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tion agreed upon the social contract. Of course, such a<br />

social contract is only an ideal, which, in reality, is executed<br />

by the interests groups (social classes) in the political<br />

process of choice. In political economy, for instance,<br />

it has been argued that the “social contract” is more of a<br />

concession made by the ruling elite to the lower classes,<br />

in order to avoid major conflicts that could threaten the<br />

elite’s legitimate power. These concessions allow the elite<br />

to stay in power at the cost of redistribution.<br />

There is a general consensus that welfare states promote<br />

equity; but a similar consensus is lacking regarding<br />

economic growth and wealth. The main problem<br />

is – which parameters and criteria should be used to<br />

measure a welfare state. Starting with Esping-Andersen’s<br />

(1990) seminal typology three distinguished regimes are<br />

acknowledged which differ by the degree of decommodification<br />

and the kind of stratification they produce in society.<br />

Decommodification occurs when a service is rendered<br />

as a matter of right, and when a person can maintain a<br />

livelihood without reliance on the market (Esping-Andersen,<br />

1990: 21-22). Stratification refers to the outcome<br />

of redistribution and the level of universality of solidarity<br />

that is imposed by the welfare state and it reflects<br />

inequality in society. Based upon these two dimensions<br />

Esping-Andersen distinguished between (a) liberal, (b)<br />

conservative-corporatist and (c) social-democratic welfare<br />

states (Table 3.1.2.)<br />

Esping-Andersen believed that divergent “post-communist<br />

regimes” would shift towards some of the main<br />

welfare regime types after 15 years of transition (Esping-Andersen<br />

1996). This period was over for Baltics<br />

in about 2006. However, a puzzling phenomenon has<br />

emerged. Although “post-communist regimes” exhibit<br />

social expenditure well below those of the EU15, there<br />

has been no convergence (Draxler and van Vliet 2010),<br />

although the traditional social policy models in the West<br />

seem to be converging (Castles 2008; van Vliet 2010).<br />

Even if the transition period appeared to be longer than<br />

predicted due to some unanticipated path dependency,<br />

this phenomenon tends not to be present even in more<br />

recent studies (Ferge 2011, Põder and Kerem 2011, Draxler<br />

and van Vliet 2010, Fenger 2005).<br />

At the same time, Aidukaite (2006) and Rys (2001)<br />

have stated that the differences among the post-Communist<br />

states are too great for a separate type to be<br />

conceptualised.<br />

Our main finding (Figure 3.1.7) is that there is no<br />

convergence between the Nordic social-welfare system<br />

and the rest of the EU countries, including Estonia.<br />

According to two composite scores of “social protection”<br />

and “commodification” countries can be divided into two<br />

distinct ends: the Nordics with high ‘social protection’<br />

and low “commodification” scores; and Liberals with the<br />

opposite characteristics. The Continentals and Mediterraneans<br />

are positioning somewhere closer to the lower left<br />

corner, having lower “social protection” and “commodification”<br />

scores than the Nordics. The Post-Communists<br />

have the lowest “social protection” scores, but at least, the<br />

Baltics have higher ‘commodification’ scores than Continentals-Mediterraneans.<br />

It can be said that the Post-Communists<br />

have two possible development paths: the Continental<br />

path or the Liberal (Anglo-American) path.<br />

Figure 3.1.8<br />

Social expenditures (% of GDP) and life-satisfaction (%<br />

of the population that is satisfied with life)<br />

Satisfaction<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

CZE<br />

CYP<br />

MLT<br />

POL<br />

SVK<br />

EST<br />

LVA<br />

ROU<br />

BUL<br />

LUX<br />

LTU<br />

SLO<br />

HUN<br />

BEL DEU<br />

GBR<br />

AUT<br />

Estonia, along with Latvia and Lithuania, are in a specific<br />

position, having extremely low social protection scores<br />

and, as far as the risks related to the labour market are<br />

concerned, are more similar to such liberal welfare states<br />

like Ireland and Great Britain. Also, the literature refers to<br />

the fact that the initial historical context of the post-Communist<br />

states enabled them to build their welfare states<br />

based on solidarity, social dialogue and a striving towards<br />

greater equality (Hermann and Hofbauer 2007; Juhasz<br />

ESP<br />

IRL<br />

GRC<br />

PRT<br />

SWE<br />

NED<br />

DEN<br />

FIN<br />

ITA<br />

15 20 25 30<br />

Social expenditures<br />

Sources: Eurostat (2011) and Eurobarometer 76 (2011),<br />

author’s calculations<br />

Figure 3.1.9<br />

The extent of the welfare state and pro-social behaviour<br />

Pro-social behaviour index<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

10<br />

USA<br />

EST<br />

IRL<br />

GBR<br />

POL<br />

ESP<br />

PRT<br />

GRC<br />

SLO<br />

ITA<br />

FRA<br />

DEN<br />

DEU<br />

AUT<br />

NOR FIN<br />

SWE<br />

BEL<br />

HUN<br />

FRA<br />

CZE<br />

20 30 40 50 60 70 80<br />

Welfare state index<br />

Source: Põder and Kerem (2011) and OECD (2011)<br />

Estonian Human Development Report 2012/2013<br />

111

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