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<strong>THINK</strong><br />

<strong>ACT</strong><br />

BEYOND MAINSTREAM<br />

October 2015<br />

Can European start-ups<br />

crack the code?<br />

How to realize the old continent's digital vision


2 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

THE BIG<br />

3<br />

ROLAND BERGER'S<br />

VISION OF A<br />

DIGITAL EUROPE<br />

P. 16<br />

PLUS<br />

USD 110 bn<br />

is the cumulative value of Europe's unicorns –<br />

start-ups with a value of more than USD 1 billion<br />

each at the start of 2015.<br />

Page 8<br />

USD 6.9 bn<br />

has been raised in the first 6 months of 2015 – an<br />

increase of 86% compared to the same period in 2014.<br />

Page 4<br />

400%<br />

more accelerators and incubators populate the European<br />

start-up ecosystem today than did so in 2007.<br />

Page 12


<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 3<br />

Digital start-ups<br />

It's time to break free<br />

from the US role model.<br />

Europe's start-ups can<br />

crack the code, provided<br />

they make good use of<br />

their own strengths.<br />

It has become rather fashionable to be part of the European<br />

digital start-up scene in recent years. A remarkable<br />

turn of events, given that cyberspace is largely<br />

dominated by American giants on the one hand and<br />

fast-growing Chinese players on the other. Over the<br />

past four decades, Silicon Valley has carved out an imposing<br />

position for itself as the only digital hub model<br />

worth talking about. What Silicon Valley excels in is<br />

convincing the world's entrepreneurs that, if they are<br />

serious about success, they have no alternative but to<br />

come here. Yet genuine avant-garde start-ups are well<br />

advised not to worry too much about the success patterns<br />

of the past. No one is talking about "silicon" anymore<br />

anyway: The new building material is data.<br />

MORE THAN JUST A RACE TO CATCH UP<br />

Europe can do a lot better than simply try to catch up<br />

with the US. The important thing is for it to find its own<br />

digital path. New conditions are changing the game<br />

and spawning new models. The framework is already<br />

in place: The digital revolution is entering a new phase<br />

thanks to a new wave of technological disruption<br />

brought about by big data and cloud computing, 3D<br />

printing, advanced robotics and the internet of things.<br />

Embedded sensors, the practice of implanting processors,<br />

software and connectivity (read: computers) in<br />

products, the existence of a cloud in which product<br />

data is stored and analyzed and certain applications<br />

are run… All these developments are driving dramatic<br />

improvements in product functionality and performance.<br />

And this new phase is reshuffling the pack<br />

across the world's various digital hotspots. Now is<br />

therefore the ideal opportunity for Europe to claim its<br />

fair share of the world's digital economy. A B<br />

Rather than copy American recipes for success, Europe<br />

can now play its own trump cards, building on what<br />

has always made it successful: industrial expertise, diversity<br />

and internationalization.<br />

This is happening already, and European digital<br />

ecosystems have visibly been maturing. The first sign


4 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

A NEW SPECIES OF EUROPEAN<br />

ENTREPRENEUR IS BORN<br />

New aspects have lately been added to the general understanding<br />

of what constitutes entrepreneurial success<br />

in Europe. Traditionally, "true entrepreneurs" were expected<br />

to build a company, earn their living from the<br />

returns and spend the rest of their life caring for it. The<br />

second wave of entrepreneurs that followed – founding<br />

companies, realizing fast growth and selling up after a<br />

few years – has now also become an accepted model. In<br />

addition, many young graduates have acquired new<br />

tastes. For them, building a career no longer means joining<br />

investment banks or consultancies, as many prefer<br />

instead to become entrepreneurs. Those who do so several<br />

times over are treated like stars and are eager to<br />

share their experience. In France, for instance, individuals<br />

such as Pierre Kosciusko-Morizet, founder of<br />

Price-Minister, Marc Simoncini (Meetic), Xavier Niel<br />

(Free), Jacques-Antoine Granjon (vente-privée) and others<br />

are busily investing in start-ups and infrastructures.<br />

Xavier Niel is currently converting the Halle Freyssinet<br />

in Paris with the aim of making it the world's largest incubator<br />

– populated by 1,000 start-ups – in 2016. In Germany,<br />

the Samwer brothers established Rocket Internet<br />

in 2007. This Berlin-based start-up incubator has already<br />

helped launch around 80 companies, including<br />

leading regional online retailers such as Zalando (Europe),<br />

Lamoda (CIS), Lazada (Southeast Asia), Dafiti<br />

(Latin America) and Jumia (Africa).<br />

It is small wonder that successful initial public offerings,<br />

mergers and acquisitions are swelling liquidity<br />

in Europe. Zalando's EUR 5.3 billion IPO in Sepof<br />

this change is, of course, the vitality of the start-up<br />

scene. For some months now, not a day has gone by<br />

