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The World in 2030

The World in 2030

The World in 2030

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20 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />

Needless to say, plastic pip<strong>in</strong>g and conta<strong>in</strong>ers will have a<br />

huge role to play <strong>in</strong> the conservation of <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly precious<br />

fresh water.<br />

Societal Demography<br />

<strong>The</strong> age make-up of the world’s population is chang<strong>in</strong>g dramatically<br />

and the effects of this will be very apparent by <strong>2030</strong>.<br />

In 2006, nearly 500 million people worldwide were<br />

65 or older. By <strong>2030</strong>, accord<strong>in</strong>g to a US government report, 20<br />

the total is projected to double to one billion – one <strong>in</strong> every<br />

eight people on the planet. <strong>The</strong> fastest <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> those 65<br />

and older are occurr<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, which will<br />

see a jump <strong>in</strong> those populations of 140 per cent by <strong>2030</strong>.<br />

But although develop<strong>in</strong>g countries will see the greatest<br />

percentage <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> their elderly populations it is the<br />

European nations that are predicted to suffer most economic<br />

pressures from low birthrates and age<strong>in</strong>g populations. 21<br />

However, it is unsafe to assume that all the age<strong>in</strong>g<br />

European societies of <strong>2030</strong> will have trouble support<strong>in</strong>g<br />

their elderly populations. Three changes to our societies are<br />

likely to prevent this. <strong>The</strong> first is that people will work longer,<br />

the second is that there will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be massive waves of<br />

immigration of young people from the less developed world<br />

<strong>in</strong>to the most developed countries and the third is that<br />

accelerat<strong>in</strong>g technological <strong>in</strong>novation will <strong>in</strong>crease wealth<br />

rapidly <strong>in</strong> the most highly developed societies (although<br />

some of this new wealth is likely to be eaten up <strong>in</strong> efforts to<br />

tackle and adapt to climate change).

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