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The World in 2030

The World in 2030

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82 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />

the same human-level tasks a thousand times as fast<br />

as we. It could, for example:<br />

– read an average book <strong>in</strong> one second with full comprehension;<br />

– take a college course and do all the homework and<br />

research <strong>in</strong> ten m<strong>in</strong>utes;<br />

– write a book, aga<strong>in</strong> with ample research, <strong>in</strong> two or<br />

three hours;<br />

– produce the equivalent of a human’s lifetime <strong>in</strong>tellectual<br />

output, complete with all the learn<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

growth, and experience <strong>in</strong>volved, <strong>in</strong> a couple of<br />

weeks. 159<br />

Perhaps the last word on super-<strong>in</strong>telligent mach<strong>in</strong>es should<br />

go to Irv<strong>in</strong>g John Good 160 (one of the British <strong>World</strong> War II<br />

cryptographers who worked alongside Alan Tur<strong>in</strong>g), author<br />

of the 1965 paper, ‘Speculations Concern<strong>in</strong>g the First<br />

Ultra<strong>in</strong>telligent Mach<strong>in</strong>e’:<br />

Thus the first ultra<strong>in</strong>telligent mach<strong>in</strong>e is the last <strong>in</strong>vention<br />

that man need ever make. 161<br />

Nanotechnology<br />

<strong>The</strong> term ‘nanotechnology’ 162 is simple to def<strong>in</strong>e (the control<br />

of matter on a scale smaller than 1 micrometer, normally<br />

between 1-100 nanometers) but the types of science and<br />

technology be<strong>in</strong>g developed at this sub-microscopic level<br />

vary greatly.

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