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EJiEhAL -» 154-1 -1 B 'TER-OFFICE CORRESPONDENCE 0 REFERENCE DATE 8/14/81 ROM See Below W. Glass SUBJECT ' J. F. Black R. W. Cohen S. A. Diamond H. Shaw Morey O'Loughlin has asked Ed David for ER&E's views on the realism of CPD's projections for fossil fuel combustion out to 2030 (attached) in view of potential "greenhouse" and "acid rain" problems. I have been asked to draft a short reply. A preliminary draft for EED 1 s reply is attached. It is based not on any calculations but on my "understanding" of what I think I've heard you say and write in the past. I would appreciate your reviewing this preliminary draft very critically and letting me know promptly of any changes you would like to see. EED wants to get an answer back to MEJO'L by August 21. WG: bl Attachments Thank you for your cooperation. £tr c: T. K. Kett / App. 609
DRAFT BED TO MEJO 1 L You asked about our views on possible emission consequences of the CPD-projected fossil fuel consumption levels out to 2030. Much is still unknown about the sources and sinks for atmospheric C02r as well as about the climatic effect of increasing CO2 levels in the air, so that prognostications remain highly speculative. The models that appear most credible (to us) do predict measurable changes in temperature, rainfall pattern, and sea-level by the year 2030 for the postulated fossil fuel combustion rates, but changes of a magnitude well short of catastrophic and probably below the magnitude that need trigger otherwise noneconomic responses to the problem of energy supply. The fossil fuel contribution to the localized problem of acid rain appears handlable by limiting the release of S0 X, N0 X, and chlorides to the atmosphere—which would decrease but by no means eliminate the economic advantage of fossil fuels. greater detail. We would be happy to discuss tHis with you in App. 610
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COMMONWEALTH OF MASSACHUSETTS SUFFO
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9 Exxon webpage, Meeting global nee
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24 Exxon: The Road Not Taken series
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34 Justin Gillis & Clifford Krauss,
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54 Webpage for National Association
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COMMONWEALTH OF MASSACHUSETTS SUFFO
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https://web.archive.Org/web/2016060
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Than 12,500 Massachusetts Consumers
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David Hasemyer and John H. Cushman
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May 28, 2014, available https://www
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40. Attached to this affidavit as E
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50. Attached to this affidavit as E
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Perspectives, May 23, 2016, availab
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V— '> C0 2 GREENHOUSE AND CLIMATE
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PROJECTED CARBON DIOXIDE (AS CARBON
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PROJECTED CARBON DIOXIDE (AS CARBON
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CONCLUSIONS/RECOMMENDATIONS EPA i )
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GROWTH OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 AND INSTA
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C0 2 GREENHOUSE AND CLIMATE ISSUES
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OUR NEXT TASK IS TO CONVERT THE AMO
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EXHIBIT 2 App. 300
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PARIS AGREEMENT The Parties to this
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(a) "Convention" means the United N
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8. In communicating their nationall
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Article 6 1. Parties recognize that
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Article 7 1. Parties hereby establi
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(e) Building the resilience of soci
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5. The Warsaw International Mechani
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5. Accelerating, encouraging and en
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4. The transparency arrangements un
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means of implementation and support
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8. The United Nations and its speci
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the organization and its member Sta
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Article 28 1. At any time after thr
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International Energy Agency ENERGY
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INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY The Int
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United States, which currently impo
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Trucks deliver a large share of oil
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If nuclear falls back, what takes i
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On bookshop International Energy Ag
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EXHIBIT 4 App. 340
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Managing the risks of exposure to f
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Managing the risks of exposure to f
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EXHIBIT 5 App. 346
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Distribution List: R. W. Cohen M. J
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- 2 - might rise the 0.5 needed to
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Energy and Carbon — Managing the
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2. World Energy Needs Keep Growing
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ExxonMobil believes that efficiency
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The cost limitations of renewables
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income. For example, by 2030 for th
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A "low carbon scenario" will impact
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In our operations, we apply a const
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technology can be up to 80 percent
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Such stress testing differs from al
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7. Capital Allocation ExxonMobil ma
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Lastly, we note that even when sens
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Appendix Topic Page Proved Reserves
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EXXONMOBIL RESOURCE BASE - AT DECEM
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EXXONMOBIL CAPEX OUTLOOK (1) Capex
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EXXONMOBIL PRODUCTION PRICES AND PR
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EXHIBIT 7 App. 382
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2 February 29, 2016 target. First;
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4 February 20! 2016 the power gener
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6 February 29, 2016 In addition, wh
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EXHIBIT 8 App. 390
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ExxonMobil's Energy Outlook Project
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Meeting global needs - managing cli
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EXHIBIT 10 App. 404
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— BUSINESS: Document trove detail
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EXHIBIT 11 App. 408
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Chase Bank to Pay $136 Million in N
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Ocwen to Provide $2.1 Billion in Re
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$470 Million State-Federal Settleme
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EXHIBIT 14 App. 416
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CitiGroup to Pay $7B Over Mortgage
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JPMorgan to Pay $13 Billion in Fede
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EXHIBIT 16 App. 422
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EXHIBIT 17 App. 424
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EXHIBIT 18 App. 426
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MoneyGram to Pay $13M Over Wire Tra
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AG Announces Major Award for 12,500
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EXHIBIT 20 App. 432
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NY A.G. Schneiderman, Massachusetts
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NY A.G. Schneiderman, Massachusetts
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EXHIBIT 21 App. 438
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At a Cape Cod Landmark, a Strategic
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At a Cape Cod Landmark, a Strategic
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Climate change could have an even w
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Climate change could have an even w
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EXHIBIT 22 App. 448
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Summary for Policymakers Introducti
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Summary for Policymakers the past 1
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Summary for Policymakers Contributi
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Summary for Policymakers very likel
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Summary for Policymakers Multi-mode
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Summary for Policymakers RCP2.6 RCP
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Regional key risks and potential fo
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Summary for Policymakers Rural area
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Summary for Policymakers impacts in
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Summary for Policymakers Greater ra
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Summary for Policymakers Table SPM.