without news of yet more significant funds being raised<br />

for European start-ups. In the first half of 2015 European<br />

start-ups raised USD 6.9 bn – 86% more than in<br />

the same period in 2014. C Most successful were<br />

OneWeb (UK), which raised USD 500 million, Spotify<br />

(Sweden, USD 526 million) and Delivery Hero (Germany,<br />

USD 730 million). In France, internet of things specialist<br />

Sigfox raised USD 115 million and automotive<br />

player BlaBlaCar USD 100 million.<br />

"Nobody can build<br />

another Silicon Valley.<br />

Europe's chance is to<br />

score with diversity."<br />

Stefan Glänzer, a German serial entrepreneur<br />

and one of the founders of Passion Capital<br />

Other players are also beginning to enter the European<br />

digital fray. Realizing the importance of digitization,<br />

corporate players are pouring money into venture<br />

capital funds – or creating venture capital funds<br />

of their own. In Germany, Tengelmann Ventures invests<br />

in young companies in the e-commerce, social<br />

commerce and internet-enabling technology sectors.<br />

Telecoms incumbent Deutsche Telekom has created<br />

Deutsche Telekom Capital Partners, which is endowed<br />

with EUR 500 million, while Siemens launched<br />

a new USD 100 million venture capital fund – the Industry<br />

of the Future Fund – at the beginning of 2014.<br />

The latter fund is dedicated to early-stage industrial<br />

start-ups. In France, SNCF, Orange and Total have set<br />

up Ecomobility Ventures as an investment fund to<br />

support innovative mobility development by enhancing<br />

cooperation between start-ups and larger groups.<br />

Air Liquide and Michelin also signed up in 2015.<br />

French telecom provider Orange together with communications<br />

and consulting firm Publicis Groupe<br />

also created a venture fund in 2012.<br />

These and a series of further significant investments<br />

proves that big digital corporates are actively<br />

seeking to stake their claim in terms of European digital<br />

start-up competency. Take Google, for example:<br />

The Mountain View-based giant has opened half a<br />

dozen research centers in Europe. Amazon is likewise<br />

getting in on the act, having launched a brand new<br />

development center in Berlin in 2015.<br />

Strong digital ecosystems do not consist only of<br />

self-organizing business communities, however. They<br />

are also heavily dependent on the regulatory framework,<br />

and intensive discussions on the European digital<br />

market show that this issue is being addressed. Regulators<br />

in Europe are increasingly aware of the<br />

challenge, and the recent debate triggered by Uber and<br />

Airbnb in many European countries has both highlighted<br />

the difficulties and enhanced awareness.


<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 5<br />

Digital start-ups<br />

A<br />

THE EUROPEAN START-UP<br />

LANDSCAPE REVISITED<br />

Rankings, exit growth and financing<br />

FOUR OF THE TOP TWENTY START-UP<br />

ECOSYSTEMS<br />

Berlin, London and Amsterdam climb higher,<br />

Paris holds its ground [ranking]<br />

THE WINNER TAKES… ALMOST 50%!<br />

Berlin sheds its non-exit stigma<br />

[share of exit volume in the top twenty, 2013 & 2014]<br />

Silicon Valley<br />

RANKING<br />

1<br />

Silicon Valley<br />

47.3%<br />

New York City<br />

2<br />

3<br />

London<br />

10.2%<br />

Los Angeles<br />

3<br />

Los Angeles<br />

6.6%<br />

Boston<br />

4<br />

2<br />

Tel Aviv<br />

6.5%<br />

Tel Aviv<br />

5<br />

3<br />

Berlin<br />

6.1%<br />

London<br />

6<br />

1<br />

Boston<br />

5.7%<br />

Chicago<br />

7<br />

3<br />

Chicago<br />

4.5%<br />

Seattle<br />

8<br />

4<br />

New York City<br />

3.6%<br />

Berlin<br />

9<br />

6<br />

Amsterdam<br />

2.5%<br />

Singapore<br />

10<br />

7<br />

Seattle<br />

2.1%<br />

Paris<br />

11<br />

Paris<br />

1.2%<br />

São Paulo<br />

12<br />

1<br />

Austin<br />

1.2%<br />

Moscow<br />

13<br />

1<br />

Singapore<br />

0.8%<br />

Austin<br />

14<br />

NEW<br />

Vancouver<br />

0.5%<br />

Bangalore<br />

15<br />

4<br />

Montreal<br />

0.3%<br />

Sydney<br />

16<br />

4<br />

São Paulo<br />

0.3%<br />

Toronto<br />

17<br />

9<br />

Toronto<br />

0.2%<br />

Vancouver<br />

18<br />

9<br />

Bangalore<br />

0.2%<br />

Amsterdam<br />

19<br />

NEW<br />

Moscow<br />

0.1%<br />

Montreal<br />

20<br />

NEW<br />

Sydney<br />

0.1%<br />

Source: Compass


6 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

B<br />

HYPER-GROWTH MADE IN EUROPE<br />

Berlin – fueled by Rocket and Zalando IPO – leads the field<br />

How hubs relate to average growth: Berlin startups lead the field –<br />

fueled by Rocket and Zalando IPO – 20 times faster than their peers.<br />

TEL AVIV<br />

2X<br />

AMSTERDAM<br />

4X<br />

BERLIN<br />

20X<br />

Hyper-growth = at least two times average growth<br />

Source: Compass<br />

LONDON<br />

3X<br />

BANGALORE<br />

5X<br />

C<br />

A QUESTION OF MONEY<br />

European start-ups open the pockets of venture capitalists<br />

A year-over-year comparison. While the number of French start-ups who opened the pockets of venture capitalists increased<br />

significantly, in Germany, Austria and Switzerland's entrepreneurs managed to harvest the largest volume increase.<br />

