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Joint Strategic Plan on Intellectual Property Enforcement<br />

in IP enforcement. Still, the collective weight of research<br />

and reporting to date establishes that the global scope<br />

and costs of counterfeiting, commercial piracy, and trade<br />

secret theft are staggering, and continue to threaten<br />

substantial national interests.<br />

FIG. 1: Annual Est. Max. Value of Counterfeited and<br />

Pirated Goods ($ billions).<br />

130.5% INCREASE IN 8 YEARS<br />

$461<br />

1. Assessments of the Scale and Economic Impact<br />

of Counterfeiting and Commercial Piracy.<br />

$200<br />

$250<br />

SECTION 1<br />

One of the most comprehensive attempts to quantify the<br />

impact of counterfeiting and pirated goods from the past<br />

decade was issued in 2008, and updated in 2009, by the<br />

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development<br />

(OECD), an international organization comprised of the<br />

United States and 33 other countries from North and<br />

South America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. The OECD report<br />

focused on trade involving counterfeit and pirated tangible<br />

(hard) goods. In its 2008 Report, the OECD estimated that<br />

“international trade in counterfeit and pirated goods could<br />

have accounted for up to USD 200 billion in 2005,” and in<br />

the 2009 Update, the OECD stated that “counterfeit and<br />

pirated goods in international trade could have amounted<br />

for up [to] USD 250 billion in 2007.” 13<br />

In 2016, with improved methodologies based on<br />

updated data sets and seizure statistics from various<br />

customs agencies, the OECD issued a new report<br />

revising the global estimate of international trade in<br />

counterfeit and pirated goods. The 2016 OECD Report<br />

stated that “as much as 2.5% of total world trade in<br />

2013 was in counterfeit and pirated products.” This<br />

was “a significant higher volume” than the percentage<br />

of counterfeit and pirated goods in 2005 (1.9% of world<br />

trade) and in 2007 (1.8% of world trade). And, in some<br />

countries, the percentage of counterfeit and pirated<br />

products was higher. 14<br />

More specifically, the 2016 OECD Report concluded<br />

that “[t]he best estimates of this study, based on the data<br />

provided by customs authorities, indicate that counterfeit<br />

and pirated products accounted for as much as USD 461<br />

billion in world trade in 2013.” 15<br />

A comparison of the 2008/2009 and 2016 OECD<br />

Reports demonstrates that the magnitude of the problem<br />

is large and growing. Indeed, as the 2016 OECD<br />

Report indicates, trade in counterfeits now represents a<br />

significant portion of total international trade.<br />

These figures, as significant as they are, represent<br />

only a part of a larger problem. As noted above, the<br />

2005 2007 2013<br />

Source: OECD Reports (2008. 2009, and 2016)<br />

quantitative estimates in the 2008/2009 and 2016<br />

OECD Reports do not include (1) any domesticallyproduced-and-<br />

consumed counterfeit or pirated<br />

products, and (2) digital trade in pirated products (online<br />

piracy). According to the 2008 OECD Report, if these<br />

categories were also included, “the total magnitude<br />

of counterfeiting and piracy worldwide could well be<br />

several hundred billion dollars more.” 16<br />

Another oft-cited report, published in 2011 by the<br />

International Chamber of Commerce (ICC), estimated<br />

the total global economic value of counterfeit and<br />

pirated products to be as high as $650 billion in 2008,<br />

when including the categories that had been excluded<br />

in the 2008 OECD report. Furthermore, the 2011 ICC<br />

report posited that international trade may account for<br />

more than half of the estimated value of counterfeiting<br />

and piracy (between $285-$360 billion), with domestic<br />

production and consumption adding between $140-<br />

$215 billion, and digitally-pirated music, movies, and<br />

software adding another $30-$75 billion in losses to<br />

the creative and innovative industries. Looking ahead,<br />

the 2011 ICC report projected that, in 2015, the total<br />

magnitude of counterfeiting and piracy could be<br />

between $1.22 trillion and $1.77 trillion. 17<br />

Considering that the 2016 OECD report places the<br />

international trade in counterfeit and pirated goods<br />

at nearly half a trillion dollars annually (excluding all<br />

domestically-produced-and-consumed counterfeit and<br />

pirated goods, as well as online piracy), the OECD<br />

and ICC estimates together suggest that the total<br />

magnitude of counterfeiting and piracy worldwide in all<br />

forms appears to be approaching, if not surpassing, the<br />

trillion dollar mark.<br />

20

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