2j7YOwO

ENDNOTES 02 MARKET AND INDUSTRY TRENDS - SOLAR THERMAL HEATING AND COOLING
SOLAR THERMAL HEATING AND COOLING
1 Bärbel Epp, “Big ups and downs on global market,“ Solar
Thermal World, 26 April 2016, http://www.solarthermalworld.org/
content/big-ups-and-downs-global-market. Figure 19 based on
latest market data available at time of publication for countries
that together represent 93–94% of the world total. Data from
original country sources provided in idem, as follows: David
Ferrari, School of Engineering at RMIT University, Melbourne,
Australia; Klaus Mischensky, Austria Solar, Vienna, Austria;
Marcelo Mesquita, Solar Heating Department (DASOL), Brazilian
Association of Refrigeration, Air Conditioning, Ventilation and
Heating (ABRAVA), São Paulo, Brazil; Hongzhi Cheng, Dezhou,
Shandong SunVision Management Consulting, Dezhou, China;
Denmark from Jan Erik Nielsen, PlanEnergi, Skørping, Denmark,
and Jan-Olof Dalenbäck, Chalmers University of Technology,
Göteborg, Sweden; Richard Loyen, Enerplan, La Ciotat, France;
Marco Tepper, BSW Solar, Berlin, Germany; Costas Travasaros,
Greek Solar Industry Association (EBHE), Piraeus, Greece;
Jaideep Malaviya, Solar Thermal Federation of India (STFI),
Pune, India; Eli Shilton, Elsol, Kohar-yair, Israel; Kumiko Saito,
Solar System Development Association (SSDA), Tokyo, Japan;
Daniel Garcia, Solar Thermal Manufacturers Organisation
(FAMERAC), Mexico City, Mexico; Janusz Staroscik, Association
of Manufacturers and Importers of Heating Appliances
(SPIUG), Warsaw, Poland; Pascual Polo, Spanish Solar Thermal
Association (ASIT), Madrid, Spain; David Stickelberger, Swissolar,
Zurich, Switzerland; Kutay Ülke, Ezinç Metal, Kayseri, Turkey;
United States from Les Nelson, Solar Heating & Cooling
Programs at the International Association of Plumbing and
Mechanical Officials (IAPMO), Ontario, Canada, all personal
communications with REN21, March–April 2016.
2 Epp, op. cit. note 1.
3 Ibid.
4 Ibid.
5 Franz Mauthner, AEE-Institute for Sustainable Technologies (AEE
INTEC), Gleisdorf, Austria, personal communications with REN21,
March–May 2016; Franz Mauthner, Werner Weiss, and Monika
Spörk-Dür, Solar Heat Worldwide. Markets and Contribution to
the Energy Supply 2014 (Gleisdorf, Austria: International Energy
Agency (IEA) Solar Heating and Cooling Programme (SHC),
2016). Figure 20 is based on latest market data from Australia,
Austria, Brazil, China, Germany, Israel, Mexico, Turkey and the
United States, which represented 87% of the cumulated installed
capacity in operation in the year 2014. The other countries were
projected according to their trend over the past two years as per
Mauthner, op. cit. note 5.
6 Mauthner, op. cit. note 5; Mauthner, Weiss, and Spörk-Dür, op. cit.
note 5.
7 Mauthner, op. cit. note 5; Mauthner, Weiss, and Spörk-Dür, op. cit.
note 5. Figure 21 based on idem.
8 Epp, op. cit. note 1.
9 Bärbel Epp, “China: “Now we should concentrate on technological
progress and new applications in industry and agriculture,” Solar
Thermal World, 28 March 2016, http://www.solarthermalworld.
org/content/china-now-we-should-concentrate-technologicalprogress-and-new-applications-industry-and.
10 Market data on total capacity in operation in China from
Mauthner, op. cit. note 5. Chinese market figures assume a
10-year lifetime for Chinese-made systems, resulting in 2015
gross additions of 30.45 GW th
and net additions of 19.92 GW th
.
11 Epp, op. cit. note 9.
12 Flat plate collectors continued to gain market share to 12.7% over
evacuated tubes in 2015, but even so, total flat plate collector
installations (5.5 million m 2 ) were down relative to 2014. Peak
year was 2013 with 7.6 million m 2 flat plate collector area newly
installed, per Epp, op. cit. note 9.
13 Bärbel Epp, “Turkey: Great achievements with little policy
support,” Solar Thermal World, 5 August 2015, http://www.
solarthermalworld.org/content/turkey-great-achievements-littlepolicy-support.
Annual market volume of flat plate and vacuum
tube collectors for 2015 from Kutay Ülke, Ezinç Metal San.,
Kayseri, Turkey, personal communication with REN21, April 2016.