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Summary for Policymakers Global mit
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Summary for Policymakers entail num
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Summary for Policymakers SPM 4.3 Re
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Summary for Policymakers high agree
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EXHIBIT 23 App. 480
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What Exxon knew about the Earth's m
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8/1/2016 Exxon's Own Research Confi
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8/1/2016 Exxon Confirmed Global War
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i 8/1/2016 Exxon Confirmed Global W
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8/1/2016 Exxon Business Ambition Co
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Highlighting the Allure of Synfueis
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8/1/2016 Highlighting the Allure of
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8/1/2016 Highlighting the Allure of
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Exxon Sowed Doubt about Climate Sci
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6 • The GCSDC will become a. one-
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Number of school teachers/students
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Status of Ratification Page 1 of 8
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EXHIBIT 34 App. 672
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Exxon Mobil Investigated for Possib
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Exxon Mobil Investigated for Possib
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EXHIBIT 35 App. 678
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Virgin Islands and Exxon Agree to U
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U.S. Department of Justice Office o
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8/1/2016 CLIMATE: Fossil fuel backe
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8/1/2016 CLIMATE: Fossil fuel backe
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EXHIBIT 38 App. 694
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A.G. Schneiderman, Former Vice Pres
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A.G, Schneiderman, Former Vice Pres
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(EongreaB nf States Mafil?ingtnn, S
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Edward Mar^y United States Senator
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19 senat Page 1 of 10 fueffix FREE
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EXHIBIT 41 App. 706
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2 (A) developed a sophisticated and
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4 1 (C) what they knew about the ha
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Where to buy motor oil products | M
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Where to buy motor oil products [ M
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Where to buy motor oil products I M
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Where to buy motor oil products [ M
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8/4/2016 Gas Stations - Exxon and M
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Gas Stations in Massachusetts, Unit
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Gas Stations in Massachusetts, Unit
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Mobil Gas Station in Boston, Massac
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northeast and midwest assets Page 1
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Fuel Distribution and Retail Opport
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ExxonMobil Partners With Massachuse
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COMMONWEALTH OF MASSACHUSETTS - STA
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EXHIBIT 50 App. 752
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Exxon Mobil Coiporation (XOM) Insti
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8/5/2016 FDFFX - Fidelity® Indepen
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8/5/2016 FDFFX - Fidelity ® Indepe
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Exxon Mobil's (XOM) CEO Rex Tillers
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Mass. reaches $2.9M settlement with
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NAAG I NAAG Center for Tobacco and
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NAAG I NAAG Center for Tobacco and
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PROPOSED EXXON RESEARCH PROGRAM TO
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W BUSINESS . , ' RATIONALE FOR EXXO
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DEFINITION App. 796 GREENHOUSE EFFE
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MAJORRESEARCH NEEDS PROBLEM AREA AT
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FLUX = (TRANSFER COEFFICIENT) X (DR
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C TANKER PROGRAM (CONTINUED) TANKER
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pC0 2 10" 6 atm. IN THE SURFACE WAT
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DRILLING SHIP PROGRAM EXXON CONTRAC
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- S A L I N I T Y | . - P H , j - S
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INFORMATION YIELDS (CONTINUED) ? +
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INFORMATION YIELDS (CONTINUED) DRIL
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THEORY OF LAND BIOTA SAMPLING e INC
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PROPOSED PROGRAM - LAND BIOTA SAMPL
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PROPOSED PROGRAM SCHEDULE (CONTINUE
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GREENHOUSE EFFECT Develop backgroun
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Unleashing Innovation To Meet our E
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EXHIBIT 57 App. 834
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Our climate science histoiy | Exxon
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The truth about ExxonMobil and clim
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EXHIBIT 59 App. 842
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The coordinated attack on ExxonMobi
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ExxonMobil responds to state AGs -
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EXHIBIT 61 App. 848
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ExxonMobil to Hold Media Call on Ne
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