Australia's junior explorers - The ASIA Miner

Australia's junior explorers - The ASIA Miner Australia's junior explorers - The ASIA Miner

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By Krishnan Narayan, research analyst for Beroe Inc. THE global economic downtur n in 2008/09 was terrible for junior mining firms. The global exploration expenditure dropped from US$14.4 billion in 2008 to US$8.4 billion in 2009, the largest ever year-on-year drop. During this period, the share of total exploration expenditure among junior mining companies fell to 40%, the first time it had dr opped below that of the global mining majors since 2004. The challenging market conditions and turbulent global economy led to a sever e shortage of equity financing for the mining industry and junior miners found their ability to raise funds severely curtailed. Junior mining companies typically derive the majority of their funding from investors or by selling shares and are focused on the discovery and development of minerals. Further, their market capitalization is generally less than US$500 million and they possess only around one or two pr oducing operations. Currently, there are more than 1200 junior mining and exploration companies listed on the 46 | ASIA Miner | July/August 2011 Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX), mor e than 500 on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX), more than 150 on the London Stock Exchange (LSE & AIM) and more than 20 on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). The vast majority of mineral deposit discoveries are made by junior mining companies with the key reasons being a thorough knowledge of local geology, access to equity and land, the availability of experienced experts, and an ability to execute decisions rapidly since they ar e not bogged down by bureaucratic red tape. Consequently, a large number of mineral deposits, which ar e the world’s future mines, are owned by junior mining companies. When global mining majors seek to replace existing reserves or expand their asset base, a key strategy is to acquir e low cost, long life deposits fr om juniors or simply to acquire the juniors. Rio T into’s acquisition of Riversdale Mining in 2011 for US$3.9 billion and BHP Billiton’s acquisition of Athabasca Potash for US$341 million in There are many challenges facing Australian junior explorers and miners, who in many ways are the backbone of the global mining industry. CHALLENGES FACED BY Australia’s junior explorers 2010 are examples of this trend. In 2012, as other industries continue to face challenges caused by uncertain r ecovery from the global financial crisis, the demand for commodities is being driven primarily by emerging markets. The historic lack of investment in exploration, coupled with the fact that established mines have started to run out is leading to a supply constraint. The demand/supply equation continues to drive the prices of commodities and as a result the mining industry as a whole is emerging financially stronger and poised for growth. FINANCIAL ROADBLOCKS In spite of steady commodity prices, Australian junior miners face the challenge of financing their projects. Junior mining shares are still being traded in sluggish volumes which act as a deterrent to investors. Banks and shareholders prefer to invest in better capitalized companies as long as the global outlook r emains uncertain. Since junior mining firms need to

provide reasonably continuous news for sustained investor interest, investors are cautious of statements that could overstate the potential or current status of a pr operty. The deals that do take place are generally of small amounts for a short time period, ar ound three to six months. The cheap valuations ar e expected to cause many juniors to hesitate while fundraising due to the fear of dilutions. For example, Austrasia International Mining, an Australian junior miner, has withdrawn plans to list on the stock exchange due to challenging conditions on the financial markets. The cheap valuations would normally be expected to lure mining majors but the global diversified miners such as Anglo American and Xstrata have substantial capital commitments for 2012. Further, global mining majors are riddled with full project pipelines and are concerned about cost overruns at new pr ojects. Such a situation is expected to continue as long as there are doubts regarding a Greek default, recession in Europe, higher inflation and unemployment in the industry. It is expected that the scenario will change once global macroeconomic activity stabilizes. Additionally, Australian junior miners face the challenge of funding and structuring large infrastructure projects. Historically, such projects have been either funded by the government or by infrastructur e investors. Currently, government spending on infrastructure has decreased and private investors demand increased rate of return for such investments. In such a scenario, global diversified miners such as BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto are using their own funds to develop and control infrastructure, such as road, railways and port facilities. However, this is not feasible for smaller mining firms. INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCE SOLUTIONS Junior mining companies could look into establishing Special Purpose Vehicles or participating in multi-party financing to acquire interests in mining infrastructure, such as the case of Port Waratah Coal Handling Services. Another example of such a scenario is the plan to develop an open access railway in Pilbara by Atlas Iron and QR National. It must be noted, however, that this kind of agreement could become quite complex since competing user priorities, tax considerations and issues regarding control can lead to pr oblems between investors, ultimately resulting in project delays. Other ways by which smaller mining companies could raise finance for infrastructur e projects include inviting contractors bidding for infrastructure projects to invest equity in order to obtain a favorable outcome on their bids, and considering Private Public Partnerships (PPP) in order to raise funds. TAXATION ISSUES Australia will intr oduce a Minerals Resour ce Rent Tax (MRRT) from July 1, 2012. The tax, which applies in full to miners whose profits exceed Aus$125 million annually, will exempt miners whose annual profits are below Aus$75 million. The tax will be applied in a phased manner for companies whose pr ofits lie between Aus$75 million and Aus$125 million. It is expected that global diversified miners will account for 90% of the revenue generated by the tax. However, it is estimated that smaller mining companies will be paying a higher effective tax rate than the larger miners and there is a feeling among many juniors that there is considerable scope to provide small and emerging miners with a higher tax shield, as compar ed to that provided to larger mining companies. RECOGNIZING that action is needed to address the decline in minerals exploration in Australia, the Association of Mining & Exploration Companies (AMEC) has welcomed the announcement that all Australian energy and resources ministers have agreed to develop a National Exploration Strategy to addr ess Australia’s greenfields exploration challenge. AMEC’s CEO Simon Bennison says, “Australia is now in competition with every jurisdiction globally that per - mits and encourages exploration. In fact, Australia’s share of global exploration is not increasing and we need to ensure we have the inventory of producing mines for the longer term as well as worldclass discoveries in both new greenfields areas and under cover.” Australian Junior Explorers SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Mining companies have a responsibility towards making their activities more sustainable. A company’ s policy towar ds the environment, human rights and indigenous peoples’ rights, workplace health and safety, and community helps to build trust with shareholders, actively managing risks, maximizing the positive effects of their operations and embracing inter national best practices in non-financial matters. The junior miners spend more money on exploration than any other sector in the industry. For the past few years exploration has focused on remote parts of Australia, where the enforcement of envir onmental and other regulations may be inconsistent. As compared to large mining companies, which have the experience, policies and resources necessary to avoid the adverse environmental and human rights impact, junior miners can rarely match the capacity and of larger companies. INVESTING ABROAD Australian junior miners are increasingly investing in exploration in Africa and South America, and to a lesser extent in Asia. Currently, there are about 500 Australian mining and oil projects in Africa and ar ound 200 Australian mining projects in South America. Though global mining majors alr eady have operations in both continents, it is expected that smaller mining firms will increasingly invest in projects in emerging economies. The biggest challenges facing Australian junior miners in setting up investments in Africa and South America ar e resource nationalism, domestic disputes and poor infrastructure. ACTION NEEDED TO ADDRESS DECLINE IN EXPLORATION AMEC is the peak national industry representative body for mineral exploration and mining companies within Australia with mor e than 360 members. “The development of a National Exploration Strategy is an essential policy initiative to reverse the current trend in the decline in the share of greenfields exploration. A crucial element of such a strategy will be the need to consider mechanisms to encourage investment in minerals exploration, such as the Exploration T ax Credit model previously proposed by AMEC which is a hybrid of the Canadian Flow Through Shares, tax cr edits and dividend imputation schemes,” Simon Bennison says. July/August 2011 | ASIA Miner | 47