14 Annual market volume of flat plate and vacuum tube collectors
between 2007 and 2015 from Kutay Ülke, Ezinç Metal San.,
Kayseri, Turkey, personal communication with solrico, and from
various editions of IEA SHC, Solar Heat Worldwide.
15 Market figures for 2015 from Marcelo Mesquita, DASOL ABRAVA,
personal communication with REN21, April 2016.
16 Based on data for 2010–2014, from Ibid.
17 As of September 2015, not all housing units of the second
phase of MCMV (2011–2015) had been planned, built,
handed over and paid off, since Brazil was facing an
economic crisis and the government budget had come
under pressure, per Vanessa Kriele, “Brazil offers new
green building credit terms,” Solar Thermal World, 29
September 2015, http://www.solarthermalworld.org/content/
brazil-offers-new-green-building-credit-terms.
18 Market figures for 2015 from Jaideep Malaviya, STFI, Pune, India,
personal communication with REN21, April 2016.
19 Jaideep Malaviya, “India: Solar system suppliers call for
solar process heat obligation,” Solar Thermal World, 11
November 2015, http://www.solarthermalworld.org/content/
india-solar-system-suppliers-call-solar-process-heat-obligation.
20 Market research of solrico cited in Epp, op. cit. note 1.
21 As per Mauthner, op. cit. note 5.
22 Bärbel Epp, ISOL Navigator December 2015 (Bielefeld, Germany:
solrico, December 2015); solrico market research.
23 Preliminary estimates for the EU-28 market at end-2015 is based
on glazed collectors only, and from Pedro Dias, European Solar
Thermal Industry Federation (ESTIF), Brussels, Belgium, personal
communication with REN21, April 2016.
24 Preliminary estimates for EU-28 total installed capacity in
operation at end-2015 from Ibid. Preliminary estimates for global
total installed capacity in operation from Mauthner, op. cit. note 5.
25 Epp, op. cit. note 1.
26 Costas Travasaros, EBHE, Athens, Greece, personal communication
with REN21, February 2016.
27 German Heating Manufacturers Association (BDH),
“Dynamisches Wachstum in 2015: Deutsche Heizungsindustrie
zieht Jahresbilanz,” press release (Cologne: 24 February 2015),
http://www.bdh-koeln.de/presse/pressemitteilungen/artikel///
dynamisches-wachstum-in-2015-deutsche-heizungsindustriezieht-jahresbilanz.html;
estimated cumulative capacity from
Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Energie (BMWi),
Development of Renewable Energy Sources in Germany
2015, Statistical Data from the Working Group on Renewable
Energy-Statistics (AGEE-Stat), as at February 2016, http://
www.erneuerbare-energien.de/EE/Redaktion/DE/​Downloads/
development-of-renewable-energy-sources-in-​germany-2015.
pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=8.
28 Bärbel Epp, “Germany: National subsidy scheme gets
significant amendment,” Solar Thermal World, 24 March
2015, http://www.solarthermalworld.org/content/
germany-national-subsidy-scheme-gets-significant-amendment.
29 In Spain the market was off by 6%, following a 10% uptick in
2014, due to expiration of Andalusia’s incentive scheme in June
2015 and to a 5% decline in the housing construction market
throughout the year, per Pascual Polo, ASIT, Madrid, Spain,
personal communication with REN21, March 2016. In Italy, the
bureaucratic process with the national subsidy scheme led to a
small number of applications accounting for less than 10% of the
Italian market in 2014, per Riccardo Battisti, “Italy: First 18-months
results of Conto Termico subsidy scheme,” Solar Thermal World,
17 June 2015, http://www.solarthermalworld.org/content/
italy-first-18-months-results-conto-termico-subsidy-scheme.
The dramatic drop in both the single- and multi-family building
segments in France was caused by a decline in new construction
and competition with cheaper heating technologies, such as heat
pumps, per Epp, op. cit. note 22.
30 Franz Mauthner, AEE INTEC, Gleisdorf, Austria, personal
communications with REN21, January–April 2016; Mauthner,
Weiss, and Spörk-Dür, op. cit. note 5.
31 Mauthner, op. cit. note 30; Mauthner, Weiss, and Spörk-Dür, op.
cit. note 5. Figure 22 based on data from Mauthner, op. cit. note
5, and from Mauthner, Weiss, and Spörk-Dür, op. cit. note 5. The
MENA region includes Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, the
State of Palestine and Tunisia. Latin America includes Barbados,
Brazil, Chile, Mexico and Uruguay. Asia includes India, Japan,
the Republic of Korea, Taipei (China) and Thailand. Sub-Saharan
Africa includes Lesotho, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, South
02
RENEWABLES 2016 · GLOBAL STATUS REPORT
227