154<br />

159<br />

2.5<br />

129<br />

103<br />

1.8<br />

81<br />

44<br />

47<br />

56<br />

0.6<br />

1.0<br />

1.0 1.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

Scandinavia<br />

Germany,<br />

Austria,<br />

Switzerland<br />

UK France Scandinavia Germany,<br />

Austria,<br />

Switzerland<br />

UK<br />

France<br />

Number:<br />

First half of 2014<br />

First half of 2015 Value [USD bn] : First half of 2014 First half of 2015<br />

Source: Les Echos/whogotfunded/clipperton analysis


<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 7<br />

Digital start-ups<br />

tember 2014 and Rocket Internet's EUR 6.5 billion<br />

flotation the following month both went extremely<br />

well. At the same time, the number of very successful<br />

non-public exits that go under the radar is likewise<br />

increasing. One example was the USD 219 million acquisition<br />

of Berlin-based restaurant reservation service<br />

Quandoo by Japan’s Recruit. Another was Microsoft's<br />

USD 100-200 million purchase of German<br />

start-up 6Wunderkinder. Both transactions went<br />

through in 2015. Meanwhile, German sports equipment<br />

brand Adidas has bought Runastic for EUR 240<br />

million, while Berlin-based data specialist Sociomantic<br />

was snapped up by Tesco subsidiary Dunnhumby<br />

(UK) in 2014 for EUR 150 million. These examples<br />

show how large corporate incumbents are increasingly<br />

gaining a foothold in the digital business. One welcome<br />

side-effect is that these mergers have boosted<br />

the prestige of the European start-up scene.<br />

"Legislation will always<br />

create a context for<br />

growth […] but the real<br />

value comes from<br />

connections between<br />

people and a focus and<br />

real desire on solving real<br />

human problems."<br />

Duncan Lamb, design director<br />

at Transferwise.com<br />

NEW BUBBLE? OR NEW GAME?<br />

Some observers fear that history – specifically, the<br />

bursting of the internet bubble in the 2000s – could<br />

repeat itself. And indeed, some signals are pointing in<br />

this direction. Low interest rates, for example, are forcing<br />

investors to seek new sources of return. Yet the<br />

business models of today's European start-ups have<br />

much firmer foundations than their counterparts from<br />

the start of the millennium. This time, there is a real<br />

market: The number of internet users has multiplied<br />

by a factor of ten, spiraling from 300 million in 2000 to<br />

more than three billion in 2015. And this time, the<br />

companies' success is built on returns and not only on<br />

rising stock prices.<br />

The first wave of IT, when computers took the stage<br />

in the 1960s and 1970s, can be referred to as the "hardware<br />

era". The internet triggered the second wave – the<br />

"software and network" era – with its inexpensive and<br />

ubiquitous connectivity in the 1980s and 1990s. Today,<br />

we find ourselves in the middle of the third wave, in<br />

which IT has become an integral part of the product<br />

itself. Digital is now everywhere. It is no longer an end<br />

in itself but has become an enabling technology. Companies<br />

need digital "solutions", i.e. technology that can<br />

be leveraged for this industry or that application. Computing<br />

power keeps accelerating, and producing software<br />

has become comparatively straightforward. The<br />

power of the software is no longer what sets innovations<br />

apart: Putting together intelligence (matching<br />

supply and demand, fostering understanding) and<br />

data is what makes winners, because it drives transactions<br />

and efficiency.<br />

The opportunity is thus there for Europeans to<br />

break free of the American "software monopoly". Companies<br />

like BlaBlaCar and Criteo have already shown<br />

that success is all about data. At first glance, Europe's<br />

digital start-up activities in the B2C environment still<br />

appear to be poles apart from its traditional champions<br />

in the B2B environment. But a closer look reveals<br />

that the gap may be smaller than we think. Forging<br />

smart links between the two worlds can be the making<br />

of Europe's future. In the future, B2B and B2C will be<br />

much more closely aligned than they are today. Added<br />

value will be found in big data algorithms, product design,<br />

marketing, manufacturing and after-sales service<br />

of any kind, where non-digital traditional European<br />

businesses and players possess a wealth of knowledge,<br />

strong brands, very large customer bases, sectoral expertise<br />

and robust supplier networks.<br />

In November 2013, Aileen Lee – founder of Cowboy<br />

Ventures – first used the term "unicorn" to denote<br />

start-ups that have reached a market value of over USD<br />

1 billion. The Bay Area, and especially San Francisco, is<br />

still giving birth to most of them. That said, we note<br />

that unicorns now appear able to flourish and grow in<br />

other ecosystems besides. You may even see some of<br />

this nascent breed on your travels in Europe!


