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JUNE 2011<br />

INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 2<br />

3 Data and Methodology:<br />

3.1 Data and Variables<br />

This <strong>paper</strong> includes three variables – Exports (EP) and Public Expenditure (PE) are<br />

independent variables whereas Economic Growth (EG) is taken as a dependent variable.<br />

The theoretical and empirical findings of our study are explained below in detail. The data<br />

used in <strong>paper</strong> is secondary in nature and obtained from an online data source of World<br />

Bank known as World Development Indicators (WDI) mark 2010. The frequency of data<br />

that is used for this study is on annual basis form year of 1985 to 2009.<br />

3.1.1 Exports<br />

Exports are most important element in the development of country. Exports of any country<br />

matters a lot in its economic development and contributes positively in terms of achieving<br />

economies of scale, optimal production, competitiveness, reduction in unemployment, and<br />

contributes towards infrastructure development.(Bhagwati and Srinivasan, 1979; Krueger,<br />

1980; Helpman and Krugeman, 1985). Endogenous theory of growth also support that<br />

there is a positive effects of export on economic growth. Exports allow any country long<br />

term growth that causes ultimately specialization in those particular sectors, increase in<br />

Research and Development and human capital formation. All these factors are very much<br />

critical for growth. (Romer, 1987; Rivera-Batiz and Romer, 1991; Grossman and Helpman,<br />

1991; Krugman, 1991; Barro, 1991; Mankiw et al., 1992, Barro and Sala-I-Martin, 1993,<br />

Mankiw, 1995; Sachs and Warner, 1995). Recent studies provide evidences that as the<br />

exports increases and country go for liberalization, its economic growth also increases<br />

(GOI, 2005). If the economy is closed as was during the period of 1952-1978 there was no<br />

economic growth in countries but when the deregulations came in world the economies<br />

boost up (Pyle, 1997). As the exports increases foreign reserves also improves that increase<br />

the purchasing capacity and provide opportunities to target the world international markets<br />

and capture more share. Inflation that makes product and services costlier also results in<br />

exports instability. The expected relationship between economic growth and exports is<br />

positive with positive sign. Study is using exports of goods and services (current USD) as<br />

proxy of export.<br />

3.1.2 Public Expenditure<br />

The sole purpose for inclusion of this variable in the model is to put light on the significant<br />

relationship that exists between public expenditure and economic growth. Government<br />

incur such expenditures to fulfil certain goals like increase in per capita income that is<br />

efficient indicator of economic growth. Historical wisdom tells, as the public expenditure<br />

increases the economic growth in return also increases. Keynes (1936) and his supporters,<br />

also support the view that use of fiscal policies i.e. expansion in public expenditure<br />

increase the overall output. In research background different theories can be found related<br />

to public expenditure whether they are having positive or negative relationship with<br />

growth. Aschaur (1989) and Barro(1990:1991) found positive relationship between public<br />

spending and output of economy. Public expenditure is considered endogenous to<br />

economic growth because as the EG increases Public expenditures are also tend to increase<br />

(Wagner, 1883). We also support their view because as government spend for the welfare<br />

and infrastructure of the economy the economic growth increase by all means. For long<br />

term growth of economy, public expenditures are inevitable (Scully, 1989). Human<br />

resource is most important factor of growth for any country if the government is likely to<br />

spend more on its human resource it would result in increased growth, satisfaction of all the<br />

sects in community and improve overall performance (Anand and Ravallion, 1993;<br />

Chakraborty, 2003). The expected result of this variable could be significant and the proxy<br />

that we are using for this variable is general government final consumption expenditure<br />

COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 853

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