3FOOD

Third Industrial Revolution Consulting Group
Luxembourg 2050 Vision for Energy
Participants of the Luxembourg Energy Working Group have set forth a bold vision for a smarter
energy future. 30 Underlying this vision is a number of contextual drivers that set Luxembourg
apart from the rest of Europe, including:
Population growth. Luxembourg’s population is expected to almost double by 2050. 31
Ignoring finer demographic points, this translates to a doubling of the number of
households and the number of household dwellings. This will create a need for new and
renovated buildings, which in turn presents an excellent opportunity to create a more
sustainable building stock by ensuring all newly erected buildings meet the Passive
House 32 criteria, and all existing building stock is converted to Passive House standards
over time.
Small, open economy. The success of the Luxembourg economy depends, in large part,
on open access to and from other EU countries. This access includes a free flow of
people—i.e., about 45% of Luxembourg's total labor force today consists of cross-border
workers from Belgium, France, and Germany. 33 Luxembourg’s economy is also highly
reliant on the finance sector, as well as its flourishing information and communications
technology (ICT) sector.
Transportation sector. A large part of Luxembourg’s final energy consumption goes
towards transportation, specifically the transport of goods by road, cross-border
workers, and ancillary fuel tourism. In order to become fully sustainable, a deep
decarbonization of the transportation sector is needed.
Energy Demand
In cooperation with Luxembourg’s statistical agency, STATEC, TIR Consulting Group LLC has
created a scenario for 2050 where overall energy demand is reduced by 44%. At the same time,
however, the team believes a more ambitious target setting is desirable and feasible, and has
worked with STATEC to create the Ambitious Energy Efficiency Scenario (AEE).
In this scenario, the total energy demand of Luxembourg is reduced from ~25 GWh to ~17
GWh in 2050, a reduction of 33%, while at the same time the population of the country nearly
30 TIR Pillar Energy – Note finale de restitution”, TIR Luxembourg - Final Outcome Document - WG Energy.pdf
31 Source Eurostat, see
http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&language=en&pcode=tps00002&plugin=1 for
details.
32 As of January 1 2017, all new residential construction in Luxembourg will need to meet the Passive House
standard.
33 Luxembourg in Figures, STATEC, 2015
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