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BULETINUL INSTITUTULUI POLITEHNIC DIN IAŞI

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28 GheorgheNegru<br />

In Eqs. (5)-(7), f is the number of the specific failure event, F is the total<br />

number of evaluated failures and t fi is the time between the failures in issue<br />

δ f<br />

1<br />

= . (8)<br />

MTBF<br />

5. Calculate the total costs per failures per year TCP f , costs generated by<br />

the different failure events, with the following expression<br />

TCP<br />

F<br />

= ∑ δ C . (9)<br />

f f f<br />

f<br />

The equivalent total annual cost represents the value of the money that<br />

will be needed, every year, to pay for the problems caused by failure events<br />

during the expected years of useful life.<br />

6. Calculate the total costs per failure in net present value NPV(TCP f ).<br />

Given a yearly value TCP f this is the amount of money that needs to be saved<br />

(today) to be able to pay this annuity for the expected number of years of useful<br />

life T, and for a discount rate i. The expression used to estimate the NPV(TCP f )<br />

is<br />

T<br />

( 1+ i)<br />

−1<br />

NPV ( TCPf ) = TCPf . (10)<br />

T<br />

i ( 1+<br />

i )<br />

Finally, as in previous models, the rest of the costs evaluated (investment,<br />

planned maintenance, operations, etc.) are added to the cost calculated for nonreliability<br />

and the total cost is obtained in annual equivalent value. The result is<br />

then compared for the different options.<br />

3. Case Study<br />

3.1. Input Data<br />

In the present study case will be applied the above presented method in<br />

order to analyze the costs generated by the low reliability of a specialized<br />

wheeled vehicle system (Fig. 1). The main components of the system are<br />

presented in Table 2.<br />

S2<br />

S4 S5 S1<br />

S3<br />

Fig. 1 – A schematic view of the specialized wheeled vehicle system<br />

The time between failures t f for 27 failures during 10 year time period for<br />

a specialized wheeled vehicle system is defined based on the recorded statistics<br />

data (Table 3).

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