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TIR-CG_Luxembourg-Final-Report_Long-Version TIR-CG_Luxembourg-Final-Report_Long-Version
Third Industrial Revolution Consulting Group energy. The COP21 conference culminated in a global agreement on the reduction of climate change. Important provisions include: Holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2° C above preindustrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5° C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change Increasing the ability to adapt to the adverse impacts of climate change and foster climate resilience and low greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions development, in a manner that does not threaten food production The agreement will become legally binding once 55 parties that produce over 55% of the world's GHG emissions have ratified it. Within the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs), individual countries will specify how they will contribute to the global goals. 22 European Union Targets The EU has three main sets of targets with respect to increasing the share of renewable energy, increasing energy efficiency, and reducing GHG emissions among its Member States: 1. Renewable energy: Achieve at least 20% of total energy needs by renewable energy by 2020 and ensure at least 10% of transportation fuels come from renewable sources by 2020 23 2. Energy efficiency: Achieve 20% energy savings compared to projected 2020 energy use 24 3. GHG emissions reductions: Achieve reductions in GHG emissions by 80%-95% by 2050 25 Europe’s Energy Roadmap 2050 explores pathways for the transition to a new energy system that meets these GHG emissions goals while simultaneously promoting competitiveness and security of supply. 26 In its analysis, the EU concludes that decarbonization is technically and economically feasible. A European approach is expected to result in lower energy costs and more secure energy supplies, compared to individual national schemes. 22 Luxembourg’s NDC is, understandably, not available yet, but will hopefully be inspired by the outcome of the TIR project. 23 See http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/strategies/2020/index_en.htm and links therein. 24 See https://ec.europa.eu/energy/en/topics/energy-efficiency and links therein 25 See http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:52011DC0885&from=EN 26 See https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/2012_energy_roadmap_2050_en_0.pdf 24
Third Industrial Revolution Consulting Group Single Energy Market 27 The European Commission is strongly focusing on the harmonization of energy markets in the EU, leading to a single internal market for energy. The free movement of goods, services, capital, and labor is a founding principle of the EU. To accomplish this principle for electricity, a single electricity market is imperative. A single electricity market is also fundamental for Europe to meet its low carbon targets and achieve economic optimization at a European scale. With a single internal market, energy can be produced where it is cheapest and delivered to where it is needed. A more nationalistic approach, where countries individually manage their security of supply, is an economically inferior alternative that is not in line with European solidarity principles. Energy Sector Transformation The energy sector is transforming on a global scale, as well as within Europe. It is changing from a centralized, one-way, hub-and-spoke grid—based on large centralized generation assets like fossil fuels, hydro, or nuclear power plants—towards a more distributed grid, with an increased role for renewables and distributed energy resources (DER), as well as more sophisticated operating characteristics and controls. In the future, the power grid will be far more dynamic, responsive, and democratized than current infrastructure allows. Figure 1: The Energy Cloud Landscape 28 In this emerging Energy Cloud landscape – a concept that borrows from cloud computing – tremendous change is occurring within a range of technical, commercial, environmental, social, 27 See https://ec.europa.eu/priorities/energy-union-and-climate/fully-integrated-internal-energy-market_en and links therein. 28 See https://www.navigantresearch.com/research/the-energy-cloud 25
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Third Industrial Revolution Consulting Group<br />
energy. The COP21 conference culminated in a global agreement on the reduction of climate<br />
change. Important provisions include:<br />
<br />
<br />
Holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2° C above preindustrial<br />
levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5° C above<br />
pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and<br />
impacts of climate change<br />
Increasing the ability to adapt to the adverse impacts of climate change and foster<br />
climate resilience and low greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions development, in a manner<br />
that does not threaten food production<br />
The agreement will become legally binding once 55 parties that produce over 55% of the<br />
world's GHG emissions have ratified it. Within the Intended Nationally Determined<br />
Contributions (INDCs), individual countries will specify how they will contribute to the global<br />
goals. 22<br />
European Union Targets<br />
The EU has three main sets of targets with respect to increasing the share of renewable energy,<br />
increasing energy efficiency, and reducing GHG emissions among its Member States:<br />
1. Renewable energy: Achieve at least 20% of total energy needs by renewable energy by<br />
2020 and ensure at least 10% of transportation fuels come from renewable sources by<br />
2020 23<br />
2. Energy efficiency: Achieve 20% energy savings compared to projected 2020 energy<br />
use 24<br />
3. GHG emissions reductions: Achieve reductions in GHG emissions by 80%-95% by 2050 25<br />
Europe’s Energy Roadmap 2050 explores pathways for the transition to a new energy system<br />
that meets these GHG emissions goals while simultaneously promoting competitiveness and<br />
security of supply. 26 In its analysis, the EU concludes that decarbonization is technically and<br />
economically feasible. A European approach is expected to result in lower energy costs and<br />
more secure energy supplies, compared to individual national schemes.<br />
22 Luxembourg’s NDC is, understandably, not available yet, but will hopefully be inspired by the outcome of the TIR<br />
project.<br />
23 See http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/strategies/2020/index_en.htm and links therein.<br />
24 See https://ec.europa.eu/energy/en/topics/energy-efficiency and links therein<br />
25 See http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:52011DC0885&from=EN<br />
26 See https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/2012_energy_roadmap_2050_en_0.pdf<br />
24