WGM#38 NOV/DEC 2015
The Macau gaming industry is synonymous with junkets. First started by none other than Stanley Ho in the 1960s, these junkets and the VIP gamblers they provide have played a vital role in Macau’s rise over the past decade. However, the recent downturn has changed the landscape in this unique part of the world with the junket business suffering more than any other and a number of VIP rooms being forced to close in Macau over the past 12 months. So what does the future hold? In this issue of WGM, we speak exclusively to the Chairman of one of Macau’s biggest junket operators Tak Chun Group, Mr Levo Chan, about the current gaming climate, his expectations for the coming years and why Tak Chun has expanded while other junkets have slowed right down. Poker fans will enjoy our lengthy and intriguing interview with World Series of Poker (WSOP) Tournament Director Jack Effel who explains just how much goes into organizing the world’s biggest tournament series each and every year as well as regaling us with some of his favorite stories from the past. We tackle the smoking debate as Macau’s legislators decide whether to allow smoking in specially designated smoking lounges or ban the habit altogether, while our responsible gambling series sees us visit one of Macau’s main problem gambling treatment centres. In sport, we look at Manchester United’s big gamble on teen star Anthony Martial as well as examining which of the world’s major sports would benefit most from cracking the lucrative Chinese market. And our resident party animal tells us all about one of Macau’s newest trendy nightspots – Ritz-Carlton Bar & Lounge.
The Macau gaming industry is synonymous with junkets. First started by none other than Stanley Ho in the 1960s, these junkets and the VIP gamblers they provide have played a vital role in Macau’s rise over the past decade.
However, the recent downturn has changed the landscape in this unique part of the world with the junket business suffering more than any other and a number of VIP rooms being forced to close in Macau over the past 12 months. So what does the future hold? In this issue of WGM, we speak exclusively to the Chairman of one of Macau’s biggest junket operators Tak Chun Group, Mr Levo Chan, about the current gaming climate, his expectations for the coming years and why Tak Chun has expanded while other junkets have slowed right down.
Poker fans will enjoy our lengthy and intriguing interview with World Series of Poker (WSOP) Tournament Director Jack Effel who explains just how much goes into organizing the world’s biggest tournament series each and every year as well as regaling us with some of his favorite stories from the past.
We tackle the smoking debate as Macau’s legislators decide whether to allow smoking in specially designated smoking lounges or ban the habit altogether, while our responsible gambling series sees us visit one of Macau’s main problem gambling treatment centres.
In sport, we look at Manchester United’s big gamble on teen star Anthony Martial as well as examining which of the world’s major sports would benefit most from cracking the lucrative Chinese market.
And our resident party animal tells us all about one of Macau’s newest trendy nightspots – Ritz-Carlton Bar & Lounge.
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牌 中 玄 机 : 探 索 百 家 乐 之 “ 路 ”( 第 二 部 分 ) Fate in the cards: understanding baccarat trends PART 2<br />
那 么 这 里 记 为 红 色<br />
庄 问 路 & 闲 问 路<br />
请 大 家 看 一 下 图 例 十 二 。 在 最 右 边 ( 貔 貅 上 方 )<br />
有 个 小 表 格 , 表 格 中 有 三 个 蓝 色 和 三 个 红 色 标<br />
记 。 我 们 称 这 个 表 格 为 庄 问 路 & 闲 问 路 。 表 格 最<br />
上 方 有 个 红 色 “ 庄 ” 字 以 及 蓝 色 “ 闲 ” 字 。 这 两<br />
个 字 下 面 是 蓝 色 和 红 色 的 中 空 圆 ( 大 眼 仔 )、 实<br />
心 圆 ( 小 路 ) 以 及 斜 杠 ( 曱 甴 路 )。 在 图 例 六 中<br />
碰 巧 “ 庄 ” 字 下 面 都 是 蓝 色 , 而 “ 闲 ” 字 下 面 都<br />
是 红 色 , 但 情 况 不 一 定 这 样 。 它 可 以 看 起 来 像 图<br />
例 十 一 这 样 。<br />
So here it is Red<br />
这 个 表 格 的 目 的 是 显 示 一 旦 知<br />
道 下 手 牌 结 果 ( 庄 赢 或 闲 赢 ) 后 三 条<br />
