THINK ACT
1M4GoDM
1M4GoDM
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
<strong>THINK</strong><br />
<strong>ACT</strong><br />
BEYOND MAINSTREAM<br />
October 2015<br />
Can European start-ups<br />
crack the code?<br />
How to realize the old continent's digital vision
2 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
THE BIG<br />
3<br />
ROLAND BERGER'S<br />
VISION OF A<br />
DIGITAL EUROPE<br />
P. 16<br />
PLUS<br />
USD 110 bn<br />
is the cumulative value of Europe's unicorns –<br />
start-ups with a value of more than USD 1 billion<br />
each at the start of 2015.<br />
Page 8<br />
USD 6.9 bn<br />
has been raised in the first 6 months of 2015 – an<br />
increase of 86% compared to the same period in 2014.<br />
Page 4<br />
400%<br />
more accelerators and incubators populate the European<br />
start-up ecosystem today than did so in 2007.<br />
Page 12
<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 3<br />
Digital start-ups<br />
It's time to break free<br />
from the US role model.<br />
Europe's start-ups can<br />
crack the code, provided<br />
they make good use of<br />
their own strengths.<br />
It has become rather fashionable to be part of the European<br />
digital start-up scene in recent years. A remarkable<br />
turn of events, given that cyberspace is largely<br />
dominated by American giants on the one hand and<br />
fast-growing Chinese players on the other. Over the<br />
past four decades, Silicon Valley has carved out an imposing<br />
position for itself as the only digital hub model<br />
worth talking about. What Silicon Valley excels in is<br />
convincing the world's entrepreneurs that, if they are<br />
serious about success, they have no alternative but to<br />
come here. Yet genuine avant-garde start-ups are well<br />
advised not to worry too much about the success patterns<br />
of the past. No one is talking about "silicon" anymore<br />
anyway: The new building material is data.<br />
MORE THAN JUST A RACE TO CATCH UP<br />
Europe can do a lot better than simply try to catch up<br />
with the US. The important thing is for it to find its own<br />
digital path. New conditions are changing the game<br />
and spawning new models. The framework is already<br />
in place: The digital revolution is entering a new phase<br />
thanks to a new wave of technological disruption<br />
brought about by big data and cloud computing, 3D<br />
printing, advanced robotics and the internet of things.<br />
Embedded sensors, the practice of implanting processors,<br />
software and connectivity (read: computers) in<br />
products, the existence of a cloud in which product<br />
data is stored and analyzed and certain applications<br />
are run… All these developments are driving dramatic<br />
improvements in product functionality and performance.<br />
And this new phase is reshuffling the pack<br />
across the world's various digital hotspots. Now is<br />
therefore the ideal opportunity for Europe to claim its<br />
fair share of the world's digital economy. A B<br />
Rather than copy American recipes for success, Europe<br />
can now play its own trump cards, building on what<br />
has always made it successful: industrial expertise, diversity<br />
and internationalization.<br />
This is happening already, and European digital<br />
ecosystems have visibly been maturing. The first sign
4 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
A NEW SPECIES OF EUROPEAN<br />
ENTREPRENEUR IS BORN<br />
New aspects have lately been added to the general understanding<br />
of what constitutes entrepreneurial success<br />
in Europe. Traditionally, "true entrepreneurs" were expected<br />
to build a company, earn their living from the<br />
returns and spend the rest of their life caring for it. The<br />
second wave of entrepreneurs that followed – founding<br />
companies, realizing fast growth and selling up after a<br />
few years – has now also become an accepted model. In<br />
addition, many young graduates have acquired new<br />
tastes. For them, building a career no longer means joining<br />
investment banks or consultancies, as many prefer<br />
instead to become entrepreneurs. Those who do so several<br />
times over are treated like stars and are eager to<br />
share their experience. In France, for instance, individuals<br />
such as Pierre Kosciusko-Morizet, founder of<br />
Price-Minister, Marc Simoncini (Meetic), Xavier Niel<br />
(Free), Jacques-Antoine Granjon (vente-privée) and others<br />
are busily investing in start-ups and infrastructures.<br />
Xavier Niel is currently converting the Halle Freyssinet<br />
in Paris with the aim of making it the world's largest incubator<br />
– populated by 1,000 start-ups – in 2016. In Germany,<br />
the Samwer brothers established Rocket Internet<br />
in 2007. This Berlin-based start-up incubator has already<br />
helped launch around 80 companies, including<br />
leading regional online retailers such as Zalando (Europe),<br />
Lamoda (CIS), Lazada (Southeast Asia), Dafiti<br />
(Latin America) and Jumia (Africa).<br />
It is small wonder that successful initial public offerings,<br />
mergers and acquisitions are swelling liquidity<br />
in Europe. Zalando's EUR 5.3 billion IPO in Sepof<br />
this change is, of course, the vitality of the start-up<br />
scene. For some months now, not a day has gone by<br />
without news of yet more significant funds being raised<br />
for European start-ups. In the first half of 2015 European<br />
start-ups raised USD 6.9 bn – 86% more than in<br />
the same period in 2014. C Most successful were<br />
OneWeb (UK), which raised USD 500 million, Spotify<br />
(Sweden, USD 526 million) and Delivery Hero (Germany,<br />
USD 730 million). In France, internet of things specialist<br />
Sigfox raised USD 115 million and automotive<br />
player BlaBlaCar USD 100 million.<br />
"Nobody can build<br />
another Silicon Valley.<br />
Europe's chance is to<br />
score with diversity."<br />
Stefan Glänzer, a German serial entrepreneur<br />
and one of the founders of Passion Capital<br />
Other players are also beginning to enter the European<br />
digital fray. Realizing the importance of digitization,<br />
corporate players are pouring money into venture<br />
capital funds – or creating venture capital funds<br />
of their own. In Germany, Tengelmann Ventures invests<br />
in young companies in the e-commerce, social<br />
commerce and internet-enabling technology sectors.<br />
Telecoms incumbent Deutsche Telekom has created<br />
Deutsche Telekom Capital Partners, which is endowed<br />
with EUR 500 million, while Siemens launched<br />
a new USD 100 million venture capital fund – the Industry<br />
of the Future Fund – at the beginning of 2014.<br />
The latter fund is dedicated to early-stage industrial<br />
start-ups. In France, SNCF, Orange and Total have set<br />
up Ecomobility Ventures as an investment fund to<br />
support innovative mobility development by enhancing<br />
cooperation between start-ups and larger groups.<br />
Air Liquide and Michelin also signed up in 2015.<br />
French telecom provider Orange together with communications<br />
and consulting firm Publicis Groupe<br />
also created a venture fund in 2012.<br />
These and a series of further significant investments<br />
proves that big digital corporates are actively<br />
seeking to stake their claim in terms of European digital<br />
start-up competency. Take Google, for example:<br />
The Mountain View-based giant has opened half a<br />
dozen research centers in Europe. Amazon is likewise<br />
getting in on the act, having launched a brand new<br />
development center in Berlin in 2015.<br />
Strong digital ecosystems do not consist only of<br />
self-organizing business communities, however. They<br />
are also heavily dependent on the regulatory framework,<br />
and intensive discussions on the European digital<br />
market show that this issue is being addressed. Regulators<br />
in Europe are increasingly aware of the<br />
challenge, and the recent debate triggered by Uber and<br />
Airbnb in many European countries has both highlighted<br />
the difficulties and enhanced awareness.
