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Population, territory and sustainable development

The purpose of this document is to provide an overview of current trends, contexts and issues in the spheres of population, territory and sustainable development and examine their public policy implications. Three themes run through the report. The first two are laid out in the empirical chapters (III through X); the third is taken up in the closing chapter. Using the most recent data available (including censuses conducted in the 2010s), the first theme describes and tracks location and spatial mobility patterns for the population of Latin America, focusing on certain kinds of territory. The second explores the linkages between these patterns and sustainable development in different kinds of territory in Latin America and the Caribbean. The third offers considerations and policy proposals for fostering a consistent, synergistic relationship between population location and spatial mobility, on the one hand, and sustainable development, on the other, in the kinds of territory studied.

The purpose of this document is to provide an overview of current trends, contexts and issues in the spheres of population, territory and sustainable development and examine their public policy implications. Three themes run through the report. The first two are laid out in the empirical chapters (III through X); the third is taken up in the closing chapter. Using the most recent data available (including censuses conducted in the 2010s), the first theme describes and tracks location and spatial mobility patterns for the population of Latin America, focusing on certain kinds of territory. The second explores the linkages between these patterns and sustainable development in different kinds of territory in Latin America and the Caribbean. The third offers considerations and policy proposals for fostering a consistent, synergistic relationship between population location and spatial mobility, on the one hand, and sustainable development, on the other, in the kinds of territory studied.

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theory coming out of the region was that rural-urban migration would continue even under adverse or<br />

uncertain scenarios for the migrants leaving rural areas. Even further, the outcome for the migrants was<br />

systemically regarded as irrelevant, insofar as the aggregate functionality of migration was based on<br />

“maintaining an abundant labour reserve in the capitalist industrial society” (Martine, 1979, pp. 15–16).<br />

This pointed to a natural, albeit sometimes hidden, interest on the part of the region’s dominant social<br />

actors in continuing to promote urbanization driven by migration from the countryside, even under<br />

precarious conditions for the new city residents.<br />

One of the contributions of the so-called Latin American approach to internal migration, which<br />

came to be very influential <strong>and</strong> widely recognized in the 1960s <strong>and</strong> 1970s, was to question the potential<br />

for retaining the rural population through modernization programmes <strong>and</strong> improvements in living<br />

conditions in the Latin American countryside (CLACSO, 1972), because such programmes ultimately<br />

reinforced the tendency to migrate by generating expectations in terms of employment, education <strong>and</strong><br />

cultural opportunities that could only be satisfied in the cities. Conceptual <strong>and</strong> policy ambivalence in the<br />

face of rural-urban migration, plus the complexity of any attempt at intervention, were behind the<br />

imbalance between robust policy discourse <strong>and</strong> academic research <strong>and</strong> weak policies <strong>and</strong> programmes.<br />

The most promising initiatives (albeit with no guaranteed impact as to retention), such as those oriented<br />

toward improving l<strong>and</strong> distribution via agrarian reform <strong>and</strong> strengthening the role of communities <strong>and</strong><br />

producer associations by promoting agricultural cooperatives, were fostered <strong>and</strong> implemented to serve<br />

other objectives related to social transformation <strong>and</strong> revolution, <strong>and</strong> they were very dependent on the<br />

correlation of political forces within the countries. For different reasons, their implementation fell short<br />

on a number of levels, which ultimately eroded the results not only in terms of agricultural output <strong>and</strong><br />

productivity, but also with regard to the formation of a dynamic rural sector. Worse still, almost all the<br />

military coups staged in the region before the 1980s (after which time there were very few) were<br />

conservative in nature. One of their first measures was to reverse these policies, curtailing their long-term<br />

effect on rural emigration.<br />

Beyond the conceptual debate, the actual experience of the region’s countries <strong>and</strong> cities began to<br />

make the pessimists look right as the signs of strain became increasingly visible <strong>and</strong> the cities outgrew<br />

their capacity to productively absorb their endless expansion, in large part driven by immigrants from<br />

rural areas. These concerns snowballed, <strong>and</strong> they were magnified when two interrelated events shook the<br />

region in the early 1980s. The first was the so-called debt crisis, which had a severe effect on all<br />

economic <strong>and</strong> social actors by jeopardizing the solvency of the State <strong>and</strong> was followed by a widespread<br />

economic crisis <strong>and</strong> a sharp contraction in sectoral <strong>and</strong> social spending. The second was the response of<br />

most countries to this crisis, which consisted of ab<strong>and</strong>oning the earlier <strong>development</strong> strategy <strong>and</strong><br />

replacing it with one geared towards economic deregulation, privatization of public assets <strong>and</strong> export<br />

promotion in sectors with immediate comparative advantages, typically commodities. This change was<br />

accompanied by severe structural adjustments marked by budgetary restrictions, wage freezes, rate<br />

increases, a decrease in investment in public services, government payroll cut-backs <strong>and</strong> the sell-off of<br />

State-owned enterprises.<br />

The <strong>development</strong> model underpinning urbanization thus came to a crisis <strong>and</strong> was replaced by a<br />

model with a very different sectoral focus (tradable commodities over manufactures) <strong>and</strong> what would<br />

seem to be a shift in territorial preferences. The locus of the promoted sectors —basically, the<br />

countryside, mines, forests <strong>and</strong> aquifers located in rural areas— was far from the large cities <strong>and</strong> the<br />

urban environment. It is not surprising, therefore, that metropolises, cities, <strong>and</strong> the urban setting in general<br />

underwent a weakening that was both objective <strong>and</strong> symbolic. It was objective in that metropolises <strong>and</strong><br />

cities were hit especially hard by the economic crisis as unemployment <strong>and</strong> poverty levels rose,<br />

government budgets were slashed <strong>and</strong> social services shrank even more (IDB, 2011; Rodríguez <strong>and</strong>

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