Middle Rio Grande Regional Water Plan

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For this regional water plan update population was projected through 2060 (Table 6-3) under two scenarios: one based on a moderately optimistic view of the economy for this region over the long-term and one that portrays a more pessimistic picture. The current (2012) BBER population projections through 2040 (Appendix 6-B) were used as a starting point for the high population projections, extrapolated through 2060, except that they were dampened for the 2010 to 2020 period to take into account the actual slower rate of growth that has occurred since 2010 compared to the forecast for 2020. Under these projections, it is assumed that major employers will create job opportunities within the region. Under the high scenario, population is projected to reach 1,096,253 in 2060 in Bernalillo County, 311,363 in Sandoval, and 115,943 in Valencia. The low population projections are lower and assume a loss of the Intel plant and a lower rate of job growth. Under the low forecast, the population in 2060 is projected to reach 928,487 in Bernalillo County, 157,144 in Sandoval, and 97,713 in Valencia (Table 6-3). 6.4 Water Conservation Water conservation is often a cost-effective and easily implementable measure that a region may use to help balance supplies with demands. The State of New Mexico is committed to water conservation programs that encourage wise use of limited water resources. The Water Use and Conservation Bureau of the NMOSE developed the New Mexico Water Conservation Planning Guide for Public Water Suppliers. When evaluating water rights transfers or 40-year water development plans that hold water rights for future use, the NMOSE considers whether adequate conservation measures are in place. However, the 40 year water development plans are not incorporated into the RWP updates, as the resources needed to complete this work are not currently available. It is therefore important when planning for meeting future water demand to consider the potential for conservation. To develop demand projections for the region, some simplifying assumptions regarding conservation have been made. These assumptions were made only for the purpose of developing an overview of the future supply-demand balance in the region and are not intended to guide policy regarding conservation for individual water users. The approach to considering conservation in each category of water use for developing water demand projections is discussed below. Specific recommendations for conservation programs and policies for the Middle Rio Grande region, as identified by the regional steering committee, are provided in Section 8. Public water supply. Public water suppliers that have large per capita usage have a greater potential for conservation than those that are already using water more efficiently. Through a cooperative effort with seven public water suppliers, the NMOSE developed a GPCD (gallons per capita per day) calculation to be used statewide, thereby standardizing the methods for calculating populations, defining categories of use, and analyzing use within these categories. The GPCD calculator was used to arrive at the per capita uses for public water systems in the region, shown in Table 6-4. These rates are provided to assist the regional steering committee in considering specific conservation measures. Middle Rio Grande Regional Water Plan 2017 161
Table 6–3. Middle Rio Grande Population Projections July 1, 2010 to July 1, 2060 a. Annual Growth Rate Growth Rate (%) County Projection 2010-2020 2020-2030 2030-2040 2040-2050 2050-2060 Bernalillo High 1.28 1.28 0.91 0.87 0.82 Low 0.96 0.77 0.68 0.59 0.49 Sandoval High 2.27 2.32 1.83 1.41 0.96 Low 0.00 0.54 0.49 0.44 0.39 Valencia High 0.90 1.10 0.81 0.72 0.63 Low 0.59 0.54 0.49 0.44 0.39 b. Projected Population Population County Projection 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Bernalillo High 656,267 745,322 846,835 926,946 1,010,371 1,096,253 Low 656,267 721,894 779,645 834,220 884,274 928,487 Sandoval High 130,529 163,357 205,405 246,137 283,058 311,363 Low 130,529 130,529 137,708 144,593 151,100 157,144 Valencia High 76,569 83,782 93,459 101,272 108,867 115,943 Low 76,569 81,163 85,627 89,908 93,954 97,713 Source: Poster Enterprises, 2014 Middle Rio Grande Regional Water Plan 2017 162
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Middle Rio Grande Regional Water Pl
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Table of Contents Executive Summary
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List of Figures 1-1 Location of Mid
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5-12 Leaking Underground Storage Ta
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MCL MCLG MDWCA MRCOG MRGAA MRGCD MR
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Executive Summary The Middle Rio Gr
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Planning Method For this RWP, water
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appropriations are available in the
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channel aggradation. These changes
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In 2014, the U.S. Environmental Pro
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• Bosque and other riparian habit
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1. Introduction The Middle Rio Gran
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The organization of this update fol
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2.1 The New Mexico Interstate Strea
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2.2.1 Identification of Regional St
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Table 2-1. Steering Committee Membe
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Table 2-2. Middle Rio Grande Region
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Jicarilla Apache Nation Reservation
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Sierra water planning region. Geogr
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Table 3-1. Summary of Demographic a
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4. Legal Issues 4.1 Relevant Water
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In addition to Tri-State, several c
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Socorro, Valencia, Bernalillo, Sand
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Authority’s application sought to
