TECHNOLOGY AT WORK
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February 2015<br />
Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & Solutions<br />
89<br />
Public investment in promising technologies<br />
for the future could help drive job creation<br />
The surging cost of education is the main<br />
hurdle for workers to adapt to technological<br />
change<br />
The digital age can help to transform<br />
education by lowering costs<br />
MOOCs have already started the<br />
transformation<br />
Predicting the type of new jobs that will emerge is notoriously difficult. Nobody in the<br />
early 20th century would have predicted many of the jobs and industries we have<br />
today, including software engineering, tourism and nanotechnology. Yet, we do have<br />
some idea of the type of jobs that are emerging. Big data architects, cloud services<br />
specialists, iOS developers, digital marketing specialists, and data scientists, are all<br />
occupations that barely existed on LinkedIn only five years ago, resulting from new<br />
technologies. 143 Public investment in promising technologies for the future could<br />
help drive job creation too. Solar energy systems engineers, wind energy engineers,<br />
informatics nurse specialists, bioinformatics scientists, and biomass plant<br />
technicians are new and emerging occupational titles, where public spending could<br />
help facilitate new job creation. To be sure, these are all very different jobs, but they<br />
share one common characteristic: they are significantly more skilled than most jobs<br />
of the past. Although education alone is unlikely to solve the problem of surging<br />
inequality, it remains the most important factor.<br />
Transforming Education<br />
While the concern over technological unemployment has so far proven to be<br />
exaggerated, the reason why human labour has prevailed relates to its ability to<br />
acquire new skills. Yet this will become increasingly challenging as new work<br />
requires a higher degree of cognitive abilities. At a time when technological change<br />
is happening even faster, a main hurdle for workers to adapt is thus the surging<br />
costs of education. In Europe, for example, education is increasingly putting<br />
pressure on government budgets, leading countries like Britain to pass on a growing<br />
share of the costs to students. In America, this has been common practice for some<br />
time — public American universities increased their fees by 27% between 2007 and<br />
2012, while fees in private non-profit universities rose by 28% over the course of the<br />
decade leading up to 2012. Alarmingly, American student debt now amounts to $1.2<br />
trillion, leaving many students with gloomy future prospects as they enter a faltering<br />
labour market. 144<br />
Much of the recent surge in fees stems from an increasing share of resources being<br />
absorbed by administration. According to The Goldwater Institute, the cost of<br />
administration among America’s leading universities has been growing substantially<br />
faster than budgets for teaching and research activities: between 1993 and 2007<br />
the number of teachers and research staff per 100 students grew by 18%, while the<br />
number of full-time administrators surged by 39%.<br />
Fortunately, in the way the digital age is transforming the world of work, it can help<br />
transform education as well. Cost reductions to make education more accessible,<br />
without putting additional pressure on government budgets, can be achieved<br />
through online education. At Georgia Tech, for example, a new online master’s<br />
degree in computing costs less than a third of an on-campus degree — $7,000<br />
instead of $25,000. 145 Costs are also likely to decrease further as online education<br />
makes more big data readily available, allowing an increasing share of<br />
administration work to be automated.<br />
To be sure, MOOCs (Massive Open Online Courses) are already transforming both<br />
schools and higher education. The virtual Khan Academy, for example, already has<br />
about 10 million users, making it the world’s largest school. Yet, red tape often<br />
inhibits the diffusion of new educational models. For example, a key challenge in<br />
the US for education technology companies remains distribution. Vendors in the US<br />
143 Frey (2014)<br />
144 The Economist (2014).<br />
145 Ibid.<br />
© 2015 Citigroup