8 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

Can unicorns flourish in<br />

Europe? We revisit four<br />

myths about European<br />

digital start-ups and<br />

reveal insights into an<br />

exciting new species.<br />

The European system of start-up hubs is unique. It is<br />

very different from Silicon Valley and is plotting its<br />

own development trajectory. One of the most obvious<br />

characteristics is its vast geographical spread, with the<br />

UK, Germany, France, the Netherlands and Scandinavia<br />

standing out as the top European regions. Of particular<br />

note are the start-up hubs in Berlin, Paris, London,<br />

Amsterdam and Stockholm. E In today's glocalized<br />

world, the decentralized nature of the European startup<br />

system is a definite advantage.<br />

Admittedly, Europe is still a dwarf in terms of size<br />

and the number of exits. While the cumulative value of<br />

US unicorns is estimated at about USD 700 billion, the<br />

European species is worth only around USD 110 billion<br />

in total. Moreover, not even half of Europe's unicorns<br />

have reached the IPO stage, compared to about two<br />

thirds in the United States. Even so, there are good reasons<br />

to be optimistic about the future of European<br />

start-up development. Most of the recent news emanating<br />

from the unicorn club has been nothing short of<br />

spectacular: In 2014, seven companies completed successful<br />

IPOs, and their ranks are growing fast. In 2015<br />

alone, the number of members increased by 30 percent.<br />

D Size is not everything, however, and there are<br />

positive signs in other areas besides. The future game<br />

could, for example, make qualities such as diversity<br />

and smart collaboration skills more important than<br />

ever. Maybe these qualities will even outweigh some of<br />

the disadvantages in terms of the total value added. In<br />

the future, we expect to see many mid-sized hidden<br />

champion start-ups, just as we saw similar success stories<br />

in Germany's fabled "Mittelstand" in the days before<br />

the digital economy. Think of German start-ups<br />

such as Sociomantics and Rhode-Codes: There may be<br />

more sexy companies out there, but their business<br />

models plug important gaps in the market.


<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 9<br />

Digital start-ups<br />

D<br />

WELCOME TO THE CLUB<br />

The 30 European digital unicorns 1<br />

(independent players or IPOs/acquisitions in 2014 or later)<br />

COMPANY CURRENT HQ INDUSTRY STATUS<br />

Adyen<br />

Netherlands<br />

Financial services<br />

AO World<br />

UK<br />

E-commerce<br />

IPO in 2014<br />

BlaBlaCar<br />

France<br />

Travel<br />

Delivery Hero<br />

Germany<br />

Food delivery<br />

Farfetch<br />

UK<br />

E-commerce<br />

Funding Circle<br />

UK<br />

Financial services<br />

Home24<br />

Germany<br />

E-commerce<br />

Just Eat<br />

UK<br />

Food delivery<br />

IPO in 2014<br />

King.com<br />

Sweden/Ireland<br />

Gaming<br />

IPO in 2014<br />

Klarna<br />

Sweden<br />

Financial services<br />

Kobalt<br />

Sweden<br />

Music<br />

Markit<br />

UK<br />

Data services<br />

IPO in 2014<br />

Mojang<br />

Sweden<br />

Gaming<br />

Acquired by Microsoft in 2014<br />

Powa Technologies<br />

UK<br />

Software<br />

Rocket Internet<br />

Germany<br />

Incubator<br />

IPO in 2014<br />

Rovio Entertainment<br />

Finland<br />

Gaming<br />

Shazam<br />

UK<br />

Music<br />

Skrill<br />

UK<br />

Financial services<br />

Sold to CVC in 2015<br />

Skyscanner<br />

Scotland<br />

Travel<br />

SoundCloud<br />

Germany<br />

Music<br />

Spotify<br />

Sweden<br />

Music<br />

Supercell<br />

Finland<br />

Gaming<br />

Majority-owned by SoftBank<br />

TransferWise<br />

Estonia, UK<br />

Financial services<br />

Ve Interactive<br />

UK<br />

Software<br />

vente-privee<br />

France<br />

E-commerce<br />

Wonga<br />

UK<br />

Financial services<br />

Wooga<br />

Germany<br />

Gaming<br />

Zalando 2<br />

Germany<br />

E-commerce<br />

IPO in 2014<br />

Zendesk<br />

Denmark<br />

Software<br />

IPO in 2014<br />

Zoopla<br />

UK<br />

Real estate<br />

IPO in 2014<br />

Source: Bullhound, Atomico, Roland Berger 1 Market value over USD 1 bn 2 Incubated by Rocket Internet