By Krishnan Narayan, research analyst for Beroe Inc.<br />

THE global economic downtur n in 2008/09<br />

was terrible for <strong>junior</strong> mining firms. <strong>The</strong> global<br />

exploration expenditure dropped from<br />

US$14.4 billion in 2008 to US$8.4 billion in<br />

2009, the largest ever year-on-year drop. During<br />

this period, the share of total exploration<br />

expenditure among <strong>junior</strong> mining companies<br />

fell to 40%, the first time it had dr opped<br />

below that of the global mining majors since<br />

2004. <strong>The</strong> challenging market conditions and<br />

turbulent global economy led to a sever e<br />

shortage of equity financing for the mining industry<br />

and <strong>junior</strong> miners found their ability to<br />

raise funds severely curtailed.<br />

Junior mining companies typically derive<br />

the majority of their funding from investors or<br />

by selling shares and are focused on the discovery<br />

and development of minerals. Further,<br />

their market capitalization is generally less<br />

than US$500 million and they possess only<br />

around one or two pr oducing operations.<br />

Currently, there are more than 1200 <strong>junior</strong> mining<br />

and exploration companies listed on the<br />

46 | <strong>ASIA</strong> <strong>Miner</strong> | July/August 2011<br />

Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX), mor e than<br />

500 on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX),<br />

more than 150 on the London Stock<br />

Exchange (LSE & AIM) and more than 20 on<br />

the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE).<br />

<strong>The</strong> vast majority of mineral deposit discoveries<br />

are made by <strong>junior</strong> mining companies<br />

with the key reasons being a thorough knowledge<br />

of local geology, access to equity and<br />

land, the availability of experienced experts,<br />

and an ability to execute decisions rapidly<br />

since they ar e not bogged down by bureaucratic<br />

red tape. Consequently, a large<br />

number of mineral deposits, which ar e the<br />

world’s future mines, are owned by <strong>junior</strong> mining<br />

companies. When global mining majors<br />

seek to replace existing reserves or expand<br />

their asset base, a key strategy is to acquir e<br />

low cost, long life deposits fr om <strong>junior</strong>s or<br />

simply to acquire the <strong>junior</strong>s. Rio T into’s acquisition<br />

of Riversdale Mining in 2011 for<br />

US$3.9 billion and BHP Billiton’s acquisition<br />

of Athabasca Potash for US$341 million in<br />

<strong>The</strong>re are many challenges facing Australian <strong>junior</strong><br />

<strong>explorers</strong> and miners, who in many ways are the<br />

backbone of the global mining industry.<br />

CHALLENGES FACED BY<br />

Australia’s <strong>junior</strong> <strong>explorers</strong><br />

2010 are examples of this trend.<br />

In 2012, as other industries continue to face<br />

challenges caused by uncertain r ecovery<br />

from the global financial crisis, the demand<br />

for commodities is being driven primarily by<br />

emerging markets. <strong>The</strong> historic lack of investment<br />

in exploration, coupled with the fact<br />

that established mines have started to run out<br />

is leading to a supply constraint. <strong>The</strong> demand/supply<br />

equation continues to drive the<br />

prices of commodities and as a result the mining<br />

industry as a whole is emerging financially<br />

stronger and poised for growth.<br />

FINANCIAL ROADBLOCKS<br />

In spite of steady commodity prices, Australian<br />

<strong>junior</strong> miners face the challenge of financing<br />

their projects. Junior mining shares are still<br />

being traded in sluggish volumes which act as<br />

a deterrent to investors. Banks and shareholders<br />

prefer to invest in better capitalized companies<br />

as long as the global outlook r emains<br />

uncertain. Since <strong>junior</strong> mining firms need to

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