The World in 2030
The World in 2030 The World in 2030
The World in 2030 291 people were likely to live in retirement had failed to grasp the pace of change. A one-year increase in life expectancy could increase the total UK private sector pensions bill by as much as £30bn to £40bn. It could also force life insurers to add as much as £3bn-£4bn to their reserves. The projections could wipe out gains in pension scheme solvency that have come about through rising markets and increased provision. Widely-used forecasts assume that life expectancy after 65 has either stopped climbing or is increasing slower than a decade ago. But the data show it is rising more sharply. Data last year showed a man born in 1950 who lived to be 65 will on average live to be nearly 90. 513 By 2030 I think humans will be pushing maximum life boundaries to 130 years and beyond. It is almost certain that both genuine and effective rejuvenation and life extension therapies will be available and in widespread use, although I doubt that indefinite life extension will be achievable at that point. The biggest question I have about the notion of ‘living forever’ is whether human beings are psychologically prepared for very extended life spans. This question is something that has never been contemplated before in the whole of human evolution. We have never previously had to consider the likely attitude of a 100 year-old mind (or, more accurately, a biologically youthful mind with 100 years of experience)
292 The World in 2030 inhabiting the body of a 30 year-old. Will the mind be as young, as energetic and as lustful for life as the body? Or is there an upper psychological limit to human experience, a point of world weariness at which the psyche itself becomes exhausted? We don’t know, but by 2030 we will be well on our way to finding out. Technology, Patient Power and the Medical Profession Until very recently, ‘healthcare’ meant ‘sickness care’. When patients became ill doctors tried to find a cure or a treatment for their malady. But this began to change in the mid-1990s when the healthcare profession began to recognise that preventive treatments for diseases and conditions that threatened to emerge were more efficient (and more economical) than treating those conditions after they had manifested themselves. Perhaps the best example of such preventive medical practice is the widespread use of ‘Lipitor’, 514 the world’s most widely prescribed cholesterollowering drug. Raised cholesterol is an important indicator of potential cardio-vascular problems and Lipitor and similar drugs reduce the build up of cholesterol and thus reduce the likelihood of cardio-vascular disease developing. Over the next twenty-five years technology itself and technology-driven developments in medical science will push medicine more and more towards the preventive model. The role of the patient and the role of the healthcare professional will also change, as technology causes more power to be transferred to the patient.
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292 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>habit<strong>in</strong>g the body of a 30 year-old. Will the m<strong>in</strong>d be as<br />
young, as energetic and as lustful for life as the body? Or is<br />
there an upper psychological limit to human experience, a<br />
po<strong>in</strong>t of world wear<strong>in</strong>ess at which the psyche itself becomes<br />
exhausted? We don’t know, but by <strong>2030</strong> we will be well on<br />
our way to f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g out.<br />
Technology, Patient Power and the Medical Profession<br />
Until very recently, ‘healthcare’ meant ‘sickness care’.<br />
When patients became ill doctors tried to f<strong>in</strong>d a cure or<br />
a treatment for their malady. But this began to change<br />
<strong>in</strong> the mid-1990s when the healthcare profession began<br />
to recognise that preventive treatments for diseases and<br />
conditions that threatened to emerge were more efficient<br />
(and more economical) than treat<strong>in</strong>g those conditions after<br />
they had manifested themselves. Perhaps the best example<br />
of such preventive medical practice is the widespread use of<br />
‘Lipitor’, 514 the world’s most widely prescribed cholesterollower<strong>in</strong>g<br />
drug. Raised cholesterol is an important <strong>in</strong>dicator<br />
of potential cardio-vascular problems and Lipitor and similar<br />
drugs reduce the build up of cholesterol and thus reduce the<br />
likelihood of cardio-vascular disease develop<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
Over the next twenty-five years technology itself and<br />
technology-driven developments <strong>in</strong> medical science will<br />
push medic<strong>in</strong>e more and more towards the preventive<br />
model. <strong>The</strong> role of the patient and the role of the healthcare<br />
professional will also change, as technology causes more<br />
power to be transferred to the patient.