下 路 中 下 个 标 记 分 别 是 什 么 颜 色 。 注<br />
意 如 果 在 庄 赢 的 情 况 下 下 个 标 记 是 蓝<br />
色 , 那 么 在 闲 赢 的 情 况 下 下 个 标 记 必<br />
定 是 红 色 , 反 之 亦 然 。 玩 家 可 以 参 考<br />
一 条 或 多 条 下 路 中 目 前 的 规 律 , 来 感<br />
觉 在 其 中 一 条 或 多 条 下 路 中 接 下 来 会<br />
出 现 什 么 颜 色 的 标 记 。 这 个 表 格 告 诉<br />
他 们 下 手 牌 如 果 要 在 那 条 路 中 添 加 这<br />
个 颜 色 , 哪 方 ( 庄 家 或 闲 家 ) 必 须 获<br />
胜 。<br />
如 果 此 列 继 续 , 本 应 记 为 蓝 色<br />
Here it would have been Blue<br />
那 么 这 里 记 为 蓝 色<br />
如 果 这 个 表 格 中 某 个 格 子 是 空<br />
的 , 就 意 味 着 那 条 下 路 还 没 有 开 始 ,<br />
并 且 不 会 在 下 手 牌 开 始 。 记 住 , 大 眼<br />
仔 最 早 可 以 开 始 记 录 的 是 第 三 手 牌 ,<br />
小 路 最 早 从 第 四 手 牌 开 始 , 而 曱 甴 路<br />
图 例 十 一 :<br />
庄 问 路 &<br />
闲 问 路<br />
最 早 从 第 五 手 牌 开 始 。 如 果 在 牌 靴 早 期 出 现 庄 家<br />
或 闲 家 连 胜 局 面 , 庄 问 路 & 闲 问 路 表 格 可 能 会 相<br />
当 晚 才 开 始 。<br />
对 “ 路 ” 的 分 析<br />
现 在 解 释 完 五 条 路 如 何 搭 建 之 后 , 百 家 乐 玩 家 如<br />
何 利 用 这 些 路 来 决 定 他 们 的 投 注 呢 ? 每 个 玩 家 的<br />
答 案 都 不 尽 相 同 , 但 有 一 些 共 通 之 处 。 这 就 是 为<br />
什 么 你 常 常 看 到 玩 家 挤 在 一 张 百 家 乐 赌 台 边 , 在<br />
同 一 方 ( 庄 家 或 闲 家 ) 上 投 注 。<br />
在 大 路 和 珠 盘 路 上 , 玩 家 常 常 寻 找 模 式 和<br />
对 称 。<br />
So here it is Blue<br />
THE PREDICTION TABLE<br />
Take a look at figure 12. At the very right there is a small<br />
table with the three blue and three red symbols. I call it the<br />
‘prediction table’. Notice it has a red 庄 Chinese character<br />
(representing banker) and a blue 闲 Chinese character<br />
(representing player) at the heading of the columns. Under<br />
those characters are blue and red hollow circles (for big eye<br />
boy), solid circles (for the small road), and slashes (for the<br />
cockroach road). It just so happens that in figure 6 they are<br />
all blue under banker and all red under player, but they don’t<br />
have to be same colour each side. It can look like figure 11.<br />
The purpose of this table is to show what<br />
colour the next symbol in each of the three<br />
derived roads will be, given the result (banker<br />
or player) of the next hand. Note for all three<br />
derived roads if the colour for the next symbol<br />
given a banker win is blue, then the colour<br />
for the next symbol given a player win must<br />
be red, and vice versa. Players can look at the<br />
trends in one or more of the derived roads,<br />
make a decision about which colour they feel<br />
will next occur in any particular derived road,<br />
and the prediction table tells them which side<br />
(banker or player) must win on the next hand<br />
to make that colour the one to be added to<br />
that particular derived road.<br />
If any cell in the prediction table is blank,<br />
Figure 11: that means that that particular derived road<br />
The prediction has not yet started and will not start on the<br />
table next hand. Remember the earliest hand big<br />
eye boy can start is the third hand, the earliest<br />
hand small road can start is the fourth hand, and the earliest<br />
hand cockroach road can start is the fifth hand, and if there<br />
are long streaks very early in the shoe the predictive roads<br />
may not start until considerably later.<br />
INTERPRETING THE ROADS<br />
Having described how all five roads are created, how do<br />
baccarat players use them to determine their bets? There<br />
are as many different answers to that question as there are<br />
players, but some common themes exist in interpreting<br />
the roads and making betting decisions based on those<br />
interpretations. This is why you often see many players<br />
crowded around a baccarat table, betting on the same side<br />
(banker or player).<br />
In the big road and bead plate, players tend to look for<br />
patterns and symmetry.<br />
如 果 此 列 继 续 , 本 应 记 为 红 色<br />
Here it would have been Red<br />
图 例 十 二 : 大 路 中 出 现<br />
对 称 以 及 珠 盘 路 中 出 现<br />
规 律 的 一 个 例 子<br />
Figure 12:<br />
An example of symmetry<br />
in the big road, and a<br />
pattern in the bead plate.<br />
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