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azerbaijan: emerging market islamic banking and finance

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ACADEMIC ARTICLE<br />

NEWHORIZON October–December 2008<br />

Comparison of average z-scores<br />

while eliminating the possibilities of noncompliance,<br />

which in some cases might<br />

render transactions invalid.<br />

Liquidity risk management of Islamic<br />

banks is an important challenge <strong>and</strong> is<br />

constrained due to limited availability of<br />

tradable Islamic money <strong>market</strong> instruments<br />

<strong>and</strong> weak systemic liquidity infrastructure.<br />

At the moment, there is no Shari’ahcompliant<br />

short-term Islamic money <strong>market</strong><br />

(less than one week maturity) in local<br />

currency or in US dollars, <strong>and</strong> Islamic repo<br />

<strong>market</strong>s have not yet developed. Islamic<br />

money <strong>market</strong>s with longer maturities,<br />

which are based on commodity murabaha<br />

transactions (mark-up financing), sometimes<br />

suffer from unreliable brokers with low<br />

creditworthiness. Islamic banks also<br />

have a competitive disadvantage with<br />

conventional banks, as they deposit their<br />

overnight money with their domestic central<br />

bank interest free. The lack of liquidity<br />

<strong>and</strong> viable alternatives, combined with the<br />

competitive disadvantage, hamper the local<br />

Islamic banks <strong>and</strong> can even create a<br />

liquidity crisis.<br />

Source: authors’ calculations, based on data from BankScope (a global database of public <strong>and</strong> private banks)<br />

Note: individual bank risk is measured by the z-score, which increases with equity <strong>and</strong> ROA <strong>and</strong> decreases<br />

with return volatility. The z-score has become a popular measure in the recent literature on bank soundness<br />

since it is inversely related to the probability of a bank’s insolvency.<br />

Islamic banks going forward:<br />

challenges<br />

The continuing rapid growth of dem<strong>and</strong><br />

for Islamic financial services is clearly good<br />

news for Islamic banks. At the same time, it<br />

also presents some challenges, as the banks<br />

need to invest in upgrading their credit risk<br />

management capabilities in line with the<br />

more complex <strong>and</strong> larger projects into<br />

which they are entering.<br />

Despite the rapid growth, business models<br />

<strong>and</strong> products of Islamic banks are still<br />

rather homogeneous, while Shari’ah<br />

compliance amplifies risks stemming from<br />

product configuration <strong>and</strong> process<br />

implementation. The success of Islamic<br />

<strong>banking</strong> in recent years has produced too<br />

many Islamic banks with the same business<br />

models. There is a lack of ‘bread <strong>and</strong> butter’<br />

lending, <strong>and</strong> the current excess liquidity has<br />

led to too much complacency among Islamic<br />

banks.<br />

In addition, there is a large <strong>and</strong> diverse set<br />

of accounting st<strong>and</strong>ard differences across<br />

different jurisdictions. The development<br />

<strong>and</strong> setting of simple st<strong>and</strong>ard legal<br />

contracts is necessary in order to overcome<br />

the complexity <strong>and</strong> heterogeneity of current<br />

contracts. Furthermore, the deployment of<br />

IT systems that help monitor the fulfilment<br />

<strong>and</strong> visibility of processes on an end-to-end<br />

basis are crucial to facilitate the continuous<br />

monitoring of activities by Shari’ah scholars<br />

Islamic banks going forward:<br />

solutions <strong>and</strong> opportunities<br />

Both risk managers <strong>and</strong> regulators are<br />

working to address the above challenges.<br />

To overcome the shortcomings of the<br />

Islamic money <strong>market</strong>, many investment<br />

banks are currently designing new complex<br />

products, compliant with Shari’ah law. It<br />

remains to be seen whether these new<br />

solutions will obtain widespread Shari’ahcompliant<br />

status in the Islamic <strong>finance</strong><br />

community, <strong>and</strong> generate enough dem<strong>and</strong><br />

for a functional Islamic money <strong>market</strong> to<br />

develop.<br />

The rapid developments are likely to<br />

continue. Financial institutions in countries<br />

such as Bahrain, the UAE <strong>and</strong> Malaysia<br />

have been gearing up for more Shari’ahcompliant<br />

financial instruments <strong>and</strong><br />

structured <strong>finance</strong> – on both the asset <strong>and</strong><br />

liability sides. At the same time, the leading<br />

financial centres, such as London, New<br />

York <strong>and</strong> Singapore, are making significant<br />

progress in establishing the legal <strong>and</strong><br />

18 IIBI www.newhorizon-<strong>islamic</strong><strong>banking</strong>.com

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