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Estonian Human Development Report

Estonian Human Development Report - Eesti Koostöö Kogu

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ment among young people, many researchers have forecast<br />

a greater probability for younger working-aged people<br />

to look for work abroad (Krieger 2004). This is also<br />

confirmed by Estonia’s emigration statistics, in which the<br />

ratio of 20–30-year-olds is large. According to citizenship,<br />

<strong>Estonian</strong> citizens account for the main group of emigrants<br />

– they total 87%. The relative importance of Russian citizens<br />

in the four years under examination was 6% and this<br />

has decreased uniformly by years. The ratio of those with<br />

other citizenships was less than 2%.<br />

Immigration 2004–2007<br />

In 2004–2007, 8,508 people immigrated to Estonia, which<br />

comprises 0.6% of the total population. The greatest country<br />

of dispatch is Finland (31% of immigrants) and Russia<br />

(21% of immigrants), and a calculable number of people<br />

arrived from Ukraine, Germany, Latvia and Sweden.<br />

Year-on-year, immigration from the majority of countries<br />

is increasing, which apparently indicates a growth of return<br />

migration. This is also indicated by the fact that 39% of the<br />

immigrants are <strong>Estonian</strong> citizens. Russian and Finnish citizens<br />

comprise 15% and 12% of all immigrants respectively.<br />

Year-on-year, the ratio of immigrants that are <strong>Estonian</strong> citizens<br />

has increased and the ratio of Russian citizens has<br />

decreased by half. Numerically, the volume of immigration<br />

has increased. Half the immigrants settle in Harju County.<br />

The other important destinations include Tartu County<br />

and Ida-Viru County (14% and 12% respectively).<br />

Men comprise 55% of all immigrants. Therefore, while<br />

women predominate in <strong>Estonian</strong> emigration, men predominate<br />

in immigration (return migration). This fact<br />

points to the possibility that women that leave Estonia are<br />

more likely to remain abroad or to stay there for a longer<br />

period. The average age of immigrants is 34 years (median<br />

age is 32), whereas 20–29-year-olds predominate among<br />

the women. The age distribution of immigrating men is<br />

more uniform, although there are also more young, primarily<br />

20–39-year-old people among them.<br />

Estonia’s migration trends have changed somewhat<br />

since 2004, when Estonia joined the European Union.<br />

The net migration continued to be negative in 2004–2007<br />

for a total of -8,940, which makes an average migration<br />

loss of 2,235 people per year. Therefore Estonia’s population<br />

declines by 0.2% per year due to a negative emigration<br />

balance. While immigration has demonstrated a steady<br />

growth trend, emigration has decreased slightly in 2007<br />

(Figure 1.2.7.). The high point of emigration to date was in<br />

2006, when a record number of 5,000 people left Estonia<br />

for other countries.<br />

However, by country, Estonia’s net migration is no<br />

longer negative with all other countries. For the countries<br />

of the former Soviet Union, Estonia has become a country<br />

of destination. The greatest immigration is from Russia,<br />

Ukraine and Latvia. Each year, Estonia loses the largest<br />

number of people to Finland and other old European<br />

Union member states, such as the United Kingdom, Ireland,<br />

and Germany. Domestically, all the counties in Estonia<br />

lose population due to emigration, with Harju and<br />

Ida-Viru counties losing the most (Anniste 2009). In 2007,<br />

when immigration suddenly increased, the larger counties,<br />

such as Tartu, Harju and Ida-Viru, all had positive<br />

net foreign migration and Lääne-Viru and Pärnu counties<br />

lost the most population. The age distribution of the<br />

immigrating and emigrating populations is quite similar<br />

Figure 1.2.7. <strong>Estonian</strong> foreign migration 2004–2007<br />

6000<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

Source: SE<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Immigration<br />

Emigration<br />

Figure 1.2.8. Age distribution of the migrating<br />

population, 2004–2007<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

-500<br />

-1000<br />

-1500<br />

0–4<br />

Source: SE<br />

5–9<br />

10–14<br />

15–19<br />

20–24<br />

25–29<br />

30–34<br />

35–39<br />

40–44<br />

45–49<br />

50–54<br />

55–59<br />

60–64<br />

65–69<br />

70–74<br />

75–79<br />

80–84<br />

Immigration Emigration Net foreign migration<br />

(Figure 1.2.8.). Therefore foreign migration has changed<br />

significantly compared to the 1990s. In 2004–2007 the<br />

majority of both immigrants and emigrants were <strong>Estonian</strong>s,<br />

who go to work in European countries that are economically<br />

better developed. A fair number of them return<br />

to Estonia.<br />

Internal migration<br />

Reasons for internal migration and its history<br />

Estonia’s urbanization, and internal migration more generally,<br />

continues to be affected by the Soviet period, when<br />

the distribution of the population was organized according<br />

the regulations of the planned economy. In Soviet<br />

Estonia, the migration from the country to the city was<br />

modest, the convergence of the population in the larger<br />

cities and their environs was caused to a great extent by<br />

foreign migration (between the Soviet Republics) (Katus<br />

et al 1999, Tammaru 2002). At the beginning of the Soviet<br />

period, the migration was primarily from the country to<br />

the cities and on to Tallinn, although in the second half of<br />

the 1970s, more people started to relocate from the capital<br />

to the rural areas of Harju County (Marksoo 1990). As<br />

of 1983, the net migration of the rural population became<br />

positive throughout Estonia. It was primarily the rural<br />

areas around the larger cities that gained population – this<br />

at the cost of the urban population and rural population<br />

from outlying areas (Marksoo 1992).<br />

85+<br />

17 |

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