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The World in 2030

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86 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> a few hours. Duplicate nanofactories will cost the<br />

same as any other nano-built product. <strong>The</strong> capital<br />

cost of manufactur<strong>in</strong>g will be negligible by today’s<br />

standards, and manufactur<strong>in</strong>g capacity can be doubled<br />

<strong>in</strong> a matter of hours. 173<br />

In ‘<strong>The</strong> Extreme Future’ Dr. James Canton sees<br />

nanotechnology potentially offer<strong>in</strong>g a similar bonanza:<br />

Nanoscience represents a radical change <strong>in</strong> material<br />

science, drugs, devices, and manufactur<strong>in</strong>g. Nanobased<br />

products could change everyth<strong>in</strong>g, reduc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

functions down to 100,000 times smaller than a<br />

human hair. Total nanotech <strong>in</strong>vestments worldwide<br />

were more than $10 billion <strong>in</strong> 2005. By 2008, the<br />

nanomarket may grow to more than $32 billion<br />

worldwide. Nanomaterials will drive the near-term<br />

market growth, while nano-devices will dom<strong>in</strong>ate future<br />

growth. 174<br />

<strong>The</strong> implications of the com<strong>in</strong>g nanotech revolutions are<br />

extreme and by <strong>2030</strong> we will be <strong>in</strong> the thick of it with<br />

astonish<strong>in</strong>g new applications enrich<strong>in</strong>g (and, perhaps,<br />

potentially endanger<strong>in</strong>g) our physical world. Nanotech<br />

is one of the more extreme ‘wild cards’ <strong>in</strong> the technology<br />

pack and it is possible that some of the problems exam<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

elsewhere <strong>in</strong> this report could be completely or partially<br />

solved by the science (e.g. nanotech might provide new<br />

sources of clean energy). In 2003 the late Professor Richard<br />

Smalley 175 of Rice University <strong>in</strong> Texas – a Nobel Laureate<br />

prize w<strong>in</strong>ner for his chemistry research – delivered a lecture<br />

called ‘Nanotechnology, the S & T Workforce, Energy &

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