<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 5<br />
Digital start-ups<br />
A<br />
THE EUROPEAN START-UP<br />
LANDSCAPE REVISITED<br />
Rankings, exit growth and financing<br />
FOUR OF THE TOP TWENTY START-UP<br />
ECOSYSTEMS<br />
Berlin, London and Amsterdam climb higher,<br />
Paris holds its ground [ranking]<br />
THE WINNER TAKES… ALMOST 50%!<br />
Berlin sheds its non-exit stigma<br />
[share of exit volume in the top twenty, 2013 & 2014]<br />
Silicon Valley<br />
RANKING<br />
1<br />
Silicon Valley<br />
47.3%<br />
New York City<br />
2<br />
3<br />
London<br />
10.2%<br />
Los Angeles<br />
3<br />
Los Angeles<br />
6.6%<br />
Boston<br />
4<br />
2<br />
Tel Aviv<br />
6.5%<br />
Tel Aviv<br />
5<br />
3<br />
Berlin<br />
6.1%<br />
London<br />
6<br />
1<br />
Boston<br />
5.7%<br />
Chicago<br />
7<br />
3<br />
Chicago<br />
4.5%<br />
Seattle<br />
8<br />
4<br />
New York City<br />
3.6%<br />
Berlin<br />
9<br />
6<br />
Amsterdam<br />
2.5%<br />
Singapore<br />
10<br />
7<br />
Seattle<br />
2.1%<br />
Paris<br />
11<br />
Paris<br />
1.2%<br />
São Paulo<br />
12<br />
1<br />
Austin<br />
1.2%<br />
Moscow<br />
13<br />
1<br />
Singapore<br />
0.8%<br />
Austin<br />
14<br />
NEW<br />
Vancouver<br />
0.5%<br />
Bangalore<br />
15<br />
4<br />
Montreal<br />
0.3%<br />
Sydney<br />
16<br />
4<br />
São Paulo<br />
0.3%<br />
Toronto<br />
17<br />
9<br />
Toronto<br />
0.2%<br />
Vancouver<br />
18<br />
9<br />
Bangalore<br />
0.2%<br />
Amsterdam<br />
19<br />
NEW<br />
Moscow<br />
0.1%<br />
Montreal<br />
20<br />
NEW<br />
Sydney<br />
0.1%<br />
Source: Compass
6 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
B<br />
HYPER-GROWTH MADE IN EUROPE<br />
Berlin – fueled by Rocket and Zalando IPO – leads the field<br />
How hubs relate to average growth: Berlin startups lead the field –<br />
fueled by Rocket and Zalando IPO – 20 times faster than their peers.<br />
TEL AVIV<br />
2X<br />
AMSTERDAM<br />
4X<br />
BERLIN<br />
20X<br />
Hyper-growth = at least two times average growth<br />
Source: Compass<br />
LONDON<br />
3X<br />
BANGALORE<br />
5X<br />
C<br />
A QUESTION OF MONEY<br />
European start-ups open the pockets of venture capitalists<br />
A year-over-year comparison. While the number of French start-ups who opened the pockets of venture capitalists increased<br />
significantly, in Germany, Austria and Switzerland's entrepreneurs managed to harvest the largest volume increase.<br />
154<br />
159<br />
2.5<br />
129<br />
103<br />
1.8<br />
81<br />
44<br />
47<br />
56<br />
0.6<br />
1.0<br />
1.0 1.0<br />
0.8<br />
0.6<br />
Scandinavia<br />
Germany,<br />
Austria,<br />
Switzerland<br />
UK France Scandinavia Germany,<br />
Austria,<br />
Switzerland<br />
UK<br />
France<br />
Number:<br />
First half of 2014<br />
First half of 2015 Value [USD bn] : First half of 2014 First half of 2015<br />
Source: Les Echos/whogotfunded/clipperton analysis
<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 7<br />
Digital start-ups<br />
tember 2014 and Rocket Internet's EUR 6.5 billion<br />
flotation the following month both went extremely<br />
well. At the same time, the number of very successful<br />
non-public exits that go under the radar is likewise<br />
increasing. One example was the USD 219 million acquisition<br />
of Berlin-based restaurant reservation service<br />
Quandoo by Japan’s Recruit. Another was Microsoft's<br />
USD 100-200 million purchase of German<br />
start-up 6Wunderkinder. Both transactions went<br />
through in 2015. Meanwhile, German sports equipment<br />
brand Adidas has bought Runastic for EUR 240<br />
million, while Berlin-based data specialist Sociomantic<br />
was snapped up by Tesco subsidiary Dunnhumby<br />
(UK) in 2014 for EUR 150 million. These examples<br />
show how large corporate incumbents are increasingly<br />
gaining a foothold in the digital business. One welcome<br />
side-effect is that these mergers have boosted<br />
the prestige of the European start-up scene.<br />
"Legislation will always<br />
create a context for<br />
growth […] but the real<br />
value comes from<br />
connections between<br />
people and a focus and<br />
real desire on solving real<br />
human problems."<br />
Duncan Lamb, design director<br />
at Transferwise.com<br />
NEW BUBBLE? OR NEW GAME?<br />
Some observers fear that history – specifically, the<br />
bursting of the internet bubble in the 2000s – could<br />
repeat itself. And indeed, some signals are pointing in<br />
this direction. Low interest rates, for example, are forcing<br />
investors to seek new sources of return. Yet the<br />
business models of today's European start-ups have<br />
much firmer foundations than their counterparts from<br />
the start of the millennium. This time, there is a real<br />
market: The number of internet users has multiplied<br />
by a factor of ten, spiraling from 300 million in 2000 to<br />