10 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

E<br />

AN OLD CONTINENT DOTTED<br />

WITH YOUNG DIGITAL START-UPS<br />

The geographic spread is broad and so is the range of innovations:<br />

Top hubs and runners-up form a unique pattern in Europe<br />

LONDON<br />

Old money meets fintech<br />

Strength:<br />

Home to most leading European venture capital<br />

firms (including Balderton Capital, Index Ventures<br />

and DFJ Esprit), English-speaking environment,<br />

traditionally international and diverse city<br />

Weakness:<br />

Cramped and expensive<br />

Focus:<br />

Advertising, finance and healthcare<br />

Examples:<br />

Mind Candy, Wonga,<br />

Funding Circle<br />

Dublin<br />

Amsterdam<br />

Brussels<br />

PARIS<br />

From museum to digital<br />

seeding ground<br />

Strength:<br />

Strong government support via the "tech visa"<br />

and public investment funds, Parisian venture<br />

capital firms among the top three investors in<br />

Europe in the first quarter of 2015<br />

Weakness:<br />

Struggling to shake off a reputation of having<br />

lost its innovative spirit<br />

Focus:<br />

Software<br />

Examples:<br />

Sigfox, BlaBlaCar,<br />

Criteo<br />

Madrid<br />

Barcelona<br />

Front runners<br />

Runners-up<br />

Source: Compass, Wired, Roland Berger


<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 11<br />

Digital start-ups<br />

Oslo<br />

Helsinki<br />

Tallinn<br />

STOCKHOLM<br />

High innovation density<br />

Strength:<br />

Strong tradition of innovation, early adopters<br />

of diverse developments, highest per capita<br />

start-up activity rate<br />

Copenhagen<br />

Weakness:<br />

Has lost momentum in recent years<br />

Focus:<br />

ICT, fintech<br />

Warsaw<br />

Examples:<br />

Unomaly (software), 13th Lab (mapping),<br />

MAG Interactive (gaming),<br />

Spotify (music)<br />

BERLIN<br />

"Poor but sexy"<br />

Strength:<br />

Plenty free space, good value for money,<br />

an almost Mediterranean lifestyle, a living<br />

laboratory, an inspiring urban environment<br />

Milan<br />

Weakness:<br />

A lack of industry<br />

Focus:<br />

E-commerce and big data<br />

Rome<br />

Examples:<br />

Rocket Internet, Zalando,<br />

SoundCloud


12 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

REVISITING FOUR MYTHS ABOUT THE<br />

EUROPEAN DIGITAL START-UP SCENE<br />

MYTH 1:<br />

Europe is not attractive to start-up entrepreneurs<br />

Definitely not true<br />

Large European ecosystems with a respectable tradition<br />

are already well established. London is a prime<br />

example, with most European start-ups tending to congregate<br />

in large, dynamic urban environments.<br />

Each of these environments has its own specific<br />

characteristics and growth mechanisms. In the words<br />

of former Berlin mayor Klaus Wowereit, the German<br />

capital is "poor but sexy": It boasts neither big industries<br />

nor DAX-listed corporate HQs. However, it seems<br />

that precisely this kind of environment has unleashed<br />

enormous creative forces. At the same time, Berlin has<br />

become more international than any other German<br />

city. Its streets are buzzing with foreign languages and<br />

it attracts entrepreneurs from all over the world. At the<br />

other extreme, Paris is the economic engine of a whole<br />

country. No fewer than 12,000 start-ups are based here,<br />

if you include the suburbs. The French start-up hub<br />

benefits from an excellent talent base, especially in engineering.<br />

Yet it is not only the front-running cities that<br />

deserve a mention. Europe is also home to a group of<br />

"runners-up" that includes the likes of Amsterdam,<br />

Barcelona, Brussels, Copenhagen, Dublin, Helsinki,<br />

Istanbul, Madrid, Milan, Oslo, Rome, Stockholm, Tallinn<br />

and Warsaw. Due to their geographical and political<br />

distance to Europe, we included neither Moscow<br />

nor Tel Aviv nor Istanbul in our analysis, although all<br />

of them also have vibrant digital start-up scenes.<br />

MYTH 2:<br />

Europe lacks capital<br />

Still true, but changing rapidly<br />

Access to capital – or lack of it – has always been seen<br />

as a critical competitive flaw in the European start-up<br />

scene. And there is no denying that European companies<br />

still raise less funding at each stage than their<br />

US peers. Most significant is the gap in the initial<br />

phase. Only two years ago, European start-ups trying<br />

to secure their second round of investment netted an<br />

average of USD 8 million from US backers. By comparison,<br />

start-ups that attracted only European investors<br />

at the same time raised a median amount of only<br />

USD 3 million.<br />

However, Europe is gradually gaining traction. The<br />

number of European companies successfully raising<br />

seed-stage funding has increased by 600 percent since<br />

2009. The median size of first-stage rounds is also<br />

steadily increasing. According to a study conducted between<br />

April 2014 and April 2015, European digital<br />

groups completed 46 "large" fund-raising rounds (realizing<br />

USD 30 million or more) worth a combined total<br />

of USD 5.7 billion in this period. This compares with 30<br />

large fund-raising rounds worth a total of USD 2.9 billion<br />

in the preceding year.<br />

Aside from the numbers, a whole range of structural<br />

changes are taking place in the financing environment.<br />

First, setting up a company has become astonishingly<br />

cheap. Many of the traditional upfront costs<br />

for technical infrastructure have decreased dramatically<br />

as new developments such as the cloud, open source<br />

software and open source development hubs like<br />

GitHub have become available.<br />

Furthermore, start-up financing in Europe is maturing<br />

and gaining visibility. The European capitals are<br />

the home base for VC players such as German Startups<br />

Group (Berlin), Octopus Ventures (London), Balderton<br />

Capital (London), Northzone (Oslo, Stockholm) and<br />

Creandum (Stockholm).<br />

Financing is currently benefiting from a wave of liquidity<br />

caused by numerous exits. This is important,<br />

because it is fueling the appetite of VCs within the ecosystem.<br />

It is also serving as a catalyst for other kinds of<br />

network effects, as more and more successful entrepreneurs<br />

team up with members of older firms to create<br />

new funds.<br />

One peculiarity of the European scene is the vast<br />

amount of accelerators and incubators in the market.<br />

Between 2007 and 2013, their numbers rose by nearly<br />

400 percent. Apart from facilitating the sharing of experience<br />

and contacts with lawyers and financing partners,<br />

these organizations have lowered the barriers to<br />

launching a company, especially in the digital arena.<br />

On a per capita basis, Europe has roughly as many accelerators<br />

as the US – or perhaps even more.<br />

What is also important, in terms of structural<br />

changes, is that European start-ups are well on the way<br />

to successfully tapping sources of offshore funding<br />

too: in the US, but also in China. Between 2010 and<br />

2014, non-EU private equity managers invested a total<br />

of EUR 6 billion in European businesses. By diversifying<br />

their portfolios in this way, they are making a pow-


<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 13<br />

Digital start-ups<br />

F<br />

GOOD VALUE FOR START-UP MONEY<br />

Cost comparison of Silicon Valley and European hubs<br />

YEARLY SALARY OF A SENIOR<br />

SOFTWARE ENGINEER<br />

[USD '000]<br />

OFFICE RENTAL 2014<br />

[EUR per sqm per month]<br />

170<br />

Average<br />

compensation for tech<br />

workers in Silicon Valley<br />

is USD 195,000 p.a.,<br />

with San Mateo County<br />

the highest at<br />

USD 291,000.<br />

95.0<br />

77.0<br />

127.5<br />

65.0<br />

42.5<br />

22.5<br />

Silicon<br />

Valley<br />

Europe<br />

maximum<br />

Europe<br />

minimum<br />

San Francisco,<br />

prime<br />

location<br />

Mountain<br />

View<br />

Paris,<br />

prime<br />

location<br />

Berlin,<br />

prime<br />

location<br />

Source: BNP Paribas, Cushman Wakefield, Roland Berger


14 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

erful and positive contribution to the European startup<br />

scene. Since 2012, inflows into Europe from both<br />

private equity and venture capital firms based outside<br />

Europe have increased significantly.<br />

MYTH 3:<br />

The most talented people shun<br />

the European start-up scene<br />

On the contrary!<br />

It is true that Europe's start-up environment used to be a<br />

workplace that was often difficult to access from the outside.<br />

Labor mobility works quite well within the EU, but<br />

highly qualified people from India or Eastern Europe<br />

have to overcome language barriers at the very least. Public<br />

sector documents, for instance, are not always provided<br />

in English. Prohibitive work permit rules – in Germany,<br />

for example – still represent a stumbling block for<br />

digital talents who would like to be active in Europe.<br />

"To attract the best,<br />

most talented, most capable<br />

and most committed people,<br />

a creative ecosystem<br />

needs to command the<br />

local center stage."<br />

Matt Cohler of Benchmark, a leading Silicon<br />

Valley venture capital firm that has<br />

invested in ResearchGate and other firms in<br />

Germany's capital<br />

It is an ill wind that blows nobody any good, however.<br />

And the crisis that has swept Europe in recent years has<br />

achieved something no policy could have done: It has<br />

created an urgent need for change in the economic<br />

model and revealed to the working population that being<br />

employed by a big firm does not mean your job is<br />

secure. As the ecosystem matures, it is thus now offering<br />

excellent opportunities for young talents. It is also<br />

clearly sufficiently inspiring to bring entrepreneurial<br />

thinkers back from abroad. Numerous Germans educated<br />

at Oxbridge or in the Ivy League universities are<br />

returning to Berlin, Munich or Paris to found start-ups.<br />

Cloud technologies and telecommuting contracts<br />

make it possible for them to contribute on a regular<br />

basis from the kitchen table at home. On the continent,<br />

business partners are seldom more than a twohour<br />

flight away, and everyone works in almost the<br />

same time zone. Going forward, it will be crucial to<br />

further strengthen the skills base in terms of digital<br />

and entrepreneurial talent and, ultimately, to intelligently<br />

unite both aspects.<br />

1. DIGITAL TALENT<br />

The UK government – to take just one example – has<br />

implemented a series of measures to promote education<br />

to develop digital talent. Some of these measures<br />

include a computing curriculum introduced in September<br />

2014; the Digital Business Academy introduced<br />

by Tech City UK; apprenticeships for digital skills;<br />

short courses in digital skills (available since April<br />

2015); a National College for Digital Skills; an independent<br />

review of computer science degree accreditations;<br />

the Tier 1 Exceptional Talent Visa for technology; and<br />

the Entrepreneur Visa, which helps companies attract<br />

overseas talent from outside the EU.<br />

Sometimes, the more pressing challenge is to distribute<br />

digital talent more evenly. Berlin is experiencing<br />

strong demand for programmers, for example,<br />

while Spain has a plentiful and highly qualified supply.<br />

Europe is currently seeking to facilitate mobility for<br />

students and programmers working in digital disciplines<br />

across Europe in order to attenuate this geographical<br />

skill mismatch.<br />

2. ENTREPRENEURIAL TALENT<br />

The good news is that Europe has extraordinary business<br />

schools all over the continent. Examples include<br />

the WHU in Germany, the HEC in France, the London<br />

Business School, the IESE and the ESCP, which has<br />

campuses throughout Europe. Each of these schools<br />

has its own venture lab and "playground" for would-be<br />

entrepreneurs. While all of them used to operate more<br />

or less in isolation from each other, we are at last seeing<br />

initiatives to break free from traditional structures.<br />

The new initiative Ecole 42 in Paris, set up by Xavier<br />

Niels in 2013, takes a counterintuitive approach. Ecole<br />

42 departs from traditional (and especially ingrained<br />

French) ideas about how to educate a business elite. No<br />

special graduation is required to study here. There is<br />

no academic faculty and there are no lectures, no<br />

books and no grades. Learning by doing is the guiding


RANK 2014<br />

14<br />

<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 15<br />

Digital start-ups<br />

Belgium<br />

principle. Entrepreneurial case studies are made available<br />

on the intranet. Candidates can decide for themselves<br />

when they feel creative and fresh enough to tackle<br />

them. Demand for access to the school is overwhelming,<br />

with 70,000 applicants reportedly fighting<br />

for 900 places.<br />

MYTH 4:<br />

Europe's business environment<br />

is not start-up friendly<br />

Has changed a lot in recent years<br />

