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Third Industrial Revolution Consulting Group<br />

The rise of local energy cooperatives has forced electricity companies to rethink their business<br />

practices. A decade ago, four giant vertically integrated electricity generating companies—<br />

E.ON, RWE, EnBW, and Vattenfall—were producing much of the electricity powering Germany.<br />

Today, they are losing market share, since fossil fuel and nuclear generated electricity has been<br />

reduced to 68 percent. At the same time, the big four power companies are producing less than<br />

7 percent of the new green electricity that’s taking Germany into a Third Industrial Revolution.<br />

Peter Terium, CEO of RWE, the German-based energy company, acknowledges the massive shift<br />

taking place in Germany from centralized to distributed power, and says that the bigger power<br />

and utility companies “have to adjust to the fact that, in the longer term, earning capacity in<br />

conventional electricity generation will be markedly below what we’ve seen in recent years.” 19<br />

Companies like E.ON and RWE are spinning off their fossil-based activities into separate<br />

businesses in anticipation of the changing role of traditional power plants in the energy system.<br />

In the future, in the fully liberalized European energy market, traditional energy suppliers will<br />

increasingly generate income by erecting and operating the Energy Internet and managing their<br />

customers’ energy use by taking on additional roles as both Energy Service Company Providers<br />

(ESCO) and aggregators of energy services. Suppliers and grid operators alike will mine Big Data<br />

across each of their clients’ value chains and use analytics to increase their aggregate energy<br />

efficiency and productivity, and reduce their marginal cost. Their clients, in turn, will share the<br />

efficiency and productivity gains back with the utilities in what are called “Performance<br />

Contracts.” In short, energy companies will profit more from managing energy use more<br />

efficiently, and selling less rather than more electricity.<br />

Luxembourg Vision “Energy System 2050”<br />

The participants of the Luxembourg Energy Working Group have set forth a bold vision of a<br />

smarter energy future in Luxembourg described in eight transformational initiatives:<br />

1. Significant reduction of energy consumption through increased energy efficiency.<br />

2. The energy production in 2050 will be based almost exclusively on renewables.<br />

3. Energy production and consumption will increasingly be distributed.<br />

4. Local and/or regional energy clusters will become increasingly more important.<br />

5. Centralized production and distribution of energy (in particular electricity) will remain<br />

at least a back-up component of the energy system.<br />

6. Innovative ICT solutions will be the basis of a flexible demand side management and<br />

thus contribute to an increased flexibility of the energy market(s).<br />

7. The mobility sector will essentially rely on electricity.<br />

8. As a prosumer, the client will play a crucial role in the future energy system.<br />

19 See: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-utilities-threat-idUSBRE92709E20130308<br />

18

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