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ijcrb.webs.com JUNE 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 2 References [1].Gurteen D,(1999),Creating a "Knowledge Sharing Culture", Knowledge Management Magazine, V.2, Issue 5 [2] Aliei M,(2010),thesis "Determining and Weighting of effective factors on knowledge management from managers and experts point of view based on AHP model in SAIPA industrial group" Shahrood University Of Technology, deportment of management [3].Davenport.T.H,(1997),“ Ten Principles Of Knowledge Management And Four Case Studies”, ”, Journal Of Knowledge And Process Management, V4,N3,PP 187-208 [4].McElroy M (1999)," An Executable Model For The Enterprise", www.macroinnovation.com/images/KnlgLifeCycle.pdf [5].Proietti F,(2005) "what is urban health?" Cad. Saúde Pública, 21(3):940-941, , Rio de Janeiro [6].Khobreh M, Zandi F, Nasiri S,(2010), Knowledge Management Model for Urban Health" 3th Knowledge Management Conference ,Iran COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 740
ijcrb.webs.com INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS Impact of Increase in Bank Rate on Inflation in the context to Pakistan’s Monetary Policy JUNE 2011 VOL 3, NO 2 Nadia Nazeer (Corresponding Author) MS Student at Shaheed Zulfiquar Ali Bhutto Institute for Science and Technology (SZABIST) Dr. Attiya Y. Javed Professor at Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE) Shaheed Zulfiquar Ali Bhutto Institute for Science and Technology (SZABIST) Islamabad, Pakistan Abstract The <strong>paper</strong> examines the impact of long-and short-run interest rates on inflation using time series data (1965 -2010). These two interest rates have never been discussed together before. Call money rate is taken as bank rate for analysis. An efficient technique ARDL is used for analysis. There is cointegration existence for inflation with GDP, government bond rate, broad money and bank rate. Inflation maintains significant relationship with the variables GDP, broad money, and bank rate but insignificant with government bond yield. Bank rate can be used by the policy makers to control inflation in context to Pakistan. CUSUM and CUSUMQ tests indicate stability and model fit of inflation. Granger causality is used for the direction indication. Inflation is having uni-directional causality with GDP, broad money and bank rate. Key Words: Bank rate, government bond rate, ARDL 1. Introduction Controlling inflation is the main aim of monetary policy in any country across the world. Money supply is one of the important variables of Pakistan’s monetary policy to control inflation. Leading indicators of inflation are broad money (M2) and credit growth of private sector. Monetary policy cannot be designed without understanding the causes behind inflation. High inflation continues in the economy due to generation of excess money. Rs266 billion is the government borrowing contributing towards the increase in reserve money during the current fiscal year 2010 which is resulting into high interest rates. Economic growth seems relatively weak during 2009-10 in Pakistan. But at the same time inflation remains uplift with the persistent behavior. Inflation becomes harmful for the economy when it starts showing persistency as currently its showing. On the other hand, government borrowing from the banks has increased during fiscal year 2010 as compared to 2009. This is due to more fiscal spending and less availability of external debt. After declining in early 2009, CPI inflation has increased in October 2009 and has reached at the trough of 8.9% and showing increasing trend on the consistent basis. Due to excess money supply growth and fiscal prolificacy in 2007, State Bank of Pakistan has started increasing the interest rates from May 2008 like policy rate and Statutory Liquidity Requirement (SLR). After reaching at 15% in November 2008, when country was facing balance of payment crisis, SBP started easing the policy discount rate which was 12.5%. COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 741
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