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The World in 2030

The World in 2030

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80 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />

‘<strong>The</strong> goal is to enable Google users to be able to ask<br />

the question such as “What shall I do tomorrow?”<br />

and “What job shall I take?” ’ 154<br />

I th<strong>in</strong>k Google is no less than an awaken<strong>in</strong>g global bra<strong>in</strong>,<br />

such as I imag<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> my 2001 novel, ‘Emergence’ 155 (the<br />

title refers to the phenomenon of consciousness ‘emerg<strong>in</strong>g’<br />

from with<strong>in</strong> a dense global network). And I don’t th<strong>in</strong>k<br />

I am be<strong>in</strong>g fanciful. Google holds much of the world’s<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation <strong>in</strong> its vast databases and it holds search histories<br />

and the preferences of all the people who have ever used the<br />

service. <strong>The</strong> knowledge of what the world’s <strong>in</strong>ternet-us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

population wants, and <strong>in</strong> what territories of the world, is like<br />

hav<strong>in</strong>g the ultimate guide to the global Zeitgeist. Couple that<br />

with rapidly develop<strong>in</strong>g computer <strong>in</strong>telligence and it is not<br />

hard to see where the first signs of human-like <strong>in</strong>telligence <strong>in</strong><br />

a computer system are likely to be encountered.<br />

How will we cope with mach<strong>in</strong>es that are as <strong>in</strong>telligent<br />

or more <strong>in</strong>telligent than ourselves? Bill Hibbard, 156 Emeritus<br />

Senior Scientist at the Space Science and Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g Center<br />

<strong>in</strong> Wiscons<strong>in</strong>, and the author of ‘Super-<strong>in</strong>telligent Mach<strong>in</strong>es’<br />

suggests:<br />

A critical event <strong>in</strong> the progress of science is imm<strong>in</strong>ent.<br />

This is the physical explanation of consciousness<br />

and demonstration by build<strong>in</strong>g a conscious<br />

mach<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

We will know it is conscious based on our emotional<br />

connection with it. Shortly after that, we will build<br />

mach<strong>in</strong>es much more <strong>in</strong>telligent than humans,

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