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1.4<br />

Health<br />

Raul-Allan Kiivet<br />

Changes and developments in the population’s health can<br />

be illustrated using very different indicators, of which<br />

each is informative in its own way. The indicators that<br />

have been chosen for this chapter characterise the events<br />

in Estonia from three viewpoints, in an attempt to answer<br />

the following questions:<br />

• How much, and based on what, is life expectancy in<br />

Estonia increasing?<br />

• How can the illness-related behaviour of the Estonian<br />

population be changed, based on the example<br />

of the use of prescription drugs?<br />

• What is the future prognosis for the health indicators<br />

of Estonian schoolchildren?<br />

1.4.1<br />

Life expectancy<br />

In international comparisons, life expectancy, which is<br />

based on mortality data, and is one of the three components<br />

of the Human Development Index, is the indicator<br />

most often used to assess the state of the population’s<br />

health. Life expectancy shows, in years, how long a person<br />

of a certain age will live if the current mortality rate<br />

or the distribution of deaths based on gender and age<br />

persists. For instance, in 2010, the average life expectancy<br />

for men in Estonia was 70.6 years, i.e. a boy born in that<br />

year would live that long if the mortality rate for the given<br />

year did not change.<br />

In the UN Human Development Reports, Estonia’s<br />

persistent characteristic is the fact that its health indicators<br />

lag significantly behind its general standard of living<br />

and level of education; and Estonia was ranked between<br />

80 th and 90 th place in the life expectancy rankings until<br />

the beginning of the 21 st century. The people in all the<br />

states wealthier than us, and also those in the 40 poorer<br />

states lived longer than the people in Estonia.<br />

During the last decade, life expectancy in Estonia<br />

has increased dramatically, and, in 2010, achieved<br />

an all-time record for both men and women. Between<br />

2004 and 2010, the average life expectancy of women<br />

increased by 3 years (from 77.8 to 80.8 years) and 4.2<br />

years for men (from 66.4 years to 70.6 years). Life expectancy<br />

increased because, during this time, the accidental<br />

deaths, and deaths caused by other outside factors, of<br />

young people were reduced significantly, along with the<br />

deaths of middle-aged people from heart disease and<br />

cardiovascular diseases.<br />

Life expectancy can be calculated for every age<br />

group, and as age increases, life expectancy, understandably,<br />

decreases – in 2010, for 65-year-old men it was 14.2<br />

years and 19.4 years for women, thereby lagging behind<br />

the European average by 3.1 and 1.7 years, respectively.<br />

In other words, although, if based on the adjusted life<br />

expectancy at birth, Estonia continues to be among the<br />

last five in the European Union, the prognosis for those<br />

over 65 is as good as in the rest of Europe.<br />

Comparing the gap between the life expectancies<br />

in various age groups, we see that two-thirds of the<br />

difference falls in the 20- to 65-year age group, and<br />

reducing deaths among the young and middle-aged continues<br />

to provide the greatest reserves for lengthening life<br />

expectancy.<br />

1.4.2<br />

Living healthy during one’s<br />

remaining years<br />

Life expectancy, which is calculated on the basis of mortality<br />

data, does not tell us anything about the health,<br />

illnesses, or the health-related quality of life of the living.<br />

The incidence of illness and the health-related quality of<br />

life can be measured using many indicators, and this is<br />

done from various points of view. However, since we are<br />

interested in the question of whether a longer life (which<br />

is definitely a value onto itself) is a full and healthy life,<br />

the concept of living a healthy life (Aru 2012) can be of<br />

help. This concept assesses both the duration of life, as<br />

well as the health-related quality of life, and takes into<br />

account the incidence of good and bad health in people<br />

of various ages.<br />

In this case, mortality statistics are derived from<br />

data obtained by survey research, in which people of<br />

various ages assess the state of their health, and the life<br />

expectancy is multiplied by the percentage of healthy<br />

people in the corresponding gender-age group. Since<br />

health can be measured in several ways, the definitions<br />

of a healthy life can also vary. The European Union’s official<br />

statistics use a definition that is based on every-day<br />

limitations, or the concept that living healthy means a<br />

disability-free life expectancy.<br />

A definition like this does not reflect people’s subjective<br />

feelings about their health, but rather, their ability<br />

to cope on their own and manage their own affairs. The<br />

incidence of bad health in the population can be overestimated<br />

if health-related limitations are used as an<br />

excuse in situations where coping is actually hindered<br />

by other factors, for instance socio-economic reasons.<br />

Despite the possibilities for various interpretations, this<br />

method is appropriate for compiling time-series data and<br />

international comparisons.<br />

Compared to the data for 2004, the number of<br />

years of disability-free life for Estonian boys born in<br />

2010 had increased by 4.1 years and by 4.4 years for<br />

Estonian Human Development Report 2012/2013<br />

41

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