Giftedness and Talent in the 21st Century
2739-giftedness-and-talent-in-the-21st-century
2739-giftedness-and-talent-in-the-21st-century
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<strong>the</strong> Life Trajectories of <strong>the</strong> Gifted <strong>and</strong> <strong>Talent</strong>ed<br />
from runaway technology always loom on <strong>the</strong> horizon (Ravetz, 2010; Tonn &<br />
Stiefel, 2012). For example, <strong>the</strong> unprecedented prosperity generated by <strong>the</strong> digital<br />
revolution, termed <strong>the</strong> second mach<strong>in</strong>e age by Brynjolfsson <strong>and</strong> McAffee (2014),<br />
is flow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> h<strong>and</strong>s of a few while <strong>the</strong> wages of <strong>the</strong> many are stagnat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />
unemployment is grow<strong>in</strong>g. These harmful effects can derive from accidental misuse<br />
of new technology, unanticipated implications of <strong>the</strong> application of new technology,<br />
or unethical, exploitative applications by bright but unscrupulous <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>and</strong><br />
groups.<br />
Far<strong>the</strong>r out on <strong>the</strong> time horizon a more devastat<strong>in</strong>g problem might arise from<br />
unpredictable developments <strong>in</strong> artificial <strong>in</strong>telligence. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Bostrom (2014),<br />
humanity lacks sufficient long-range vision to guide <strong>the</strong> development of potentially<br />
powerful artificial <strong>in</strong>telligence <strong>in</strong>novations toward <strong>the</strong> betterment of future lives.<br />
Instead, short-range profit seek<strong>in</strong>g drives artificial <strong>in</strong>telligence developments<br />
<strong>and</strong> future advances <strong>in</strong> this area could sp<strong>in</strong> out of control as <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly clever<br />
artificial m<strong>in</strong>ds, unguided by ethics, outpace <strong>the</strong> development of our own cognition.<br />
Consequently, rapid advances <strong>in</strong> new technologies potentially represent both macroopportunities<br />
<strong>and</strong> macroproblems.<br />
Examples of Macroproblems<br />
Resource depletion. The BP oil disaster <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Gulf of Mexico foreshadowed ano<strong>the</strong>r<br />
press<strong>in</strong>g macroproblem – a loom<strong>in</strong>g shortage of resources such as hydrocarbons,<br />
m<strong>in</strong>erals, fresh water, <strong>and</strong> arable l<strong>and</strong> (see Daly & Farley, 2010; Friedrichs, 2013;<br />
Klare, 2012; Prior, Giurco, Mudd, Mason, & Behrisch, 2012; Rockström et al.,<br />
2014). Klare (2012) illustrated ways <strong>in</strong> which <strong>the</strong>se shortages are encourag<strong>in</strong>g<br />
extraction <strong>in</strong>dustries to take ever-bigger risks such as deep-water drill<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong> dangerous regions because easily accessible resources are disappear<strong>in</strong>g quickly.<br />
In <strong>the</strong> case of oil <strong>and</strong> gas extraction, <strong>the</strong> shortages are encourag<strong>in</strong>g a frenzied chase<br />
for “unconventional hydrocarbons” such as those found <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> tar s<strong>and</strong>s of Western<br />
Canada <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> difficult-to-release natural gas deposits that are be<strong>in</strong>g accessed<br />
through hydraulic fractur<strong>in</strong>g. These extractive processes are far more damag<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to <strong>the</strong> environment than conventional oil <strong>and</strong> natural gas extraction, <strong>and</strong> those<br />
processes were dirty enough. Consequently, <strong>the</strong> energy <strong>in</strong>dustry is caus<strong>in</strong>g far more<br />
devastat<strong>in</strong>g environmental damage than ever before, <strong>and</strong> this damage <strong>in</strong>cludes <strong>the</strong><br />
rapid acceleration of climate change (see <strong>the</strong> next macroproblem).<br />
The potential for dangerous <strong>in</strong>ternational conflicts over territory <strong>and</strong> resources<br />
also is ris<strong>in</strong>g due to <strong>the</strong> shortages. For example, nations are saber rattl<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />
build<strong>in</strong>g up <strong>the</strong>ir military capacities <strong>in</strong> anticipation of conflicts over oil <strong>and</strong> gas<br />
resources <strong>in</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>ast Asian waters <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Arctic Ocean, which is be<strong>in</strong>g made<br />
more accessible to drill<strong>in</strong>g due to climate change. In addition, wealthy nations such<br />
as Saudi Arabia <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> United Arab Emirates are buy<strong>in</strong>g up enormous tracts of<br />
arable l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> third-world countries <strong>in</strong> order to ensure <strong>the</strong>ir own food supplies at <strong>the</strong><br />
expense of <strong>the</strong> impoverished populations <strong>in</strong> those nations. International tensions are<br />
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