more than three billion in 2015. And this time, the<br />
companies' success is built on returns and not only on<br />
rising stock prices.<br />
The first wave of IT, when computers took the stage<br />
in the 1960s and 1970s, can be referred to as the "hardware<br />
era". The internet triggered the second wave – the<br />
"software and network" era – with its inexpensive and<br />
ubiquitous connectivity in the 1980s and 1990s. Today,<br />
we find ourselves in the middle of the third wave, in<br />
which IT has become an integral part of the product<br />
itself. Digital is now everywhere. It is no longer an end<br />
in itself but has become an enabling technology. Companies<br />
need digital "solutions", i.e. technology that can<br />
be leveraged for this industry or that application. Computing<br />
power keeps accelerating, and producing software<br />
has become comparatively straightforward. The<br />
power of the software is no longer what sets innovations<br />
apart: Putting together intelligence (matching<br />
supply and demand, fostering understanding) and<br />
data is what makes winners, because it drives transactions<br />
and efficiency.<br />
The opportunity is thus there for Europeans to<br />
break free of the American "software monopoly". Companies<br />
like BlaBlaCar and Criteo have already shown<br />
that success is all about data. At first glance, Europe's<br />
digital start-up activities in the B2C environment still<br />
appear to be poles apart from its traditional champions<br />
in the B2B environment. But a closer look reveals<br />
that the gap may be smaller than we think. Forging<br />
smart links between the two worlds can be the making<br />
of Europe's future. In the future, B2B and B2C will be<br />
much more closely aligned than they are today. Added<br />
value will be found in big data algorithms, product design,<br />
marketing, manufacturing and after-sales service<br />
of any kind, where non-digital traditional European<br />
businesses and players possess a wealth of knowledge,<br />
strong brands, very large customer bases, sectoral expertise<br />
and robust supplier networks.<br />
In November 2013, Aileen Lee – founder of Cowboy<br />
Ventures – first used the term "unicorn" to denote<br />
start-ups that have reached a market value of over USD<br />
1 billion. The Bay Area, and especially San Francisco, is<br />
still giving birth to most of them. That said, we note<br />
that unicorns now appear able to flourish and grow in<br />
other ecosystems besides. You may even see some of<br />
this nascent breed on your travels in Europe!
8 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
Can unicorns flourish in<br />
Europe? We revisit four<br />
myths about European<br />
digital start-ups and<br />
reveal insights into an<br />
exciting new species.<br />
The European system of start-up hubs is unique. It is<br />
very different from Silicon Valley and is plotting its<br />
own development trajectory. One of the most obvious<br />
characteristics is its vast geographical spread, with the<br />
UK, Germany, France, the Netherlands and Scandinavia<br />
standing out as the top European regions. Of particular<br />
note are the start-up hubs in Berlin, Paris, London,<br />
Amsterdam and Stockholm. E In today's glocalized<br />
world, the decentralized nature of the European startup<br />
system is a definite advantage.<br />
Admittedly, Europe is still a dwarf in terms of size<br />
and the number of exits. While the cumulative value of<br />
US unicorns is estimated at about USD 700 billion, the<br />
European species is worth only around USD 110 billion<br />
in total. Moreover, not even half of Europe's unicorns<br />
have reached the IPO stage, compared to about two<br />
thirds in the United States. Even so, there are good reasons<br />
to be optimistic about the future of European<br />
start-up development. Most of the recent news emanating<br />
from the unicorn club has been nothing short of<br />
spectacular: In 2014, seven companies completed successful<br />
IPOs, and their ranks are growing fast. In 2015<br />
alone, the number of members increased by 30 percent.<br />
D Size is not everything, however, and there are<br />
positive signs in other areas besides. The future game<br />
could, for example, make qualities such as diversity<br />
and smart collaboration skills more important than<br />
ever. Maybe these qualities will even outweigh some of<br />
the disadvantages in terms of the total value added. In<br />
the future, we expect to see many mid-sized hidden<br />
champion start-ups, just as we saw similar success stories<br />
in Germany's fabled "Mittelstand" in the days before<br />
the digital economy. Think of German start-ups<br />
such as Sociomantics and Rhode-Codes: There may be<br />
more sexy companies out there, but their business<br />
models plug important gaps in the market.
