The World in 2030
The World in 2030 The World in 2030
The World in 2030 211 electricity used by an average household. The most likely contribution micro wind will make to your energy problem is to infuriate everyone. It will annoy people who have been fooled by the claims of some of the companies selling them (that they will supply half or even more of their annual electricity needs). It will enrage the people who discover that their turbines have caused serious structural damage to their homes. It will turn mild-mannered neighbours, suffering from the noise of a yawing and stalling windmill, into axe murders. If you wished to destroy people’s enthusiasm for renewable energy, it is hard to think of a better method. 403 But even if George Monbiot’s vision of a suburban hell created by mushrooming, ineffective wind turbines, small domestic wind power units (mostly made of lightweight durable plastics) will succeed in providing power in rural areas which enjoy plentiful wind. And the future for industrial production of energy from wind power is very bright. As The Economist reported in May 2007: The wind business is growing by more than 30 per cent a year worldwide, with America leading the way. And when a solar incentive scheme took hold in Germany in 2004-05, demand in Europe roughly doubled, says Ron Kenedi of Sharp, the biggest solarcell maker. Supply shortages will not ease quickly in either case. Wind turbines are giant machines that require lots
212 The World in 2030 of parts. Several firms are building new factories: Vestas has just announced its first American plant, which will make blades in Colorado. But new factories will take several years to get up to speed. In the meantime, buyers are putting down deposits to reserve their turbines. GE Energy, the largest turbine installer in America, is already booked up until the end of next year. 404 And George Monbiot makes the case for British conversion to industrial-scale wind power very eloquently: The wind, waves and sun are not going to run out – or not while we still occupy the planet. Neither Mr Putin nor any other energy monopolist can switch them off. No wind farm can ever melt down, or present a useful target for terrorists. Decommissioning is cheap and safe. The energy required to build the machines on the market today is a small fraction of the energy they will produce, and as soon as that has been accounted for, they emit no carbon. While renewable technologies can dominate a landscape this impact is surely less significant than the destruction of the biosphere… The United Kingdom – islands surrounded by high winds and rough seas – has the best resources in Europe. 405 Clearly, harnessing wind power on a global scale will be a priority from now until 2030. Turbines will become more efficient (with non-corrosive plastics playing a major part 406
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<strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong> 211<br />
electricity used by an average household. <strong>The</strong> most<br />
likely contribution micro w<strong>in</strong>d will make to your energy<br />
problem is to <strong>in</strong>furiate everyone.<br />
It will annoy people who have been fooled by the<br />
claims of some of the companies sell<strong>in</strong>g them (that<br />
they will supply half or even more of their annual<br />
electricity needs). It will enrage the people who discover<br />
that their turb<strong>in</strong>es have caused serious structural<br />
damage to their homes. It will turn mild-mannered<br />
neighbours, suffer<strong>in</strong>g from the noise of a yaw<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
stall<strong>in</strong>g w<strong>in</strong>dmill, <strong>in</strong>to axe murders. If you wished to<br />
destroy people’s enthusiasm for renewable energy, it<br />
is hard to th<strong>in</strong>k of a better method. 403<br />
But even if George Monbiot’s vision of a suburban hell<br />
created by mushroom<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>in</strong>effective w<strong>in</strong>d turb<strong>in</strong>es, small<br />
domestic w<strong>in</strong>d power units (mostly made of lightweight<br />
durable plastics) will succeed <strong>in</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g power <strong>in</strong> rural<br />
areas which enjoy plentiful w<strong>in</strong>d. And the future for <strong>in</strong>dustrial<br />
production of energy from w<strong>in</strong>d power is very bright. As<br />
<strong>The</strong> Economist reported <strong>in</strong> May 2007:<br />
<strong>The</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d bus<strong>in</strong>ess is grow<strong>in</strong>g by more than 30 per<br />
cent a year worldwide, with America lead<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
way. And when a solar <strong>in</strong>centive scheme took hold<br />
<strong>in</strong> Germany <strong>in</strong> 2004-05, demand <strong>in</strong> Europe roughly<br />
doubled, says Ron Kenedi of Sharp, the biggest solarcell<br />
maker.<br />
Supply shortages will not ease quickly <strong>in</strong> either case.<br />
W<strong>in</strong>d turb<strong>in</strong>es are giant mach<strong>in</strong>es that require lots