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equires the NMOSE to conduct hydrol
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3. Allow for the declaration of dom
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provided for another review procedu
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Source: NMOSE, 2014a and 2014c La J
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4.1.3 Federal Water Laws The law of
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As discussed above, the three party
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existing, and future uses). No adju
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• Gather information on domestic
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plan recognizes that water is easil
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• Protect groundwater by preventi
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not adequately consider all of the
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4.2.2 Water Quality Laws 4.2.2.1 Fe
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National Priorities List (NPL). 42
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• The Jicarilla Apache Nation Cod
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• Water users seeking to obtain w
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• The Federal Emergency Managemen
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water balance in the Middle Rio Gra
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Table 5-1. Middle Rio Grande Climat
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Sources: 1. WRCC, 2014 2. NWS, 2005
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Jemez Springs Temperature (°F) 90
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Jemez Springs Precipitation (inches
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drought monitoring systems, and it
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Climate Division 5 14 12 10 8 6 4 2
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expected. To assess climate trends
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Rio Chama La Jara JEMEZ RIVER NEAR
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Table 5-4a. USGS Stream Gage Statio
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Table 5-4a. USGS Stream Gage Statio
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Table 5-4b. USGS Stream Gage Annual
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Table 5-5. USGS Stream Gage Average
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1,200,000 1,000,000 Jemez River nea
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Rio Grande at Albuquerque, NM 2,000
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Table 5-6. Reservoirs and Lakes (gr
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Table 5-7. Dams with Dam Safety Def
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Tsj Southern Rocky Mountain Colorad
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In order to evaluate changes in wat
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5,025 5,020 351852106344901 Aquifer
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Source: NMED, 2014a and 2014c Note:
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Table 5-8. Total Maximum Daily Load
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Page 133 and 134: Table 5-8. Total Maximum Daily Load
Page 135 and 136: Table 5-8. Total Maximum Daily Load
Page 137 and 138: Table 5-9. Municipal and Industrial
Page 139 and 140: Table 5-10. Groundwater Discharge P
Page 145 and 146: Table 5-11. Superfund Sites in the
Page 147 and 148: Table 5-12. Leaking Underground Sto
Page 161 and 162: Table 5-13. Landfills in the Middle
Page 163 and 164: Runoff, flooding, and debris flows
Page 165 and 166: • The minimum annual yield for ke
Page 167: Table 6-1. Total Withdrawals in the
Page 170 and 171: P:\_NM15-203\RWPs_2016\12_MRG\Figur
Page 176 and 177: • Riparian evapotranspiration: So
Page 178 and 179: The Arrowhead Center at NMSU analyz
Page 180 and 181: • The continued presence of Sandi
Page 182 and 183: to 669,727 acres. Also, during that
Page 186 and 187: Table 6-4. 2010 Water Withdrawals f
Page 188 and 189: Table 6-4 2010 Water Withdrawals fo
Page 194 and 195: • Consumptive use occurs when wat
Page 196 and 197: estrictions (i.e., the water is phy
Page 198 and 199: demand in this sector. The amount o
Page 200 and 201: 6.5.2 Middle Rio Grande Projected W
Page 202 and 203: Table 6-5 Projected Water Demand, 2
Page 204 and 205: Within Bernalillo County, the high
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Page 208 and 209: • Priority for Continued Implemen
Page 210 and 211: When the 2004 RWP was developed the
Page 212 and 213: Table 8-2. Key Collaborative Progra
Page 214 and 215: Table 8-2. Key Collaborative Progra
Page 216 and 217: Bartolino, James R. and James C. Co
Page 218 and 219: Hawley, J.W. 1986. Physiographic pr
Page 220 and 221: The Middle Rio Grande-Albuquerque R
Page 222 and 223: New Mexico Environment Department (
Page 224 and 225: S.S. Papadopulos & Associates, Inc.
Page 226 and 227: U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). 2014
Page 228 and 229: Middle Rio Grande Region 12 RWP Mas
Page 230 and 231: Riley Middle Rio Grande Region 12 R
Page 232 and 233: Appendix 2-B Summary of Comments on
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Appendix 6-A List of Individuals In
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Appendix 6-B Projected Population G
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Appendix 8-A Review of 2004 Strateg
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Appendix 8-A. Steering Committee Re
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Planning Region Middle Rio Grande M
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Regional Water Planning Update Proj
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Regional Water Planning Update Proj
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Regional Water Planning Update Infr
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Regional Water Planning Update Infr
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Planning Region Middle Rio Grande M
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Middle Rio Grande Regional Water Plan

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