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FIGURE 5: Foreign direct investments in SEE<br />

% of GDP<br />

18<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

The current account deficit of national governments has tended to increase in<br />

all SEE countries as a consequence of reduced aid flow, the rise in oil <strong>and</strong> commodity<br />

prices, <strong>and</strong> greater imports of goods triggered by credit growth. In recent<br />

years the account balance was positive only in Kosovo (as defined under UNSCR<br />

1244). The trade account deficit also remains relatively high due to the orientation<br />

of national economies towards imports. Foreign direct investment saw a significant<br />

boost in the region, driven by large purchase deals, privatisation processes<br />

<strong>and</strong> growing interest on the part of investors in the financial, construction <strong>and</strong><br />

manufacturing sectors (EBRD website).<br />

The region’s mid-term macroeconomic outlook remains favourable <strong>and</strong> is dependent<br />

on the maintenance of internal <strong>and</strong> regional stability, the continuation of<br />

structural re<strong>for</strong>ms, re<strong>for</strong>ms in the business <strong>and</strong> labour sectors, market liberalisation,<br />

infrastructural restructuring, <strong>and</strong> the privatisation of strategic enterprises (EBRD<br />

website). Reduced state intervention, the stimulation of private sector development,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the re<strong>for</strong>m of the public administration <strong>and</strong> judiciary system should also be addressed<br />

in country-specific mid- <strong>and</strong> long-term development plans <strong>and</strong> strategies.<br />

C H A P T E R 4<br />

E C O N O M I C D E V E L O P M E N T A N D T H E E U A C C E S S I O N P R O C E S S<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Albania Bosnia <strong>and</strong><br />

Herzegovina<br />

Croatia FYR<br />

Macedonia<br />

Montenegro Serbia<br />

Source: IMF country reports, national banks, Eurostat, national <strong>and</strong> federal statistical offices, the World Bank, NCB, SEE ministries of finance<br />

S T R AT E G I C M O V E S 73

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