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Monte Carlo Analysis<br />

Additional Uncertainty Analyses (the .mcm File)<br />

Method : Functional ANOVA (global sensitivity indices)<br />

Number of Simulations : 1000 (Number of Runs)<br />

Number of Random Variables : 51<br />

==> List of Random Variables:<br />

Avg.Sens ... Arithmetic Mean of the Sensitivities<br />

Index<br />

of Var Distrib Mean Std. Dev. Name<br />

---------- ... -----------------------------------------------------------<br />

1 Gaussian 1.90000e-08 2.92115e-11 EM(XM16.M1,TOX)<br />

2 Gaussian -3.73283e-01 -1.01878e-03 EM(XM16.M1,VTH0)<br />

3 Gaussian 1.38761e+02 8.35592e-01 EM(XM16.M1,U0)<br />

...<br />

50 Gaussian 3.32200e-01 7.29079e-04 EM(XM10.M1,VTH0)<br />

51 Gaussian 3.88320e+02 1.58357e+00 EM(XM10.M1,U0)<br />

The left part summarizes the average sensitivities for each output measure. The column<br />

Avg.Sens. is an indicator of importance. This number is not necessarily the most representative<br />

value of sensitivity since all measures are considered identically.<br />

==> List of Random Variables:<br />

Avg.Sens ... Arithmetic Mean of the Sensitivities<br />

Index<br />

of Var Meas 1 Meas 2 Meas 3 Avg.Sens ... Name<br />

------------------------------------------------------------<br />

1 0.31% 0.55% 0.86% 0.57% ... EM(XM16.M1,TOX)<br />

2 0.48% 6.32% 11.01% 5.94% ... EM(XM16.M1,VTH0)<br />

3 0.64% 6.66% 11.29% 6.20% ... EM(XM16.M1,U0)<br />

4 0.93% 2.94% 2.38% 2.08% ... EM(XM17.M1,TOX)<br />

...<br />

Ordered Sensitivity Indices<br />

This result is organized as a Pareto chart and it is composed as follows:<br />

• The name of the measure, the effective number of Monte Carlo runs used for the<br />

calculations.<br />

• A list of important factors and their sensitivity index.<br />

See “Global Sensitivity Analysis” on page 520 for more details on the methodology.<br />

502<br />

Eldo® User's Manual, 15.3

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