14.11.2016 Views

3FOOD

TIR-CG_Luxembourg-Final-Report_Long-Version

TIR-CG_Luxembourg-Final-Report_Long-Version

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Third Industrial Revolution Consulting Group<br />

TRANSMISSION<br />

SYSTEM<br />

PEAKER<br />

REPLACEMENT<br />

FREQUENCY<br />

REGULATION<br />

DISTRIBUTION<br />

SERVICES<br />

PV INTEGRATION<br />

9<br />

Unsubsidized Levelized Cost of Storage Comparison<br />

Certain “in front of the meter” technology and use case combinations are cost-competitive with their dominant or “base case”<br />

conventional alternatives under some scenarios, even without the benefit of subsidies or additional, non-optimized streams of<br />

revenue; such observation does not take into account potential social or environmental externalities associated with energy<br />

storage (e.g., environmental benefits associated with avoided gas peaker investment, etc.)<br />

Compressed Air<br />

‡<br />

Flow Battery<br />

‡<br />

Lead-Acid<br />

‡<br />

Lithium-Ion<br />

‡<br />

Pumped Hydro<br />

‡<br />

Sodium<br />

‡<br />

Zinc<br />

Flow Battery‡<br />

‡<br />

Lead-Acid<br />

‡<br />

Lithium-Ion<br />

‡ Sodium<br />

Zinc‡<br />

Flywheel<br />

‡<br />

Lithium-Ion<br />

Flow Battery‡<br />

‡<br />

Lead-Acid<br />

‡<br />

Lithium-Ion<br />

‡<br />

Sodium<br />

‡<br />

Zinc<br />

Flow Battery‡<br />

‡<br />

Lead-Acid<br />

‡<br />

Lithium-Ion<br />

‡<br />

Sodium<br />

‡<br />

Zinc<br />

$192<br />

$188<br />

$230<br />

$248<br />

$221<br />

$211<br />

$245<br />

$290<br />

$276<br />

$288<br />

$285<br />

$347<br />

$321<br />

$274<br />

$365<br />

$396<br />

$275<br />

$419<br />

$400<br />

$373<br />

$355<br />

$426<br />

$402<br />

$379<br />

$461<br />

$376<br />

$347<br />

$345<br />

$516<br />

$426<br />

L A Z A R D ' S L E V E L I Z E D C O S T O F S T O R A G E A N A L Y S I S — V E R S I O N 1 . 0<br />

$165 – $218 – Gas Peaker (a)<br />

Levelized Cost ($/MWh)<br />

Source: Lazard estimates.<br />

Note: Here and throughout this presentation, unless otherwise indicated, analysis assumes 20% debt at 8% interest rate and 80% equity at 12% cost for all technologies and use cases. Assumes seven year<br />

MACRS depreciation unless otherwise noted. Analysis does not reflect impact of evolving regulations/rules promulgated pursuant to the EPA’s Clean Power Plan.<br />

‡ Indicates battery technology.<br />

(a) Indicates illustrative conventional alternative to energy storage. Not intended to reflect the sole conventional alternative (or source of value from replacing such alternatives). The lowest cost<br />

Copyright 2015 Lazard. conventional alternative for a particular use case may not be the lowest cost conventional alternative for another use case.<br />

No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior consent of Lazard.<br />

Source: Lazard (2015) Levelized Cost of Storage LCOS), version 1.0.<br />

$658<br />

$686<br />

$739<br />

$789<br />

$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800<br />

$892<br />

$927<br />

$948<br />

$923<br />

$950<br />

$957<br />

$989<br />

$1,079<br />

$1,068<br />

$1,129<br />

$1,247<br />

$1,429<br />

$1,692<br />

‡<br />

‡ (c)<br />

$3<br />

(b)<br />

(b)<br />

(e)<br />

‡<br />

‡<br />

(h)<br />

(i)<br />

(j)<br />

(k)<br />

(m)<br />

‡<br />

Source: Lazard estimates.<br />

Note: Here and throughout th<br />

Appalachian bit coal, lo<br />

under Section 111(d).<br />

‡ Denotes distributed gen<br />

The Industry Working Group rightly considers that, given the global market, energy storage is<br />

projected to grow to €44 billion by 2020.<br />

End-Use Efficiency-Productivity across Luxembourg Industry<br />

The exergetic efficiency-productivity gains enabling solar, wind and storage to cost-effectively<br />

resource the global energy system are of utmost value and timeliness. Just as immense,<br />

however, are end-use efficiency gains above and beyond the efficiencies stemming from<br />

electrification (displacing thermal combustion). Efficiency throughout the value chain is as<br />

great of value and timeliness as solar and wind power.<br />

A key metric and indicator of efficiency is the ratio of energy required to produce each unit of<br />

GDP (e/GDP). A quarter century of increasingly detailed assessments point to efficiency as the<br />

single largest pool of low-cost, low-risk means of delivering energy services to the point of use.<br />

228

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!