<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 9<br />
Digital start-ups<br />
D<br />
WELCOME TO THE CLUB<br />
The 30 European digital unicorns 1<br />
(independent players or IPOs/acquisitions in 2014 or later)<br />
COMPANY CURRENT HQ INDUSTRY STATUS<br />
Adyen<br />
Netherlands<br />
Financial services<br />
AO World<br />
UK<br />
E-commerce<br />
IPO in 2014<br />
BlaBlaCar<br />
France<br />
Travel<br />
Delivery Hero<br />
Germany<br />
Food delivery<br />
Farfetch<br />
UK<br />
E-commerce<br />
Funding Circle<br />
UK<br />
Financial services<br />
Home24<br />
Germany<br />
E-commerce<br />
Just Eat<br />
UK<br />
Food delivery<br />
IPO in 2014<br />
King.com<br />
Sweden/Ireland<br />
Gaming<br />
IPO in 2014<br />
Klarna<br />
Sweden<br />
Financial services<br />
Kobalt<br />
Sweden<br />
Music<br />
Markit<br />
UK<br />
Data services<br />
IPO in 2014<br />
Mojang<br />
Sweden<br />
Gaming<br />
Acquired by Microsoft in 2014<br />
Powa Technologies<br />
UK<br />
Software<br />
Rocket Internet<br />
Germany<br />
Incubator<br />
IPO in 2014<br />
Rovio Entertainment<br />
Finland<br />
Gaming<br />
Shazam<br />
UK<br />
Music<br />
Skrill<br />
UK<br />
Financial services<br />
Sold to CVC in 2015<br />
Skyscanner<br />
Scotland<br />
Travel<br />
SoundCloud<br />
Germany<br />
Music<br />
Spotify<br />
Sweden<br />
Music<br />
Supercell<br />
Finland<br />
Gaming<br />
Majority-owned by SoftBank<br />
TransferWise<br />
Estonia, UK<br />
Financial services<br />
Ve Interactive<br />
UK<br />
Software<br />
vente-privee<br />
France<br />
E-commerce<br />
Wonga<br />
UK<br />
Financial services<br />
Wooga<br />
Germany<br />
Gaming<br />
Zalando 2<br />
Germany<br />
E-commerce<br />
IPO in 2014<br />
Zendesk<br />
Denmark<br />
Software<br />
IPO in 2014<br />
Zoopla<br />
UK<br />
Real estate<br />
IPO in 2014<br />
Source: Bullhound, Atomico, Roland Berger 1 Market value over USD 1 bn 2 Incubated by Rocket Internet
10 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
E<br />
AN OLD CONTINENT DOTTED<br />
WITH YOUNG DIGITAL START-UPS<br />
The geographic spread is broad and so is the range of innovations:<br />
Top hubs and runners-up form a unique pattern in Europe<br />
LONDON<br />
Old money meets fintech<br />
Strength:<br />
Home to most leading European venture capital<br />
firms (including Balderton Capital, Index Ventures<br />
and DFJ Esprit), English-speaking environment,<br />
traditionally international and diverse city<br />
Weakness:<br />
Cramped and expensive<br />
Focus:<br />
Advertising, finance and healthcare<br />
Examples:<br />
Mind Candy, Wonga,<br />
Funding Circle<br />
Dublin<br />
Amsterdam<br />
Brussels<br />
PARIS<br />
From museum to digital<br />
seeding ground<br />
Strength:<br />
Strong government support via the "tech visa"<br />
and public investment funds, Parisian venture<br />
capital firms among the top three investors in<br />
Europe in the first quarter of 2015<br />
Weakness:<br />
Struggling to shake off a reputation of having<br />
lost its innovative spirit<br />
Focus:<br />
Software<br />
Examples:<br />
Sigfox, BlaBlaCar,<br />
Criteo<br />
Madrid<br />
Barcelona<br />
Front runners<br />
Runners-up<br />
Source: Compass, Wired, Roland Berger
<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 11<br />
Digital start-ups<br />
Oslo<br />
Helsinki<br />
Tallinn<br />
STOCKHOLM<br />
High innovation density<br />
Strength:<br />
Strong tradition of innovation, early adopters<br />
of diverse developments, highest per capita<br />
start-up activity rate<br />
Copenhagen<br />
Weakness:<br />
Has lost momentum in recent years<br />
Focus:<br />
ICT, fintech<br />
Warsaw<br />
Examples:<br />
Unomaly (software), 13th Lab (mapping),<br />
MAG Interactive (gaming),<br />
Spotify (music)<br />
BERLIN<br />
"Poor but sexy"<br />
Strength:<br />
Plenty free space, good value for money,<br />
an almost Mediterranean lifestyle, a living<br />
laboratory, an inspiring urban environment<br />
Milan<br />
Weakness:<br />
A lack of industry<br />
Focus:<br />
E-commerce and big data<br />
Rome<br />
Examples:<br />
Rocket Internet, Zalando,<br />
SoundCloud
12 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
REVISITING FOUR MYTHS ABOUT THE<br />
EUROPEAN DIGITAL START-UP SCENE<br />
MYTH 1:<br />
Europe is not attractive to start-up entrepreneurs<br />
Definitely not true<br />
Large European ecosystems with a respectable tradition<br />
are already well established. London is a prime<br />
example, with most European start-ups tending to congregate<br />
in large, dynamic urban environments.<br />
Each of these environments has its own specific<br />
characteristics and growth mechanisms. In the words<br />
of former Berlin mayor Klaus Wowereit, the German<br />
capital is "poor but sexy": It boasts neither big industries<br />
nor DAX-listed corporate HQs. However, it seems<br />
that precisely this kind of environment has unleashed<br />
enormous creative forces. At the same time, Berlin has<br />
become more international than any other German<br />
city. Its streets are buzzing with foreign languages and<br />
it attracts entrepreneurs from all over the world. At the<br />
other extreme, Paris is the economic engine of a whole<br />
country. No fewer than 12,000 start-ups are based here,<br />
if you include the suburbs. The French start-up hub<br />
benefits from an excellent talent base, especially in engineering.<br />
Yet it is not only the front-running cities that<br />
deserve a mention. Europe is also home to a group of<br />
"runners-up" that includes the likes of Amsterdam,<br />
Barcelona, Brussels, Copenhagen, Dublin, Helsinki,<br />
Istanbul, Madrid, Milan, Oslo, Rome, Stockholm, Tallinn<br />
and Warsaw. Due to their geographical and political<br />
distance to Europe, we included neither Moscow<br />
nor Tel Aviv nor Istanbul in our analysis, although all<br />
of them also have vibrant digital start-up scenes.<br />
MYTH 2:<br />
Europe lacks capital<br />
