Strategic Moves - Regional Environmental Center for Central and ...
Strategic Moves - Regional Environmental Center for Central and ...
Strategic Moves - Regional Environmental Center for Central and ...
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FIGURE 5: Foreign direct investments in SEE<br />
% of GDP<br />
18<br />
16<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
The current account deficit of national governments has tended to increase in<br />
all SEE countries as a consequence of reduced aid flow, the rise in oil <strong>and</strong> commodity<br />
prices, <strong>and</strong> greater imports of goods triggered by credit growth. In recent<br />
years the account balance was positive only in Kosovo (as defined under UNSCR<br />
1244). The trade account deficit also remains relatively high due to the orientation<br />
of national economies towards imports. Foreign direct investment saw a significant<br />
boost in the region, driven by large purchase deals, privatisation processes<br />
<strong>and</strong> growing interest on the part of investors in the financial, construction <strong>and</strong><br />
manufacturing sectors (EBRD website).<br />
The region’s mid-term macroeconomic outlook remains favourable <strong>and</strong> is dependent<br />
on the maintenance of internal <strong>and</strong> regional stability, the continuation of<br />
structural re<strong>for</strong>ms, re<strong>for</strong>ms in the business <strong>and</strong> labour sectors, market liberalisation,<br />
infrastructural restructuring, <strong>and</strong> the privatisation of strategic enterprises (EBRD<br />
website). Reduced state intervention, the stimulation of private sector development,<br />
<strong>and</strong> the re<strong>for</strong>m of the public administration <strong>and</strong> judiciary system should also be addressed<br />
in country-specific mid- <strong>and</strong> long-term development plans <strong>and</strong> strategies.<br />
C H A P T E R 4<br />
E C O N O M I C D E V E L O P M E N T A N D T H E E U A C C E S S I O N P R O C E S S<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />
Albania Bosnia <strong>and</strong><br />
Herzegovina<br />
Croatia FYR<br />
Macedonia<br />
Montenegro Serbia<br />
Source: IMF country reports, national banks, Eurostat, national <strong>and</strong> federal statistical offices, the World Bank, NCB, SEE ministries of finance<br />
S T R AT E G I C M O V E S 73