40<br />
Growth Rate End-2010 Through 2015<br />
Source:<br />
See endnote 40<br />
for this chapter.<br />
30<br />
28<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
2.4 2.7<br />
17<br />
9.7<br />
6<br />
3.9<br />
3.7 2.9 42 35 17 12<br />
3<br />
6.5<br />
-0.9<br />
01<br />
-10<br />
Geothermal<br />
power<br />
Hydropower<br />
Solar PV CSP Wind<br />
Solar<br />
heating<br />
Ethanol<br />
production<br />
Biodiesel<br />
production<br />
Power Heating Transport<br />
RENEWABLES 2016 · GLOBAL STATUS REPORT<br />
29