Still true, but changing rapidly<br />
Access to capital – or lack of it – has always been seen<br />
as a critical competitive flaw in the European start-up<br />
scene. And there is no denying that European companies<br />
still raise less funding at each stage than their<br />
US peers. Most significant is the gap in the initial<br />
phase. Only two years ago, European start-ups trying<br />
to secure their second round of investment netted an<br />
average of USD 8 million from US backers. By comparison,<br />
start-ups that attracted only European investors<br />
at the same time raised a median amount of only<br />
USD 3 million.<br />
However, Europe is gradually gaining traction. The<br />
number of European companies successfully raising<br />
seed-stage funding has increased by 600 percent since<br />
2009. The median size of first-stage rounds is also<br />
steadily increasing. According to a study conducted between<br />
April 2014 and April 2015, European digital<br />
groups completed 46 "large" fund-raising rounds (realizing<br />
USD 30 million or more) worth a combined total<br />
of USD 5.7 billion in this period. This compares with 30<br />
large fund-raising rounds worth a total of USD 2.9 billion<br />
in the preceding year.<br />
Aside from the numbers, a whole range of structural<br />
changes are taking place in the financing environment.<br />
First, setting up a company has become astonishingly<br />
cheap. Many of the traditional upfront costs<br />
for technical infrastructure have decreased dramatically<br />
as new developments such as the cloud, open source<br />
software and open source development hubs like<br />
GitHub have become available.<br />
Furthermore, start-up financing in Europe is maturing<br />
and gaining visibility. The European capitals are<br />
the home base for VC players such as German Startups<br />
Group (Berlin), Octopus Ventures (London), Balderton<br />
Capital (London), Northzone (Oslo, Stockholm) and<br />
Creandum (Stockholm).<br />
Financing is currently benefiting from a wave of liquidity<br />
caused by numerous exits. This is important,<br />
because it is fueling the appetite of VCs within the ecosystem.<br />
It is also serving as a catalyst for other kinds of<br />
network effects, as more and more successful entrepreneurs<br />
team up with members of older firms to create<br />
new funds.<br />
One peculiarity of the European scene is the vast<br />
amount of accelerators and incubators in the market.<br />
Between 2007 and 2013, their numbers rose by nearly<br />
400 percent. Apart from facilitating the sharing of experience<br />
and contacts with lawyers and financing partners,<br />
these organizations have lowered the barriers to<br />
launching a company, especially in the digital arena.<br />
On a per capita basis, Europe has roughly as many accelerators<br />
as the US – or perhaps even more.<br />
What is also important, in terms of structural<br />
changes, is that European start-ups are well on the way<br />
to successfully tapping sources of offshore funding<br />
too: in the US, but also in China. Between 2010 and<br />
2014, non-EU private equity managers invested a total<br />
of EUR 6 billion in European businesses. By diversifying<br />
their portfolios in this way, they are making a pow-
<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 13<br />
Digital start-ups<br />
F<br />
GOOD VALUE FOR START-UP MONEY<br />
Cost comparison of Silicon Valley and European hubs<br />
YEARLY SALARY OF A SENIOR<br />
SOFTWARE ENGINEER<br />
[USD '000]<br />
OFFICE RENTAL 2014<br />
[EUR per sqm per month]<br />
170<br />
Average<br />
compensation for tech<br />
workers in Silicon Valley<br />
is USD 195,000 p.a.,<br />
with San Mateo County<br />
the highest at<br />
USD 291,000.<br />
95.0<br />
77.0<br />
127.5<br />
65.0<br />
42.5<br />
22.5<br />
Silicon<br />
Valley<br />
Europe<br />
maximum<br />
Europe<br />
minimum<br />
San Francisco,<br />
prime<br />
location<br />
Mountain<br />
View<br />
Paris,<br />
prime<br />
location<br />
Berlin,<br />
prime<br />
location<br />
Source: BNP Paribas, Cushman Wakefield, Roland Berger
14 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
erful and positive contribution to the European startup<br />
scene. Since 2012, inflows into Europe from both<br />
private equity and venture capital firms based outside<br />
Europe have increased significantly.<br />
MYTH 3:<br />
The most talented people shun<br />
the European start-up scene<br />
On the contrary!<br />
It is true that Europe's start-up environment used to be a<br />
workplace that was often difficult to access from the outside.<br />
Labor mobility works quite well within the EU, but<br />
highly qualified people from India or Eastern Europe<br />
have to overcome language barriers at the very least. Public<br />
sector documents, for instance, are not always provided<br />
in English. Prohibitive work permit rules – in Germany,<br />
for example – still represent a stumbling block for<br />
digital talents who would like to be active in Europe.<br />
"To attract the best,<br />
most talented, most capable<br />
and most committed people,<br />
a creative ecosystem<br />
needs to command the<br />
local center stage."<br />
Matt Cohler of Benchmark, a leading Silicon<br />
Valley venture capital firm that has<br />
invested in ResearchGate and other firms in<br />
Germany's capital<br />
It is an ill wind that blows nobody any good, however.<br />
And the crisis that has swept Europe in recent years has<br />
achieved something no policy could have done: It has<br />
created an urgent need for change in the economic<br />
model and revealed to the working population that being<br />
employed by a big firm does not mean your job is<br />
secure. As the ecosystem matures, it is thus now offering<br />
excellent opportunities for young talents. It is also<br />
clearly sufficiently inspiring to bring entrepreneurial<br />
thinkers back from abroad. Numerous Germans educated<br />
