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The World in 2030

The World in 2030

The World in 2030

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76 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />

<strong>The</strong> book is actually a plan for how to build a mach<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

I’d like to be able to hire a team of programmers to create<br />

the Emotion Mach<strong>in</strong>e architecture that’s described<br />

<strong>in</strong> the book—a mach<strong>in</strong>e that can switch between all the<br />

different k<strong>in</strong>ds of th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g I discuss. Nobody’s ever<br />

built a system that either has or acquires knowledge<br />

about th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g itself, so that it can get better at problem<br />

solv<strong>in</strong>g over time. If I could get five good programmers,<br />

I th<strong>in</strong>k I could build it <strong>in</strong> three to five years.<br />

We humans are not the end of evolution, so if we can<br />

make a mach<strong>in</strong>e that’s as smart as a person, we can<br />

probably also make one that’s much smarter. <strong>The</strong>re’s<br />

no po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> mak<strong>in</strong>g just another person. You want to<br />

make one that can do th<strong>in</strong>gs we can’t. 143<br />

But because 1980s AI research was mistakenly considered to<br />

be a failure, current research <strong>in</strong>to develop<strong>in</strong>g computers with<br />

human-like <strong>in</strong>telligence and characteristics and <strong>in</strong>telligence<br />

is no longer called artificial <strong>in</strong>telligence. <strong>The</strong> field of study is<br />

now called ‘super-<strong>in</strong>telligence’ or ‘strong AI’.<br />

Dr. Nick Bostrom aga<strong>in</strong>:<br />

Given that super<strong>in</strong>telligence will one day be technologically<br />

feasible, will people choose to develop it? This<br />

question can pretty confidently be answered <strong>in</strong> the affirmative.<br />

Associated with every step along the road to<br />

super<strong>in</strong>telligence are enormous economic payoffs.<br />

<strong>The</strong> computer <strong>in</strong>dustry <strong>in</strong>vests huge sums <strong>in</strong> the<br />

next generation of hardware and software, and it will

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