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The World in 2030

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226 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />

Ray Kurzweil is also characteristically confident about the<br />

future for this fuel:<br />

<strong>The</strong> emerg<strong>in</strong>g paradigm for energy storage will be<br />

fuel cells, which will ultimately be widely distributed<br />

throughout our <strong>in</strong>frastructure, another example of the<br />

trend from <strong>in</strong>efficient and vulnerable centralized facilities<br />

to an efficient and stable distributed system. 435<br />

However there are considerable problems to be overcome <strong>in</strong><br />

the development of hydrogen fuel cell technology even if the<br />

long-term benefits are allur<strong>in</strong>g. As James Canton describes<br />

<strong>in</strong> ‘<strong>The</strong> Extreme Future’:<br />

Hydrogen has problems other than (current) high<br />

cost. It is unstable and needs to be controlled. <strong>The</strong><br />

manufacture of hydrogen requires other energy use<br />

such as nuclear or oil (or geothermal). <strong>The</strong> technology<br />

needed to store and pump hydrogen <strong>in</strong>to vehicles<br />

is still primitive and not yet adopted for wide<br />

usage. But none of these obstacles is impossible to<br />

overcome. Hydrogen will transform the future of energy<br />

and ensure a more secure and reliable source<br />

of fuel for consumers, bus<strong>in</strong>ess, mass transportation<br />

and even for space travel. Hydrogen is com<strong>in</strong>g fast.<br />

By 2035, or even sooner, hydrogen will be a viable<br />

alternative to oil and gas, meet<strong>in</strong>g as much as 35 per<br />

cent of our energy needs. 436<br />

Perhaps the real difficulty <strong>in</strong> switch<strong>in</strong>g to hydrogen as the ma<strong>in</strong><br />

fuel for road transport is the lack of <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Hydrogen

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