at Oxbridge or in the Ivy League universities are<br />
returning to Berlin, Munich or Paris to found start-ups.<br />
Cloud technologies and telecommuting contracts<br />
make it possible for them to contribute on a regular<br />
basis from the kitchen table at home. On the continent,<br />
business partners are seldom more than a twohour<br />
flight away, and everyone works in almost the<br />
same time zone. Going forward, it will be crucial to<br />
further strengthen the skills base in terms of digital<br />
and entrepreneurial talent and, ultimately, to intelligently<br />
unite both aspects.<br />
1. DIGITAL TALENT<br />
The UK government – to take just one example – has<br />
implemented a series of measures to promote education<br />
to develop digital talent. Some of these measures<br />
include a computing curriculum introduced in September<br />
2014; the Digital Business Academy introduced<br />
by Tech City UK; apprenticeships for digital skills;<br />
short courses in digital skills (available since April<br />
2015); a National College for Digital Skills; an independent<br />
review of computer science degree accreditations;<br />
the Tier 1 Exceptional Talent Visa for technology; and<br />
the Entrepreneur Visa, which helps companies attract<br />
overseas talent from outside the EU.<br />
Sometimes, the more pressing challenge is to distribute<br />
digital talent more evenly. Berlin is experiencing<br />
strong demand for programmers, for example,<br />
while Spain has a plentiful and highly qualified supply.<br />
Europe is currently seeking to facilitate mobility for<br />
students and programmers working in digital disciplines<br />
across Europe in order to attenuate this geographical<br />
skill mismatch.<br />
2. ENTREPRENEURIAL TALENT<br />
The good news is that Europe has extraordinary business<br />
schools all over the continent. Examples include<br />
the WHU in Germany, the HEC in France, the London<br />
Business School, the IESE and the ESCP, which has<br />
campuses throughout Europe. Each of these schools<br />
has its own venture lab and "playground" for would-be<br />
entrepreneurs. While all of them used to operate more<br />
or less in isolation from each other, we are at last seeing<br />
initiatives to break free from traditional structures.<br />
The new initiative Ecole 42 in Paris, set up by Xavier<br />
Niels in 2013, takes a counterintuitive approach. Ecole<br />
42 departs from traditional (and especially ingrained<br />
French) ideas about how to educate a business elite. No<br />
special graduation is required to study here. There is<br />
no academic faculty and there are no lectures, no<br />
books and no grades. Learning by doing is the guiding
RANK 2014<br />
14<br />
<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 15<br />
Digital start-ups<br />
Belgium<br />
principle. Entrepreneurial case studies are made available<br />
on the intranet. Candidates can decide for themselves<br />
when they feel creative and fresh enough to tackle<br />
them. Demand for access to the school is overwhelming,<br />
with 70,000 applicants reportedly fighting<br />
for 900 places.<br />
MYTH 4:<br />
Europe's business environment<br />
is not start-up friendly<br />
Has changed a lot in recent years<br />
Although the single European digital market is still not<br />
reality, Europe can nevertheless count on a decent digital<br />
infrastructure in the individual markets. Broadband<br />
penetration in the hubs is good and Europe has a<br />
high standard of data security.<br />
Conditions in the offline world create several further<br />
advantages. First and foremost, Europe boasts an impressive<br />
breadth of market leaders in a variety of technically<br />
complex fields of business – witness its strong automotive<br />
and mechanical engineering sectors, for<br />
instance. The digital transformation is permeating every<br />
link in the industrial value chain, from logistics<br />
through production to service provision. An understanding<br />
of how to integrate B2B and B2C competencies<br />
will therefore be a key advantage in the future. European<br />
digital start-ups can be enablers that set traditional<br />
companies on the way to making money in the digital<br />
world. This is indeed one of the main reasons why Europeans<br />
would do well to adopt what have been termed<br />
"blue ocean strategies", creating their own opportunities<br />
away from the beaten track of the US role model.<br />
Although conventional wisdom has it that red<br />
tape is one of Europe's downsides, it is surprising to<br />
find that starting a business in many European countries<br />
is actually easier than in the US. Having said<br />
that, especially in Germany there is still room for improvement.<br />
G<br />
European cost structures too play into the hands<br />
of young entrepreneurs. Overall average annual compensation<br />
for digital workers in Silicon Valley totals<br />
USD 195,000, rising as high as USD 291,000 in San<br />
Mateo County. In Europe, the top line levels off at the<br />
equivalent of USD 127,000. Another positive factor is<br />
the net rent per square meter of office space, which is<br />
comparatively cheap at around EUR 13.00. Thanks to<br />
these lower overall costs, European start-ups can get<br />
by with less early-stage money. F<br />
G<br />
Ireland<br />
Norway<br />
France<br />
Source: World Bank<br />
Latvia<br />
US<br />
Spain<br />
Czech Republic<br />
19<br />
21<br />
22<br />
27<br />
28<br />
32<br />
36<br />
45<br />
46<br />
52<br />
74<br />
101<br />
110<br />
114<br />
Netherlands<br />
Finland<br />
Sweden<br />
United Kingdom<br />
Greece<br />
OUTLIER GERMANY<br />
Ease of starting a business in the majority of European<br />
countries better than conventional wisdom<br />
Austria<br />
Germany
16 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
The digital European<br />
start-up ecosystem<br />
needs a shared vision.<br />
We stake out some<br />
