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50thKaikoura05 -1- Kaikoura 2005 CHARACTERISATION OF NEW ...

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shallow water, may be capable of generating<br />

damaging tsunami waves. Whilst there have been<br />

few studies to model landslide tsunami in New<br />

Zealand (e.g., Magill, 2001; Walters et al.,<br />

submitted), NIWA is developing a growing<br />

database of submarine landslide distribution and<br />

geomorphologies derived from high-resolution<br />

multibeam bathymetry data. These data offer an<br />

opportunity to evaluate landslides as a potential<br />

source of tsunami waves.<br />

Studies by other workers (Watts et al., 2003)<br />

involving simple laboratory experiments of slope<br />

failure, derived empirical relationships between<br />

landslide geometry, water depth, various slope<br />

parameters, and the initial tsunami wave height<br />

generated from the draw down of the ocean surface<br />

over a submarine landslide failure. Whilst there are<br />

severe limitations in such an approach, and<br />

consequently very large uncertainties in the tsunami<br />

wave heights at the source, these relationships have<br />

been applied to real field examples on continental<br />

margins (e.g., McAdoo et al. 2000, McAdoo &<br />

Watts, 2004, de Lange & Moon, 2004). Although<br />

simplistic the approach offers a method of rapidly<br />

approximating the potential tsunami wave heights<br />

from a large landslide population.<br />

In this study we apply these empirical relationships<br />

to evaluate tsunami wave heights generated at the<br />

source of landslides, by analyzing the<br />

geomorphology of a subset of nearly 300 landslide<br />

failures recognised in Cook Strait and the Bay of<br />

Plenty. The landslides studied are from a wide<br />

range of water depths, from about 100 m to > 2000<br />

m, and the majority has surface areas of < 5 km 2 .<br />

The method involves the measurement, within an<br />

ESRI ArcGIS framework, of a number of the<br />

landslide scar parameters from bathymetric DTMs,<br />

including maximum width, length, thickness via the<br />

head scarp height, slope angle, and water depth.<br />

The height of the initial tsunami waves were<br />

calculated using an empirical relationship<br />

developed for translational slides.<br />

The results of the calculations indicate initial drawdown<br />

tsunami wave heights of up to 6 m at the<br />

source of the landslides. Tsunami experts at NIWA<br />

suggest the uncertainties on the wave heights may<br />

be as much as a factor of three. In the absence of<br />

dating of individual landslides, we constructed<br />

relationships between frequency (annual rate of<br />

return) and initial wave height, by estimating a<br />

range of return times that might conceivably cover<br />

the entire populations studied. We correlated these<br />

relationships with an estimate of initial wave height<br />

for the giant Ruatoria Landslide, and we note<br />

differences between the Cook Strait and Bay of<br />

Plenty populations. Our study is strictly limited to<br />

the initial wave heights at the landslide sources and<br />

does not consider the propagation, amplification,<br />

and attenuation of the waves approaching the coast.<br />

POSTER<br />

TOWARDS A CLIMATE EVENT<br />

STRATIGRAPHY FOR <strong>NEW</strong> ZEALAND<br />

OVER THE PAST 30,000 YEARS<br />

D.J.A. Barrell 1 , B.V. Alloway 2 ,J.Shulmeister 3 ,<br />

R.M. Newnham 4 and other contributors to the<br />

NZ-INTIMATE Project (P.C. Almond; P.C.<br />

Augustinus; N. Bertler; C. Briggs; L. Carter;<br />

C.H. Hendy; N.J. Litchfield; D.J. Lowe; B.<br />

Manighetti; M.S. McGlone; A.S. Palmer; H.<br />

Rother; P. Shane; R.P. Suggate;<br />

P.J. Tonkin; M.J. Vandergoes; P.W. Williams) 5<br />

1 GNS Science, Private Bag 1930, Dunedin.<br />

2 GNS Science, P.O. Box 30-368, Lower Hutt.<br />

3 Department of Geological Sciences, University of<br />

Canterbury, Christchurch.<br />

4 School of Geography, University of Plymouth,<br />

Plymouth PL4 8AA, United Kingdom.<br />

5 Contact details of all authors can be found at<br />

www.paleoclimate.org.nz<br />

(d.barrell*gns.cri.nz)<br />

A poster summarizing representative evidence for<br />

environmental conditions and climate change in<br />

New Zealand during the past 30,000 years is an<br />

initial contribution to the INTIMATE (INTegration<br />

of Ice-core, MArine and TErrestrial records)<br />

initiative of the INQUA (International Union for<br />

Quaternary Research) Paleoclimate Commission.<br />

The aim of this international initiative is to improve<br />

knowledge of the nature, timing and regional-toglobal<br />

extent of climatic and environmental<br />

changes that have occurred since the Last<br />

Glaciation.<br />

The poster depicts key New Zealand onshore and<br />

offshore records that include the Last Glacial<br />

Maximum and/or the Last Glacial-Interglacial<br />

Transition from a variety of latitudes and<br />

elevations. Inset maps show New Zealand’s<br />

oceanographic setting, extent of glaciers, and<br />

distribution of vegetation zones at approximately<br />

22,000 calendar years ago and at modern times<br />

(incorporating the inferred vegetation distribution at<br />

c. 1250 AD, before deforestation associated with<br />

human settlement). The calendar-age timescale is<br />

based on a combination of volcanic ash (tephra)<br />

and radiometric dates. Ice core records from<br />

Antarctica and Greenland are shown for<br />

comparison with New Zealand records.<br />

High-resolution records are derived from sedimentfilled<br />

volcanic craters in Auckland (total carbon,<br />

carbon isotopes and pollen), wetlands in northeast<br />

North Island, central North Island and western<br />

South Island (pollen), marine sediments off eastern<br />

North Island (oxygen isotopes), and stalagmites in<br />

caves in northwest South Island (carbon and<br />

oxygen isotopes). In addition, the poster includes a<br />

50 th <strong>Kaikoura</strong>05 -4- <strong>Kaikoura</strong> <strong>2005</strong>

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