GENERATE INCOME
b42C3mw
b42C3mw
- No tags were found...
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
1.0 WHAT’S GOING ON GLOBALLY?<br />
Investors face the perpetual dilemma between risk and reward; between preserving capital and generating<br />
growth. Now however, they face this dilemma in an environment of modest global economic growth and very<br />
low interest rates.<br />
The level of volatility and uncertainty surrounding the financial<br />
markets has recently increased, reflecting mixed economic data<br />
notwithstanding the strong accommodative monetary policies<br />
adopted by Central Banks in the large advanced economies.<br />
The Greek sovereign crisis once again weighed on the markets<br />
recently but the strong austerity measures enforced by the Eurozone<br />
Ministers in conjunction with Greek reforms saw the threat of<br />
bankruptcy being avoided for the moment.<br />
In addition, after years of rapid expansion, the Chinese economy is<br />
now cooling off with lower economic growth. We expect the Chinese<br />
government to deploy further monetary easing and other growthsupporting<br />
measures in the coming months.<br />
There have also been concerns over increasing commodity supply,<br />
resulting in softening of commodity prices, particularly for gold, iron<br />
ore, copper, and oil.<br />
Perhaps the most encouraging sign of economic improvement is the<br />
US Federal Reserve’s upgraded assessment of the overall economy<br />
and its stated intention to increase the federal funds rate - the first<br />
time in almost a decade.<br />
Although the Australian dollar may now stabilise around US70 cents,<br />
it has fallen significantly from US95 cents in mid-2014.<br />
In Australia, the decline in commodity prices and the unwinding of<br />
resource investment is exerting downward pressure on economic<br />
activity, but stronger export volumes and the recovery in housing are<br />
sustaining some moderate growth. Low interest rates and the lower<br />
Australian dollar are also likely to support corporate earnings and the<br />
economy’s ‘rebalancing’. We are currently forecasting the Australian<br />
economy to grow by around 2.6% in 2015 and then 2.8% in 2016.<br />
Even with the interventionist policies of the developed world’s Central<br />
Banks, growth in most advanced economies has remained subdued,<br />
unemployment has remained elevated, and these economies are<br />
likely to continue to face headwinds for some time to come.<br />
2