common ground – and<br />
outline how this vision<br />
can be realized.<br />
A potent European digital start-up landscape creates<br />
important new businesses for consumers, satisfying<br />
their needs more quickly, more cost efficiently and<br />
with superior quality. Even more important, however,<br />
is the impact these start-ups have on the European<br />
business sector. Their very existence helps traditional<br />
enterprises enter the digital race – and vice versa –<br />
creating a healthy symbiosis that is essential if European<br />
companies are to win the global competitive<br />
battle. Regarding the role of European start-ups in<br />
the digital world of tomorrow, our vision rests on<br />
three pillars. We also show how the vision can become<br />
reality.<br />
1. BREEDING GAME CHANGERS<br />
Innovative digital start-ups working hand in hand<br />
with traditional industry<br />
Outstanding innovation, and not just company size,<br />
will be crucial to Europe's future. European digital<br />
firms have the potential to market products that add a<br />
great deal of value, as this sort of innovative strength is<br />
already at the core of Europe's digital landscape. At the<br />
moment, this phenomenon can only be observed indirectly:<br />
in the appreciation that US giants show for European<br />
innovators. Skype, for example, was bought by<br />
Microsoft. Google purchased British artificial intelligence<br />
start-up DeepMind, and London-based 3D print-
<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong> 17<br />
Digital start-ups<br />
er maker botObjects was snapped up by US-based 3D<br />
printing giant 3D Systems. The next stage, however,<br />
must be for European companies to apply themselves<br />
to building the digital future of their own continent.<br />
Drawing strength from their historic roots, they will<br />
develop a distinctive trait: becoming world leaders in<br />
collaborating with industry to take the latter's business<br />
forward to the digital level (Industry 4.0). The key lever<br />
will be their B2B competency. By developing and applying<br />
this skill, they will be able to drive the advance of<br />
digital and industrial companies alike. Moreover, since<br />
their digital expertise is deeply rooted in collaboration,<br />
it will be difficult for others to copy – giving European<br />
digital companies a genuine competitive advantage.<br />
HOW CAN WE GET THERE?<br />
→ Enlist the backing of the EU, governments and industry<br />
associations for innovative ecosystems (e.g.<br />
by supporting digital clusters and enhancing technology<br />
transfer from universities to companies)<br />
→ Solicit the support of the EU, governments and industry<br />
associations for digital innovation in the form<br />
of direct financial assistance or easier access to venture<br />
capital for innovative start-ups – not only at the<br />
seed stage, but also in the start-up phase<br />
→ In particular, be "innovative from the core", leveraging<br />
European digital companies' inherent innovation<br />
advantage in fields such as embedded software<br />
for industry and supporting related areas of application<br />
such as embedded software in wearables<br />
→ Build bridges. Talk to traditional companies. Help<br />
them become more open to ideas from the start-up<br />
scene. Help them embrace new ways of "thinking<br />
digital" (with the support of agile and flexible digital<br />
start-ups). Above all, keep your ears open for the<br />
latest ideas of young entrepreneurs, and help them<br />
dovetail their ideas with the challenges faced by traditional<br />
businesses<br />
→ Enhance the digital infrastructure (bandwidth) to facilitate<br />
collaboration between digital companies and<br />
traditional industry<br />
2. MAKING THE RULES<br />
The capability to orchestrate the digital game<br />
Creating and disseminating the norms that lend<br />
structure to industrial innovation on the market has<br />
always been one of Europe's strengths. Also, European<br />
entrepreneurs have a keenly international mindset<br />
TURNING TERRA INCOGNITA<br />
INTO TERRA NUMERATA<br />
To address the challenges of digitization as<br />
fully as possible, we created the concept of<br />
Terra Numerata, an initiative and platform<br />
to foster a European digital ecosystem.<br />
→ Digitization can drive significant change in any<br />
industry. One main goal of Terra Numerata is to<br />
bring to life new firms with disruptive business<br />
models.<br />
→ The initiative leverages the strengths needed to<br />
drive digital transformation in an innovative and<br />
efficient way.<br />
→ In particular, the platform seeks to bring innovators,<br />
venture capital and talent together as the three key<br />
ingredients of successful digital platforms.<br />
→ The idea is to open up new opportunities for all<br />
players in the digital economy in the shape of<br />
alliances, joint ventures, partnerships and events<br />
to facilitate reciprocal learning and dialog.<br />
→ Given the importance of networked thinking,<br />
Terra Numerata could also become a virtual<br />
"marketplace for digital resources and experts".<br />
from the day they open for business. It is time for Europe<br />
to play this hand again and define the rules of<br />
tomorrow's digital game. Europe should develop the<br />
best ideas for internationally accepted norms in the<br />
relevant areas – areas such as data security, data governance<br />
and payment models, but also frameworks<br />
for consumer rights in the digital marketplace, for<br />
example. Doing so defines the conditions for gaining<br />
a market of significant size and can make us world<br />
leaders in internationalization. We have already proven<br />
that we have the creativity and the capability to do<br />
so. One need only think of GSM, a technical standard<br />
for mobile communication services, which was created<br />
in Europe and exported worldwide.
