DEVELOPMENT
The pdf-version - Eesti Koostöö Kogu
The pdf-version - Eesti Koostöö Kogu
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
Figure 4.2.1<br />
Assessment of the components of total wealth<br />
Intangible<br />
capital<br />
Protected areas,<br />
alternative<br />
cost method<br />
Forest resources, NPV<br />
Land assets, NPV<br />
Agricultural land, NPV<br />
Wealth<br />
measured<br />
using<br />
the NPV<br />
method<br />
Natural<br />
capital<br />
Residual value of<br />
structures and<br />
equipment<br />
Value of urban<br />
land assessed<br />
indirectly<br />
Residual value of<br />
structures and<br />
equipment<br />
Produced<br />
capital<br />
Produced<br />
capital<br />
Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5<br />
Structures and equipment Urban land Natural capital Total wealth Intangible capital<br />
Source: Where is the Wealth of Nations? Measuring Capital for the 21st Century, 22<br />
The value of sub-soil assets is assessed during the period<br />
of use, based upon the net present value of the net profit<br />
earned during the (future) period of use. 5<br />
In the case of forest resources, the value is the<br />
present value of the resource rent for timber. In order to<br />
do the calculations, data is required about timber production,<br />
the unit price of products made from timber, and<br />
the period of use of the forest. The product value is relatively<br />
simple to calculate, using the average or prevalent<br />
global market prices. The assessment of the resource rents<br />
is more difficult. Theoretically, the present value of the<br />
forest should be equal to the net value of the forest owner’s<br />
future stump fees, from which the costs of growing<br />
the forest, throughout the maturation period, have been<br />
deducted. Generally, the exact figures reflecting the revenues<br />
and costs of forest owners are not available in many<br />
states, and therefore, various average prices for timber<br />
products, as well as the calculated regional resource rents<br />
(price – cost/price) were used in the study. 6<br />
In the case of agriculture land, assumptions were<br />
made concerning the average revenue from resource rent<br />
for ten cultures; the invariability of the agriculture land;<br />
as well as the average growth of 0.97% of agricultural production,<br />
per year, in the developed states, and a growth<br />
of 1.94% in the developing states. If the calculation year<br />
is t (based on the last assessment for 2005), the projected<br />
revenues for the period are t+24. 7<br />
In the case of protected areas, the best theoretical<br />
point of departure is the willingness of the consumers to<br />
pay for the existence of protected areas. The evaluation<br />
method based on the willingness to pay is implemented<br />
in the case of natural sites that do not directly produce<br />
revenues, but which are valuable for many other reasons.<br />
These sites may be unusual natural phenomena, like the<br />
Jägala Cascade, or red sandstone outcropping on the Ahja<br />
River in Taevaskoda. Since these natural wonders do not<br />
have a price, the following method is used to determine<br />
their value — people are asked how much they would be<br />
willing to pay to preserve these natural wonders. In this<br />
case, the survey depends on the sample of respondents.<br />
The same principles are applied to summarise the result<br />
as are used for determining the support for various political<br />
parties. Since the evaluation of natural wonders in<br />
this way is related primarily to individual examples, in<br />
order to apply this way of thinking more generally, and<br />
ensure comparability on an international scale, an evaluation<br />
method utilising quasi-alternative costs was used,<br />
which was based on the average productivity of crop land<br />
5 t+T–1<br />
The value Vt is calculated with the following formula: in which p i is a unit of rent income; q i the production volume; r<br />
V t = ∑ p i q i / (1 + r)i–t<br />
i=t<br />
the social discount rate and T the life span of the resource (depletion time). Although generally, assessments exist for<br />
the various sub-soil resources and possible depletion periods, actually, the assessment of the reserves and possible future production volumes<br />
are uncertain. In the calculations, the value T=20 is used for all sub-soil assets, or in other words, it is assumed that the sub-soil assets will be<br />
depleted in 20 years.<br />
6 To calculate the present value of forests, a timing value factor of 4%, and a time horizon of 25 years, is used. If the harvest exceeded the<br />
natural growth, the quotient of the difference between the forest reserve and the natural growth was used for the temporal assessment of the<br />
depletion of the forest reserves. If, based on this calculation, the depletion period for the forest reserves turned out to be less than 25 years,<br />
the appropriate shorter time period was used to calculate the value of the forest. When dealing with production reserves, the existence of<br />
infrastructure is also considered, which would ensure the accessibility of the timber, and the timber that is located more tan 50 km from the<br />
corresponding infrastructure is assessed as production reserves. Taking this fact into consideration means that only the forest which can be<br />
harvested and transported at a reasonable cost, due to the existence of the infrastructure, is taken into account.<br />
7 4% was used as the timed factor (The Changing Wealth of Nations, 2011, 149). In the case of pasture land, the general assumptions were the<br />
same; the global prices for beef and lamb, as well as milk and wool, were used to calculate the rent value; and the growth tempo was assessed<br />
at 0.89% annually, in the developed states, and 2.95% in the developing states (The Changing Wealth of Nations, 2011, 149).<br />
160<br />
Estonian Human Development Report 2012/2013