The World in 2030
The World in 2030 The World in 2030
The World in 2030 245 and sunrises, go swimming, exploring, riding my Second Life Segway. I do a lot of random stuff.’ 464 And, only a few months later, a correspondent from The Guardian wrote in July 2007: It is a boom-town like no other in history. In less than four years, Second Life, the virtual metropolis where anyone can become a ‘cyber citizen’ simply by logging on, has grown from nothing to a city four times the area of Manhattan, frequented by nearly eight million people. Its population is spiralling and real-estate prices are going through the roof as its virtual land is sold to users for Linden dollars, which can now actually be exchanged for US dollars. 465 I am now certain that virtual worlds will play a major role not just in social life, but also in business, politics and all other spheres of human activity. I.B.M. regularly holds meetings 466 with clients in Second Life, meetings which the company claims are far more productive than conventional videoconferences. What’s more, the company has observed that after a meeting in Second Life participant avatars often hang around talking afterwards, just as they would do in real world meetings. XIV By 2030 there will be a plethora of alternative worlds, all of them multi-sensory, 3-dimensional and even holographic. XIV And the Roman Catholic Church has already sent Jesuit Missionaries into the parallel world of Second Life in the hope of saving virtual souls.
246 The World in 2030 It will be almost impossible to tell the difference between a real world experience and a virtual experience and many of us will be engaged with the real world and several virtual worlds (and other versions of ourselves) at one and the same time. On our way towards our virtual lives of the future we will be able to understand, and to speak and write, in all languages, as super-intelligent computers on our body and in the networks translate speech and the written word in real time. XV On the other hand, some aspects of daily life in 2030 will seem very similar to today. We will still live in houses and apartments as we do today (although even older properties will have been upgraded to maximum energy efficiency), children will still go to school (the interpersonal dynamic between teachers and children and between children and their peers is a vital part of learning that cannot be replaced wholly by virtual communications) and we will, it is to be hoped, still have all of the political, legal and social institutions which make the developed economies civilised; parliaments, the law, police, free media, hospitals, universities and so on. As the noted American futurist John Naisbitt remarks in his 2006 book, ‘Mind Set! Reset Your Thinking and See The Future’: XV Ford Motor Co. began using ‘machine translation’ software in 1998 and has so far translated 5 million automobile assembly instructions into Spanish, German, Portuguese and Mexican Spanish. Assembly manuals are updated in English every day, and their translations — some 5,000 pages a day — are beamed overnight to plants around the world.
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<strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong> 245<br />
and sunrises, go swimm<strong>in</strong>g, explor<strong>in</strong>g, rid<strong>in</strong>g my Second<br />
Life Segway. I do a lot of random stuff.’ 464<br />
And, only a few months later, a correspondent from <strong>The</strong><br />
Guardian wrote <strong>in</strong> July 2007:<br />
It is a boom-town like no other <strong>in</strong> history. In less<br />
than four years, Second Life, the virtual metropolis<br />
where anyone can become a ‘cyber citizen’ simply<br />
by logg<strong>in</strong>g on, has grown from noth<strong>in</strong>g to a city four<br />
times the area of Manhattan, frequented by nearly<br />
eight million people. Its population is spirall<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
real-estate prices are go<strong>in</strong>g through the roof as its virtual<br />
land is sold to users for L<strong>in</strong>den dollars, which<br />
can now actually be exchanged for US dollars. 465<br />
I am now certa<strong>in</strong> that virtual worlds will play a major role<br />
not just <strong>in</strong> social life, but also <strong>in</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess, politics and all<br />
other spheres of human activity.<br />
I.B.M. regularly holds meet<strong>in</strong>gs 466 with clients <strong>in</strong> Second<br />
Life, meet<strong>in</strong>gs which the company claims are far more<br />
productive than conventional videoconferences. What’s<br />
more, the company has observed that after a meet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
Second Life participant avatars often hang around talk<strong>in</strong>g<br />
afterwards, just as they would do <strong>in</strong> real world meet<strong>in</strong>gs. XIV<br />
By <strong>2030</strong> there will be a plethora of alternative worlds, all<br />
of them multi-sensory, 3-dimensional and even holographic.<br />
XIV<br />
And the Roman Catholic Church has already sent Jesuit Missionaries <strong>in</strong>to the parallel world of Second<br />
Life <strong>in</strong> the hope of sav<strong>in</strong>g virtual souls.