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Third Industrial Revolution Consulting Group<br />

In the 2050 scenario, where the travelling population is expected to rise by 85%, the target<br />

scenario in the modal split implies a reduction of individual cars by 18%, an increase of public<br />

and shared transport by over six times, and an increase in active mobility by four times.<br />

These ambitious targets for public and shared transport and active modes need to be<br />

supported by a set of push measures oriented towards keeping people away from their cars. If<br />

public policy continues to favor improving the traditional road system, it could deter<br />

commuters from taking public transport. The pressures brought on by the demographic growth<br />

projections, low excise duties on fuels, convenient fiscal treatment of company cars and the<br />

increasing housing prices (doubled from 2000 to 2014) cause a rise in the number of<br />

commuters coming in from neighboring countries, all contribute to remaining locked into an old<br />

transport mindset that is becoming ecologically unsustainable (unless the target shift toward<br />

clean mobility is achieved) and increasingly untenable in terms of congestion.<br />

A change in the transportation paradigm also changes the way people view mobility. In this<br />

holistic approach to mobility, a set of solutions is required which contributes to the build-out of<br />

a favorable mobility ecosystem in Luxembourg. Intelligent urban planning will be a critical<br />

priority in order to avoid private car dependency (urban sprawl, single use neighborhoods, and<br />

monopolization of public spaces). New flexible working schemes will also play a decisive role.<br />

The new concept of Mobility-as-a-Service requires a ‘cultural change’ and specific supporting<br />

interventions in order to reduce what is called the “cost of cognitive effort” in changing<br />

behavior.<br />

Knowing that the “high powered car” ownership culture is very present in the country, with the<br />

highest number of car per capita and high emission vehicles, encouraging new usages supposes<br />

a change of culture that can only operate through the emergence of a new narrative.<br />

Finally, the creation of a sustainable mobility fund will help accelerate the transition by<br />

fostering innovation and developing a “mobility of the future” Luxembourg economy.<br />

Going forward, Luxembourg will be an important testbed for smart mobility by building on its<br />

central location, its excellent ICT infrastructure and know-how, and the innovation driven<br />

automotive supplier sector. The recently launched inter-ministerial working group on “Smart<br />

Mobility” will help drive this innovation platform. The new Open Data Platform<br />

(http://data.public.lu) will provide open access to plenty of high quality mobility and nonmobility<br />

data to work with. Furthermore, the Automotive Components Cluster and its members<br />

represent a very innovative community and the new Automotive Campus that is being<br />

developed will allow well-established companies to work side by side with agile start-ups and<br />

resulting synergies between automotive and ICT will be exploited to the fullest. In the future,<br />

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