18 <strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
HOW CAN WE GET THERE?<br />
→ Define the most urgent normative questions of the<br />
digital era, set up task forces to find answers and<br />
campaign for consensus in politics and industry<br />
→ Endorse industry-driven rules and standards for data<br />
security and data governance in order to nurture<br />
trust and confidence<br />
→ Raise awareness of cyber-security issues in the corporate<br />
community<br />
→ Strengthen the EU's position in international standardization<br />
→ Support the internationalization of digital start-ups<br />
by supplying them with information about foreign<br />
markets and helping them become established and<br />
do business in those markets<br />
→ Intelligently connect prospering – but still isolated<br />
– entrepreneurial hubs<br />
→ Strike the right balance between centralized and decentralized<br />
actions, between competition and complementarity,<br />
and between initiatives driven by the<br />
public and private sectors<br />
3. FILLING THE GAP<br />
Taking the political lead via the digital ecosystem<br />
Leadership is not merely a question of facilitating the<br />
business of start-ups and established multinationals. We<br />
also need to be aware of the relevant political power ramifications.<br />
Europe must position itself and take a clear<br />
stand. In the political arena, US companies, for example,<br />
currently play the digital card far more astutely than Europe<br />
does. Giants like Facebook and Twitter have positioned<br />
themselves as the platforms on which democracy<br />
can be lived out if the political environment fails to allow<br />
freedom of speech (think of the Arab Spring movement<br />
and, more recently, developments in Ukraine).<br />
While this is good news in itself, the lack of democratic<br />
control over these organizations should make us<br />
vigilant. The dark side of political influence-mongering<br />
assumes even greater importance when one considers<br />
the National Security Agency's data collection<br />
practices in the US and internet censorship in China.<br />
Evidently, there is a gap where Europe could position<br />
itself in a way that is hard to imitate. To do so, it must<br />
find valid answers to one fundamental question: How<br />
can we create a digital ecosystem in which customers,<br />
businesses, entrepreneurs and employees all feel safe<br />
because they can rely on European values such as freedom,<br />
equality, democracy and the rule of law?<br />
HOW CAN WE GET THERE?<br />
→ Encourage debate across think tanks, political organizations<br />
and industry about how digital technologies,<br />
organizations and infrastructures can be rooted<br />
in European values<br />
→ Foster dialog surrounding this question with European<br />
leaders in governments, industry, start-ups and<br />
other organizations<br />
→ Initiate a comprehensive campaign involving public<br />
opinion<br />
→ Rapidly adopt the EU's General Data Protection Regulation<br />
These are lofty ambitions. We are advocating nothing<br />
less than establishing Europe as a third center of gravity,<br />
alongside the US and China. However, recent developments<br />
in the start-up environment indicate that the<br />
battle will not be won by companies playing the me-too<br />
game, flexing their muscles and simply striving to become<br />
bigger than their rivals.<br />
"The original writer<br />
is not he who refrains<br />
from imitating others,<br />
but he who can be<br />
imitated by none."<br />
François-René, Vicomte de Chateaubriand<br />
Instead, Europe must draw on its own competencies,<br />
find the right niches, come up with smarter answers<br />
and discover blue oceans that no one has ever explored.<br />
Only if start-up entrepreneurs and the leaders of traditional<br />
firms, governments and political organizations<br />
in Europe make a concerted push in this direction and<br />
share a common belief will Europe's answer to the<br />
challenges of the digital transformation be unique and<br />
sustainable. Joining forces is worth the effort, because<br />
the prize at stake is a new, digital future for our socalled<br />
Old Continent.
<strong>THINK</strong> <strong>ACT</strong><br />
Digital start-ups<br />
19<br />
ABOUT US<br />
Roland Berger, founded in 1967, is the only leading global<br />
consultancy of German heritage and European origin.<br />
With 2,400 employees working from 36 countries, we have<br />
successful operations in all major international markets.<br />
Our 50 offices are located in the key global business hubs.<br />
The consultancy is an independent partnership owned<br />
exclusively by 220 Partners.<br />
FURTHER READING<br />
Links&Likes<br />
ORDER AND DOWNLOAD<br />
www.rolandberger.com<br />
STAY TUNED<br />
www.twitter.com/<br />
RolandBerger<br />
ORDER AND DOWNLOAD<br />
www.facebook.com/Roland<br />
BergerStrategyConsultants<br />
THE DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION<br />
OF INDUSTRY<br />
Digitization is a key innovation that<br />
will determine whether European<br />
industry remains competitive in the<br />
future. If we succeed in realizing the<br />
potential of connected, more efficient<br />
production and new business models,<br />
Europe could see its manufacturing<br />
industry add gross value worth<br />
1.25 trillion euros by 2025. But if<br />
European industry misses out on the<br />
digital transformation, the sum of<br />
605 billion euros could be at risk in<br />
the years ahead.<br />
AUTOMOTIVE 4.0<br />
Disruption and new reality?<br />
New technologies, new players<br />
and new consumer needs are<br />
fundamentally changing the<br />
automotive industry. With a focus<br />
on the U.S. market we look at<br />
numerous trends in this study —<br />
everything from powertrain<br />
electrification to retail concepts<br />
without dealerships. Those require<br />
the industry to respond — but it's<br />
the confluence of connectivity,<br />
shared mobility and automated<br />
driving that we believe will truly<br />
put the industry as we know it<br />
to the test.<br />
A detailed insight into<br />
current thinking at<br />
Roland Berger is available<br />
via our new microsite at<br />
new.rolandberger.com
Publisher<br />
RBI – Roland Berger Institute<br />
ROLAND BERGER GMBH<br />
Sederanger 1<br />
80538 Munich<br />
Germany<br />
+49 89 9230-0<br />
www.rolandberger.com<br />
WE WELCOME YOUR QUESTIONS, COMMENTS<br />
AND SUGGESTIONS<br />
CHARLES-EDOUARD BOUÉE<br />
CEO<br />
+33 1 53670-965<br />
charles-edouard.bouee@rolandberger.com<br />
NICOLAS TEISSEYRE<br />
Partner and Head of the Telecommunications,<br />
Media & Technology Practice<br />
+33 1 53670-973<br />
nicolas.teisseyre@rolandberger.com<br />
Editors<br />
ANNE DUJIN<br />
anne.dujin@rolandberger.com<br />
DR. CORNELIA GEISSLER<br />
cornelia.geissler@rolandberger.com<br />
DR. CHRISTIAN KRYS<br />
christian.krys@rolandberger.com<br />
PHILIPP LEUTIGER<br />
Partner, Digital CC<br />
+49 89 9230-8904<br />
philipp.leutiger@rolandberger.com<br />
This publication has been prepared for general guidance only. The reader should not act according to any<br />
information provided in this publication without receiving specific professional advice. Roland Berger GmbH<br />
shall not be liable for any damages resulting from any use of the information contained in the publication.<br />
© 2015 ROLAND BERGER GMBH. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.<br />
TA_15_038