The World in 2030
The World in 2030 The World in 2030
The World in 2030 279 I have had some contact with robots and I can’t say I agree with these conclusions. We will anthropomorphise our robots and we will adapt to their presence long before they adapt to ours. As a result we humans will have some very complex questions to answer as real intelligence begins to emerge within machines and starts to forge relationships with us. Our human societies have developed moral and ethical codes for inter-personal behaviour over many millennia and, as well as teaching these to robots and other intelligent machines, careful software programming and thorough legislation will be required to protect humans. The earliest forms of the emergence of cognition have already been seen in the science of robotics. Already a robot has been built which can recognise ‘himself’ in a mirror (a classic test of cognitive development). New Scientist reported this impressive feat in May 2007: Nico gazes into the mirror in front of him. Looking back is his reflected self, wearing a grey Yale University sweatshirt and a baseball cap cocked at a jaunty angle. When Nico raises an arm, he recognises the arm moving in the mirror as his own. It may not sound like much of a feat, but Nico is a humanoid robot. He has just become the first of his kind to recognise his own reflection in a mirror. 502 Of course, intelligence in a robot may not be located within its physical frame. As we ourselves are becoming increasingly creatures of the networks, so we must expect
280 The World in 2030 that our robots of 2030 will have powerful network capabilities, and may even be wholly network-dependent (as some humans already feel today). Perhaps some elements of their cognitive powers will reside within the networks; perhaps they will be communicating with other robots around the world to carry out coordinated or collaborative tasks. This ‘networking ability’, inter-robot communication and even self-replication could become the defining characteristics of robot life. As the physorg. com website reported in February 2007, robots are already constructing themselves: In one of the latest studies on autonomous robots, scientists sat back and watched as their robot created itself out of smaller robotic modules. The result, called ‘swarm-bot,’ comes in many varieties, depending on the assigned task and available components. As the current state of the art in autonomous self-assembly, swarm-bots offer insight into the potential versatility and robustness that robots may possess to perform missions beyond human abilities. 503 In 2030 I think that each family in the developed world will have many inexpensive robots around the home and in their vehicles. Robots are going to become our companions, our watchdogs and our health monitors. They will provide companionship for the lonely and, at last, we will all have ‘someone to talk to.’ Perhaps the last word on robots should be given to Professor Marvin Minsky 504 of M.I.T. who is regarded by
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<strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong> 279<br />
I have had some contact with robots and I can’t say I<br />
agree with these conclusions. We will anthropomorphise<br />
our robots and we will adapt to their presence long<br />
before they adapt to ours. As a result we humans will<br />
have some very complex questions to answer as real<br />
<strong>in</strong>telligence beg<strong>in</strong>s to emerge with<strong>in</strong> mach<strong>in</strong>es and starts<br />
to forge relationships with us. Our human societies have<br />
developed moral and ethical codes for <strong>in</strong>ter-personal<br />
behaviour over many millennia and, as well as teach<strong>in</strong>g<br />
these to robots and other <strong>in</strong>telligent mach<strong>in</strong>es, careful<br />
software programm<strong>in</strong>g and thorough legislation will be<br />
required to protect humans.<br />
<strong>The</strong> earliest forms of the emergence of cognition have<br />
already been seen <strong>in</strong> the science of robotics. Already a robot<br />
has been built which can recognise ‘himself’ <strong>in</strong> a mirror (a<br />
classic test of cognitive development). New Scientist reported<br />
this impressive feat <strong>in</strong> May 2007:<br />
Nico gazes <strong>in</strong>to the mirror <strong>in</strong> front of him. Look<strong>in</strong>g<br />
back is his reflected self, wear<strong>in</strong>g a grey Yale University<br />
sweatshirt and a baseball cap cocked at a jaunty<br />
angle. When Nico raises an arm, he recognises the<br />
arm mov<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the mirror as his own.<br />
It may not sound like much of a feat, but Nico is a<br />
humanoid robot. He has just become the first of his<br />
k<strong>in</strong>d to recognise his own reflection <strong>in</strong> a mirror. 502<br />
Of course, <strong>in</strong>telligence <strong>in</strong> a robot may not be located<br />
with<strong>in</strong> its physical frame. As we ourselves are becom<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly creatures of the networks, so we must expect