Although the single European digital market is still not<br />

reality, Europe can nevertheless count on a decent digital<br />

infrastructure in the individual markets. Broadband<br />

penetration in the hubs is good and Europe has a<br />

high standard of data security.<br />

Conditions in the offline world create several further<br />

advantages. First and foremost, Europe boasts an impressive<br />

breadth of market leaders in a variety of technically<br />

complex fields of business – witness its strong automotive<br />

and mechanical engineering sectors, for<br />

instance. The digital transformation is permeating every<br />

link in the industrial value chain, from logistics<br />

through production to service provision. An understanding<br />

of how to integrate B2B and B2C competencies<br />

will therefore be a key advantage in the future. European<br />

digital start-ups can be enablers that set traditional<br />

companies on the way to making money in the digital<br />

world. This is indeed one of the main reasons why Europeans<br />

would do well to adopt what have been termed<br />

"blue ocean strategies", creating their own opportunities<br />

away from the beaten track of the US role model.<br />

Although conventional wisdom has it that red<br />

tape is one of Europe's downsides, it is surprising to<br />

find that starting a business in many European countries<br />

is actually easier than in the US. Having said<br />

that, especially in Germany there is still room for improvement.<br />

G<br />

European cost structures too play into the hands<br />

of young entrepreneurs. Overall average annual compensation<br />

for digital workers in Silicon Valley totals<br />

USD 195,000, rising as high as USD 291,000 in San<br />

Mateo County. In Europe, the top line levels off at the<br />

equivalent of USD 127,000. Another positive factor is<br />

the net rent per square meter of office space, which is<br />

comparatively cheap at around EUR 13.00. Thanks to<br />

these lower overall costs, European start-ups can get<br />

by with less early-stage money. F<br />

G<br />

Ireland<br />

Norway<br />

France<br />

Source: World Bank<br />

Latvia<br />

US<br />

Spain<br />

Czech Republic<br />

19<br />

21<br />

22<br />

27<br />

28<br />

32<br />

36<br />

45<br />

46<br />

52<br />

74<br />

101<br />

110<br />

114<br />

Netherlands<br />

Finland<br />

Sweden<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Greece<br />

OUTLIER GERMANY<br />

Ease of starting a business in the majority of European<br />

countries better than conventional wisdom<br />

Austria<br />

Germany


16 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

The digital European<br />

start-up ecosystem<br />

needs a shared vision.<br />

We stake out some<br />

common ground – and<br />

outline how this vision<br />

can be realized.<br />

A potent European digital start-up landscape creates<br />

important new businesses for consumers, satisfying<br />

their needs more quickly, more cost efficiently and<br />

with superior quality. Even more important, however,<br />

is the impact these start-ups have on the European<br />

business sector. Their very existence helps traditional<br />

enterprises enter the digital race – and vice versa –<br />

creating a healthy symbiosis that is essential if European<br />

companies are to win the global competitive<br />

battle. Regarding the role of European start-ups in<br />

the digital world of tomorrow, our vision rests on<br />

three pillars. We also show how the vision can become<br />

reality.<br />

1. BREEDING GAME CHANGERS<br />

Innovative digital start-ups working hand in hand<br />

with traditional industry<br />

Outstanding innovation, and not just company size,<br />

will be crucial to Europe's future. European digital<br />

firms have the potential to market products that add a<br />

great deal of value, as this sort of innovative strength is<br />

already at the core of Europe's digital landscape. At the<br />

moment, this phenomenon can only be observed indirectly:<br />

in the appreciation that US giants show for European<br />

innovators. Skype, for example, was bought by<br />

Microsoft. Google purchased British artificial intelligence<br />

start-up DeepMind, and London-based 3D print-


<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 17<br />

Digital start-ups<br />

er maker botObjects was snapped up by US-based 3D<br />

printing giant 3D Systems. The next stage, however,<br />

must be for European companies to apply themselves<br />

to building the digital future of their own continent.<br />

Drawing strength from their historic roots, they will<br />

develop a distinctive trait: becoming world leaders in<br />

collaborating with industry to take the latter's business<br />

forward to the digital level (Industry 4.0). The key lever<br />

will be their B2B competency. By developing and applying<br />

this skill, they will be able to drive the advance of<br />

digital and industrial companies alike. Moreover, since<br />

their digital expertise is deeply rooted in collaboration,<br />

it will be difficult for others to copy – giving European<br />

digital companies a genuine competitive advantage.<br />

HOW CAN WE GET THERE?<br />

→ Enlist the backing of the EU, governments and industry<br />

associations for innovative ecosystems (e.g.<br />

by supporting digital clusters and enhancing technology<br />

transfer from universities to companies)<br />

→ Solicit the support of the EU, governments and industry<br />

associations for digital innovation in the form<br />

of direct financial assistance or easier access to venture<br />

capital for innovative start-ups – not only at the<br />

seed stage, but also in the start-up phase<br />

→ In particular, be "innovative from the core", leveraging<br />

European digital companies' inherent innovation<br />

advantage in fields such as embedded software<br />

for industry and supporting related areas of application<br />

such as embedded software in wearables<br />

→ Build bridges. Talk to traditional companies. Help<br />

them become more open to ideas from the start-up<br />

scene. Help them embrace new ways of "thinking<br />

digital" (with the support of agile and flexible digital<br />

start-ups). Above all, keep your ears open for the<br />

latest ideas of young entrepreneurs, and help them<br />

dovetail their ideas with the challenges faced by traditional<br />

businesses<br />

→ Enhance the digital infrastructure (bandwidth) to facilitate<br />

collaboration between digital companies and<br />

traditional industry<br />

2. MAKING THE RULES<br />

The capability to orchestrate the digital game<br />

Creating and disseminating the norms that lend<br />

structure to industrial innovation on the market has<br />

