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The World in 2030

The World in 2030

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<strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong> 53<br />

flood<strong>in</strong>g out of the world’s laboratories and development<br />

centres at an ever <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g pace.<br />

And it is for this reason that I open the ma<strong>in</strong> part of<br />

this report with a discussion about the type of technologies<br />

that may emerge between now and <strong>2030</strong> (and because the<br />

implications of this exponential technology development<br />

are so extreme). As I mentioned <strong>in</strong> my ‘Backdrop’ section,<br />

new technology is the ‘joker’ <strong>in</strong> the pack of cards that will<br />

shape our future. It has the greatest potential to affect<br />

dramatically all of the other ‘key drivers’ of change that I<br />

have identified – except, alas, the cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g explosion <strong>in</strong><br />

the world’s birthrate.<br />

New technologies likely to be developed between now<br />

and the year <strong>2030</strong> may even have the potential to offer<br />

partial solutions to problems such as climate change and the<br />

loom<strong>in</strong>g energy deficit. For example <strong>in</strong> May 2007 the San<br />

Francisco Chronicle reported:<br />

Scientists are eye<strong>in</strong>g the jet stream, an energy source<br />

that rages night and day, 365 days a year, just a few<br />

miles above our heads. If they can tap <strong>in</strong>to its fierce<br />

w<strong>in</strong>ds, the world’s entire electrical needs could be<br />

met, they say.<br />

Dozens of researchers <strong>in</strong> California and around the<br />

world believe huge kite-like w<strong>in</strong>d-power generators<br />

could be the solution. As bizarre as that might seem,<br />

respected experts say the idea is sound enough to justify<br />

further <strong>in</strong>vestigation. 102

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