pyroclastic activity starts generating long-runout massflows. Edifice growth is ultimately limited to a critical point at which it fails. Past cones were probably similar to the current edifice, built primarily from voluminous unconsolidated pyroclastic deposits, making them susceptible to large-scale, deep-seated failures. Currently we appear to be near the end of the edifice growth phase. Understanding the cyclic nature of this record, including redefining the number of cycles will be critical for developing realistic probabilistic hazard models. Forecasting models can be refined by considering not just return periods of debris avalanches but also the preconditioning of the edifice to failure, and the type and nature of other hazards at different parts of the cycle. ORAL 50 th <strong>Kaikoura</strong>05 -100- <strong>Kaikoura</strong> <strong>2005</strong>
Adams CJ.................................................................1, 18 Alexander C.................................................................64 Allibone A .........................................................1, 89, 90 Alloway BV.............................................................4, 49 Almond P ...........................................................4, 43, 86 Amos C ........................................................................61 Arculus RJ ...................................................................31 Arnot M........................................................................23 Augustinus PC...............................................................4 Baggs RA.......................................................................2 Baldwin SL ............................................................46, 67 Bani P...........................................................................20 Bannister JM..................................................................2 Bannister S...............................................................8, 98 Barker D.........................................................................3 Barnes PM ...........................................................3, 8, 42 Barrell DJA..........................................................4, 5, 18 Barrett PJ....................................................... 5, 6, 55, 96 Bassett KN .................................................. 7, 10, 54, 76 Bateman L....................................................................60 Beanland S ...................................................................55 Bear T.............................................................................7 Beavan J.......................................................................92 Bebbington M..............................................................90 Beck R............................................................................1 Beetham D ...................................................................55 Begg J...........................................................................65 Bennett E ....................................................................62 Bennett VC ..................................................................33 Benson A........................................................................8 Berg JH ........................................................................33 Berrill JB......................................................................10 Berryman K ....................... 5, 16, 24, 55, 83, 92, 94, 95 Bertler N ........................................................................4 Beu AG ........................................................................17 Bland KJ ........................................................................2 Bodger KL .....................................................................8 Bolhar R.........................................................................9 Bradshaw JD................................................................10 Bradshaw M.................................................................76 Brichau S......................................................................74 Briggs C .........................................................................4 Briggs RM ...................................................................75 Browne G.....................................................................62 Buech F ........................................................................10 Bull WB .......................................................................11 Burbank DW................................................................61 Burke R ........................................................................86 Butland C .....................................................................60 Campbell HJ ............................................... 1, 12, 18, 85 Campbell K..................................................................62 Carroll S.........................................................................1 Carter L ...........................................4, 12, 50, 55, 64, 96 Carter R........................................................................35 Author Index Carter RM ..............................................................13, 14 Cashman KV ...............................................................68 Cave M...................................................................14, 15 Chadwick WW ............................................................98 Charley D.....................................................................20 Clark M ........................................................................47 Cleverley JS.................................................................63 Cochran UA.............................................. 16, 35, 94, 95 Cole JW..................................................................32, 95 Cole-Baker J ................................................................16 Collot J-Y.....................................................................39 Cook C ...................................................................29, 70 Cooke PJ ......................................................... 16, 17, 57 Cooper A......................................................................78 Cooper RA...................................................................17 Cox SC.........................................................................18 Crampton JS .................................17, 19, 20, 35, 73, 77 Crimp R........................................................................20 Cronin SJ ......................... 20, 21, 58, 68, 69, 71, 90, 99 Crouch EM .............................................. 22, 23, 27, 73 Crundwell M................................................................23 Daczko N .......................................................................1 Dalbey K ......................................................................71 Davies G ......................................................................56 Davies TR ..............................................................10, 67 Davis K ........................................................................61 Dawson S .....................................................................50 de Ronde CEJ ........................................................31, 98 Dellow GD...................................................................24 DeVaughn AM ............................................................50 Dickens GR..................................................................37 Doyle LR......................................................................24 Dunbar G......................................................................55 Duncan R .....................................................................43 Dunkin M.....................................................................47 Eagle MK.....................................................................25 Eggins SM ...................................................................98 Eusden JD ....................................................................26 Ewig E..........................................................................26 Faure K .......................................................................30 Field B....................................................... 20, 22, 27, 91 Finney B.......................................................................29 Fitzgerald P............................................................46, 67 Flintoft M.....................................................................60 Fohrmann M ................................................................27 Foley SF.......................................................................69 Fraser H........................................................................90 Funnell R .....................................................................91 Gaiger FJ................................................................28, 60 Gamble J A ..................................................... 33, 70, 98 George R......................................................... 29, 70, 91 Gessner K.....................................................................74 Ghisetti FC...................................................................29 Glodny J.......................................................................74 50 th <strong>Kaikoura</strong>05 -101- <strong>Kaikoura</strong> <strong>2005</strong>
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