always been one of Europe's strengths. Also, European<br />

entrepreneurs have a keenly international mindset<br />

TURNING TERRA INCOGNITA<br />

INTO TERRA NUMERATA<br />

To address the challenges of digitization as<br />

fully as possible, we created the concept of<br />

Terra Numerata, an initiative and platform<br />

to foster a European digital ecosystem.<br />

→ Digitization can drive significant change in any<br />

industry. One main goal of Terra Numerata is to<br />

bring to life new firms with disruptive business<br />

models.<br />

→ The initiative leverages the strengths needed to<br />

drive digital transformation in an innovative and<br />

efficient way.<br />

→ In particular, the platform seeks to bring innovators,<br />

venture capital and talent together as the three key<br />

ingredients of successful digital platforms.<br />

→ The idea is to open up new opportunities for all<br />

players in the digital economy in the shape of<br />

alliances, joint ventures, partnerships and events<br />

to facilitate reciprocal learning and dialog.<br />

→ Given the importance of networked thinking,<br />

Terra Numerata could also become a virtual<br />

"marketplace for digital resources and experts".<br />

from the day they open for business. It is time for Europe<br />

to play this hand again and define the rules of<br />

tomorrow's digital game. Europe should develop the<br />

best ideas for internationally accepted norms in the<br />

relevant areas – areas such as data security, data governance<br />

and payment models, but also frameworks<br />

for consumer rights in the digital marketplace, for<br />

example. Doing so defines the conditions for gaining<br />

a market of significant size and can make us world<br />

leaders in internationalization. We have already proven<br />

that we have the creativity and the capability to do<br />

so. One need only think of GSM, a technical standard<br />

for mobile communication services, which was created<br />

in Europe and exported worldwide.


18 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

HOW CAN WE GET THERE?<br />

→ Define the most urgent normative questions of the<br />

digital era, set up task forces to find answers and<br />

campaign for consensus in politics and industry<br />

→ Endorse industry-driven rules and standards for data<br />

security and data governance in order to nurture<br />

trust and confidence<br />

→ Raise awareness of cyber-security issues in the corporate<br />

community<br />

→ Strengthen the EU's position in international standardization<br />

→ Support the internationalization of digital start-ups<br />

by supplying them with information about foreign<br />

markets and helping them become established and<br />

do business in those markets<br />

→ Intelligently connect prospering – but still isolated<br />

– entrepreneurial hubs<br />

→ Strike the right balance between centralized and decentralized<br />

actions, between competition and complementarity,<br />

and between initiatives driven by the<br />

public and private sectors<br />

3. FILLING THE GAP<br />

Taking the political lead via the digital ecosystem<br />

Leadership is not merely a question of facilitating the<br />

business of start-ups and established multinationals. We<br />

also need to be aware of the relevant political power ramifications.<br />

Europe must position itself and take a clear<br />

stand. In the political arena, US companies, for example,<br />

currently play the digital card far more astutely than Europe<br />

does. Giants like Facebook and Twitter have positioned<br />

themselves as the platforms on which democracy<br />

can be lived out if the political environment fails to allow<br />

freedom of speech (think of the Arab Spring movement<br />

and, more recently, developments in Ukraine).<br />

While this is good news in itself, the lack of democratic<br />

control over these organizations should make us<br />

vigilant. The dark side of political influence-mongering<br />

assumes even greater importance when one considers<br />

the National Security Agency's data collection<br />

practices in the US and internet censorship in China.<br />

Evidently, there is a gap where Europe could position<br />

itself in a way that is hard to imitate. To do so, it must<br />

find valid answers to one fundamental question: How<br />

can we create a digital ecosystem in which customers,<br />

businesses, entrepreneurs and employees all feel safe<br />

because they can rely on European values such as freedom,<br />

equality, democracy and the rule of law?<br />

HOW CAN WE GET THERE?<br />

→ Encourage debate across think tanks, political organizations<br />

and industry about how digital technologies,<br />

organizations and infrastructures can be rooted<br />

in European values<br />

→ Foster dialog surrounding this question with European<br />

leaders in governments, industry, start-ups and<br />

other organizations<br />

→ Initiate a comprehensive campaign involving public<br />

opinion<br />

→ Rapidly adopt the EU's General Data Protection Regulation<br />

These are lofty ambitions. We are advocating nothing<br />

less than establishing Europe as a third center of gravity,<br />

alongside the US and China. However, recent developments<br />

in the start-up environment indicate that the<br />

battle will not be won by companies playing the me-too<br />

game, flexing their muscles and simply striving to become<br />

bigger than their rivals.<br />

"The original writer<br />

is not he who refrains<br />

from imitating others,<br />

but he who can be<br />

imitated by none."<br />

François-René, Vicomte de Chateaubriand<br />

Instead, Europe must draw on its own competencies,<br />

find the right niches, come up with smarter answers<br />

and discover blue oceans that no one has ever explored.<br />

Only if start-up entrepreneurs and the leaders of traditional<br />

firms, governments and political organizations<br />

in Europe make a concerted push in this direction and<br />

share a common belief will Europe's answer to the<br />

challenges of the digital transformation be unique and<br />

sustainable. Joining forces is worth the effort, because<br />

the prize at stake is a new, digital future for our socalled<br />

Old Continent.


<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />

Digital start-ups<br />

19<br />

ABOUT US<br />

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AUTOMOTIVE 4.0<br />

Disruption and new reality?<br />

New technologies, new players<br />

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to the test.<br />

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DR. CHRISTIAN KRYS<br />

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