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A Review of Criticality Accidents A Review of Criticality Accidents

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Material<br />

Fissile Mass: Fissile mass is the mass <strong>of</strong> either 235U or 239Pu. Fissile type is designated below the mass<br />

entry. Three uranium accidents, 9, 15, and 22 had<br />

enrichments <strong>of</strong> 22.6%, 6.5%, and 18.8% by weight,<br />

respectively. For these accidents the fissile mass<br />

column also provides the hydrogen to 235U atom ratio.<br />

For the plutonium eight accidents with the plutonium<br />

was assumed to be 95% 239Pu by weight.<br />

Fissile Density: Fissile density is the quotient <strong>of</strong><br />

fissile mass and fissile volume assuming a homogeneous<br />

mixture.<br />

Estimated Spherical Critical Mass: Entries in this<br />

column represent the spherical critical mass as the<br />

quotient <strong>of</strong> fissile mass and shape factor. These<br />

estimated masses are used as the measure <strong>of</strong> consistency<br />

or agreement <strong>of</strong> the accident re-constructions<br />

with established conditions for criticality. For accidents<br />

9, 15, and 22, the spherical mass was adjusted to<br />

a fully water reflected value.<br />

Critical Cylinder Mass / Critical Sphere Mass<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Water<br />

Reflector<br />

Discussion<br />

Traditionally, techniques <strong>of</strong> the type used to<br />

generate the estimates presented in Table 9 have been<br />

referred to as “back–<strong>of</strong>–the–envelope” calculations.<br />

These calculations are characterized by their mathematical<br />

simplicity and their results are better described<br />

as estimates when contrasted to results from<br />

computer calculations. In some cases these estimates<br />

are sufficient and more elaborate computer code<br />

calculations are not necessary. These results are<br />

characterized as estimates in conformity with<br />

Wheeler’s First Moral Principle: “Never make a<br />

calculation until you know the answer. Make an<br />

estimate before every calculation....” 36<br />

Figures 37, 38, and 39 are selected and adapted<br />

from Los Alamos report LA–10860. 34 These three<br />

figures include points corresponding to fissile density<br />

(or atom ratio) and the estimated spherical critical<br />

mass for the twenty-one accident re-constructions in<br />

Table 9. Figure 38 includes curves for systems with<br />

uranium enrichment corresponding<br />

H/ 235U Atomic Ratio<br />

44.3 329 52.9 43.9 320<br />

Unreflected<br />

0<br />

0.05 0.1 1 10<br />

Cylinder Height / Cylinder Diameter<br />

Figure 36. The ratio <strong>of</strong> cylindrical to spherical critical masses <strong>of</strong> U(93)O 2 F 2 solutions, unreflected and with water<br />

reflector, as a function <strong>of</strong> cylinder height to cylinder diameter ratio.<br />

59

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