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Monte Carlo Analysis<br />

Correlation Between Gaussian Input Variables<br />

is the joint marginal density function of (X 1 , X 2 ).<br />

In the special situation where the outcome of one random variable has no effect on the<br />

probability distribution of another, the variables are said to be independent. Formally, the<br />

variables X 1 and X 2 are independent if their joint density function factorizes:<br />

More generally, the influence of one random variable on the probability structure of another is<br />

characterized by the conditional density function:<br />

In the case of independent random variables:<br />

but generally the conditional density function depends also on the value of x 2 .<br />

The notions of expectation and variance apply to each margin in turn to give measures of the<br />

location and dispersion of each marginal component. It is also useful, however, to summarize<br />

the extent of dependence between components; that is the extent to which the components<br />

increase or decrease in harmony. The usual summaries are pairwise. The covariance of the<br />

variable X and Y, having joint density function f X, Y , is defined by:<br />

The covariance coefficient is often re-scaled to obtain a measure on a fixed interval. This leads<br />

to the correlation coefficient, defined by:<br />

438<br />

Eldo® User's Manual, 15.3

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