The World in 2030
The World in 2030 The World in 2030
The World in 2030 275 By 2030 the super-rich will have access to therapies and technologies that will allow them to extend their lives significantly; they will have the ability to rejuvenate their bodies and to enhance both their minds and their physiques. Will they take these opportunities? Of course they will and, over time, a new form of super-human elite will emerge. But they won’t find that they have exclusivity. The ever growing middle-classes will also be able to afford these treatments. And then there are other forms of sentient being who will soon be sharing the planet with us. Robots Since the 1950s film-makers, science-fiction writers and futurologists (not the good ones) have constantly predicted that intelligent human-like androids are just about to arrive and become our willing slaves. But it just did not happen and, today, few people populate their imaginary future with robots. But after what has seemed like an interminably-long gestation period, robots are soon about to enter our society in force. We are getting so close that governments have even started to consider whether robots will need ‘rights’ in the way that humans do. Should robots have the right to exist, to privacy and other rights that humans take for granted? Should robots be allowed to ‘marry’ and should humanrobot partnerships be given legal status? Such proleptic thinking has been criticised, as The Guardian reported in April 2007:
276 The World in 2030 Scientists have criticised a government report which advocated a debate on granting rights to super-intelligent robots in the future as ‘a distraction’. They say the public should instead be consulted over the use of robots by the military and police, as carers for the elderly and as sex toys. The robotics experts were commenting on a report published by the Office of Science and Innovation’s Horizon Scanning Centre in December. The authors of ‘Robo-rights: Utopian dream or rise of the machines?’ wrote: ‘If artificial intelligence is achieved and widely deployed (or if they can reproduce and improve themselves) calls may be made for human rights to be extended to robots.’ 495 So where are we now in the development of intelligent robots and how long will it be before you really are able to buy the longed-for robot butler of popular imagination? Understanding the complexities of human movement (especially walking) and translating that into algorithms that could control motors and servos within robots was a lot more difficult and took much longer than many roboticists first imagined it would. But finally, the problems of movement and articulation are being solved, as the ubiquitous TV adverts for Honda’s stair-climbing ‘Asimo’ 496 reveal. But one of the biggest problems in robotics is ensuring that whatever happens, robots can’t deliberately or accidentally cause damage to humans. Infallible and unbreakable control
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<strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong> 275<br />
By <strong>2030</strong> the super-rich will have access to therapies<br />
and technologies that will allow them to extend their lives<br />
significantly; they will have the ability to rejuvenate their<br />
bodies and to enhance both their m<strong>in</strong>ds and their physiques.<br />
Will they take these opportunities? Of course they will and,<br />
over time, a new form of super-human elite will emerge. But<br />
they won’t f<strong>in</strong>d that they have exclusivity. <strong>The</strong> ever grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
middle-classes will also be able to afford these treatments.<br />
And then there are other forms of sentient be<strong>in</strong>g who will<br />
soon be shar<strong>in</strong>g the planet with us.<br />
Robots<br />
S<strong>in</strong>ce the 1950s film-makers, science-fiction writers and<br />
futurologists (not the good ones) have constantly predicted<br />
that <strong>in</strong>telligent human-like androids are just about to arrive<br />
and become our will<strong>in</strong>g slaves. But it just did not happen<br />
and, today, few people populate their imag<strong>in</strong>ary future<br />
with robots.<br />
But after what has seemed like an <strong>in</strong>term<strong>in</strong>ably-long<br />
gestation period, robots are soon about to enter our society<br />
<strong>in</strong> force. We are gett<strong>in</strong>g so close that governments have even<br />
started to consider whether robots will need ‘rights’ <strong>in</strong> the<br />
way that humans do. Should robots have the right to exist,<br />
to privacy and other rights that humans take for granted?<br />
Should robots be allowed to ‘marry’ and should humanrobot<br />
partnerships be given legal status? Such proleptic<br />
th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g has been criticised, as <strong>The</strong> Guardian reported <strong>in</strong><br />
April 2007: